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Murcia vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 22 May 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 72-83
14-23 22-20 22-18 14-22
Position#6
Record22-13
FormWLLWW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game80.6
vs
Position#4
Record21-14
FormLWWLL
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game82.4
SpainACBACB - Quarter-finals· Palacio de Deportes de Murcia
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Murcia v Valencia
21 May 2027
MUR v VAL
upcoming
21 Dec 2025
MUR92
VAL80
15 Dec 2024
MUR88
VAL96
22 May 2024
MUR72
VAL83
10 Dec 2023
MUR77
VAL85
19 Apr 2023
MUR90
VAL82
27 Mar 2022
MUR71
VAL72
30 Apr 2021
MUR66
VAL80
07 Oct 2018
MUR68
VAL81
22 Oct 2017
MUR91
VAL93
08 Jan 2017
MUR75
VAL78
01 May 2016
MUR80
VAL62
05 Oct 2014
MUR85
VAL76
08 Mar 2014
MUR76
VAL85
07 Oct 2012
MUR77
VAL78
20 Nov 2011
MUR83
VAL86
04 Apr 2010
MUR92
VAL96
07 Dec 2008
MUR68
VAL75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murcia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#26
W
85-72
85
72
+13
80avg 75
A09/04
Champions League
Palencia
#18
W
90-77
90
77
+13
90avg 75
H13/04
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
86-97
86
97
-11
72avg 75
A20/04
ACB
Unicaja
#1
L
74-80
74
80
-6
65avg 75
H26/04
Champions League
Peristeri
#15
W
87-84
87
84
+3
74avg 75
A28/04
Champions League
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
82-77
82
77
+5
77avg 75
H01/05
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
71-96
71
96
-25
66avg 75
A05/05
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
79-94
79
94
-15
66avg 75
A10/05
ACB
Breogan
#16
W
68-61
68
61
+7
56avg 75
H12/05
ACB
Valencia
#4
W
96-86
96
86
+10
97avg 75
A18/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
22-17
17-21
21-14
19-11
20-19
22-29
29-18
22-21
18-26
28-32
18-18
26-15
14-18
15-26
19-21
27-23
17-12
19-20
24-29
22-24
16-16
23-13
21-24
18-25
18-22
15-31
20-18
24-30
24-16
11-23
20-25
18-9
20-16
16-22
14-14
21-13
27-25
17-19
31-29
164.2Avg total
81.8Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)83.680.6164.2+3.063%
Season at home (17)85.575.1160.5+10.488%
Season away (18)81.885.8167.6-4.139%
Last 10 (10)81.882.4164.2-0.660%
Last 5 (5)79.282.8162.0-3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)72.078.5150.5-6.550%
vs Similar ◀ (10)83.087.3170.3-4.330%
vs Weaker (17)84.975.2160.2+9.788%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
69-98
69
98
-29
49avg 73
H04/04
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
W
111-101
111
101
+10
100avg 73
H07/04
ACB
Partizan
#11
L
66-79
66
79
-13
61avg 73
A12/04
Euroleague
Granada
#17
W
88-81
88
81
+7
84avg 73
A14/04
ACB
Tenerife
#5
W
98-73
98
73
+25
98avg 73
H21/04
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
96-98
96
98
-2
89avg 73
A28/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
83-76
83
76
+7
78avg 73
H04/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
99-93
99
93
+6
94avg 73
H10/05
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
71-99
71
99
-28
64avg 73
A12/05
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
86-96
86
96
-10
68avg 73
H18/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-27
19-25
7-27
24-19
31-14
31-20
25-31
24-36
21-15
16-20
15-23
14-21
23-16
8-23
30-25
27-17
19-15
24-18
25-16
30-24
28-28
17-26
29-24
22-20
16-18
21-16
23-20
23-22
28-27
19-22
28-23
24-21
17-24
16-17
8-31
30-27
13-21
25-27
19-17
29-31
176.1Avg total
86.7Scored
89.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)84.182.4166.5+1.760%
Season at home (18)85.783.1168.7+2.667%
Season away (17)82.481.7164.1+0.653%
Last 10 (10)86.789.4176.1-2.750%
Last 5 (5)87.092.4179.4-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)78.491.1169.5-12.812%
vs Similar ◀ (14)79.684.3163.9-4.643%
vs Weaker (7)89.482.3171.7+7.171%
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -5.3-5.3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.9+0.9
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -5.3-5.3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.9+0.9
MurciaValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#26
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A09/04
Champions League
Palencia
#18
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H13/04
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A20/04
ACB
Unicaja
#1
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H26/04
Champions League
Peristeri
#15
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A28/04
Champions League
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H01/05
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A05/05
ACB
Baskonia
#8
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A10/05
ACB
Breogan
#16
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H12/05
ACB
Valencia
#4
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A18/05
ACB
79.6Avg total
41.8Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.037.579.4+4.567%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.432.877.1+11.693%-
Last 30 away (16)39.941.681.4-1.744%-
Last 10 (10)41.837.879.6+4.070%-
Last 5 (5)41.639.280.8+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.036.572.5-0.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)41.842.484.2-0.650%-
vs Weaker (17)43.234.377.5+8.982%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
38-52
38
52
-14
H04/04
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
W
62-34
62
34
+28
H07/04
ACB
Partizan
#11
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A12/04
Euroleague
Granada
#17
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A14/04
ACB
Tenerife
#5
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H21/04
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A28/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H04/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H10/05
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A12/05
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H18/05
ACB
83.0Avg total
41.1Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.041.281.2-1.337%-
Last 30 at home (12)43.241.084.2+2.250%-
Last 30 away (18)37.841.479.2-3.628%-
Last 10 (10)41.141.983.0-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)40.045.285.2-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.644.882.4-7.112%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)40.939.680.5+1.243%-
vs Weaker (7)42.041.383.3+0.757%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.818.4
52.9%
53.0%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.49.5
32.3%
34.9%28.5
🏀 Free throws19.515.3
78.5%
75.6%15.3
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 85.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.322.0
52.0%
53.0%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.9
36.2%
34.9%26.7
🏀 Free throws20.915.2
72.7%
75.6%15.2
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Murcia
WWLLWWLLWW
Valencia
LLWWLWWLWL
#6
League position
#4
-1.3
Net rating
-2.9
107.2
Offensive rating
107.5
108.6
Defensive rating
110.4
50.9%
Effective FG%
52.8%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
16.7%
Turnover %
18.7%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.3%
3-point %
36.2%
62.0%
Assist %
57.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.2 · 107.5Defence108.6 · 110.4Shooting50.9% · 52.8%3-point %32.3% · 36.2%Ball care16.7% · 18.7%Off. rebounds29.3% · 29.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Murcia   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Murcia wins
5
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
18/05/24Valencia v Murcia86-96
24/03/24Valencia v Murcia83-82
10/12/23Murcia v Valencia77-85 OT
19/04/23Murcia v Valencia90-82
16/10/22Valencia v Murcia74-75
27/03/22Murcia v Valencia71-72
18/02/22Valencia v Murcia83-86
26/09/21Valencia v Murcia86-91
30/04/21Murcia v Valencia66-80
20/12/20Valencia v Murcia89-78
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/05/24AValencia96-86
12/05/24HBreogan68-61
10/05/24ABaskonia79-94
05/05/24AUnicaja71-96
01/05/24HBasket Zaragoza82-77
28/04/24APeristeri87-84
26/04/24HUnicaja74-80
20/04/24ABarcelona86-97
13/04/24HPalencia90-77
09/04/24ALudwigsburg85-72
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/05/24HMurcia86-96
12/05/24AMoraBanc Andorra71-99
10/05/24HReal Madrid99-93
04/05/24HJoventut Badalona83-76
28/04/24AManresa96-98
21/04/24HTenerife98-73
14/04/24AGranada88-81
12/04/24APartizan66-79
07/04/24HBaskonia111-101
04/04/24HLyon-Villeurbanne69-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW63%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWLLLW39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351718
Win %63%88%39%
Points / game83.685.581.8
Allowed / game80.675.185.8
Point differential+3.0+10.4-4.1
Avg total164.2160.5167.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%65%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %6%6%6%
Valencia
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL60%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayLLWLL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351817
Win %60%67%53%
Points / game84.185.782.4
Allowed / game82.483.181.7
Point differential+1.7+2.6+0.6
Avg total166.5168.7164.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%17%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)80% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja3630683%88.676.9+11.7
2 Real Madrid3630683%88.379.1+9.2
3 Barcelona35241169%88.081.6+6.5
4 Murcia35221363%83.680.6+3.0
5 Tenerife35211460%83.781.6+2.1
6 Valencia35211460%84.182.4+1.7
7 Gran Canaria36201656%83.381.9+1.4
8 Baskonia34181653%88.588.4+0.1
9 Manresa36191753%83.984.7-0.8
10 Joventut Badalona34161847%81.686.4-4.8
11 MoraBanc Andorra34132138%84.885.1-0.3
12 Basket Zaragoza34132138%82.385.1-2.8
13 Bilbao34132138%78.781.7-2.9
14 Basquet Girona34132138%81.085.7-4.7
15 Obradoiro CAB34112332%81.284.4-3.2
16 Breogan34112332%74.478.6-4.2
17 Granada34112332%80.986.2-5.2
18 Palencia3462818%78.987.2-8.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Murcia1422221472
Valencia2320182283
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