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Valencia vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Nov 2013
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 98-64
21-14 25-17 23-16 29-17
Position#9
Record2-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game69.7
vs
Position#50
Record1-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game71.3
Allowed / game74.3
EuropeEurocupRound 4
European cup2013
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#5
W
80-42
80
42
+38
H23/05
ACB
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#5
L
120-122 OT
120
122
-2
A26/05
ACB
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#5
L
77-83
77
83
-6
H28/05
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
75-76
75
76
-1
A13/10
ACB
Levallois
#38
W
85-68
85
68
+17
A15/10
Eurocup
Gipuzkoa
#10
W
87-58
87
58
+29
H19/10
ACB
Ulm
#11
W
88-74
88
74
+14
H23/10
Eurocup
Unicaja
#4
W
74-71
74
71
+3
A27/10
ACB
Petrol Olimpija
#23
L
64-67
64
67
-3
A30/10
Eurocup
Baloncesto Valladolid
#18
W
108-57
108
57
+51
H02/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-11
20-12
23-8
20-11
19-21
23-22
27-17
21-30
20-21
18-14
18-19
21-29
15-18
30-16
14-29
16-13
19-10
26-19
21-22
19-17
23-10
19-15
28-22
17-11
30-20
19-20
18-12
21-22
22-21
24-15
14-14
14-21
14-14
14-16
12-23
24-14
26-8
22-13
27-11
33-25
157.6Avg total
85.8Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)79.069.7148.7+9.367%
Season at home (1)88.074.0162.0+14.0100%
Season away (2)74.567.5142.0+7.050%
Last 10 (10)85.871.8157.6+14.060%
Last 5 (5)84.265.4149.6+18.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)88.079.0167.0+9.0100%
vs Similar (9)78.380.4158.8-2.133%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)85.069.9154.9+15.180%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siena
#4
L
69-82
69
82
-13
H07/06
Lega A
Oldenburg
#11
L
74-79
74
79
-5
H01/10
Euroleague
Siena
#1
L
66-81
66
81
-15
A08/10
Lega A - Super Cup
Reggiana
#8
W
83-64
83
64
+19
H13/10
Lega A
Petrol Olimpija
#23
L
59-67
59
67
-8
A16/10
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
72-84
72
84
-12
A20/10
Lega A
Levallois
#38
W
77-71
77
71
+6
H23/10
Eurocup
Venezia
#11
W
84-72
84
72
+12
H27/10
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#39
L
78-85
78
85
-7
H30/10
Eurocup
Avellino
#12
W
85-68
85
68
+17
H03/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
13-18
20-25
10-15
17-23
18-8
16-21
23-27
14-17
17-13
16-22
19-29
13-20
20-21
22-16
28-7
18-16
16-14
14-16
11-21
13-14
25-26
14-24
20-20
24-15
24-15
21-24
8-17
16-17
23-21
24-17
21-17
19-22
18-29
20-16
21-18
20-13
24-18
25-19
16-18
150.0Avg total
74.7Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)71.374.3145.7-3.033%
Season at home (2)77.578.0155.5-0.550%
Season away (1)59.067.0126.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)74.775.3150.0-0.640%
Last 5 (5)79.276.0155.2+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)71.371.7143.0-0.333%
vs Similar (15)76.473.7150.1+2.760%
vs Weaker (10)85.379.3164.6+6.070%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.1+5.1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +5.3+5.3Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -1.2-1.2
ValenciaVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#5
W
37-23
37
23
+14
H23/05
ACB
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#5
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A26/05
ACB
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#5
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H28/05
ACB
Barcelona
#3
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A13/10
ACB
Levallois
#38
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A15/10
Eurocup
Gipuzkoa
#10
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H19/10
ACB
Ulm
#11
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H23/10
Eurocup
Unicaja
#4
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A27/10
ACB
Petrol Olimpija
#23
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A30/10
Eurocup
Baloncesto Valladolid
#18
W
48-21
48
21
+27
H02/11
ACB
73.6Avg total
42.0Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.935.076.9+6.873%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.834.580.3+11.394%-
Last 30 away (14)37.435.673.0+1.750%-
Last 10 (10)42.031.673.6+10.480%-
Last 5 (5)42.630.473.0+12.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)52.038.090.0+14.0100%-
vs Similar (9)37.935.673.4+2.356%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)43.134.677.8+8.580%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siena
#4
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H07/06
Lega A
Oldenburg
#11
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H01/10
Euroleague
Siena
#1
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A08/10
Lega A - Super Cup
Reggiana
#8
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H13/10
Lega A
Petrol Olimpija
#23
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A16/10
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A20/10
Lega A
Levallois
#38
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H23/10
Eurocup
Venezia
#11
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H27/10
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#39
L
37-51
37
51
-14
H30/10
Eurocup
Avellino
#12
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H03/11
Lega A
74.2Avg total
37.8Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.838.279.0+2.673%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.136.778.8+5.476%-
Last 30 away (13)39.240.279.3-1.069%-
Last 10 (10)37.836.474.2+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)41.238.079.2+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)35.037.072.0-2.033%-
vs Similar (15)40.336.877.1+3.573%-
vs Weaker (10)44.942.287.1+2.780%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Valencia wins
0
Varese wins
No previous meetings.
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/13HBaloncesto Valladolid108-57
30/10/13APetrol Olimpija64-67
27/10/13AUnicaja74-71
23/10/13HUlm88-74
19/10/13HGipuzkoa87-58
15/10/13ALevallois85-68
13/10/13ABarcelona75-76
28/05/13HTecnyconta Zaragoza77-83
26/05/13ATecnyconta Zaragoza120-122 OT
23/05/13HTecnyconta Zaragoza80-42
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/13HAvellino85-68
30/10/13HLyon-Villeurbanne78-85
27/10/13HVenezia84-72
23/10/13HLevallois77-71
20/10/13AOlimpia Milano72-84
16/10/13APetrol Olimpija59-67
13/10/13HReggiana83-64
08/10/13ASiena66-81
01/10/13HOldenburg74-79
07/06/13HSiena69-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Eurocup 2013
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game79.088.074.5
Allowed / game69.774.067.5
Point differential+9.3+14.0+7.0
Avg total148.7162.0142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Varese
Eurocup 2013
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game71.377.559.0
Allowed / game74.378.067.0
Point differential-3.0-0.5-8.0
Avg total145.7155.5126.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cantu330100%82.769.7+13.0
2 Bilbao440100%89.277.2+12.0
3 Unics Kazan440100%78.569.5+9.0
4 Karsiyaka43175%80.070.2+9.8
5 Nizhny Novgorod43175%78.569.0+9.5
6 Khimik43175%79.872.0+7.8
7 Gravelines-Dunkerque43175%70.864.2+6.5
8 Alba Berlin43175%74.569.2+5.2
9 Khimki M.43175%85.280.5+4.8
10 Maccabi Haifa43175%79.875.0+4.8
11 Radnicki43175%90.585.8+4.8
12 Besiktas43175%65.562.2+3.2
13 Hapoel M. Jerusalem43175%80.077.5+2.5
14 Le Mans43175%75.873.5+2.2
15 PAOK43175%81.579.5+2.0
16 Ulm43175%80.279.0+1.2
17 Valencia32167%79.069.7+9.3
18 Virtus Roma32167%80.774.0+6.7
19 Oostende32167%77.378.3-1.0
20 Oldenburg32167%83.785.7-2.0
21 Banvit42250%77.866.2+11.5
22 Cedevita42250%87.283.0+4.2
23 Sassari42250%93.889.5+4.2
24 CSU Ploiesti42250%83.282.0+1.2
25 Petrol Olimpija42250%67.567.5+0.0
26 Bisons Loimaa42250%71.572.0-0.5
27 Buducnost42250%73.275.5-2.2
28 Lyon-Villeurbanne42250%73.575.8-2.2
29 Panionios42250%72.275.5-3.2
30 Bonn42250%78.281.8-3.5
31 VEF Riga42250%72.078.2-6.2
32 Tecnyconta Zaragoza31233%81.778.3+3.3
33 Nymburk31233%80.382.3-2.0
34 Varese31233%71.374.3-3.0
35 Neptunas41325%80.080.5-0.5
36 Chalon/Saone41325%77.080.0-3.0
37 Levallois41325%72.576.2-3.8
38 Spartak St. Petersburg41325%70.874.5-3.8
39 Artland41325%77.282.0-4.8
40 MZT Skopje41325%73.580.2-6.8
41 Ankara Kolejliler41325%70.578.0-7.5
42 Igokea41325%68.577.2-8.8
43 Cibona3030%76.383.0-6.7
44 Academic4040%71.280.8-9.5
45 Alba Fehervar4040%72.081.5-9.5
46 BC Kalev/Cramo4040%66.078.2-12.2
47 Belfius Mons4040%61.877.5-15.8
48 Spirou Charleroi3030%68.389.7-21.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia2125232998
Varese1417161764
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