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Varese vs Siena Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 07 Jun 2013
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 69-82
26-24 13-18 20-25 10-15
Position#2
Record30-11
FormWLLWW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game76.4
vs
Siena 🏆
Italy
Position#4
Record25-18
FormLWWLL
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game73.0
ItalyLega ALega A - Semi-finals
Domestic2012-13
Meetings · Varese v Siena
04 May 2014
VAR71
SIE80
07 Jun 2013
VAR69
SIE82
03 Jun 2013
VAR71
SIE67
28 May 2013
VAR64
SIE62
25 May 2013
VAR72
SIE80
10 Feb 2013
VAR74
SIE77
15 Oct 2012
VAR74
SIE67
23 May 2012
VAR75
SIE91
21 May 2012
VAR73
SIE70
07 Mar 2012
VAR65
SIE77
30 Oct 2010
VAR87
SIE86
03 Apr 2010
VAR72
SIE96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Siena winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#9
W
81-72
81
72
+9
H12/05
Lega A
Venezia
#9
W
93-79
93
79
+14
A14/05
Lega A
Venezia
#9
L
72-84
72
84
-12
A16/05
Lega A
Venezia
#9
W
84-75
84
75
+9
H18/05
Lega A
Siena
#4
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H25/05
Lega A
Siena
#4
W
64-62
64
62
+2
H28/05
Lega A
Siena
#4
L
59-72
59
72
-13
A30/05
Lega A
Siena
#4
L
77-78
77
78
-1
A01/06
Lega A
Siena
#4
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H03/06
Lega A
Siena
#4
W
82-80
82
80
+2
A05/06
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-11
14-28
19-16
23-17
17-17
26-24
28-19
22-19
18-31
15-21
20-21
19-11
26-17
25-17
17-18
16-23
16-18
20-17
16-17
20-28
19-19
19-17
13-12
13-14
11-22
12-20
17-19
19-11
26-18
16-19
20-14
15-27
31-15
12-17
14-17
14-18
27-15
18-26
20-22
17-17
150.4Avg total
75.5Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)82.176.4158.5+5.773%
Season at home (21)83.674.2157.8+9.390%
Season away (20)80.578.8159.3+1.855%
Last 10 (10)75.574.9150.4+0.660%
Last 5 (5)70.671.8142.4-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)74.073.9147.9+0.146%
vs Weaker (16)83.676.7160.2+6.975%
This opponent (Siena) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SienaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
75-69
75
69
+6
H16/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
67-82
67
82
-15
A18/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
72-66
72
66
+6
H20/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
90-80
90
80
+10
A22/05
Lega A
Varese
#2
W
80-72
80
72
+8
A25/05
Lega A
Varese
#2
L
62-64
62
64
-2
A28/05
Lega A
Varese
#2
W
72-59
72
59
+13
H30/05
Lega A
Varese
#2
W
78-77
78
77
+1
H01/06
Lega A
Varese
#2
L
67-71
67
71
-4
A03/06
Lega A
Varese
#2
L
80-82
80
82
-2
H05/06
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
15-15
19-19
21-16
10-14
13-18
19-29
25-21
23-20
17-7
15-24
17-15
22-17
22-25
24-15
22-23
18-16
17-20
17-16
28-20
19-19
17-19
12-13
14-13
22-11
20-12
19-17
11-19
18-26
19-16
14-20
27-15
15-31
17-12
17-14
18-14
15-27
26-18
22-20
17-17
146.5Avg total
74.3Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (43)76.873.0149.8+3.858%
Season at home (21)80.570.8151.3+9.781%
Season away (22)73.275.1148.3-1.936%
Last 10 (10)74.372.2146.5+2.160%
Last 5 (5)71.870.6142.4+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)69.077.0146.0-8.00%
vs Similar ◀ (20)74.676.2150.8-1.740%
vs Weaker (9)79.174.4153.6+4.756%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +2.7+2.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +2.7+2.7
VareseSiena
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#9
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H12/05
Lega A
Venezia
#9
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A14/05
Lega A
Venezia
#9
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A16/05
Lega A
Venezia
#9
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H18/05
Lega A
Siena
#4
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H25/05
Lega A
Siena
#4
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H28/05
Lega A
Siena
#4
L
23-42
23
42
-19
A30/05
Lega A
Siena
#4
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A01/06
Lega A
Siena
#4
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H03/06
Lega A
Siena
#4
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A05/06
Lega A
78.2Avg total
39.3Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.638.579.1+2.167%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.536.278.8+6.275%-
Last 30 away (14)38.441.179.4-2.757%-
Last 10 (10)39.338.978.2+0.470%-
Last 5 (5)38.237.675.8+0.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)37.337.374.6+0.062%-
vs Weaker (16)42.940.182.9+2.869%-
This opponent (Siena) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SienaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H16/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
23-32
23
32
-9
A18/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H20/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A22/05
Lega A
Varese
#2
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A25/05
Lega A
Varese
#2
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A28/05
Lega A
Varese
#2
W
42-23
42
23
+19
H30/05
Lega A
Varese
#2
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H01/06
Lega A
Varese
#2
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A03/06
Lega A
Varese
#2
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H05/06
Lega A
72.7Avg total
36.5Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.837.175.9+1.747%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.336.377.5+5.060%-
Last 30 away (15)36.337.974.2-1.733%-
Last 10 (10)36.536.272.7+0.340%-
Last 5 (5)37.638.275.8-0.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)40.045.085.0-5.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)37.437.174.5+0.345%-
vs Weaker (9)41.736.277.9+5.456%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Varese wins
6
Siena wins
DateGameScore
05/06/13Siena v Varese80-82
03/06/13Varese v Siena71-67
01/06/13Siena v Varese78-77
30/05/13Siena v Varese72-59
28/05/13Varese v Siena64-62
25/05/13Varese v Siena72-80
10/02/13Varese v Siena74-77
03/02/13Siena v Varese89-75
15/10/12Varese v Siena74-67
23/05/12Varese v Siena75-91
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/06/13ASiena82-80
03/06/13HSiena71-67
01/06/13ASiena77-78
30/05/13ASiena59-72
28/05/13HSiena64-62
25/05/13HSiena72-80
18/05/13HVenezia84-75
16/05/13AVenezia72-84
14/05/13AVenezia93-79
12/05/13HVenezia81-72
Sienalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/06/13HVarese80-82
03/06/13AVarese67-71
01/06/13HVarese78-77
30/05/13HVarese72-59
28/05/13AVarese62-64
25/05/13AVarese80-72
22/05/13AOlimpia Milano90-80
20/05/13HOlimpia Milano72-66
18/05/13AOlimpia Milano67-82
16/05/13HOlimpia Milano75-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2012-13
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW73%
HomeWWLWW90%
AwayWLLLW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412120
Win %73%90%55%
Points / game82.183.680.5
Allowed / game76.474.278.8
Point differential+5.7+9.3+1.8
Avg total158.5157.8159.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%52%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (14)80% (5)44% (9)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Siena
Lega A 2012-13
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL58%
HomeWWWWL81%
AwayLWWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games432122
Win %58%81%36%
Points / game76.880.573.2
Allowed / game73.070.875.1
Point differential+3.8+9.7-1.9
Avg total149.8151.3148.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%52%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (14)60% (5)22% (9)
Overtime %2%0%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nazionale Italiana110100%107.092.0+15.0
2 Varese41301173%82.176.4+5.7
3 Sassari37251268%88.182.6+5.5
4 Virtus Roma44281664%77.375.0+2.3
5 Olimpia Milano37221559%80.977.2+3.7
6 Siena43251858%76.873.0+3.8
7 Reggiana37211657%76.573.2+3.3
8 Cantu44242055%74.772.0+2.8
9 Venezia35171849%78.779.3-0.6
10 Cremona30131743%79.980.4-0.5
11 Avellino30131743%76.581.0-4.6
12 Caserta30131743%72.177.0-4.9
13 Brindisi30111937%81.482.8-1.4
14 Sutor Montegranaro30111937%83.085.7-2.7
15 Pesaro30102033%74.879.4-4.6
16 Virtus Bologna30102033%75.080.2-5.2
17 Biella3062420%72.383.7-11.5
18 International All Stars1010%92.0107.0-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese2613201069
Siena2418251582
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