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Varese vs Trento Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Oct 2018
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 93-85
23-20 22-13 28-25 20-27
Position#7
Record1-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game70.5
Allowed / game75.5
Varese 🏆
Italy
vs
Trento
Italy
Position#6
Record0-2
FormWLLLL
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game94.0
ItalyLega ARound 3
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Varese v Trento
21 Mar 2027
VAR v TRE
upcoming
25 Oct 2025
VAR74
TRE85
09 Feb 2025
VAR79
TRE92
22 Oct 2023
VAR84
TRE85
16 Oct 2022
VAR91
TRE94
30 Jan 2022
VAR90
TRE89
28 Mar 2021
VAR88
TRE70
29 Dec 2019
VAR81
TRE86
21 Oct 2018
VAR93
TRE85
04 Nov 2017
VAR93
TRE66
15 Apr 2017
VAR83
TRE80
06 Mar 2016
VAR96
TRE82
09 Nov 2014
VAR70
TRE76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trento winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
71-69
71
69
+2
95avg 110
A22/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
W
69-65
69
65
+4
101avg 110
H29/04
Lega A
Cremona
#10
W
89-79
89
79
+10
126avg 110
H06/05
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
83-92
83
92
-9
118avg 110
A09/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
61-68
61
68
-7
86avg 110
A12/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
75-77
75
77
-2
104avg 110
A14/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
64-69 OT
64
69
-5
no box
H16/05
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
81-80
81
80
+1
110avg 110
H07/10
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
60-71
60
71
-11
79avg 110
A14/10
Lega A
Rilski Sportist
#34
W
95-76
95
76
+19
no box
A17/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
10-14
19-16
24-17
8-13
17-14
24-10
20-28
24-17
23-23
22-20
20-19
25-14
16-26
20-29
22-23
20-13
20-18
12-24
9-13
22-14
18-23
20-16
15-24
8-14
18-9
24-20
10-17
21-22
22-19
23-23
15-16
8-16
10-15
27-21
15-19
29-16
25-17
25-24
16-19
149.4Avg total
74.8Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)70.575.5146.0-5.050%
Season at home (1)81.080.0161.0+1.0100%
Season away (1)60.071.0131.0-11.00%
Last 10 (10)74.874.6149.4+0.250%
Last 5 (5)75.074.6149.6+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)76.072.0148.0+4.0100%
vs Similar (18)75.375.7151.1-0.444%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)80.777.0157.7+3.755%
This opponent (Trento) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
72-65
72
65
+7
101avg 109
H09/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
77-74
77
74
+3
102avg 109
H11/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
90-91
90
91
-1
116avg 109
A13/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
71-96
71
96
-25
90avg 109
H15/06
Lega A
Torino
#2
L
72-81
72
81
-9
no box
A29/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Partizan
#15
W
82-73
82
73
+9
108avg 109
H03/10
Eurocup
Cremona
#3
L
99-104 OT
99
104
-5
no box
H06/10
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#5
L
61-75
61
75
-14
86avg 109
A09/10
Eurocup
Cantu
#8
L
72-84
72
84
-12
101avg 109
A14/10
Lega A
Zenit Petersburg
#14
L
60-93
60
93
-33
79avg 109
H17/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
18-14
23-17
14-17
11-13
18-21
23-21
25-19
22-31
28-17
16-23
24-20
20-25
13-23
23-18
15-30
11-19
19-21
22-15
20-26
17-24
26-19
19-15
20-15
15-19
16-18
21-19
25-21
9-18
16-19
23-19
13-19
24-28
23-19
14-19
11-18
14-21
19-23
14-24
13-25
159.2Avg total
75.6Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)85.594.0179.5-8.50%
Season at home (1)99.0104.0203.0-5.00%
Season away (1)72.084.0156.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)75.683.6159.2-8.030%
Last 5 (5)74.885.8160.6-11.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)77.986.1164.0-8.227%
vs Similar (13)80.277.5157.8+2.769%
vs Weaker (5)89.269.4158.6+19.8100%
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -5.5-5.5Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -3.0-3.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -5.5-5.5Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -3.0-3.0
VareseTrento
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A22/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
L
25-27
25
27
-2
H29/04
Lega A
Cremona
#10
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H06/05
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A09/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A12/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A14/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
26-23
26
23
+3
H16/05
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H07/10
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
18-31
18
31
-13
A14/10
Lega A
Rilski Sportist
#34
W
54-33
54
33
+21
A17/10
FIBA Europe Cup
70.1Avg total
36.2Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.236.275.3+3.067%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.234.877.0+7.585%-
Last 30 away (17)36.837.274.1-0.453%-
Last 10 (10)36.233.970.1+2.370%-
Last 5 (5)36.233.069.2+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)42.036.078.0+6.0100%-
vs Similar (18)38.636.374.9+2.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)39.835.975.7+3.964%-
This opponent (Trento) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H09/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H11/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A13/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H15/06
Lega A
Torino
#2
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A29/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Partizan
#15
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H03/10
Eurocup
Cremona
#3
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H06/10
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#5
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A09/10
Eurocup
Cantu
#8
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A14/10
Lega A
Zenit Petersburg
#14
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H17/10
Eurocup
76.5Avg total
35.6Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.339.077.3-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.536.274.7+2.353%-
Last 30 away (15)38.041.879.8-3.833%-
Last 10 (10)35.640.976.5-5.320%-
Last 5 (5)35.841.677.4-5.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)36.042.278.2-6.218%-
vs Similar (13)38.938.877.7+0.254%-
vs Weaker (5)43.232.475.6+10.880%-
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 73.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.016.4
49.7%
51.0%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.69.5
32.1%
35.1%28.5
🏀 Free throws17.112.1
70.8%
72.3%12.1
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.419.3
47.8%
51.0%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.66.3
30.6%
35.1%18.9
🏀 Free throws23.116.5
71.4%
72.3%16.5
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Oct 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
WLWLLLLWWW
Trento
LLLLWLLLWW
#7
League position
#6
-1.0
Net rating
-12.1
101.8
Offensive rating
100.5
102.8
Defensive rating
112.6
49.0%
Effective FG%
47.1%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
57.1%
16.8%
Turnover %
16.7%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
26.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.38
32.1%
3-point %
30.6%
61.4%
Assist %
55.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence101.8 · 100.5Defence102.8 · 112.6Shooting49.0% · 47.1%3-point %32.1% · 30.6%Ball care16.8% · 16.7%Off. rebounds27.3% · 26.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Varese   ■ Trento
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Varese wins
5
Trento wins
DateGameScore
10/03/18Trento v Varese82-74
04/11/17Varese v Trento93-66
15/04/17Varese v Trento83-80
18/12/16Trento v Varese84-68
06/03/16Varese v Trento96-82
15/11/15Trento v Varese89-63
02/03/15Trento v Varese78-65
09/11/14Varese v Trento70-76
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/18ARilski Sportist95-76
14/10/18ASassari60-71
07/10/18HBrescia81-80
16/05/18HBrescia64-69 OT
14/05/18ABrescia75-77
12/05/18ABrescia61-68
09/05/18ATorino83-92
06/05/18HCremona89-79
29/04/18HBrindisi69-65
22/04/18AVirtus Bologna71-69
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/18HZenit Petersburg60-93
14/10/18ACantu72-84
09/10/18ALyon-Villeurbanne61-75
06/10/18HCremona99-104 OT
03/10/18HPartizan82-73
29/09/18ATorino72-81
15/06/18HOlimpia Milano71-96
13/06/18AOlimpia Milano90-91
11/06/18HOlimpia Milano77-74
09/06/18HOlimpia Milano72-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game70.581.060.0
Allowed / game75.580.071.0
Point differential-5.0+1.0-11.0
Avg total146.0161.0131.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Trento
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game85.599.072.0
Allowed / game94.0104.084.0
Point differential-8.5-5.0-12.0
Avg total179.5203.0156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %50%100%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Venezia220100%86.572.0+14.5
2 Olimpia Milano220100%95.585.5+10.0
3 Cantu32167%87.083.0+4.0
4 Cremona32167%92.394.3-2.0
5 Avellino21150%93.087.5+5.5
6 Torino21150%80.575.0+5.5
7 Brindisi21150%90.088.0+2.0
8 Reggiana21150%82.080.0+2.0
9 Brescia21150%81.580.0+1.5
10 Sassari21150%74.072.5+1.5
11 Virtus Bologna21150%85.588.0-2.5
12 Pesaro21150%78.082.5-4.5
13 Varese21150%70.575.5-5.0
14 Trieste2020%81.089.0-8.0
15 Trento2020%85.594.0-8.5
16 Pistoia2020%73.090.0-17.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese2322282093
Trento2013252785
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