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Valparaiso vs James Madison Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 81-79 (OT)
36-37 38-37 7-5
Position#306
Record2-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game65.3
Allowed / game73.5
Valparaiso 🏆
USA
vs
James Madison
USA
Position#69
Record6-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game94.9
Allowed / game60.1
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valparaiso winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
James Madison winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drake
#64
L
65-71
65
71
-6
H24/02
NCAA
Bradley
#164
L
55-79
55
79
-24
A27/02
NCAA
Evansville
#349
W
81-59
81
59
+22
H04/03
NCAA
Missouri State
#49
L
58-67
58
67
-9
A05/03
NCAA
Toledo
#18
L
70-85
70
85
-15
A08/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#345
W
81-65
81
65
+16
H13/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
L
74-87
74
87
-13
A17/11
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#284
W
68-64
68
64
+4
H20/11
NCAA
Samford
#78
L
49-79
49
79
-30
A23/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#154
L
50-61
50
61
-11
H25/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-31
36-40
13-34
42-45
43-32
38-27
28-35
30-32
26-52
44-33
40-36
41-29
24-49
50-38
29-26
39-38
22-52
27-27
23-23
27-38
136.8Avg total
65.1Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)65.373.5138.8-8.233%
Season at home (3)66.363.3129.7+3.067%
Season away (3)64.383.7148.0-19.30%
Last 10 (10)65.171.7136.8-6.630%
Last 5 (5)64.471.2135.6-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)60.874.8135.6-14.00%
vs Similar (12)71.974.6146.5-2.750%
vs Weaker (6)75.560.8136.3+14.7100%
This opponent (James Madison) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
James MadisonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charleston
#182
W
71-63
71
63
+8
A18/02
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#54
L
77-78 OT
77
78
-1
A20/02
NCAA
Towson
#43
L
59-95
59
95
-36
H26/02
NCAA
Valley Forge
#691
W
123-38
123
38
+85
H07/11
NCAA
Hampton
#350
W
106-58
106
58
+48
H10/11
NCAA
Buffalo
#231
W
97-62
97
62
+35
A12/11
NCAA
Howard
#99
W
95-69
95
69
+26
A16/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
L
64-80
64
80
-16
A20/11
NCAA
Coastal Georgia
#490
W
100-54
100
54
+46
H25/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#154
W
79-60
79
60
+19
A26/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-28
37-35
37-39
34-32
21-45
38-50
72-11
51-27
57-19
49-39
40-24
57-38
43-31
52-38
26-45
38-35
49-23
51-31
37-29
42-31
152.8Avg total
87.1Scored
65.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)94.960.1155.0+34.786%
Season at home (3)109.750.0159.7+59.7100%
Season away (4)83.867.8151.5+16.075%
Last 10 (10)87.165.7152.8+21.470%
Last 5 (5)87.065.0152.0+22.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)60.584.5145.0-24.00%
vs Similar (13)72.876.5149.3-3.638%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)83.268.9152.2+14.377%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-15-8+0+8+151st half1st half: -9.3-9.31st half: +12.2+12.22nd half2nd half: +2.7+2.72nd half: +9.3+9.3
-15-8+0+8+151st half1st half: -9.3-9.31st half: +12.2+12.22nd half2nd half: +2.7+2.72nd half: +9.3+9.3
ValparaisoJames Madison
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drake
#64
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H24/02
NCAA
Bradley
#164
L
13-34
13
34
-21
A27/02
NCAA
Evansville
#349
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H04/03
NCAA
Missouri State
#49
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A05/03
NCAA
Toledo
#18
L
26-52
26
52
-26
A08/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#345
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H13/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
L
24-49
24
49
-25
A17/11
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#284
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H20/11
NCAA
Samford
#78
L
22-52
22
52
-30
A23/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#154
D
23-23
23
23
+0
H25/11
NCAA
64.7Avg total
27.7Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.034.265.2-3.240%-
Last 30 at home (17)32.831.264.0+1.647%-
Last 30 away (13)28.638.266.8-9.631%-
Last 10 (10)27.737.064.7-9.330%-
Last 5 (5)27.637.264.8-9.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)26.535.562.0-9.118%-
vs Similar (12)30.836.367.2-5.533%-
vs Weaker (6)37.729.867.5+7.883%-
This opponent (James Madison) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
James MadisonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charleston
#182
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A18/02
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#54
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A20/02
NCAA
Towson
#43
L
21-45
21
45
-24
H26/02
NCAA
Valley Forge
#691
W
72-11
72
11
+61
H07/11
NCAA
Hampton
#350
W
57-19
57
19
+38
H10/11
NCAA
Buffalo
#231
W
40-24
40
24
+16
A12/11
NCAA
Howard
#99
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A16/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
L
26-45
26
45
-19
A20/11
NCAA
Coastal Georgia
#490
W
49-23
49
23
+26
H25/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#154
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A26/11
NCAA
71.0Avg total
41.6Scored
29.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.932.469.3+4.557%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.632.472.1+7.256%-
Last 30 away (14)33.832.466.2+1.457%-
Last 10 (10)41.629.471.0+12.270%-
Last 5 (5)39.030.469.4+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)25.535.060.5-9.550%-
vs Similar (13)34.534.068.5+0.546%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)38.832.170.9+6.869%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Valparaiso wins
0
James Madison wins
No previous meetings.
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/22HSouth Dakota St.50-61
23/11/22ASamford49-79
20/11/22HIncarnate Word68-64
17/11/22AChicago State74-87
13/11/22HWestern Michigan81-65
08/11/22AToledo70-85
05/03/22AMissouri State58-67
04/03/22HEvansville81-59
27/02/22ABradley55-79
24/02/22HDrake65-71
James Madisonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/22ASouth Dakota St.79-60
25/11/22HCoastal Georgia100-54
20/11/22ANorth Carolina64-80
16/11/22AHoward95-69
12/11/22ABuffalo97-62
10/11/22HHampton106-58
07/11/22HValley Forge123-38
26/02/22HTowson59-95
20/02/22ANC Wilmington77-78 OT
18/02/22ACharleston71-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valparaiso
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL33%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%67%0%
Points / game65.366.364.3
Allowed / game73.563.383.7
Point differential-8.2+3.0-19.3
Avg total138.8129.7148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
James Madison
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW86%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %86%100%75%
Points / game94.9109.783.8
Allowed / game60.150.067.8
Point differential+34.7+59.7+16.0
Avg total155.0159.7151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+86%100%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake660100%74.762.7+12.0
2 Indiana State65183%81.569.7+11.8
3 Illinois (Chi.)75271%74.465.4+9.0
4 Southern Illinois64267%63.059.2+3.8
5 Bradley74357%72.663.6+9.0
6 Murray State63350%76.370.5+5.8
7 Belmont63350%77.076.5+0.5
8 Northern Iowa52340%75.867.4+8.4
9 Valparaiso62433%65.373.5-8.2
10 Illinois State72529%61.367.0-5.7
11 Evansville72529%61.169.4-8.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Miss660100%74.055.7+18.3
2 James Madison76186%94.960.1+34.7
3 Troy76186%86.062.3+23.7
4 Marshall65183%86.568.8+17.7
5 Louisiana Lafayette65183%82.771.5+11.2
6 Appalachian State75271%80.669.4+11.1
7 Georgia State64267%68.364.0+4.3
8 Coastal Carolina53260%80.463.4+17.0
9 Old Dominion74357%71.466.0+5.4
10 Georgia Southern74357%68.966.9+2.0
11 Texas State74357%65.765.0+0.7
12 Arkansas State63350%68.263.3+4.8
13 South Alabama62433%70.766.2+4.5
14 Louisiana Monroe72529%72.672.0+0.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Valparaiso3638781
James Madison3737579
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