PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Breogan vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 13 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 75-87
16-23 25-13 15-37 19-14
Position#13
Record0-1
FormWWWLL
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game90.0
vs
Position#2
Record1-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game68.5
SpainACBRound 3· Perea O.
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Breogan v Valencia
24 Jan 2027
BRE v VAL
upcoming
12 Oct 2025
BRE90
VAL113
13 Oct 2024
BRE75
VAL87
15 Oct 2023
BRE59
VAL61
06 Nov 2022
BRE83
VAL88
13 Feb 2022
BRE99
VAL82
20 Jan 2019
BRE65
VAL77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breogan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
72-83
72
83
-11
60avg 66
A23/03
ACB
Bilbao
#13
L
68-80
68
80
-12
59avg 66
H30/03
ACB
Palencia
#18
W
73-65
73
65
+8
46avg 66
H06/04
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
74-76
74
76
-2
73avg 66
A14/04
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
70-77 OT
70
77
-7
56avg 66
H20/04
ACB
Granada
#17
W
85-84
85
84
+1
80avg 66
A27/04
ACB
Tenerife
#5
W
76-54
76
54
+22
71avg 66
H05/05
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
97-92
97
92
+5
84avg 66
H10/05
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
61-68
61
68
-7
53avg 66
A12/05
ACB
Bilbao
#15
L
72-90
72
90
-18
58avg 66
A29/09
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-25
13-16
23-21
22-21
9-16
23-21
16-19
20-24
16-16
17-19
15-12
25-18
27-13
12-20
19-18
16-25
13-16
20-12
17-19
8-11
17-18
28-18
21-26
19-22
26-13
11-18
22-9
17-14
26-19
22-19
29-29
20-25
9-18
16-20
22-16
14-14
17-22
22-20
22-22
11-26
151.7Avg total
74.8Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)72.090.0162.0-18.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)72.090.0162.0-18.00%
Last 10 (10)74.876.9151.7-2.140%
Last 5 (5)78.277.6155.8+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)70.979.5150.4-8.617%
vs Similar (16)80.280.8160.9-0.650%
vs Weaker (2)69.071.0140.0-2.050%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
W
99-93
99
93
+6
94avg 74
H10/05
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
71-99
71
99
-28
64avg 74
A12/05
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
86-96
86
96
-10
68avg 74
H18/05
ACB
Murcia
#6
W
83-72
83
72
+11
76avg 74
A22/05
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
77-84
77
84
-7
80avg 74
H25/05
ACB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
W
80-64
80
64
+16
72avg 74
A25/09
Eurocup
Manresa
#9
L
73-77
73
77
-4
60avg 74
A28/09
ACB
Hamburg
#17
W
105-78
105
78
+27
106avg 74
H02/10
Eurocup
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
84-60
84
60
+24
67avg 74
H05/10
ACB
Cluj-Napoca
#6
W
105-96
105
96
+9
103avg 74
A09/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-27
19-22
28-23
24-21
17-24
16-17
8-31
30-27
13-21
25-27
19-17
29-31
23-14
20-22
18-22
22-14
27-26
17-17
19-18
14-23
26-14
19-15
14-15
21-20
16-22
18-27
17-12
22-16
30-29
22-15
30-21
23-13
15-13
19-11
28-19
22-17
19-24
25-28
26-23
35-21
168.2Avg total
86.3Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)78.568.5147.0+10.050%
Season at home (1)84.060.0144.0+24.0100%
Season away (1)73.077.0150.0-4.00%
Last 10 (10)86.381.9168.2+4.460%
Last 5 (5)89.475.0164.4+14.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)83.294.7177.8-11.517%
vs Similar (13)81.285.8167.0-4.738%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)91.479.2170.6+12.280%
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +3.9+3.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +3.9+3.9
BreoganValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A23/03
ACB
Bilbao
#13
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H30/03
ACB
Palencia
#18
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H06/04
ACB
Baskonia
#8
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A14/04
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H20/04
ACB
Granada
#17
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A27/04
ACB
Tenerife
#5
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H05/05
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H10/05
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A12/05
ACB
Bilbao
#15
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A29/09
ACB
71.7Avg total
35.8Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.339.475.7-3.130%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.137.975.9+0.243%-
Last 30 away (16)34.840.775.4-5.919%-
Last 10 (10)35.835.971.7-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)38.837.075.8+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)36.539.275.8-2.842%-
vs Similar (16)36.839.676.4-2.925%-
vs Weaker (2)31.538.069.5-6.50%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H10/05
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A12/05
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H18/05
ACB
Murcia
#6
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A22/05
ACB
Murcia
#6
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H25/05
ACB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A25/09
Eurocup
Manresa
#9
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A28/09
ACB
Hamburg
#17
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H02/10
Eurocup
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H05/10
ACB
Cluj-Napoca
#6
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A09/10
Eurocup
82.9Avg total
41.4Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.441.883.2-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.940.285.1+4.869%-
Last 30 away (17)38.843.081.8-4.229%-
Last 10 (10)41.441.582.9-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)41.839.681.4+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.546.285.7-6.717%-
vs Similar (13)42.040.582.5+1.554%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)42.841.584.3+1.360%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 74.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.916.9
49.9%
54.0%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.7
33.6%
35.6%26.1
🏀 Free throws20.814.5
69.7%
76.4%14.5
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.119.6
48.9%
54.0%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.39.9
35.0%
35.6%29.7
🏀 Free throws21.916.1
73.5%
76.4%16.1
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Breogan
LLWWWLLWLL
Valencia
WWWLWLWLLW
#13
League position
#2
-2.3
Net rating
+5.1
100.9
Offensive rating
111.0
103.2
Defensive rating
105.9
50.1%
Effective FG%
50.4%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
19.1%
Turnover %
17.6%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
36.5%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.32
33.6%
3-point %
35.0%
59.8%
Assist %
67.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence100.9 · 111.0Defence103.2 · 105.9Shooting50.1% · 50.4%3-point %33.6% · 35.0%Ball care19.1% · 17.6%Off. rebounds27.5% · 36.5%Free throws0.35 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Breogan   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Breogan wins
5
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
14/01/24Valencia v Breogan88-80
15/10/23Breogan v Valencia59-61
24/05/23Valencia v Breogan77-80
06/11/22Breogan v Valencia83-88
13/02/22Breogan v Valencia99-82
19/12/21Valencia v Breogan97-98
04/05/19Valencia v Breogan83-82
20/01/19Breogan v Valencia65-77
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/09/24ABilbao72-90
12/05/24AMurcia61-68
10/05/24HMoraBanc Andorra97-92
05/05/24HTenerife76-54
27/04/24AGranada85-84
20/04/24HGran Canaria70-77 OT
14/04/24ABaskonia74-76
06/04/24HPalencia73-65
30/03/24HBilbao68-80
23/03/24AObradoiro CAB72-83
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/10/24ACluj-Napoca105-96
05/10/24HJoventut Badalona84-60
02/10/24HHamburg105-78
28/09/24AManresa73-77
25/09/24AHapoel Jerusalem80-64
25/05/24HMurcia77-84
22/05/24AMurcia83-72
18/05/24HMurcia86-96
12/05/24AMoraBanc Andorra71-99
10/05/24HReal Madrid99-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breogan
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game72.0-72.0
Allowed / game90.0-90.0
Point differential-18.0--18.0
Avg total162.0-162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Valencia
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game78.584.073.0
Allowed / game68.560.077.0
Point differential+10.0+24.0-4.0
Avg total147.0144.0150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja330100%91.768.0+23.7
2 Barcelona220100%84.569.5+15.0
3 Tenerife110100%88.080.0+8.0
4 Manresa32167%78.771.7+7.0
5 Bilbao32167%85.380.0+5.3
6 MoraBanc Andorra32167%92.789.7+3.0
7 Gran Canaria32167%76.374.0+2.3
8 Valencia21150%78.568.5+10.0
9 Basket Zaragoza21150%98.096.0+2.0
10 Joventut Badalona21150%75.580.0-4.5
11 Real Madrid31233%88.388.0+0.3
12 Baskonia31233%88.791.7-3.0
13 Granada31233%71.775.7-4.0
14 Murcia31233%85.789.7-4.0
15 Leyma Coruna31233%81.792.3-10.7
16 Basquet Girona31233%69.784.0-14.3
17 Forca Lleida3030%76.093.3-17.3
18 Breogan1010%72.090.0-18.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Breogan1625151975
Valencia2313371487
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.