Valga vs Jekabpils Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 26 Oct 2016

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 88-100

28-21 20-33 26-23 14-23

Position#9

Record1-2

FormWWLWL

Points / game76.3

Allowed / game89.0

Valga

Jekabpils 🏆

Position#4

Record3-2

FormWWWLW

Points / game76.2

Allowed / game74.4

LBL

Other2016-17

Meetings · Valga v Jekabpils

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valga winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Jekabpils winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Valga

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

VEF Riga

66-99

-33

A30/04

LBL

VEF Riga

83-102

102

-19

H02/05

LBL

VEF Riga

79-84

-5

A04/05

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

#10

89-82

H29/09

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

75-89

-14

A02/10

LBL

Tallinna Kalev

77-74

H04/10

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rakvere Tarvas

86-85

A07/10

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Ventspils

65-96

-31

H11/10

LBL

Audentese

80-75

A18/10

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tartu Ulikool

67-89

-22

H21/10

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

18-18

16-22

18-27

14-32

20-17

17-28

17-29

29-28

16-28

29-19

12-17

22-20

27-20

20-15

28-22

14-25

20-24

21-25

18-26

16-14

16-24

19-12

20-22

22-16

22-21

17-22

27-16

20-26

25-23

13-24

19-25

8-24

25-23

23-15

17-17

15-20

22-20

17-22

9-29

19-18

164.2Avg total

76.7Scored

87.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (3)	76.3	89.0	165.3	-12.7	33%
Season at home (2)	77.0	89.0	166.0	-12.0	50%
Season away (1)	75.0	89.0	164.0	-14.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	76.7	87.5	164.2	-10.8	40%
Last 5 (5)	75.0	83.8	158.8	-8.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	78.1	90.1	168.1	-12.0	16%
vs Similar (6)	83.3	85.8	169.2	-2.5	50%
vs Weaker (5)	85.4	75.8	161.2	+9.6	100%

This opponent (Jekabpils) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Jekabpils

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Latvijas Universitate

#11

73-59

+14

A17/04

LBL

Jelgava

83-75

A20/04

LBL

Barons Kvartals

77-94

-17

H23/04

LBL

Ventspils

70-91

-21

A28/09

LBL

VEF Riga

61-92

-31

H01/10

LBL

BK Liepaja

86-64

+22

H05/10

LBL

Jurmala

80-65

+15

H08/10

LBL

BK Ogre

#10

86-82 OT

A11/10

Baltic League

Pieno Zvaigzdes

72-76

-4

H19/10

Baltic League

Latvijas Universitate

#10

84-60

+24

H23/10

LBL

23-19

13-15

18-8

19-17

22-17

17-18

21-23

23-17

18-30

16-19

17-19

26-26

18-19

18-25

16-30

18-17

11-21

17-27

16-16

17-28

24-12

17-17

23-17

22-18

19-13

15-16

24-18

14-20

23-27

21-15

17-13

21-17

18-14

18-25

15-20

13-11

22-13

25-21

24-15

153.0Avg total

77.2Scored

75.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	76.2	74.4	150.6	+1.8	60%
Season at home (4)	77.8	70.2	148.0	+7.5	75%
Season away (1)	70.0	91.0	161.0	-21.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	77.2	75.8	153.0	+1.4	60%
Last 5 (5)	81.6	69.4	151.0	+12.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	74.6	87.0	161.6	-12.4	25%
vs Similar (5)	79.2	84.8	164.0	-5.6	40%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	84.5	71.8	156.3	+12.8	85%

This opponent (Valga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ValgaJekabpils

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	21.1	40.6	-1.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	19.5	39.9	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.9	22.4	41.3	-3.6	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	21.8	42.9	-0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	22.2	44.2	-0.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	19.4	21.0	40.4	-1.6	32%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.3	22.0	41.3	-2.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.4	20.2	40.6	+0.2	60%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	18.9	37.9	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	19.2	39.2	+0.9	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.9	18.6	36.4	-0.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	18.4	37.0	+0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	15.6	34.4	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	19.2	20.2	39.4	-1.1	42%	-
vs Similar (5)	15.8	20.6	36.4	-4.8	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	20.2	17.0	37.2	+3.2	69%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	20.8	39.8	-1.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	20.6	40.0	-1.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	20.9	39.7	-2.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	20.4	39.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	19.0	36.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	19.3	22.8	42.1	-3.6	32%	-
vs Similar (6)	17.7	18.0	35.7	-0.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (5)	19.8	16.4	36.2	+3.4	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	19.5	38.9	-0.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	17.3	37.4	+2.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	21.9	40.6	-3.3	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	18.8	36.8	-0.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	16.8	36.6	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	17.4	21.9	39.3	-4.5	25%	-
vs Similar (5)	22.0	21.6	43.6	+0.4	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	20.3	16.4	36.7	+3.9	62%	-

ValgaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

VEF Riga

34-40

-6

A30/04

LBL

VEF Riga

37-45

-8

H02/05

LBL

VEF Riga

45-47

-2

A04/05

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

#10

47-35

+12

H29/09

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

41-49

-8

A02/10

LBL

Tallinna Kalev

35-36

-1

H04/10

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rakvere Tarvas

39-43

-4

A07/10

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Ventspils

38-47

-9

H11/10

LBL

Audentese

48-38

+10

A18/10

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tartu Ulikool

39-42

-3

H21/10

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

82.5Avg total

40.3Scored

42.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.6	41.9	80.5	-3.3	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.7	40.1	79.9	-0.4	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.6	43.4	81.0	-5.8	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	42.2	82.5	-1.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	41.2	81.0	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	38.7	43.8	82.5	-5.2	16%	-
vs Similar (6)	37.0	40.0	77.0	-3.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (5)	40.2	36.6	76.8	+3.6	60%	-

This opponent (Jekabpils) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

JekabpilsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Latvijas Universitate

#11

36-34

A17/04

LBL

Jelgava

39-35

A20/04

LBL

Barons Kvartals

34-49

-15

H23/04

LBL

Ventspils

36-44

-8

A28/09

LBL

VEF Riga

28-48

-20

H01/10

LBL

BK Liepaja

41-29

+12

H05/10

LBL

Jurmala

41-31

+10

H08/10

LBL

BK Ogre

#10

37-47

-10

A11/10

Baltic League

Pieno Zvaigzdes

39-31

H19/10

Baltic League

Latvijas Universitate

#10

35-24

+11

H23/10

LBL

73.8Avg total

36.6Scored

37.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.5	38.4	76.8	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.2	36.5	76.7	+3.7	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.5	40.5	77.0	-4.0	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.6	37.2	73.8	-0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	32.4	71.0	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	36.6	42.2	78.8	-5.6	25%	-
vs Similar (5)	37.8	42.2	80.0	-4.4	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	40.5	33.4	73.8	+7.1	85%	-

This opponent (Valga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	22.2	42.9	-1.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	23.5	43.6	-3.4	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.2	21.1	42.4	+0.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	23.0	41.5	-4.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	21.8	40.2	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	19.3	23.9	43.2	-4.6	26%	-
vs Similar (6)	23.3	21.5	44.8	+1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	23.0	16.8	39.8	+6.2	60%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	20.5	40.1	-0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.2	20.9	40.1	-1.7	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	20.1	40.2	-0.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	19.0	38.0	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	18.8	39.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	17.4	22.1	39.5	-4.7	25%	-
vs Similar (5)	19.0	21.4	40.4	-2.4	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	21.8	18.8	40.6	+3.1	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	22.1	42.5	-1.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	22.6	43.2	-1.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.2	21.7	41.9	-1.5	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	22.3	40.2	-4.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	20.8	37.6	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	20.1	22.3	42.4	-2.2	47%	-
vs Similar (6)	22.0	22.2	44.2	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	19.6	21.2	40.8	-1.6	20%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	20.9	42.1	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.3	21.1	43.4	+1.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.0	20.6	40.6	-0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	18.9	39.4	+1.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	16.8	37.2	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	20.6	22.8	43.3	-2.2	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	22.4	21.2	43.6	+1.2	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	21.4	19.1	40.5	+2.3	69%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.1	44.3	85.4	-3.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.7	46.1	86.8	-5.4	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.4	42.8	84.2	-1.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.4	45.3	81.7	-8.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.2	42.6	77.8	-7.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	39.4	46.2	85.6	-6.8	21%	-
vs Similar (6)	45.3	43.7	89.0	+1.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (5)	42.6	38.0	80.6	+4.6	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.8	41.4	82.3	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.5	42.0	83.5	-0.5	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.1	40.8	80.9	-0.7	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.5	37.9	77.4	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	35.6	76.4	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	38.0	44.8	82.8	-6.8	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	41.4	42.6	84.0	-1.2	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	43.2	37.8	81.1	+5.4	85%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Valga wins

Jekabpils wins

Date	Game	Score
06/02/16	Valga v Jekabpils	97-87
28/11/15	Jekabpils v Valga	83-73
10/12/14	Valga v Jekabpils	63-76
22/10/14	Jekabpils v Valga	86-65

Valgalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/10/16	H	Tartu Ulikool	67-89
18/10/16	A	Audentese	80-75
11/10/16	H	Ventspils	65-96
07/10/16	A	Rakvere Tarvas	86-85
04/10/16	H	Tallinna Kalev	77-74
02/10/16	A	Valmiera/ORDO	75-89
29/09/16	H	Latvijas Universitate	89-82
04/05/16	A	VEF Riga	79-84
02/05/16	H	VEF Riga	83-102
30/04/16	A	VEF Riga	66-99

Jekabpilslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/10/16	H	Latvijas Universitate	84-60
19/10/16	H	Pieno Zvaigzdes	72-76
11/10/16	A	BK Ogre	86-82 OT
08/10/16	H	Jurmala	80-65
05/10/16	H	BK Liepaja	86-64
01/10/16	H	VEF Riga	61-92
28/09/16	A	Ventspils	70-91
23/04/16	H	Barons Kvartals	77-94
20/04/16	A	Jelgava	83-75
17/04/16	A	Latvijas Universitate	73-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valga

LBL 2016-17

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLL	33%
Home	WL	50%
Away	L	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	3	2	1
Win %	33%	50%	0%
Points / game	76.3	77.0	75.0
Allowed / game	89.0	89.0	89.0
Point differential	-12.7	-12.0	-14.0
Avg total	165.3	166.0	164.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Jekabpils

LBL 2016-17

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	60%
Home	LWWW	75%
Away	L	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	4	1
Win %	60%	75%	0%
Points / game	76.2	77.8	70.0
Allowed / game	74.4	70.2	91.0
Point differential	+1.8	+7.5	-21.0
Avg total	150.6	148.0	161.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	60%	75%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Ventspils	7	7	0	100%	95.1	71.9	+23.3
2	VEF Riga	4	4	0	100%	83.0	70.8	+12.2
3	Jekabpils	5	3	2	60%	76.2	74.4	+1.8
4	Valmiera/ORDO	6	3	3	50%	77.5	82.8	-5.3
5	Barons Kvartals	7	3	4	43%	86.4	80.0	+6.4
6	Jurmala	8	3	5	38%	77.2	81.4	-4.1
7	BK Liepaja	6	2	4	33%	80.8	88.2	-7.3
8	BK Ogre	6	2	4	33%	72.3	82.5	-10.2
9	Valga	3	1	2	33%	76.3	89.0	-12.7
10	Latvijas Universitate	4	0	4	0%	72.5	87.0	-14.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Valga	28	20	26	14	88
Jekabpils	21	33	23	23	100

← all games of the day

Valga vs Jekabpils Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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