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Valencia vs Hamburg Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 02 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 105-78
30-29 22-15 30-21 23-13
Position#1
Record1-0
FormLWLWL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game64.0
Valencia 🏆
vs
Hamburg
Position#17
Record0-1
FormLLWLL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game100.0
EuropeEurocupRound 2· Font de Sant Lluis
European cup2024
Meetings · Valencia v Hamburg
02 Oct 2024
VAL105
HAM78
20 Apr 2022
VAL98
HAM80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hamburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#5
W
98-73
98
73
+25
98avg 73
H21/04
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
96-98
96
98
-2
89avg 73
A28/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
83-76
83
76
+7
78avg 73
H04/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
99-93
99
93
+6
94avg 73
H10/05
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
71-99
71
99
-28
64avg 73
A12/05
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
86-96
86
96
-10
68avg 73
H18/05
ACB
Murcia
#6
W
83-72
83
72
+11
76avg 73
A22/05
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
77-84
77
84
-7
80avg 73
H25/05
ACB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
W
80-64
80
64
+16
72avg 73
A25/09
Eurocup
Manresa
#9
L
73-77
73
77
-4
60avg 73
A28/09
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-15
24-18
25-16
30-24
28-28
17-26
29-24
22-20
16-18
21-16
23-20
23-22
28-27
19-22
28-23
24-21
17-24
16-17
8-31
30-27
13-21
25-27
19-17
29-31
23-14
20-22
18-22
22-14
27-26
17-17
19-18
14-23
26-14
19-15
14-15
21-20
16-22
18-27
17-12
22-16
167.8Avg total
84.6Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)80.064.0144.0+16.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)80.064.0144.0+16.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.683.2167.8+1.450%
Last 5 (5)79.878.6158.4+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)80.692.3172.9-11.714%
vs Similar (14)81.085.1166.1-4.143%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)87.281.4168.6+5.962%
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamburgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
94-88
94
88
+6
78avg 77
H30/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
79-85
79
85
-6
74avg 77
H04/05
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
93-78
93
78
+15
69avg 77
A09/05
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
79-66
79
66
+13
78avg 77
H12/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
W
93-81
93
81
+12
85avg 77
A14/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
78-91
78
91
-13
67avg 77
A16/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#6
L
89-96
89
96
-7
77avg 77
A15/09
German Cup
Alba Berlin
#6
W
97-80
97
80
+17
92avg 77
H22/09
BBL
JL Bourg
#12
L
80-100
80
100
-20
76avg 77
H24/09
Eurocup
Bayern
#1
L
80-81
80
81
-1
80avg 77
A29/09
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
30-12
21-31
27-21
22-22
17-22
20-23
20-18
23-25
24-18
28-16
18-19
18-8
22-19
24-9
15-30
27-22
19-25
28-17
19-17
15-23
20-22
10-21
33-25
24-21
12-21
27-24
26-30
21-15
27-29
22-25
27-11
16-35
24-29
21-18
19-18
21-21
20-21
19-16
20-23
170.8Avg total
86.2Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)80.0100.0180.0-20.00%
Season at home (1)80.0100.0180.0-20.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)86.284.6170.8+1.650%
Last 5 (5)84.889.6174.4-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)79.189.0168.1-9.97%
vs Similar (8)84.187.1171.2-3.038%
vs Weaker (7)95.482.0177.4+13.486%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +1.2+1.2
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +1.2+1.2
ValenciaHamburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#5
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H21/04
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A28/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H04/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H10/05
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A12/05
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H18/05
ACB
Murcia
#6
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A22/05
ACB
Murcia
#6
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H25/05
ACB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A25/09
Eurocup
Manresa
#9
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A28/09
ACB
82.5Avg total
40.9Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.841.882.6-1.140%-
Last 30 at home (12)44.841.285.9+3.658%-
Last 30 away (18)38.142.380.4-4.228%-
Last 10 (10)40.941.682.5-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)40.841.081.8-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.445.384.7-5.914%-
vs Similar (14)41.740.482.1+1.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)41.442.183.5-0.850%-
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H30/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H04/05
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A09/05
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H12/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A14/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A16/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#6
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A15/09
German Cup
Alba Berlin
#6
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H22/09
BBL
JL Bourg
#12
L
40-64
40
64
-24
H24/09
Eurocup
Bayern
#1
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A29/09
BBL
85.2Avg total
41.8Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.944.186.0-2.337%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.642.584.1-0.944%-
Last 30 away (14)42.246.088.2-3.829%-
Last 10 (10)41.843.485.2-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)40.047.487.4-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)37.745.983.6-8.114%-
vs Similar (8)43.544.988.4-1.450%-
vs Weaker (7)49.140.189.3+9.071%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
49%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.920.9
51.1%
53.5%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.6
32.7%
34.3%25.8
🏀 Free throws22.516.0
71.1%
76.0%16.0
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
49%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.618.4
60.1%
53.5%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.010.7
38.2%
34.3%32.1
🏀 Free throws21.916.3
74.4%
76.0%16.3
They take 58.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
LWLWLLWWLW
Hamburg
LLWLLWWWLW
#1
League position
#17
+1.8
Net rating
+1.9
106.4
Offensive rating
114.2
104.6
Defensive rating
112.4
50.3%
Effective FG%
58.8%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
18.6%
Turnover %
19.3%
32.4%
Off. rebound %
27.1%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.37
32.7%
3-point %
38.2%
64.1%
Assist %
57.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 114.2Defence104.6 · 112.4Shooting50.3% · 58.8%3-point %32.7% · 38.2%Ball care18.6% · 19.3%Off. rebounds32.4% · 27.1%Free throws0.33 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Valencia   ■ Hamburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Valencia wins
0
Hamburg wins
DateGameScore
20/04/22Valencia v Hamburg98-80
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/09/24AManresa73-77
25/09/24AHapoel Jerusalem80-64
25/05/24HMurcia77-84
22/05/24AMurcia83-72
18/05/24HMurcia86-96
12/05/24AMoraBanc Andorra71-99
10/05/24HReal Madrid99-93
04/05/24HJoventut Badalona83-76
28/04/24AManresa96-98
21/04/24HTenerife98-73
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/09/24ABayern80-81
24/09/24HJL Bourg80-100
22/09/24HAlba Berlin97-80
15/09/24AHeidelberg89-96
16/05/24ALudwigsburg78-91
14/05/24AOldenburg93-81
12/05/24HGottingen79-66
09/05/24ATubingen93-78
04/05/24HChemnitz79-85
30/04/24HCrailsheim Merlins94-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Eurocup 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game80.0-80.0
Allowed / game64.0-64.0
Point differential+16.0-+16.0
Avg total144.0-144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Hamburg
Eurocup 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game80.080.0-
Allowed / game100.0100.0-
Point differential-20.0-20.0-
Avg total180.0180.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bahcesehir Kol.220100%83.567.5+16.0
2 Valencia110100%80.064.0+16.0
3 JL Bourg220100%92.076.5+15.5
4 Cedevita Olimpija220100%90.084.0+6.0
5 Turk Telekom220100%70.064.5+5.5
6 Ulm220100%91.588.0+3.5
7 Gran Canaria220100%86.583.5+3.0
8 Venezia21150%88.581.0+7.5
9 Hapoel Jerusalem21150%79.077.0+2.0
10 Trento21150%82.581.0+1.5
11 Hapoel Tel-Aviv21150%82.081.0+1.0
12 Joventut Badalona21150%80.581.0-0.5
13 Besiktas21150%80.081.5-1.5
14 Trefl Sopot2020%85.590.0-4.5
15 BC Wolves2020%76.584.5-8.0
16 Cluj-Napoca2020%79.588.5-9.0
17 Buducnost2020%81.091.5-10.5
18 Aris2020%69.081.5-12.5
19 Lietkabelis2020%70.083.0-13.0
20 Hamburg1010%80.0100.0-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia30223023105
Hamburg2915211378
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