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Valencia vs Basket Zaragoza Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 15 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 111-82
27-14 27-14 26-24 31-30
Position#2
Record4-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game79.6
Valencia 🏆
Spain
vs
Basket Zaragoza
Spain
Position#12
Record3-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game93.8
Allowed / game89.7
SpainACBRound 7· Font de Sant Lluis
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Valencia v Basket Zaragoza
14 Feb 2027
VAL v ZAR
upcoming
12 Jan 2026
VAL115
ZAR73
15 Nov 2024
VAL111
ZAR82
12 Nov 2023
VAL76
ZAR69
22 Jan 2023
VAL88
ZAR76
20 Mar 2022
VAL81
ZAR79
24 Oct 2020
VAL93
ZAR84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Basket Zaragoza winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#17
W
105-78
105
78
+27
106avg 76
H02/10
Eurocup
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
84-60
84
60
+24
67avg 76
H05/10
ACB
Cluj-Napoca
#6
W
105-96
105
96
+9
103avg 76
A09/10
Eurocup
Breogan
#13
W
87-75
87
75
+12
77avg 76
A13/10
ACB
Venezia
#11
W
105-83
105
83
+22
99avg 76
H17/10
Eurocup
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
89-88
89
88
+1
80avg 76
H20/10
ACB
Turk Telekom
#8
W
101-87
101
87
+14
102avg 76
A23/10
Eurocup
Bilbao
#15
W
103-98
103
98
+5
94avg 76
A27/10
ACB
Aris
#19
W
63-59
63
59
+4
54avg 76
A06/11
Eurocup
Cedevita Olimpija
#7
W
109-80
109
80
+29
111avg 76
H12/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-29
22-15
30-21
23-13
15-13
19-11
28-19
22-17
19-24
25-28
26-23
35-21
23-16
13-25
37-15
14-19
24-22
28-16
25-16
28-29
25-20
23-14
14-32
27-22
27-17
31-15
23-20
20-35
26-27
23-27
28-21
26-23
19-19
16-14
17-11
11-15
21-18
36-32
31-10
21-20
175.5Avg total
95.1Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)87.279.6166.8+7.680%
Season at home (2)86.574.0160.5+12.5100%
Season away (3)87.783.3171.0+4.367%
Last 10 (10)95.180.4175.5+14.7100%
Last 5 (5)93.082.4175.4+10.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)85.789.0174.7-3.333%
vs Similar (12)81.885.8167.5-4.042%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)90.979.6170.5+11.387%
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket ZaragozaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZaragoza
Date
Competition
Bursaspor
#18
W
106-84
106
84
+22
112avg 77
H09/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
96-95 OT
96
95
+1
88avg 77
H13/10
ACB
Levice
#8
L
80-96
80
96
-16
74avg 77
A15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Murcia
#10
L
74-88
74
88
-14
59avg 77
A19/10
ACB
Anorthosis
#31
W
92-77
92
77
+15
87avg 77
H23/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Leyma Coruna
#18
L
86-110
86
110
-24
77avg 77
A26/10
ACB
Bursaspor
#18
W
89-87 OT
89
87
+2
84avg 77
A30/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Breogan
#13
W
111-53
111
53
+58
92avg 77
H02/11
ACB
Levice
#8
W
92-71
92
71
+21
94avg 77
H06/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Anorthosis
#31
W
83-76
83
76
+7
84avg 77
A13/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-25
26-13
28-19
26-27
25-23
19-10
19-26
22-26
21-24
10-25
15-25
34-22
19-11
15-20
16-25
24-32
24-19
26-17
22-24
20-17
24-24
20-27
16-31
26-28
18-16
19-15
22-19
19-28
24-18
32-11
28-13
27-11
26-14
16-25
26-10
24-22
27-20
21-15
16-15
19-26
174.6Avg total
90.9Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)93.889.7183.5+4.250%
Season at home (3)102.779.7182.3+23.0100%
Season away (3)85.099.7184.7-14.70%
Last 10 (10)90.983.7174.6+7.270%
Last 5 (5)92.279.4171.6+12.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)79.796.8176.4-17.10%
vs Similar (16)88.683.9172.6+4.769%
vs Weaker (5)95.082.4177.4+12.680%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +7.1+7.1Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +0.2+0.2
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +7.1+7.1Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +0.2+0.2
ValenciaBasket Zaragoza
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#17
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H02/10
Eurocup
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H05/10
ACB
Cluj-Napoca
#6
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A09/10
Eurocup
Breogan
#13
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A13/10
ACB
Venezia
#11
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H17/10
Eurocup
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H20/10
ACB
Turk Telekom
#8
W
58-32
58
32
+26
A23/10
Eurocup
Bilbao
#15
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A27/10
ACB
Aris
#19
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A06/11
Eurocup
Cedevita Olimpija
#7
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H12/11
Eurocup
86.7Avg total
46.5Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.140.683.7+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.139.485.5+6.879%-
Last 30 away (16)40.541.782.2-1.238%-
Last 10 (10)46.540.286.7+6.370%-
Last 5 (5)49.440.690.0+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.745.084.7-5.30%-
vs Similar (12)42.840.283.0+2.758%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)44.140.184.1+4.067%-
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket ZaragozaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bursaspor
#18
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H09/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H13/10
ACB
Levice
#8
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Murcia
#10
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A19/10
ACB
Anorthosis
#31
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H23/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Leyma Coruna
#18
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A26/10
ACB
Bursaspor
#18
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A30/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Breogan
#13
W
56-29
56
29
+27
H02/11
ACB
Levice
#8
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H06/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Anorthosis
#31
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A13/11
FIBA Europe Cup
81.0Avg total
43.8Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.741.281.9-0.557%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.639.683.2+3.975%-
Last 30 away (14)37.442.980.4-5.536%-
Last 10 (10)43.837.281.0+6.680%-
Last 5 (5)45.437.082.4+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)35.647.082.6-11.411%-
vs Similar (16)41.138.779.8+2.475%-
vs Weaker (5)48.838.687.4+10.280%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 93.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.420.1
56.8%
54.0%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.112.8
37.5%
35.6%38.4
🏀 Free throws19.315.2
78.8%
76.4%15.2
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basket Zaragozatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Zaragoza: 89.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.624.5
61.9%
54.0%49.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.39.0
37.0%
35.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws18.513.7
74.1%
76.4%13.7
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WWWWWWWWWW
Basket Zaragoza
WWWWLWLLWW
#2
League position
#12
+19.1
Net rating
+9.3
125.9
Offensive rating
119.0
106.9
Defensive rating
109.7
56.5%
Effective FG%
59.5%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.7%
16.0%
Turnover %
18.6%
41.6%
Off. rebound %
34.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.29
37.5%
3-point %
37.0%
65.7%
Assist %
56.7%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence125.9 · 119.0Defence106.9 · 109.7Shooting56.5% · 59.5%3-point %37.5% · 37.0%Ball care16.0% · 18.6%Off. rebounds41.6% · 34.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)100% · 70%
■ Valencia   ■ Basket Zaragoza
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Valencia wins
1
Basket Zaragoza wins
DateGameScore
21/01/24Basket Zaragoza v Valencia75-85
12/11/23Valencia v Basket Zaragoza76-69
26/03/23Basket Zaragoza v Valencia86-75
22/01/23Valencia v Basket Zaragoza88-76
20/03/22Valencia v Basket Zaragoza81-79
02/10/21Basket Zaragoza v Valencia70-76
11/04/21Basket Zaragoza v Valencia76-85
24/10/20Valencia v Basket Zaragoza93-84
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/24HCedevita Olimpija109-80
06/11/24AAris63-59
27/10/24ABilbao103-98
23/10/24ATurk Telekom101-87
20/10/24HMoraBanc Andorra89-88
17/10/24HVenezia105-83
13/10/24ABreogan87-75
09/10/24ACluj-Napoca105-96
05/10/24HJoventut Badalona84-60
02/10/24HHamburg105-78
Basket Zaragozalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/24AAnorthosis83-76
06/11/24HLevice92-71
02/11/24HBreogan111-53
30/10/24ABursaspor89-87 OT
26/10/24ALeyma Coruna86-110
23/10/24HAnorthosis92-77
19/10/24AMurcia74-88
15/10/24ALevice80-96
13/10/24HJoventut Badalona96-95 OT
09/10/24HBursaspor106-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game87.286.587.7
Allowed / game79.674.083.3
Point differential+7.6+12.5+4.3
Avg total166.8160.5171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Basket Zaragoza
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW50%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game93.8102.785.0
Allowed / game89.779.799.7
Point differential+4.2+23.0-14.7
Avg total183.5182.3184.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %33%67%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja76186%88.081.0+7.0
2 Tenerife65183%85.877.3+8.5
3 Valencia54180%87.279.6+7.6
4 Real Madrid75271%87.776.1+11.6
5 Barcelona74357%89.383.3+6.0
6 Manresa74357%82.977.0+5.9
7 Gran Canaria74357%78.977.4+1.4
8 Murcia74357%82.082.0+0.0
9 Basket Zaragoza63350%93.889.7+4.2
10 Bilbao73443%85.685.0+0.6
11 MoraBanc Andorra73443%84.984.6+0.3
12 Joventut Badalona73443%79.479.7-0.3
13 Baskonia73443%89.191.0-1.9
14 Forca Lleida73443%81.686.9-5.3
15 Leyma Coruna72529%82.992.3-9.4
16 Breogan72529%72.684.0-11.4
17 Basquet Girona72529%74.186.6-12.4
18 Granada71614%74.182.4-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia27272631111
Basket Zaragoza1414243082
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