Valga vs VEF Riga Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 02 May 2016

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 83-102

20-17 17-28 17-29 29-28

Position#7

Record11-10

FormWLLLL

Points / game78.4

Allowed / game85.5

Valga

VEF Riga 🏆

Position#3

Record16-5

FormWWLLW

Points / game88.0

Allowed / game71.5

LBLLBL - Quarter-finals

Other2015-16

Meetings · Valga v VEF Riga

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valga winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

VEF Riga winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Valga

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tallinna Kalev

97-108

108

-11

A26/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BK Ogre

#10

81-74 OT

A30/03

LBL

BK Liepaja

84-67

+17

H02/04

LBL

Tallinna Kalev

85-106

106

-21

H05/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tartu Ulikool

76-92

-16

H08/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Audentese

98-66

+32

H10/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BC Kalev/Cramo

69-92

-23

H15/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BC Kalev/Cramo

87-88

-1

A17/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BC Kalev/Cramo

68-80

-12

A26/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

VEF Riga

66-99

-33

A30/04

LBL

22-33

20-24

28-28

27-23

15-15

13-19

25-13

15-21

30-7

21-24

13-17

20-19

21-22

20-25

21-29

23-30

9-20

24-22

19-24

24-26

28-21

24-18

19-10

27-17

14-21

21-18

17-30

17-23

22-25

21-18

17-26

27-19

16-21

17-33

21-17

14-9

18-18

16-22

18-27

14-32

168.3Avg total

81.1Scored

87.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	78.4	85.5	164.0	-7.1	52%
Season at home (10)	81.7	82.1	163.8	-0.4	60%
Season away (11)	75.5	88.6	164.1	-13.2	45%
Last 10 (10)	81.1	87.2	168.3	-6.1	30%
Last 5 (5)	77.6	85.0	162.6	-7.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	79.9	88.8	168.7	-8.9	26%
vs Similar (7)	78.7	85.7	164.4	-7.0	29%
vs Weaker (4)	91.0	73.5	164.5	+17.5	100%

This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VEF Riga

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

CSKA Moscow

93-101

101

-8

A27/03

VTB United League

Jurmala

98-84

+14

H30/03

LBL

Khimki M.

79-89

-10

H03/04

VTB United League

Latvijas Universitate

#11

98-49

+49

A06/04

LBL

Nizhny Novgorod

107-79

107

+28

A10/04

VTB United League

Barons Kvartals

79-62

+17

A13/04

LBL

Saratov

103-91

103

+12

H16/04

VTB United League

Valmiera/ORDO

62-66

-4

A20/04

LBL

Lokomotiv Kuban

63-71

-8

A24/04

VTB United League

Valga

99-66

+33

H30/04

LBL

18-25

23-26

19-20

33-30

26-23

16-27

30-17

26-17

23-30

18-18

23-23

15-18

22-15

30-9

18-11

28-14

17-22

31-26

27-15

32-16

17-16

22-18

26-17

14-11

19-22

28-17

30-23

26-29

21-19

20-13

8-12

13-22

20-19

16-17

10-26

17-9

18-18

22-16

27-18

32-14

163.9Avg total

88.1Scored

75.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	88.0	71.5	159.5	+16.5	76%
Season at home (11)	89.3	74.1	163.4	+15.2	73%
Season away (10)	86.6	68.7	155.3	+17.9	80%
Last 10 (10)	88.1	75.8	163.9	+12.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	81.2	71.2	152.4	+10.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	81.2	86.6	167.8	-5.3	22%
vs Similar (5)	81.4	84.4	165.8	-3.0	40%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	88.9	71.9	160.8	+17.0	81%

This opponent (Valga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ValgaVEF Riga

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	20.8	40.1	-1.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.8	19.0	38.8	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.9	22.3	41.2	-3.4	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	20.3	39.8	-0.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	21.2	40.8	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	19.4	20.7	40.2	-1.3	32%	-
vs Similar (7)	18.0	21.9	39.9	-3.9	29%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.0	19.0	40.0	+2.0	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	20.4	41.0	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.8	20.3	41.1	+0.5	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.3	20.6	40.9	-0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	20.9	41.0	-0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	18.8	37.8	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	19.2	24.1	43.3	-4.9	22%	-
vs Similar (5)	22.6	21.6	44.2	+1.0	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	20.6	18.0	38.6	+2.6	69%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	20.3	39.2	-1.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	21.1	40.2	-1.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.6	19.7	38.3	-1.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	22.3	42.0	-2.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	21.8	41.6	-2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	19.1	22.1	41.1	-3.0	37%	-
vs Similar (7)	16.4	19.1	35.6	-2.7	43%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.2	14.2	36.5	+8.0	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	19.1	41.1	+2.9	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.5	18.4	39.9	+3.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.4	19.7	42.1	+2.8	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	18.7	41.3	+3.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	16.2	37.8	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	22.3	19.1	41.4	+3.2	56%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.2	21.6	41.8	-1.4	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	22.4	18.2	40.6	+4.1	75%	-

ValgaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tallinna Kalev

42-57

-15

A26/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BK Ogre

#10

28-34

-6

A30/03

LBL

BK Liepaja

51-31

+20

H02/04

LBL

Tallinna Kalev

41-47

-6

H05/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tartu Ulikool

33-42

-9

H08/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Audentese

52-39

+13

H10/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BC Kalev/Cramo

35-39

-4

H15/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BC Kalev/Cramo

43-43

A17/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BC Kalev/Cramo

33-54

-21

A26/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

VEF Riga

34-40

-6

A30/04

LBL

81.8Avg total

39.2Scored

42.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.2	41.1	79.3	-2.9	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.9	40.1	79.0	-1.1	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.5	42.0	79.5	-4.5	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.2	42.6	81.8	-3.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	43.0	82.4	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	38.5	42.8	81.3	-4.3	16%	-
vs Similar (7)	34.4	41.0	75.4	-6.6	29%	-
vs Weaker (4)	43.2	33.2	76.5	+10.0	75%	-

This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VEF RigaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

CSKA Moscow

41-51

-10

A27/03

VTB United League

Jurmala

42-50

-8

H30/03

LBL

Khimki M.

41-48

-7

H03/04

VTB United League

Latvijas Universitate

#11

52-24

+28

A06/04

LBL

Nizhny Novgorod

48-48

A10/04

VTB United League

Barons Kvartals

39-34

A13/04

LBL

Saratov

47-39

H16/04

VTB United League

Valmiera/ORDO

41-32

A20/04

LBL

Lokomotiv Kuban

36-36

A24/04

VTB United League

Valga

40-34

H30/04

LBL

82.3Avg total

42.7Scored

39.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.5	39.5	82.0	+3.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.3	38.6	80.9	+3.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	42.8	40.2	83.0	+2.5	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.7	39.6	82.3	+3.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	35.0	75.6	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	41.6	43.2	84.8	-1.7	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	42.8	43.2	86.0	-0.4	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	43.0	36.2	79.2	+6.8	69%	-

This opponent (Valga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	22.2	43.1	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.2	22.3	42.5	-2.1	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.4	22.2	43.6	-0.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	22.1	41.9	-2.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	22.0	40.4	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	20.5	23.4	43.9	-2.8	37%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.0	21.9	41.9	-1.9	43%	-
vs Weaker (4)	24.0	17.5	41.5	+6.5	75%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	19.7	40.5	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.7	23.0	45.7	-0.3	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	16.9	35.9	+2.2	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	18.2	40.0	+3.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	19.2	39.4	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	19.1	22.2	41.3	-3.1	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.0	19.2	39.2	+0.8	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	21.9	18.5	40.4	+3.4	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	22.1	43.5	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.9	22.1	44.0	-0.1	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.0	22.1	43.1	-1.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	21.9	42.7	-1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	20.0	39.8	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	20.9	22.7	43.6	-1.8	37%	-
vs Similar (7)	23.4	21.0	44.4	+2.4	57%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.5	21.2	41.8	-0.8	25%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	18.3	39.8	+3.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	19.3	40.6	+2.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.5	17.5	39.0	+4.0	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.6	18.0	41.6	+5.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	17.0	37.4	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	20.6	21.1	41.7	-0.6	44%	-
vs Similar (5)	18.6	22.0	40.6	-3.4	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	22.8	15.6	38.4	+7.2	81%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.3	44.3	86.6	-2.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.1	44.4	86.5	-2.2	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	42.4	44.3	86.8	-1.9	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.6	44.0	84.6	-3.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	42.0	80.2	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	41.4	46.1	87.5	-4.6	32%	-
vs Similar (7)	43.4	42.9	86.3	+0.6	71%	-
vs Weaker (4)	44.5	38.8	83.2	+5.8	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.2	38.1	80.3	+4.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.1	42.3	86.4	+1.8	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.6	34.4	74.9	+6.2	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.4	36.2	81.6	+9.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	36.2	76.8	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	39.7	43.3	83.0	-3.7	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	38.6	41.2	79.8	-2.6	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	44.8	34.1	78.9	+10.6	69%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Valga wins

VEF Riga wins

Date	Game	Score
30/04/16	VEF Riga v Valga	99-66
16/02/16	Valga v VEF Riga	64-82
25/10/15	VEF Riga v Valga	113-75

Valgalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/04/16	A	VEF Riga	66-99
26/04/16	A	BC Kalev/Cramo	68-80
17/04/16	A	BC Kalev/Cramo	87-88
15/04/16	H	BC Kalev/Cramo	69-92
10/04/16	H	Audentese	98-66
08/04/16	H	Tartu Ulikool	76-92
05/04/16	H	Tallinna Kalev	85-106
02/04/16	H	BK Liepaja	84-67
30/03/16	A	BK Ogre	81-74 OT
26/03/16	A	Tallinna Kalev	97-108

VEF Rigalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/04/16	H	Valga	99-66
24/04/16	A	Lokomotiv Kuban	63-71
20/04/16	A	Valmiera/ORDO	62-66
16/04/16	H	Saratov	103-91
13/04/16	A	Barons Kvartals	79-62
10/04/16	A	Nizhny Novgorod	107-79
06/04/16	A	Latvijas Universitate	98-49
03/04/16	H	Khimki M.	79-89
30/03/16	H	Jurmala	98-84
27/03/16	A	CSKA Moscow	93-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valga

LBL 2015-16

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	52%
Home	LWLLW	60%
Away	WLWWL	45%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	10	11
Win %	52%	60%	45%
Points / game	78.4	81.7	75.5
Allowed / game	85.5	82.1	88.6
Point differential	-7.1	-0.4	-13.2
Avg total	164.0	163.8	164.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	30%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (5)	100% (1)	100% (4)
Overtime %	5%	0%	9%

VEF Riga

LBL 2015-16

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	76%
Home	WWLWW	73%
Away	WWWWL	80%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	11	10
Win %	76%	73%	80%
Points / game	88.0	89.3	86.6
Allowed / game	71.5	74.1	68.7
Point differential	+16.5	+15.2	+17.9
Avg total	159.5	163.4	155.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	76%	73%	80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	0% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	5%	0%	10%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Valmiera/ORDO	36	30	6	83%	82.9	72.5	+10.5
2	Ventspils	36	28	8	78%	88.4	68.4	+19.9
3	VEF Riga	21	16	5	76%	88.0	71.5	+16.5
4	BK Liepaja	38	26	12	68%	82.7	74.3	+8.4
5	Jekabpils	36	19	17	53%	77.7	79.4	-1.8
6	Jurmala	38	20	18	53%	80.6	79.1	+1.5
7	Valga	21	11	10	52%	78.4	85.5	-7.1
8	Barons Kvartals	36	12	24	33%	78.0	83.2	-5.2
9	Jelgava	36	9	27	25%	70.1	81.1	-11.0
10	BK Ogre	36	9	27	25%	73.4	86.6	-13.1
11	Latvijas Universitate	36	5	31	14%	69.2	84.5	-15.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Valga	20	17	17	29	83
VEF Riga	17	28	29	28	102

← all games of the day

Valga vs VEF Riga Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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