VEF Riga vs Valga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Apr 2016

Tip-off: 14:00

Final 99-66

18-18 22-16 27-18 32-14

Position#3

Record15-5

FormWWWLL

Points / game87.5

Allowed / game71.8

VEF Riga 🏆

Valga

Position#7

Record11-9

FormLWLLL

Points / game79.0

Allowed / game84.8

LBLLBL - Quarter-finals

Other2015-16

Meetings · VEF Riga v Valga

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

VEF Riga winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Valga winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VEF Riga

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Jekabpils

77-79

-2

H23/03

LBL

CSKA Moscow

93-101

101

-8

A27/03

VTB United League

Jurmala

98-84

+14

H30/03

LBL

Khimki M.

79-89

-10

H03/04

VTB United League

Latvijas Universitate

#11

98-49

+49

A06/04

LBL

Nizhny Novgorod

107-79

107

+28

A10/04

VTB United League

Barons Kvartals

79-62

+17

A13/04

LBL

Saratov

103-91

103

+12

H16/04

VTB United League

Valmiera/ORDO

62-66

-4

A20/04

LBL

Lokomotiv Kuban

63-71

-8

A24/04

VTB United League

18-16

21-24

17-25

21-14

18-25

23-26

19-20

33-30

26-23

16-27

30-17

26-17

23-30

18-18

23-23

15-18

22-15

30-9

18-11

28-14

17-22

31-26

27-15

32-16

17-16

22-18

26-17

14-11

19-22

28-17

30-23

26-29

21-19

20-13

8-12

13-22

20-19

16-17

10-26

17-9

163.0Avg total

85.9Scored

77.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	87.5	71.8	159.2	+15.7	75%
Season at home (10)	88.3	74.9	163.2	+13.4	70%
Season away (10)	86.6	68.7	155.3	+17.9	80%
Last 10 (10)	85.9	77.1	163.0	+8.8	50%
Last 5 (5)	82.8	73.8	156.6	+9.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	81.2	86.6	167.8	-5.3	22%
vs Similar (5)	81.4	84.4	165.8	-3.0	40%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	87.8	72.0	159.8	+15.8	81%

This opponent (Valga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Valga

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rakvere Tarvas

87-95

-8

A23/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tallinna Kalev

97-108

108

-11

A26/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BK Ogre

#10

81-74 OT

A30/03

LBL

BK Liepaja

84-67

+17

H02/04

LBL

Tallinna Kalev

85-106

106

-21

H05/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tartu Ulikool

76-92

-16

H08/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Audentese

98-66

+32

H10/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BC Kalev/Cramo

69-92

-23

H15/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BC Kalev/Cramo

87-88

-1

A17/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BC Kalev/Cramo

68-80

-12

A26/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

23-25

25-26

26-23

13-21

22-33

20-24

28-28

27-23

15-15

13-19

25-13

15-21

30-7

21-24

13-17

20-19

21-22

20-25

21-29

23-30

9-20

24-22

19-24

24-26

28-21

24-18

19-10

27-17

14-21

21-18

17-30

17-23

22-25

21-18

17-26

27-19

16-21

17-33

21-17

14-9

170.0Avg total

83.2Scored

86.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	79.0	84.8	163.9	-5.8	55%
Season at home (10)	81.7	82.1	163.8	-0.4	60%
Season away (10)	76.4	87.6	164.0	-11.2	50%
Last 10 (10)	83.2	86.8	170.0	-3.6	30%
Last 5 (5)	79.6	83.6	163.2	-4.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	81.7	89.3	171.0	-7.6	26%
vs Similar (7)	78.7	85.7	164.4	-7.0	29%
vs Weaker (4)	91.0	73.5	164.5	+17.5	100%

This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

VEF RigaValga

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	20.5	40.9	-0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.0	20.5	41.5	+0.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.9	20.6	40.5	-0.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	20.7	40.8	-0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	19.6	38.4	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	19.2	24.1	43.3	-4.9	22%	-
vs Similar (5)	22.6	21.6	44.2	+1.0	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	20.4	18.2	38.6	+2.2	69%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	21.1	40.5	-1.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	19.6	39.5	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	22.6	41.5	-3.7	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	21.0	41.0	-1.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	21.6	39.4	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	19.6	21.3	40.9	-1.6	32%	-
vs Similar (7)	18.0	21.9	39.9	-3.9	29%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.0	19.0	40.0	+2.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	19.1	41.1	+2.8	70%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.5	18.5	40.0	+2.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	22.4	19.6	41.9	+2.8	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	19.5	42.0	+3.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	18.2	41.6	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	22.3	19.1	41.4	+3.2	56%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.2	21.6	41.8	-1.4	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	22.3	18.4	40.7	+3.9	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	20.3	39.4	-1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	21.0	40.5	-1.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.8	19.5	38.3	-0.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	22.7	43.3	-2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	21.8	43.2	-0.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	19.5	21.9	41.5	-2.4	42%	-
vs Similar (7)	16.4	19.1	35.6	-2.7	43%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.2	14.2	36.5	+8.0	75%	-

VEF RigaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Jekabpils

39-40

-1

H23/03

LBL

CSKA Moscow

41-51

-10

A27/03

VTB United League

Jurmala

42-50

-8

H30/03

LBL

Khimki M.

41-48

-7

H03/04

VTB United League

Latvijas Universitate

#11

52-24

+28

A06/04

LBL

Nizhny Novgorod

48-48

A10/04

VTB United League

Barons Kvartals

39-34

A13/04

LBL

Saratov

47-39

H16/04

VTB United League

Valmiera/ORDO

41-32

A20/04

LBL

Lokomotiv Kuban

36-36

A24/04

VTB United League

82.8Avg total

42.6Scored

40.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.4	39.7	82.0	+2.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	42.5	39.0	81.5	+3.5	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	42.3	40.2	82.5	+2.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.6	40.2	82.8	+2.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	37.8	80.0	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	41.6	43.2	84.8	-1.7	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	42.8	43.2	86.0	-0.4	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	42.7	36.6	79.2	+6.1	62%	-

This opponent (Valga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ValgaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rakvere Tarvas

48-51

-3

A23/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tallinna Kalev

42-57

-15

A26/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BK Ogre

#10

28-34

-6

A30/03

LBL

BK Liepaja

51-31

+20

H02/04

LBL

Tallinna Kalev

41-47

-6

H05/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tartu Ulikool

33-42

-9

H08/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Audentese

52-39

+13

H10/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BC Kalev/Cramo

35-39

-4

H15/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BC Kalev/Cramo

43-43

A17/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BC Kalev/Cramo

33-54

-21

A26/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

84.3Avg total

40.6Scored

43.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.6	41.4	80.0	-2.8	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.5	40.6	80.1	-1.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.7	42.1	79.9	-4.4	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.6	43.7	84.3	-3.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	43.4	82.6	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	39.2	43.2	82.4	-4.1	16%	-
vs Similar (7)	34.4	41.0	75.4	-6.6	29%	-
vs Weaker (4)	43.2	33.2	76.5	+10.0	75%	-

This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	19.8	40.4	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.4	23.4	45.8	-1.0	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.2	17.1	36.2	+2.1	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	18.9	39.7	+1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	18.6	38.8	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	19.1	22.2	41.3	-3.1	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.0	19.2	39.2	+0.8	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	21.6	18.6	40.2	+2.9	75%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	22.4	43.5	-1.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	22.9	43.4	-2.5	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.7	21.9	43.5	-0.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	21.7	42.3	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	21.4	40.0	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	20.8	23.6	44.5	-2.8	37%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.0	21.9	41.9	-1.9	43%	-
vs Weaker (4)	24.0	17.5	41.5	+6.5	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	18.2	39.4	+3.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.5	19.7	40.2	+0.8	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.8	17.0	38.8	+4.8	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	18.0	40.5	+4.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	17.4	37.8	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	20.6	21.1	41.7	-0.6	44%	-
vs Similar (5)	18.6	22.0	40.6	-3.4	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	22.4	15.3	37.8	+7.1	81%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	22.0	43.9	-0.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.4	22.5	44.9	-0.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.5	21.5	42.9	+0.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	20.8	41.5	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	18.8	40.6	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	21.7	22.5	44.2	-0.8	42%	-
vs Similar (7)	23.4	21.0	44.4	+2.4	57%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.5	21.2	41.8	-0.8	25%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.8	38.0	79.8	+3.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	42.9	43.1	86.0	-0.2	31%	-
Last 30 away (17)	40.9	34.1	75.0	+6.9	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.3	36.9	80.2	+6.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	36.0	76.6	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	39.7	43.3	83.0	-3.7	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	38.6	41.2	79.8	-2.6	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	44.0	33.9	77.9	+10.1	69%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.0	44.4	87.4	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.9	45.4	88.3	-2.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.1	43.3	86.5	-0.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	42.5	83.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	40.2	80.6	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	42.5	46.1	88.6	-3.6	32%	-
vs Similar (7)	43.4	42.9	86.3	+0.6	71%	-
vs Weaker (4)	44.5	38.8	83.2	+5.8	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

VEF Riga wins

Valga wins

Date	Game	Score
16/02/16	Valga v VEF Riga	64-82
25/10/15	VEF Riga v Valga	113-75

VEF Rigalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/04/16	A	Lokomotiv Kuban	63-71
20/04/16	A	Valmiera/ORDO	62-66
16/04/16	H	Saratov	103-91
13/04/16	A	Barons Kvartals	79-62
10/04/16	A	Nizhny Novgorod	107-79
06/04/16	A	Latvijas Universitate	98-49
03/04/16	H	Khimki M.	79-89
30/03/16	H	Jurmala	98-84
27/03/16	A	CSKA Moscow	93-101
23/03/16	H	Jekabpils	77-79

Valgalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/04/16	A	BC Kalev/Cramo	68-80
17/04/16	A	BC Kalev/Cramo	87-88
15/04/16	H	BC Kalev/Cramo	69-92
10/04/16	H	Audentese	98-66
08/04/16	H	Tartu Ulikool	76-92
05/04/16	H	Tallinna Kalev	85-106
02/04/16	H	BK Liepaja	84-67
30/03/16	A	BK Ogre	81-74 OT
26/03/16	A	Tallinna Kalev	97-108
23/03/16	A	Rakvere Tarvas	87-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

VEF Riga

LBL 2015-16

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	75%
Home	LWWLW	70%
Away	WWWWL	80%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	10	10
Win %	75%	70%	80%
Points / game	87.5	88.3	86.6
Allowed / game	71.8	74.9	68.7
Point differential	+15.7	+13.4	+17.9
Avg total	159.2	163.2	155.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	75%	70%	80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	0% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	5%	0%	10%

Valga

LBL 2015-16

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	55%
Home	LWLLW	60%
Away	WWLWW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	10	10
Win %	55%	60%	50%
Points / game	79.0	81.7	76.4
Allowed / game	84.8	82.1	87.6
Point differential	-5.8	-0.4	-11.2
Avg total	163.9	163.8	164.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	15%	30%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (5)	100% (1)	100% (4)
Overtime %	5%	0%	10%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Valmiera/ORDO	36	30	6	83%	82.9	72.5	+10.5
2	Ventspils	36	28	8	78%	88.4	68.4	+19.9
3	VEF Riga	20	15	5	75%	87.5	71.8	+15.7
4	BK Liepaja	37	25	12	68%	82.8	74.6	+8.2
5	Valga	20	11	9	55%	79.0	84.8	-5.8
6	Jurmala	37	20	17	54%	81.1	79.1	+2.0
7	Jekabpils	36	19	17	53%	77.7	79.4	-1.8
8	Barons Kvartals	36	12	24	33%	78.0	83.2	-5.2
9	Jelgava	36	9	27	25%	70.1	81.1	-11.0
10	BK Ogre	36	9	27	25%	73.4	86.6	-13.1
11	Latvijas Universitate	36	5	31	14%	69.2	84.5	-15.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
VEF Riga	18	22	27	32	99
Valga	18	16	18	14	66

← all games of the day

VEF Riga vs Valga Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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