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Valencia vs Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 May 2024
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 77-84
27-26 17-17 19-18 14-23
Position#4
Record22-14
FormWWLLW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game82.1
vs
Murcia 🏆
Spain
Position#6
Record22-14
FormLLWWL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game80.7
SpainACBACB - Quarter-finals· Font de Sant Lluis
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Valencia v Murcia
18 Oct 2026
VAL116
MUR93
08 Mar 2026
VAL110
MUR84
05 Apr 2025
VAL71
MUR86
25 May 2024
VAL77
MUR84
18 May 2024
VAL86
MUR96
24 Mar 2024
VAL83
MUR82
16 Oct 2022
VAL74
MUR75
18 Feb 2022
VAL83
MUR86
26 Sep 2021
VAL86
MUR91
20 Dec 2020
VAL89
MUR78
10 Mar 2019
VAL89
MUR65
01 Apr 2018
VAL73
MUR84
14 May 2017
VAL67
MUR70
22 Dec 2015
VAL65
MUR54
24 Jan 2015
VAL81
MUR63
14 Dec 2013
VAL88
MUR86
26 Jan 2013
VAL94
MUR96
24 Mar 2012
VAL87
MUR80
29 Dec 2009
VAL72
MUR67
26 Apr 2009
VAL83
MUR63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#8
W
111-101
111
101
+10
100avg 73
H07/04
ACB
Partizan
#11
L
66-79
66
79
-13
61avg 73
A12/04
Euroleague
Granada
#17
W
88-81
88
81
+7
84avg 73
A14/04
ACB
Tenerife
#5
W
98-73
98
73
+25
98avg 73
H21/04
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
96-98
96
98
-2
89avg 73
A28/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
83-76
83
76
+7
78avg 73
H04/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
99-93
99
93
+6
94avg 73
H10/05
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
71-99
71
99
-28
64avg 73
A12/05
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
86-96
86
96
-10
68avg 73
H18/05
ACB
Murcia
#6
W
83-72
83
72
+11
76avg 73
A22/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-14
31-20
25-31
24-36
21-15
16-20
15-23
14-21
23-16
8-23
30-25
27-17
19-15
24-18
25-16
30-24
28-28
17-26
29-24
22-20
16-18
21-16
23-20
23-22
28-27
19-22
28-23
24-21
17-24
16-17
8-31
30-27
13-21
25-27
19-17
29-31
23-14
20-22
18-22
22-14
174.9Avg total
88.1Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)84.082.1166.1+1.961%
Season at home (18)85.783.1168.7+2.667%
Season away (18)82.481.2163.6+1.256%
Last 10 (10)88.186.8174.9+1.360%
Last 5 (5)84.487.2171.6-2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)78.491.1169.5-12.812%
vs Similar ◀ (14)80.185.0165.1-4.943%
vs Weaker (7)89.482.3171.7+7.171%
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Palencia
#18
W
90-77
90
77
+13
90avg 76
H13/04
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
86-97
86
97
-11
72avg 76
A20/04
ACB
Unicaja
#1
L
74-80
74
80
-6
65avg 76
H26/04
Champions League
Peristeri
#15
W
87-84
87
84
+3
74avg 76
A28/04
Champions League
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
82-77
82
77
+5
77avg 76
H01/05
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
71-96
71
96
-25
66avg 76
A05/05
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
79-94
79
94
-15
66avg 76
A10/05
ACB
Breogan
#16
W
68-61
68
61
+7
56avg 76
H12/05
ACB
Valencia
#4
W
96-86
96
86
+10
97avg 76
A18/05
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
72-83
72
83
-11
63avg 76
H22/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-11
20-19
22-29
29-18
22-21
18-26
28-32
18-18
26-15
14-18
15-26
19-21
27-23
17-12
19-20
24-29
22-24
16-16
23-13
21-24
18-25
18-22
15-31
20-18
24-30
24-16
11-23
20-25
18-9
20-16
16-22
14-14
21-13
27-25
17-19
31-29
14-23
22-20
22-18
14-22
164.0Avg total
80.5Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)83.280.7163.9+2.661%
Season at home (18)84.775.5160.2+9.283%
Season away (18)81.885.8167.6-4.139%
Last 10 (10)80.583.5164.0-3.050%
Last 5 (5)77.284.0161.2-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)72.078.5150.5-6.550%
vs Similar ◀ (10)82.985.8168.7-2.930%
vs Weaker (17)84.975.2160.2+9.788%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -0.8-0.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -0.8-0.8
ValenciaMurcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#8
W
62-34
62
34
+28
H07/04
ACB
Partizan
#11
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A12/04
Euroleague
Granada
#17
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A14/04
ACB
Tenerife
#5
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H21/04
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A28/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H04/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H10/05
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A12/05
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H18/05
ACB
Murcia
#6
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A22/05
ACB
81.9Avg total
41.6Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.941.581.4-1.637%-
Last 30 at home (12)43.241.084.2+2.250%-
Last 30 away (18)37.741.879.5-4.128%-
Last 10 (10)41.640.381.9+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)39.641.681.2-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.644.882.4-7.112%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)40.740.180.9+0.643%-
vs Weaker (7)42.041.383.3+0.757%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Palencia
#18
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H13/04
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A20/04
ACB
Unicaja
#1
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H26/04
Champions League
Peristeri
#15
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A28/04
Champions League
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H01/05
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A05/05
ACB
Baskonia
#8
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A10/05
ACB
Breogan
#16
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H12/05
ACB
Valencia
#4
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A18/05
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H22/05
ACB
79.1Avg total
40.7Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.837.178.9+4.767%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.833.577.3+10.387%-
Last 30 away (15)39.840.880.6-1.047%-
Last 10 (10)40.738.479.1+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)41.239.881.0+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.036.572.5-0.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)41.341.482.7-0.150%-
vs Weaker (17)43.234.377.5+8.982%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 87.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.522.2
53.5%
53.0%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.89.2
37.1%
34.9%27.6
🏀 Free throws20.915.1
72.2%
75.6%15.1
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.018.4
54.1%
53.0%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.79.4
30.6%
34.9%28.2
🏀 Free throws18.014.5
80.6%
75.6%14.5
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WLLWWLWWLW
Murcia
LWWLLWWLLW
#4
League position
#6
+1.6
Net rating
-4.0
109.7
Offensive rating
105.4
108.0
Defensive rating
109.4
54.3%
Effective FG%
50.2%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
18.9%
Turnover %
17.4%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.28
37.1%
3-point %
30.6%
59.9%
Assist %
59.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.7 · 105.4Defence108.0 · 109.4Shooting54.3% · 50.2%3-point %37.1% · 30.6%Ball care18.9% · 17.4%Off. rebounds29.7% · 29.5%Free throws0.32 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Valencia   ■ Murcia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Valencia wins
5
Murcia wins
DateGameScore
22/05/24Murcia v Valencia72-83
18/05/24Valencia v Murcia86-96
24/03/24Valencia v Murcia83-82
10/12/23Murcia v Valencia77-85 OT
19/04/23Murcia v Valencia90-82
16/10/22Valencia v Murcia74-75
27/03/22Murcia v Valencia71-72
18/02/22Valencia v Murcia83-86
26/09/21Valencia v Murcia86-91
30/04/21Murcia v Valencia66-80
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/05/24AMurcia83-72
18/05/24HMurcia86-96
12/05/24AMoraBanc Andorra71-99
10/05/24HReal Madrid99-93
04/05/24HJoventut Badalona83-76
28/04/24AManresa96-98
21/04/24HTenerife98-73
14/04/24AGranada88-81
12/04/24APartizan66-79
07/04/24HBaskonia111-101
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/05/24HValencia72-83
18/05/24AValencia96-86
12/05/24HBreogan68-61
10/05/24ABaskonia79-94
05/05/24AUnicaja71-96
01/05/24HBasket Zaragoza82-77
28/04/24APeristeri87-84
26/04/24HUnicaja74-80
20/04/24ABarcelona86-97
13/04/24HPalencia90-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW61%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayLWLLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361818
Win %61%67%56%
Points / game84.085.782.4
Allowed / game82.183.181.2
Point differential+1.9+2.6+1.2
Avg total166.1168.7163.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%17%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)80% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Murcia
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL61%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayWLLLW39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361818
Win %61%83%39%
Points / game83.284.781.8
Allowed / game80.775.585.8
Point differential+2.6+9.2-4.1
Avg total163.9160.2167.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%61%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %6%6%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja3630683%88.676.9+11.7
2 Real Madrid3630683%88.379.1+9.2
3 Barcelona36251169%88.381.9+6.4
4 Murcia36221461%83.280.7+2.6
5 Valencia36221461%84.082.1+1.9
6 Tenerife36211558%84.082.0+1.9
7 Gran Canaria36201656%83.381.9+1.4
8 Baskonia34181653%88.588.4+0.1
9 Manresa36191753%83.984.7-0.8
10 Joventut Badalona34161847%81.686.4-4.8
11 MoraBanc Andorra34132138%84.885.1-0.3
12 Basket Zaragoza34132138%82.385.1-2.8
13 Bilbao34132138%78.781.7-2.9
14 Basquet Girona34132138%81.085.7-4.7
15 Obradoiro CAB34112332%81.284.4-3.2
16 Breogan34112332%74.478.6-4.2
17 Granada34112332%80.986.2-5.2
18 Palencia3462818%78.987.2-8.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia2717191477
Murcia2617182384
← all games of the day
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