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Valparaiso vs Elon Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 71-66
42-29 29-37
Position#306
Record4-7
FormWLLWL
Points / game69.5
Allowed / game75.5
Valparaiso 🏆
USA
vs
Elon
USA
Position#349
Record2-9
FormLLLWL
Points / game68.9
Allowed / game73.5
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valparaiso winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Elon winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Michigan
#345
W
81-65
81
65
+16
H13/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
L
74-87
74
87
-13
A17/11
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#284
W
68-64
68
64
+4
H20/11
NCAA
Samford
#78
L
49-79
49
79
-30
A23/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#154
L
50-61
50
61
-11
H25/11
NCAA
James Madison
#69
W
81-79 OT
81
79
+2
H27/11
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
64-76
64
76
-12
A02/12
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
70-77 OT
70
77
-7
H04/12
NCAA
Trinity (IL)
#529
W
96-60
96
60
+36
H07/12
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
L
61-98
61
98
-37
A10/12
NCAA
1H
2H
40-36
41-29
24-49
50-38
29-26
39-38
22-52
27-27
23-23
27-38
36-37
38-37
27-33
37-43
30-29
32-33
50-32
46-28
30-53
31-45
144.0Avg total
69.4Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)69.575.5145.0-6.136%
Season at home (6)74.367.7142.0+6.767%
Season away (5)63.685.0148.6-21.40%
Last 10 (10)69.474.6144.0-5.240%
Last 5 (5)74.478.0152.4-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)62.675.2137.8-12.68%
vs Similar ◀ (13)71.377.1148.4-5.846%
vs Weaker (4)80.861.0141.8+19.8100%
This opponent (Elon) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ElonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Tennessee St
#286
L
64-77
64
77
-13
A12/11
NCAA
Harvard
#207
L
77-92
77
92
-15
H13/11
NCAA
North Dakota
#276
L
73-77
73
77
-4
H18/11
NCAA
NC State
#66
L
63-74
63
74
-11
A19/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#266
L
53-78
53
78
-25
A23/11
NCAA
Radford
#137
L
53-69
53
69
-16
H27/11
NCAA
High Point
#244
L
70-84
70
84
-14
A01/12
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
L
61-65
61
65
-4
H03/12
NCAA
Johnson & Wales (RI)
#535
W
101-69
101
69
+32
H11/12
NCAA
Presbyterian
#363
L
63-69
63
69
-6
A15/12
NCAA
1H
2H
31-39
33-38
36-47
41-45
27-37
46-40
27-37
36-37
29-39
24-39
29-30
24-39
31-41
39-43
23-33
38-32
50-34
51-35
35-28
28-41
143.2Avg total
67.8Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)68.973.5142.5-4.618%
Season at home (6)74.271.2145.3+3.033%
Season away (5)62.676.4139.0-13.80%
Last 10 (10)67.875.4143.2-7.610%
Last 5 (5)69.671.2140.8-1.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)64.973.0137.9-8.018%
vs Similar ◀ (4)69.867.2137.0+2.550%
vs Weaker (3)74.362.7137.0+11.767%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -5.9-5.91st half: -4.7-4.72nd half2nd half: +1.2+1.22nd half: -2.9-2.9
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -5.9-5.91st half: -4.7-4.72nd half2nd half: +1.2+1.22nd half: -2.9-2.9
ValparaisoElon
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Michigan
#345
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H13/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
L
24-49
24
49
-25
A17/11
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#284
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H20/11
NCAA
Samford
#78
L
22-52
22
52
-30
A23/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#154
D
23-23
23
23
+0
H25/11
NCAA
James Madison
#69
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H27/11
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A02/12
NCAA
Murray State
#182
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H04/12
NCAA
Trinity (IL)
#529
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H07/12
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
L
30-53
30
53
-23
A10/12
NCAA
68.1Avg total
31.1Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.835.566.4-4.737%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.032.165.1+0.950%-
Last 30 away (14)28.439.567.9-11.121%-
Last 10 (10)31.137.068.1-5.940%-
Last 5 (5)34.636.871.4-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)27.235.562.7-8.215%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)31.037.568.5-6.538%-
vs Weaker (4)42.029.271.2+12.8100%-
This opponent (Elon) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ElonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Tennessee St
#286
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A12/11
NCAA
Harvard
#207
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H13/11
NCAA
North Dakota
#276
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H18/11
NCAA
NC State
#66
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A19/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#266
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A23/11
NCAA
Radford
#137
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H27/11
NCAA
High Point
#244
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A01/12
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
L
23-33
23
33
-10
H03/12
NCAA
Johnson & Wales (RI)
#535
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H11/12
NCAA
Presbyterian
#363
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A15/12
NCAA
68.3Avg total
31.8Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.433.264.6-1.840%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.032.065.0+1.047%-
Last 30 away (15)29.834.364.1-4.533%-
Last 10 (10)31.836.568.3-4.720%-
Last 5 (5)33.633.266.8+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)29.834.864.6-5.027%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)35.528.263.8+7.275%-
vs Weaker (3)34.030.764.7+3.367%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Valparaiso wins
0
Elon wins
No previous meetings.
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/22AOle Miss61-98
07/12/22HTrinity (IL)96-60
04/12/22HMurray State70-77 OT
02/12/22ABelmont64-76
27/11/22HJames Madison81-79 OT
25/11/22HSouth Dakota St.50-61
23/11/22ASamford49-79
20/11/22HIncarnate Word68-64
17/11/22AChicago State74-87
13/11/22HWestern Michigan81-65
Elonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/22APresbyterian63-69
11/12/22HJohnson & Wales (RI)101-69
03/12/22HNC Greensboro61-65
01/12/22AHigh Point70-84
27/11/22HRadford53-69
23/11/22AJacksonville State53-78
19/11/22ANC State63-74
18/11/22HNorth Dakota73-77
13/11/22HHarvard77-92
12/11/22AEast Tennessee St64-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valparaiso
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL36%
HomeWLWLW67%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %36%67%0%
Points / game69.574.363.6
Allowed / game75.567.785.0
Point differential-6.1+6.7-21.4
Avg total145.0142.0148.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %18%33%0%
Elon
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL18%
HomeLLLLW33%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %18%33%0%
Points / game68.974.262.6
Allowed / game73.571.276.4
Point differential-4.6+3.0-13.8
Avg total142.5145.3139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State129375%83.572.6+10.9
2 Drake118373%73.067.7+5.3
3 Southern Illinois128467%68.861.5+7.3
4 Bradley117464%67.960.7+7.2
5 Illinois (Chi.)117464%69.865.3+4.5
6 Murray State117464%72.568.5+3.9
7 Belmont116555%76.574.0+2.5
8 Illinois State125742%68.070.9-2.9
9 Northern Iowa114736%70.966.6+4.3
10 Valparaiso114736%69.575.5-6.1
11 Evansville123925%61.171.2-10.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Coastal Athletic Association conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Charleston1211192%79.971.1+8.8
2 NC Wilmington118373%69.461.3+8.1
3 Towson128467%69.866.9+2.9
4 Hofstra116555%70.473.7-3.4
5 Drexel126650%66.862.2+4.6
6 N. Carolina A&T105550%71.570.1+1.4
7 Campbell115645%70.766.9+3.8
8 William & Mary124833%68.169.7-1.6
9 Stony Brook124833%63.669.4-5.8
10 Northeastern93633%61.868.3-6.6
11 Hampton113827%69.278.4-9.2
12 Elon112918%68.973.5-4.6
13 Monmouth121118%61.082.9-21.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Valparaiso422971
Elon293766
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