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Murcia vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 88-96
25-31 23-24 20-19 20-22
Position#10
Record5-5
FormWWLWL
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game80.6
vs
Position#2
Record8-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game95.6
Allowed / game83.2
SpainACBRound 11· Palacio de Deportes de Murcia
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Murcia v Valencia
21 May 2027
MUR v VAL
upcoming
21 Dec 2025
MUR92
VAL80
15 Dec 2024
MUR88
VAL96
22 May 2024
MUR72
VAL83
10 Dec 2023
MUR77
VAL85
19 Apr 2023
MUR90
VAL82
27 Mar 2022
MUR71
VAL72
30 Apr 2021
MUR66
VAL80
07 Oct 2018
MUR68
VAL81
22 Oct 2017
MUR91
VAL93
08 Jan 2017
MUR75
VAL78
01 May 2016
MUR80
VAL62
05 Oct 2014
MUR85
VAL76
08 Mar 2014
MUR76
VAL85
07 Oct 2012
MUR77
VAL78
20 Nov 2011
MUR83
VAL86
04 Apr 2010
MUR92
VAL96
07 Dec 2008
MUR68
VAL75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murcia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
88-74
88
74
+14
80avg 73
H19/10
ACB
FMP Beograd
#39
W
86-50
86
50
+36
84avg 73
H22/10
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#14
W
82-75
82
75
+7
73avg 73
A26/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
64-85
64
85
-21
47avg 73
H03/11
ACB
FMP Beograd
#39
W
83-78
83
78
+5
85avg 73
A06/11
Champions League
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
83-71
83
71
+12
60avg 73
A09/11
ACB
Breogan
#13
W
79-63
79
63
+16
75avg 73
H16/11
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
63-83
63
83
-20
52avg 73
H01/12
ACB
Manisa
#25
W
78-72
78
72
+6
69avg 73
A04/12
Champions League
Barcelona
#5
L
79-86
79
86
-7
68avg 73
A08/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-19
20-15
25-16
32-24
27-10
16-14
28-13
15-13
21-20
19-13
20-17
22-25
11-22
20-18
17-26
16-19
21-22
12-21
24-17
26-18
20-15
15-16
28-24
20-16
15-17
23-9
22-17
19-20
13-20
22-21
12-29
16-13
19-15
20-14
21-22
18-21
20-23
20-22
18-20
21-21
152.2Avg total
78.5Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)79.580.6160.1-1.150%
Season at home (5)76.677.6154.2-1.060%
Season away (5)82.483.6166.0-1.240%
Last 10 (10)78.573.7152.2+4.870%
Last 5 (5)76.475.0151.4+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)76.382.5158.8-6.327%
vs Similar (10)82.283.7165.9-1.550%
vs Weaker (8)81.872.2154.0+9.588%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Aris
#19
W
63-59
63
59
+4
54avg 79
A06/11
Eurocup
Cedevita Olimpija
#7
W
109-80
109
80
+29
111avg 79
H12/11
Eurocup
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
111-82
111
82
+29
111avg 79
H15/11
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
99-102
99
102
-3
94avg 79
A17/11
ACB
JL Bourg
#12
W
107-96
107
96
+11
108avg 79
A28/11
Eurocup
Baskonia
#7
W
116-91
116
91
+25
116avg 79
A01/12
ACB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
W
96-83
96
83
+13
91avg 79
H04/12
Eurocup
Basquet Girona
#14
W
98-78
98
78
+20
94avg 79
H07/12
ACB
Hamburg
#17
W
86-78
86
78
+8
54avg 79
A10/12
Eurocup
Tenerife
#3
W
96-81
96
81
+15
91avg 79
H13/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
16-14
17-11
11-15
21-18
36-32
31-10
21-20
27-14
27-14
26-24
31-30
19-29
19-21
29-21
32-31
29-26
23-22
32-19
23-29
25-25
26-15
36-23
29-28
33-26
26-12
20-24
17-21
21-22
23-23
26-15
28-18
27-18
25-24
22-11
12-25
17-25
25-13
30-24
24-19
181.1Avg total
98.1Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)95.683.2178.8+12.480%
Season at home (5)95.677.8173.4+17.8100%
Season away (5)95.688.6184.2+7.060%
Last 10 (10)98.183.0181.1+15.190%
Last 5 (5)98.482.2180.6+16.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)99.093.0192.0+6.0100%
vs Similar (7)82.485.9168.3-3.429%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)94.781.5176.2+13.291%
This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +5.6+5.6Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +8.7+8.7Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -0.8-0.8
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +5.6+5.6Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +8.7+8.7Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -0.8-0.8
MurciaValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H19/10
ACB
FMP Beograd
#39
W
43-24
43
24
+19
H22/10
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#14
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A26/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H03/11
ACB
FMP Beograd
#39
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A06/11
Champions League
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A09/11
ACB
Breogan
#13
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H16/11
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H01/12
ACB
Manisa
#25
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A04/12
Champions League
Barcelona
#5
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A08/12
ACB
71.1Avg total
36.5Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.338.376.6+0.043%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.936.873.7+0.238%-
Last 30 away (17)39.439.578.9-0.147%-
Last 10 (10)36.534.671.1+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)37.434.471.8+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)35.740.776.5-5.018%-
vs Similar (10)40.540.581.0+0.050%-
vs Weaker (8)39.432.471.8+7.075%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aris
#19
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A06/11
Eurocup
Cedevita Olimpija
#7
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H12/11
Eurocup
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
54-28
54
28
+26
H15/11
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A17/11
ACB
JL Bourg
#12
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A28/11
Eurocup
Baskonia
#7
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A01/12
ACB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
W
59-38
59
38
+21
H04/12
Eurocup
Basquet Girona
#14
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H07/12
ACB
Hamburg
#17
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A10/12
Eurocup
Tenerife
#3
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H13/12
ACB
89.6Avg total
48.4Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.540.785.2+3.863%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.539.085.5+7.579%-
Last 30 away (16)42.742.284.9+0.550%-
Last 10 (10)48.441.289.6+7.280%-
Last 5 (5)49.640.690.2+9.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)47.049.096.0-2.00%-
vs Similar (7)40.441.481.9-1.057%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)45.640.185.7+5.568%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.917.5
51.6%
54.0%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.89.3
31.2%
35.6%27.9
🏀 Free throws18.414.6
79.3%
76.4%14.6
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 97.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.7 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.619.7
60.4%
54.0%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.414.9
39.8%
35.6%44.7
🏀 Free throws16.413.0
79.3%
76.4%13.0
They take 70.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Murcia
LWLWWWLWWW
Valencia
WWWWWWLWWW
#10
League position
#2
+6.4
Net rating
+20.2
103.8
Offensive rating
130.0
97.3
Defensive rating
109.7
49.4%
Effective FG%
60.1%
47.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
16.2%
Turnover %
15.1%
25.6%
Off. rebound %
39.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.23
31.2%
3-point %
39.8%
63.8%
Assist %
67.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence103.8 · 130.0Defence97.3 · 109.7Shooting49.4% · 60.1%3-point %31.2% · 39.8%Ball care16.2% · 15.1%Off. rebounds25.6% · 39.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ Murcia   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Murcia wins
4
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
25/05/24Valencia v Murcia77-84
22/05/24Murcia v Valencia72-83
18/05/24Valencia v Murcia86-96
24/03/24Valencia v Murcia83-82
10/12/23Murcia v Valencia77-85 OT
19/04/23Murcia v Valencia90-82
16/10/22Valencia v Murcia74-75
27/03/22Murcia v Valencia71-72
18/02/22Valencia v Murcia83-86
26/09/21Valencia v Murcia86-91
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/24ABarcelona79-86
04/12/24AManisa78-72
01/12/24HGran Canaria63-83
16/11/24HBreogan79-63
09/11/24AMoraBanc Andorra83-71
06/11/24AFMP Beograd83-78
03/11/24HReal Madrid64-85
26/10/24ABasquet Girona82-75
22/10/24HFMP Beograd86-50
19/10/24HBasket Zaragoza88-74
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/24HTenerife96-81
10/12/24AHamburg86-78
07/12/24HBasquet Girona98-78
04/12/24HHapoel Jerusalem96-83
01/12/24ABaskonia116-91
28/11/24AJL Bourg107-96
17/11/24ABarcelona99-102
15/11/24HBasket Zaragoza111-82
12/11/24HCedevita Olimpija109-80
06/11/24AAris63-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL50%
HomeWWLWL60%
AwayLLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%60%40%
Points / game79.576.682.4
Allowed / game80.677.683.6
Point differential-1.1-1.0-1.2
Avg total160.1154.2166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%40%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %20%20%20%
Valencia
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW80%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %80%100%60%
Points / game95.695.695.6
Allowed / game83.277.888.6
Point differential+12.4+17.8+7.0
Avg total178.8173.4184.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%80%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valencia108280%95.683.2+12.4
2 Real Madrid118373%88.376.1+12.2
3 Unicaja118373%88.383.7+4.5
4 Tenerife107370%86.281.8+4.4
5 Gran Canaria117464%81.078.1+2.9
6 Barcelona106460%88.584.6+3.9
7 Basket Zaragoza106460%89.988.4+1.5
8 Manresa116555%86.180.9+5.2
9 Joventut Badalona105550%80.880.0+0.8
10 Murcia105550%79.580.6-1.1
11 MoraBanc Andorra115645%88.388.7-0.5
12 Baskonia115645%85.889.0-3.2
13 Granada114736%77.480.0-2.6
14 Forca Lleida114736%83.886.9-3.1
15 Leyma Coruna114736%85.090.6-5.6
16 Bilbao113827%80.284.1-3.9
17 Breogan113827%72.485.3-12.9
18 Basquet Girona112918%77.089.9-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Murcia2523202088
Valencia3124192296
← all games of the day
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