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Valencia vs Venezia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 17 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 105-83
24-22 28-16 25-16 28-29
Position#1
Record3-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game96.7
Allowed / game79.3
vs
Position#11
Record1-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game83.3
EuropeEurocupRound 4· Font de Sant Lluis
European cup2024
Meetings · Valencia v Venezia
17 Oct 2024
VAL105
VEN83
16 Mar 2022
VAL86
VEN80
03 Nov 2015
VAL88
VEN59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Venezia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
71-99
71
99
-28
64avg 74
A12/05
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
86-96
86
96
-10
68avg 74
H18/05
ACB
Murcia
#6
W
83-72
83
72
+11
76avg 74
A22/05
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
77-84
77
84
-7
80avg 74
H25/05
ACB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
W
80-64
80
64
+16
72avg 74
A25/09
Eurocup
Manresa
#9
L
73-77
73
77
-4
60avg 74
A28/09
ACB
Hamburg
#17
W
105-78
105
78
+27
106avg 74
H02/10
Eurocup
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
84-60
84
60
+24
67avg 74
H05/10
ACB
Cluj-Napoca
#6
W
105-96
105
96
+9
103avg 74
A09/10
Eurocup
Breogan
#13
W
87-75
87
75
+12
77avg 74
A13/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
16-17
8-31
30-27
13-21
25-27
19-17
29-31
23-14
20-22
18-22
22-14
27-26
17-17
19-18
14-23
26-14
19-15
14-15
21-20
16-22
18-27
17-12
22-16
30-29
22-15
30-21
23-13
15-13
19-11
28-19
22-17
19-24
25-28
26-23
35-21
23-16
13-25
37-15
14-19
165.2Avg total
85.1Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)96.779.3176.0+17.3100%
Season at home (1)105.078.0183.0+27.0100%
Season away (2)92.580.0172.5+12.5100%
Last 10 (10)85.180.1165.2+5.060%
Last 5 (5)90.877.2168.0+13.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)83.294.7177.8-11.517%
vs Similar (13)81.285.8167.0-4.738%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)91.078.8169.8+12.282%
This opponent (Venezia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeneziaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVenezia
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
78-79
78
79
-1
70avg 76
A26/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
78-73
78
73
+5
72avg 76
H29/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
81-96
81
96
-15
68avg 76
H31/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
62-73
62
73
-11
50avg 76
A21/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Aris
#19
W
95-75
95
75
+20
93avg 76
H25/09
Eurocup
Treviso
#11
L
75-78
75
78
-3
59avg 76
H29/09
Lega A
Cedevita Olimpija
#7
L
82-87
82
87
-5
78avg 76
A01/10
Eurocup
Trento
#4
L
70-82
70
82
-12
54avg 76
A05/10
Lega A
JL Bourg
#12
L
66-88
66
88
-22
59avg 76
H08/10
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
68-76
68
76
-8
61avg 76
H12/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-28
15-19
27-17
21-15
16-29
22-20
21-10
19-14
27-23
18-34
21-13
15-26
12-20
12-19
16-20
22-14
30-22
17-19
22-16
26-18
23-24
15-21
16-19
21-14
17-21
27-18
17-21
21-27
21-17
20-22
15-25
14-18
17-17
19-27
17-32
13-12
14-22
17-21
23-17
14-16
156.2Avg total
75.5Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)81.083.3164.3-2.333%
Season at home (2)80.581.5162.0-1.050%
Season away (1)82.087.0169.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)75.580.7156.2-5.220%
Last 5 (5)72.282.2154.4-10.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)76.888.2165.0-11.411%
vs Similar (10)81.881.7163.5+0.150%
vs Weaker (9)87.176.7163.8+10.467%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +1.2+1.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +1.2+1.2
ValenciaVenezia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A12/05
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H18/05
ACB
Murcia
#6
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A22/05
ACB
Murcia
#6
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H25/05
ACB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A25/09
Eurocup
Manresa
#9
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A28/09
ACB
Hamburg
#17
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H02/10
Eurocup
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H05/10
ACB
Cluj-Napoca
#6
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A09/10
Eurocup
Breogan
#13
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A13/10
ACB
81.0Avg total
40.3Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.642.083.5-0.447%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.940.285.1+4.869%-
Last 30 away (17)39.043.482.4-4.429%-
Last 10 (10)40.340.781.0-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)40.042.082.0-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.546.285.7-6.717%-
vs Similar (13)42.040.582.5+1.554%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)42.241.583.6+0.755%-
This opponent (Venezia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeneziaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A26/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H29/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
45-57
45
57
-12
H31/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
24-39
24
39
-15
A21/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Aris
#19
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H25/09
Eurocup
Treviso
#11
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H29/09
Lega A
Cedevita Olimpija
#7
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A01/10
Eurocup
Trento
#4
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A05/10
Lega A
JL Bourg
#12
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H08/10
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H12/10
Lega A
81.7Avg total
37.4Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.042.382.2-2.340%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.141.581.6-1.438%-
Last 30 away (14)39.843.182.9-3.443%-
Last 10 (10)37.444.381.7-6.930%-
Last 5 (5)38.042.080.0-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)36.250.086.2-13.80%-
vs Similar (10)41.840.282.0+1.660%-
vs Weaker (9)43.938.182.0+5.856%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
49%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.319.1
49.9%
53.5%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.110.3
33.1%
34.3%30.9
🏀 Free throws19.914.5
72.9%
76.0%14.5
They take 69.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Veneziatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Venezia: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
49%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.019.2
50.5%
53.5%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.96.8
27.3%
34.3%20.4
🏀 Free throws23.416.1
68.8%
76.0%16.1
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WWWWLWLWLL
Venezia
LLLLLWLLWL
#1
League position
#11
+5.4
Net rating
-7.2
109.9
Offensive rating
101.4
104.5
Defensive rating
108.6
49.8%
Effective FG%
46.7%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
17.9%
Turnover %
16.8%
37.3%
Off. rebound %
30.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.37
33.1%
3-point %
27.3%
68.0%
Assist %
61.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence109.9 · 101.4Defence104.5 · 108.6Shooting49.8% · 46.7%3-point %33.1% · 27.3%Ball care17.9% · 16.8%Off. rebounds37.3% · 30.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Valencia   ■ Venezia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Valencia wins
0
Venezia wins
DateGameScore
16/03/22Valencia v Venezia86-80
07/12/21Venezia v Valencia67-81
09/12/15Venezia v Valencia58-62
03/11/15Valencia v Venezia88-59
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/24ABreogan87-75
09/10/24ACluj-Napoca105-96
05/10/24HJoventut Badalona84-60
02/10/24HHamburg105-78
28/09/24AManresa73-77
25/09/24AHapoel Jerusalem80-64
25/05/24HMurcia77-84
22/05/24AMurcia83-72
18/05/24HMurcia86-96
12/05/24AMoraBanc Andorra71-99
Venezialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/24HVirtus Bologna68-76
08/10/24HJL Bourg66-88
05/10/24ATrento70-82
01/10/24ACedevita Olimpija82-87
29/09/24HTreviso75-78
25/09/24HAris95-75
21/09/24AOlimpia Milano62-73
31/05/24HVirtus Bologna81-96
29/05/24HVirtus Bologna78-73
26/05/24AVirtus Bologna78-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Eurocup 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game96.7105.092.5
Allowed / game79.378.080.0
Point differential+17.3+27.0+12.5
Avg total176.0183.0172.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Venezia
Eurocup 2024
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game81.080.582.0
Allowed / game83.381.587.0
Point differential-2.3-1.0-5.0
Avg total164.3162.0169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valencia330100%96.779.3+17.3
2 JL Bourg440100%84.870.5+14.2
3 Bahcesehir Kol.43175%85.067.8+17.2
4 Hapoel Jerusalem43175%81.274.0+7.2
5 Hapoel Tel-Aviv43175%86.078.8+7.2
6 Turk Telekom43175%70.266.5+3.8
7 Cedevita Olimpija43175%81.579.5+2.0
8 Gran Canaria43175%76.277.2-1.0
9 Ulm43175%87.889.8-2.0
10 Besiktas42250%88.584.5+4.0
11 Buducnost42250%84.882.5+2.2
12 Joventut Badalona42250%75.580.2-4.8
13 Venezia31233%81.083.3-2.3
14 Cluj-Napoca41325%89.587.2+2.2
15 BC Wolves41325%78.881.5-2.8
16 Aris41325%74.578.8-4.2
17 Trento41325%74.889.2-14.5
18 Trefl Sopot4040%81.887.5-5.8
19 Lietkabelis4040%71.583.5-12.0
20 Hamburg4040%74.899.2-24.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia24282528105
Venezia2216162983
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