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Aris vs Lietkabelis Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 17 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 81-66
18-19 14-15 24-20 25-12
Position#19
Record2-9
FormWLLLL
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game81.5
Aris 🏆
vs
Position#18
Record3-7
FormWLWWL
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game86.7
EuropeEurocupRound 12· Alexandreio Mellathron
European cup2024
Meetings · Aris v Lietkabelis
17 Dec 2024
ARI81
LIE66
12 Dec 2023
ARI69
LIE60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aris winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lietkabelis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Valencia
#1
L
59-63
59
63
-4
46avg 65
H06/11
Eurocup
Maroussi
#11
L
72-74
72
74
-2
53avg 65
H09/11
Basket League
Hamburg
#17
L
69-93
69
93
-24
54avg 65
A12/11
Eurocup
Panionios
#8
L
62-79
62
79
-17
54avg 65
A16/11
Basket League
Cluj-Napoca
#6
L
79-87
79
87
-8
45avg 65
A28/11
Eurocup
PAOK
#6
W
88-82
88
82
+6
74avg 65
H01/12
Basket League
Venezia
#11
L
74-81
74
81
-7
57avg 65
H04/12
Eurocup
Lavrio
#12
L
84-93
84
93
-9
72avg 65
A07/12
Basket League
Turk Telekom
#8
L
77-87
77
87
-10
62avg 65
A11/12
Eurocup
AS Karditsas
#4
L
69-96
69
96
-27
55avg 65
H14/12
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
14-16
11-17
15-11
14-24
18-17
21-13
19-20
14-24
24-30
21-18
10-21
16-18
11-26
15-15
20-20
19-26
19-16
19-21
22-24
26-30
21-18
17-9
24-25
18-30
22-17
18-15
16-19
25-24
16-21
19-20
24-28
22-14
21-31
17-18
17-24
11-19
18-24
17-25
23-28
156.8Avg total
73.3Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)74.781.5156.2-6.718%
Season at home (5)67.874.4142.2-6.60%
Season away (6)80.587.3167.8-6.833%
Last 10 (10)73.383.5156.8-10.210%
Last 5 (5)78.487.8166.2-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)73.581.3154.8-7.723%
vs Similar (8)75.982.9158.8-7.038%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#17
W
91-68
91
68
+23
90avg 78
H06/11
Eurocup
Siauliai
#8
L
92-96
92
96
-4
87avg 78
A09/11
LKL
Cluj-Napoca
#6
L
93-100
93
100
-7
87avg 78
A13/11
Eurocup
Jonava
#5
L
82-84
82
84
-2
73avg 78
A17/11
LKL
Venezia
#11
L
93-100 OT
93
100
-7
82avg 78
H28/11
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
W
93-82
93
82
+11
98avg 78
H01/12
LKL
Turk Telekom
#8
L
93-98
93
98
-5
88avg 78
H04/12
Eurocup
Siauliai
#8
W
93-76
93
76
+17
89avg 78
H07/12
LKL
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
W
93-87
93
87
+6
72avg 78
A11/12
Eurocup
Mazeikiai
#10
L
87-93
87
93
-6
82avg 78
A14/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
24-9
22-17
21-21
22-33
24-22
23-19
23-22
18-32
20-24
13-20
42-24
26-16
20-21
24-22
12-25
30-20
17-20
23-22
16-24
23-16
24-18
26-17
20-31
21-23
29-25
24-18
19-32
21-13
31-17
17-12
24-34
18-17
31-24
20-28
24-18
14-22
22-22
12-19
39-30
179.4Avg total
91.0Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)83.386.7170.0-3.430%
Season at home (6)84.888.7173.5-3.833%
Season away (4)81.083.8164.8-2.825%
Last 10 (10)91.088.4179.4+2.640%
Last 5 (5)91.887.2179.0+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)82.787.2169.9-4.533%
vs Similar (4)88.077.2165.2+10.8100%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)83.884.8168.5-1.038%
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -2.1-2.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -2.1-2.1
ArisLietkabelis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#1
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H06/11
Eurocup
Maroussi
#11
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H09/11
Basket League
Hamburg
#17
L
38-54
38
54
-16
A12/11
Eurocup
Panionios
#8
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A16/11
Basket League
Cluj-Napoca
#6
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A28/11
Eurocup
PAOK
#6
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H01/12
Basket League
Venezia
#11
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H04/12
Eurocup
Lavrio
#12
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A07/12
Basket League
Turk Telekom
#8
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A11/12
Eurocup
AS Karditsas
#4
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H14/12
Basket League
81.2Avg total
36.8Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.540.176.6-3.633%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.037.173.1-1.147%-
Last 30 away (15)37.043.080.0-6.020%-
Last 10 (10)36.844.481.2-7.60%-
Last 5 (5)40.045.685.6-5.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)36.438.975.2-2.536%-
vs Similar (8)36.943.480.2-6.525%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#17
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H06/11
Eurocup
Siauliai
#8
L
46-55
46
55
-9
A09/11
LKL
Cluj-Napoca
#6
L
38-56
38
56
-18
A13/11
Eurocup
Jonava
#5
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A17/11
LKL
Venezia
#11
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H28/11
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H01/12
LKL
Turk Telekom
#8
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H04/12
Eurocup
Siauliai
#8
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H07/12
LKL
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A11/12
Eurocup
Mazeikiai
#10
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A14/12
LKL
87.4Avg total
45.9Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.141.682.7-0.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.940.181.9+1.860%-
Last 30 away (15)40.443.183.5-2.740%-
Last 10 (10)45.941.587.4+4.470%-
Last 5 (5)46.839.486.2+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)39.943.283.1-3.344%-
vs Similar (4)46.837.284.0+9.575%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)41.140.281.4+0.950%-
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 72.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
49%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.018.2
50.6%
53.5%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.07.3
27.0%
34.3%21.9
🏀 Free throws20.014.0
70.0%
76.0%14.0
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 90.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
49%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.919.6
51.7%
53.5%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.710.6
42.9%
34.3%31.8
🏀 Free throws23.019.0
82.6%
76.0%19.0
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aris
LLLLWLLLLL
Lietkabelis
LWWLWLLLLW
#19
League position
#18
-14.0
Net rating
+3.4
99.3
Offensive rating
119.4
113.3
Defensive rating
115.9
46.3%
Effective FG%
56.7%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
57.8%
17.6%
Turnover %
18.8%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
34.8%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.37
27.0%
3-point %
42.9%
46.7%
Assist %
66.2%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence99.3 · 119.4Defence113.3 · 115.9Shooting46.3% · 56.7%3-point %27.0% · 42.9%Ball care17.6% · 18.8%Off. rebounds29.6% · 34.8%Free throws0.32 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)10% · 40%
■ Aris   ■ Lietkabelis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Aris wins
1
Lietkabelis wins
DateGameScore
08/10/24Lietkabelis v Aris74-92
12/12/23Aris v Lietkabelis69-60
10/10/23Lietkabelis v Aris84-74
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/24HAS Karditsas69-96
11/12/24ATurk Telekom77-87
07/12/24ALavrio84-93
04/12/24HVenezia74-81
01/12/24HPAOK88-82
28/11/24ACluj-Napoca79-87
16/11/24APanionios62-79
12/11/24AHamburg69-93
09/11/24HMaroussi72-74
06/11/24HValencia59-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/24AMazeikiai87-93
11/12/24AHapoel Jerusalem93-87
07/12/24HSiauliai93-76
04/12/24HTurk Telekom93-98
01/12/24HNevezis93-82
28/11/24HVenezia93-100 OT
17/11/24AJonava82-84
13/11/24ACluj-Napoca93-100
09/11/24ASiauliai92-96
06/11/24HHamburg91-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aris
Eurocup 2024
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL18%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayWWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %18%0%33%
Points / game74.767.880.5
Allowed / game81.574.487.3
Point differential-6.7-6.6-6.8
Avg total156.2142.2167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lietkabelis
Eurocup 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW30%
HomeLWWLL33%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %30%33%25%
Points / game83.384.881.0
Allowed / game86.788.783.8
Point differential-3.4-3.8-2.8
Avg total170.0173.5164.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %10%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valencia10100100%95.780.4+15.3
2 Bahcesehir Kol.1210283%84.172.8+11.3
3 Gran Canaria129375%80.273.1+7.1
4 Hapoel Jerusalem117464%85.179.0+6.1
5 Besiktas117464%86.481.8+4.5
6 Cedevita Olimpija117464%84.784.1+0.6
7 Ulm117464%86.589.8-3.3
8 Hapoel Tel-Aviv116555%87.279.6+7.5
9 JL Bourg116555%86.382.2+4.1
10 Cluj-Napoca116555%88.887.3+1.5
11 Turk Telekom116555%79.479.5-0.2
12 BC Wolves116555%83.584.8-1.4
13 Venezia115645%80.183.4-3.3
14 Buducnost114736%84.285.5-1.4
15 Trento114736%77.383.7-6.5
16 Lietkabelis103730%83.386.7-3.4
17 Joventut Badalona113827%77.584.2-6.6
18 Aris112918%74.781.5-6.7
19 Hamburg112918%76.889.8-13.0
20 Trefl Sopot110110%75.188.2-13.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aris1814242581
Lietkabelis1915201266
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