Valga vs Jurmala Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Apr 2018

Tip-off: 14:00

Final 59-94

26-18 12-34 9-20 12-22

Position#5

Record6-9

FormLLLLW

Points / game71.1

Allowed / game76.5

Valga

Jurmala 🏆

Position#3

Record18-5

FormLWWWW

Points / game83.0

Allowed / game74.2

LBL

Other2017-18

Meetings · Valga v Jurmala

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valga winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Jurmala winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Valga

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Latvijas Universitate

89-77

+12

A28/02

LBL

Tartu Ulikool

76-96

-20

H02/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Jekabpils

72-63

H07/03

LBL

BK Liepaja

89-81

A10/03

LBL

Parnu

95-79

+16

A14/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tallinna Kalev

68-87

-19

A17/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BC Kalev/Cramo

54-87

-33

H21/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BK Ogre

63-78

-15

H24/03

LBL

Rapla

75-91

-16

A31/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Valmiera/ORDO

105-88

105

+17

A04/04

LBL

27-14

22-18

12-24

28-21

11-21

18-20

18-26

29-29

22-11

15-23

18-10

17-19

26-33

16-20

26-14

21-14

28-18

15-22

22-18

30-21

17-22

18-19

23-27

10-19

17-28

15-18

13-18

9-23

16-25

22-25

7-18

18-10

14-20

23-18

22-19

16-34

24-25

29-26

25-21

27-16

161.3Avg total

78.6Scored

82.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	71.1	76.5	147.6	-5.3	40%
Season at home (7)	66.9	76.3	143.1	-9.4	29%
Season away (8)	74.9	76.6	151.5	-1.8	50%
Last 10 (10)	78.6	82.7	161.3	-4.1	50%
Last 5 (5)	73.0	86.2	159.2	-13.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	68.9	83.7	152.6	-14.8	14%
vs Similar (14)	79.4	78.4	157.8	+0.9	57%
vs Weaker (2)	106.5	86.0	192.5	+20.5	100%

This opponent (Jurmala) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Jurmala

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BK Ogre

85-82

H30/12

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

82-81

A07/01

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

76-71

A11/02

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

86-83

A21/02

LBL

Jekabpils

79-68

+11

A24/02

LBL

Ventspils

74-82

-8

A03/03

LBL

BK Ogre

88-86

A10/03

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

89-84

H17/03

LBL

Jekabpils

90-85 OT

H24/03

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

99-55

+44

H30/03

LBL

20-23

24-13

24-22

17-24

22-24

25-17

19-18

16-22

19-25

17-12

20-19

20-15

18-24

28-20

19-24

21-15

22-17

16-21

26-15

15-15

19-17

18-23

17-24

20-18

23-31

16-22

23-16

26-17

20-20

21-27

26-10

22-27

21-18

9-24

23-19

21-13

28-18

16-16

27-7

28-14

162.5Avg total

84.8Scored

77.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	83.0	74.2	157.1	+8.8	78%
Season at home (12)	84.3	72.8	157.2	+11.5	75%
Season away (11)	81.5	75.6	157.1	+5.8	82%
Last 10 (10)	84.8	77.7	162.5	+7.1	90%
Last 5 (5)	88.0	78.4	166.4	+9.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	71.3	82.6	153.9	-11.2	11%
vs Similar (5)	82.4	77.6	160.0	+4.8	80%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	85.0	69.6	154.6	+15.4	100%

This opponent (Valga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ValgaJurmala

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	20.3	39.4	-1.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.8	19.4	37.2	-1.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.4	21.0	41.4	-0.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	21.7	41.9	-1.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	24.0	41.6	-6.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	16.4	20.7	37.1	-4.3	29%	-
vs Similar (14)	21.3	19.9	41.2	+1.4	57%	-
vs Weaker (2)	23.5	19.5	43.0	+4.0	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.3	39.7	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	18.1	39.2	+2.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	20.4	40.1	-0.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	21.7	42.9	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	20.8	43.0	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	17.1	19.4	36.6	-2.3	56%	-
vs Similar (5)	22.8	23.4	46.2	-0.6	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	21.5	17.9	39.4	+3.6	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	19.9	37.8	-2.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.7	20.4	38.1	-2.7	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.0	19.4	37.4	-1.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	20.9	40.2	-1.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	21.2	42.6	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	17.7	20.6	38.3	-2.9	29%	-
vs Similar (14)	16.6	18.9	35.4	-2.3	36%	-
vs Weaker (2)	28.0	22.5	50.5	+5.5	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	18.7	37.2	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.6	19.0	36.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	18.5	37.8	+0.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	19.5	38.5	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	22.4	38.4	-6.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	17.2	22.4	39.7	-5.2	11%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.2	17.8	38.0	+2.4	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	18.6	16.9	35.6	+1.7	56%	-

ValgaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Latvijas Universitate

49-32

+17

A28/02

LBL

Tartu Ulikool

29-41

-12

H02/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Jekabpils

37-34

H07/03

LBL

BK Liepaja

42-53

-11

A10/03

LBL

Parnu

43-40

A14/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tallinna Kalev

35-41

-6

A17/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BC Kalev/Cramo

32-46

-14

H21/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BK Ogre

38-50

-12

H24/03

LBL

Rapla

37-38

-1

A31/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Valmiera/ORDO

53-51

A04/04

LBL

82.1Avg total

39.5Scored

42.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.0	40.2	77.2	-3.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	35.5	39.9	75.4	-4.4	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.4	40.4	78.8	-2.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.5	42.6	82.1	-3.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	45.2	84.2	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	34.1	41.3	75.4	-7.1	21%	-
vs Similar (14)	37.9	38.8	76.6	-0.9	43%	-
vs Weaker (2)	51.5	42.0	93.5	+9.5	100%	-

This opponent (Jurmala) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

JurmalaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BK Ogre

44-36

H30/12

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

47-41

A07/01

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

36-37

-1

A11/02

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

46-44

A21/02

LBL

Jekabpils

38-38

A24/02

LBL

Ventspils

37-40

-3

A03/03

LBL

BK Ogre

39-53

-14

A10/03

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

41-47

-6

H17/03

LBL

Jekabpils

30-42

-12

H24/03

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

44-34

+10

H30/03

LBL

81.4Avg total

40.2Scored

41.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.9	38.0	76.9	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.7	37.1	75.8	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.1	38.9	77.9	+0.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.2	41.2	81.4	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	43.2	81.4	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	34.3	41.9	76.2	-7.6	11%	-
vs Similar (5)	43.0	41.2	84.2	+1.8	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	40.1	34.8	74.9	+5.3	69%	-

This opponent (Valga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	19.3	37.6	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.6	17.9	34.5	-1.4	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	20.5	40.4	-0.6	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	19.5	38.1	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	20.6	38.6	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	15.9	20.1	35.9	-4.2	14%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.4	18.1	37.5	+1.4	57%	-
vs Weaker (2)	28.0	22.5	50.5	+5.5	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	18.3	38.5	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	16.5	37.5	+4.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.4	20.1	39.5	-0.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	17.4	39.8	+5.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	15.2	38.4	+8.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	15.9	21.2	37.1	-5.3	11%	-
vs Similar (5)	19.0	17.6	36.6	+1.4	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	23.1	16.8	39.9	+6.2	88%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	21.9	42.9	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.8	22.8	43.6	-2.0	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.1	21.2	42.2	-0.1	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	20.6	41.1	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	20.4	36.4	-4.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	18.9	22.4	41.3	-3.4	43%	-
vs Similar (14)	22.1	21.6	43.6	+0.5	43%	-
vs Weaker (2)	27.0	21.5	48.5	+5.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	17.3	37.4	+2.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.8	18.0	39.8	+3.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	16.7	35.0	+1.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	18.0	38.6	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	17.8	41.2	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	20.0	17.9	37.9	+2.1	67%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.4	18.8	39.2	+1.6	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	20.0	16.6	36.6	+3.4	56%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.3	41.2	80.5	-2.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.4	40.7	78.1	-3.4	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.9	41.7	82.6	-0.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.1	40.1	79.2	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.0	41.0	75.0	-7.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	34.8	42.4	77.2	-7.6	14%	-
vs Similar (14)	41.5	39.6	81.1	+1.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	55.0	44.0	99.0	+11.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	35.6	75.9	+4.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.9	34.5	77.3	+8.4	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.7	36.7	74.5	+1.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.0	35.4	78.4	+7.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.6	33.0	79.6	+13.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	35.9	39.1	75.0	-3.2	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	39.4	36.4	75.8	+3.0	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	43.1	33.4	76.4	+9.7	88%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Valga wins

Jurmala wins

Date	Game	Score
21/11/17	Jurmala v Valga	74-68
21/01/17	Valga v Jurmala	60-70
29/10/16	Jurmala v Valga	81-64
05/03/16	Jurmala v Valga	98-86
03/10/15	Valga v Jurmala	67-61

Valgalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/04/18	A	Valmiera/ORDO	105-88
31/03/18	A	Rapla	75-91
24/03/18	H	BK Ogre	63-78
21/03/18	H	BC Kalev/Cramo	54-87
17/03/18	A	Tallinna Kalev	68-87
14/03/18	A	Parnu	95-79
10/03/18	A	BK Liepaja	89-81
07/03/18	H	Jekabpils	72-63
02/03/18	H	Tartu Ulikool	76-96
28/02/18	A	Latvijas Universitate	89-77

Jurmalalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/03/18	H	Valmiera/ORDO	99-55
24/03/18	H	Jekabpils	90-85 OT
17/03/18	H	Latvijas Universitate	89-84
10/03/18	A	BK Ogre	88-86
03/03/18	A	Ventspils	74-82
24/02/18	A	Jekabpils	79-68
21/02/18	A	Valmiera/ORDO	86-83
11/02/18	A	Latvijas Universitate	76-71
07/01/18	A	Latvijas Universitate	82-81
30/12/17	H	BK Ogre	85-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valga

LBL 2017-18

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	40%
Home	WLLWL	29%
Away	LLWWW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	7	8
Win %	40%	29%	50%
Points / game	71.1	66.9	74.9
Allowed / game	76.5	76.3	76.6
Point differential	-5.3	-9.4	-1.8
Avg total	147.6	143.1	151.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	27%	14%	38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	0% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Jurmala

LBL 2017-18

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	78%
Home	LWWWW	75%
Away	WWWLW	82%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	12	11
Win %	78%	75%	82%
Points / game	83.0	84.3	81.5
Allowed / game	74.2	72.8	75.6
Point differential	+8.8	+11.5	+5.8
Avg total	157.1	157.2	157.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	30%	33%	27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	82% (11)	60% (5)	100% (6)
Overtime %	13%	17%	9%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Ventspils	24	22	2	92%	86.0	68.4	+17.6
2	VEF Riga	20	18	2	90%	86.5	65.0	+21.5
3	Jurmala	23	18	5	78%	83.0	74.2	+8.8
4	BK Ogre	25	17	8	68%	84.1	74.5	+9.6
5	Valga	15	6	9	40%	71.1	76.5	-5.3
6	Jekabpils	27	8	19	30%	69.3	77.1	-7.9
7	BK Liepaja	27	8	19	30%	72.9	85.0	-12.1
8	Latvijas Universitate	26	7	19	27%	73.7	81.1	-7.4
9	Valmiera/ORDO	29	4	25	14%	71.3	87.9	-16.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Valga	26	12	9	12	59
Jurmala	18	34	20	22	94

← all games of the day

Valga vs Jurmala Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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