Valga vs BK Liepaja Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Nov 2017

Tip-off: 14:30

Final 77-80

21-16 15-24 16-12 25-28

Position#5

Record2-3

FormLWLWW

Points / game64.4

Allowed / game75.8

Valga

BK Liepaja 🏆

Position#7

Record1-4

FormLWLLL

Points / game65.8

Allowed / game82.8

LBL

Other2017-18

Meetings · Valga v BK Liepaja

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valga winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

BK Liepaja winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Valga

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tal Tech

97-74

+23

H06/10

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Jekabpils

70-60

+10

A11/10

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

71-75

-4

H14/10

LBL

Audentese

110-40

110

+70

H17/10

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tallinna Kalev

99-77

+22

H20/10

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

VEF Riga

54-94

-40

A25/10

LBL

Rapla

90-79

+11

A28/10

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BC Kalev/Cramo

73-97

-24

A31/10

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Parnu

93-87

H04/11

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Latvijas Universitate

73-62

+11

H08/11

LBL

24-20

19-21

31-18

23-15

16-15

22-13

16-17

16-15

21-11

13-21

17-21

20-22

23-9

26-11

29-6

32-14

25-17

24-29

22-21

28-10

14-20

14-27

13-19

13-28

29-18

21-21

17-20

23-20

16-29

15-20

15-22

27-26

25-16

21-21

18-27

29-23

16-14

12-11

24-11

21-26

157.5Avg total

83.0Scored

74.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	64.4	75.8	140.2	-11.4	40%
Season at home (3)	66.0	75.0	141.0	-9.0	33%
Season away (2)	62.0	77.0	139.0	-15.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	83.0	74.5	157.5	+8.5	70%
Last 5 (5)	76.6	83.8	160.4	-7.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	75.5	91.9	167.4	-16.5	12%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	82.9	76.8	159.6	+6.1	75%
vs Weaker (5)	97.2	62.8	160.0	+34.4	80%

This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BK Liepaja Latvia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cyprus U18

47-80

-33

H04/07

EuroBasket U18 C

Kosovo U18

54-72

-18

A05/07

EuroBasket U18 C

Norway U18

52-76

-24

A06/07

EuroBasket U18 C

San Marino U18

63-53

+10

A08/07

EuroBasket U18 C

Kosovo U18

52-74

-22

A09/07

EuroBasket U18 C

VEF Riga

56-84

-28

A04/10

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

83-81

H07/10

LBL

BK Ogre

76-99

-23

H18/10

LBL

Ventspils

52-78

-26

H21/10

LBL

Jekabpils

62-72

-10

A28/10

LBL

13-22

14-22

12-21

8-15

13-15

6-17

23-18

12-22

15-24

9-19

19-15

9-18

26-14

17-13

14-9

6-17

11-17

15-28

15-19

11-10

13-19

13-25

17-31

13-9

21-21

20-20

17-23

25-17

19-20

18-23

20-27

19-29

8-24

9-21

14-22

21-11

13-23

8-13

18-13

23-23

136.6Avg total

59.7Scored

76.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	65.8	82.8	148.6	-17.0	20%
Season at home (3)	70.3	86.0	156.3	-15.7	33%
Season away (2)	59.0	78.0	137.0	-19.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	59.7	76.9	136.6	-17.2	20%
Last 5 (5)	65.8	82.8	148.6	-17.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)	72.5	86.7	159.1	-14.2	14%
vs Similar ◀ (5)	81.0	77.2	158.2	+3.8	80%
vs Weaker (4)	95.8	80.2	176.0	+15.5	100%

This opponent (Valga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ValgaBK Liepaja

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	21.5	42.5	-0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.7	18.6	41.3	+4.1	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.4	24.1	43.6	-4.7	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	16.9	37.8	+4.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	19.4	39.4	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	18.7	24.3	43.0	-5.6	24%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	21.6	20.6	42.2	+1.0	75%	-
vs Weaker (5)	27.6	13.6	41.2	+14.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	20.9	40.3	-1.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	21.0	42.1	+0.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	20.9	38.5	-3.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.2	19.9	35.1	-4.7	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.8	21.4	36.2	-6.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)	18.8	22.0	40.8	-3.2	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	18.2	17.4	35.6	+0.8	60%	-
vs Weaker (4)	24.0	19.8	43.8	+4.2	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	20.6	40.3	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.6	20.0	38.6	-1.4	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.8	21.1	41.8	-0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	19.5	38.2	-0.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	20.0	36.6	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	19.2	23.0	42.2	-3.8	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	18.8	18.5	37.2	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	23.2	15.6	38.8	+7.6	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	19.8	37.8	-1.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.0	19.3	38.3	-0.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.1	20.3	37.3	-3.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	12.9	20.1	33.0	-7.2	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.6	20.4	34.0	-6.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)	17.3	20.5	37.8	-3.2	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	16.8	18.0	34.8	-1.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (4)	23.5	18.5	42.0	+5.0	75%	-

ValgaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tal Tech

43-41

H06/10

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Jekabpils

38-28

+10

A11/10

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

34-32

H14/10

LBL

Audentese

49-20

+29

H17/10

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tallinna Kalev

49-46

H20/10

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

VEF Riga

28-47

-19

A25/10

LBL

Rapla

50-39

+11

A28/10

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BC Kalev/Cramo

31-49

-18

A31/10

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Parnu

46-37

H04/11

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Latvijas Universitate

28-25

H08/11

LBL

76.0Avg total

39.6Scored

36.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.7	42.1	82.8	-1.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.3	38.6	79.9	+2.7	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.2	45.2	85.4	-5.0	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.6	36.4	76.0	+3.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	39.4	76.0	-2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	37.9	47.3	85.2	-9.4	24%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	40.4	39.1	79.5	+1.2	75%	-
vs Weaker (5)	50.8	29.2	80.0	+21.6	100%	-

This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cyprus U18

27-44

-17

H04/07

EuroBasket U18 C

Kosovo U18

19-32

-13

A05/07

EuroBasket U18 C

Norway U18

24-43

-19

A06/07

EuroBasket U18 C

San Marino U18

43-27

+16

A08/07

EuroBasket U18 C

Kosovo U18

26-45

-19

A09/07

EuroBasket U18 C

VEF Riga

26-44

-18

A04/10

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

41-41

H07/10

LBL

BK Ogre

37-43

-6

H18/10

LBL

Ventspils

17-45

-28

H21/10

LBL

Jekabpils

21-36

-15

A28/10

LBL

68.1Avg total

28.1Scored

40.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.4	40.7	78.2	-3.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.1	40.3	80.5	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.7	41.1	75.9	-6.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	28.1	40.0	68.1	-11.9	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.4	41.8	70.2	-13.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)	36.1	42.5	78.6	-6.4	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	35.0	35.4	70.4	-0.4	40%	-
vs Weaker (4)	47.5	38.2	85.8	+9.2	75%	-

This opponent (Valga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	20.0	38.5	-1.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	18.6	39.2	+2.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.6	21.2	37.9	-4.6	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	18.2	38.4	+2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	19.8	37.2	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	16.6	21.8	38.4	-5.2	18%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	19.5	18.9	38.4	+0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	23.4	15.6	39.0	+7.8	60%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	21.4	41.4	-1.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	21.6	42.5	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.0	21.3	40.3	-2.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	19.8	36.7	-2.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	23.2	40.4	-6.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)	18.7	22.8	41.5	-4.0	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	20.4	16.6	37.0	+3.8	80%	-
vs Weaker (4)	25.8	20.5	46.2	+5.2	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	20.9	42.8	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.9	21.9	44.8	+1.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.9	20.1	41.1	+0.8	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	19.9	43.1	+3.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	24.6	47.2	-2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	21.0	22.8	43.8	-1.8	47%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	23.0	18.8	41.8	+4.2	75%	-
vs Weaker (5)	23.0	18.0	41.0	+5.0	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	21.2	40.0	-2.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	20.3	39.6	-0.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	22.1	40.5	-3.8	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.7	17.1	31.8	-2.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	17.8	38.0	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)	17.1	20.7	37.8	-3.6	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	23.2	23.2	46.4	+0.0	40%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.5	21.5	44.0	+1.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	40.9	81.3	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.6	40.4	84.0	+3.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.6	41.4	78.9	-3.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.4	38.1	81.5	+5.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	44.4	84.4	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	37.6	44.6	82.2	-7.1	18%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	42.5	37.6	80.1	+4.9	62%	-
vs Weaker (5)	46.4	33.6	80.0	+12.8	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	42.6	81.4	-3.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.2	41.9	82.1	-1.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.3	43.4	80.7	-6.1	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	31.6	36.9	68.5	-5.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	41.0	78.4	-3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)	35.8	43.4	79.2	-7.6	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	43.6	39.8	83.4	+3.8	60%	-
vs Weaker (4)	48.2	42.0	90.2	+6.2	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Valga wins

BK Liepaja wins

Date	Game	Score
29/03/17	BK Liepaja v Valga	108-85
21/12/16	Valga v BK Liepaja	58-93
02/04/16	Valga v BK Liepaja	84-67
29/12/15	BK Liepaja v Valga	96-73
16/11/12	Valga v BK Liepaja	60-57
04/10/12	BK Liepaja v Valga	96-66

Valgalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/11/17	H	Latvijas Universitate	73-62
04/11/17	H	Parnu	93-87
31/10/17	A	BC Kalev/Cramo	73-97
28/10/17	A	Rapla	90-79
25/10/17	A	VEF Riga	54-94
20/10/17	H	Tallinna Kalev	99-77
17/10/17	H	Audentese	110-40
14/10/17	H	Valmiera/ORDO	71-75
11/10/17	A	Jekabpils	70-60
06/10/17	H	Tal Tech	97-74

BK Liepajalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/10/17	A	Jekabpils	62-72
21/10/17	H	Ventspils	52-78
18/10/17	H	BK Ogre	76-99
07/10/17	H	Valmiera/ORDO	83-81
04/10/17	A	VEF Riga	56-84
09/07/17	A	Kosovo U18	52-74
08/07/17	A	San Marino U18	63-53
06/07/17	A	Norway U18	52-76
05/07/17	A	Kosovo U18	54-72
04/07/17	H	Cyprus U18	47-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valga

LBL 2017-18

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	40%
Home	LLW	33%
Away	WL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	3	2
Win %	40%	33%	50%
Points / game	64.4	66.0	62.0
Allowed / game	75.8	75.0	77.0
Point differential	-11.4	-9.0	-15.0
Avg total	140.2	141.0	139.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	40%	33%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

BK Liepaja

LBL 2017-18

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	20%
Home	WLL	33%
Away	LL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	3	2
Win %	20%	33%	0%
Points / game	65.8	70.3	59.0
Allowed / game	82.8	86.0	78.0
Point differential	-17.0	-15.7	-19.0
Avg total	148.6	156.3	137.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Ventspils	8	8	0	100%	86.2	63.1	+23.1
2	BK Ogre	6	5	1	83%	83.2	70.3	+12.8
3	VEF Riga	5	4	1	80%	83.8	65.0	+18.8
4	Jurmala	8	5	3	62%	81.6	68.6	+13.0
5	Valga	5	2	3	40%	64.4	75.8	-11.4
6	Latvijas Universitate	7	2	5	29%	68.1	79.3	-11.1
7	Jekabpils	7	2	5	29%	59.7	71.6	-11.9
8	BK Liepaja	5	1	4	20%	65.8	82.8	-17.0
9	Valmiera/ORDO	9	1	8	11%	70.1	87.6	-17.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Valga	21	15	16	25	77
BK Liepaja	16	24	12	28	80

← all games of the day

Valga vs BK Liepaja Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature