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Valur vs Stjarnan Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 02 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 77-86
24-24 23-16 12-21 18-25
Position#1
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game91.5
Allowed / game76.8
vs
Position#7
Record2-2
FormLLLWW
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game84.0
IcelandPremier leagueRound 5· Origo-hollin Hlidarenda
Other2023-24
Meetings · Valur v Stjarnan
08 Oct 2026
VALU90
STJA77
08 Jan 2026
VALU102
STJA105
05 Jan 2025
VALU83
STJA79
02 Nov 2023
VALU77
STJA86
11 Apr 2023
VALU96
STJA89
04 Apr 2023
VALU89
STJA94
06 Oct 2022
VALU76
STJA84
11 Apr 2022
VALU95
STJA85
05 Apr 2022
VALU90
STJA85
10 Feb 2022
VALU74
STJA78
02 Oct 2020
VALU86
STJA91
07 Feb 2020
VALU108
STJA78
08 Nov 2018
VALU97
STJA92
10 Nov 2017
VALU110
STJA104
07 Mar 2014
VALU82
STJA117
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valur winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stjarnan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValurIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValur
Date
Competition
Thorl
#6
W
102-95
102
95
+7
no box
H02/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
L
82-83
82
83
-1
no box
H06/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
W
100-87
100
87
+13
no box
A09/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
L
79-90
79
90
-11
no box
H12/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
W
82-69
82
69
+13
no box
A15/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
L
81-82
81
82
-1
no box
H18/05
Premier league
Thorl
#4
W
96-81
96
81
+15
96avg 87
A06/10
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
100-64
100
64
+36
104avg 87
H11/10
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
L
86-87
86
87
-1
77avg 87
A19/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
W
84-75
84
75
+9
70avg 87
A27/10
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
32-23
24-16
24-35
15-20
15-29
15-14
37-20
30-23
25-24
23-15
22-25
21-21
28-21
17-28
13-20
23-38
20-10
21-12
18-9
27-14
16-24
20-26
18-18
15-25
29-20
33-23
19-13
27-24
29-7
21-11
23-22
22-19
29-20
15-21
20-27
21-15
26-17
17-22
20-21
170.5Avg total
89.2Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)91.576.8168.2+14.875%
Season at home (1)100.064.0164.0+36.0100%
Season away (3)88.781.0169.7+7.767%
Last 10 (10)89.281.3170.5+7.960%
Last 5 (5)89.477.8167.2+11.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)87.985.1173.0+2.953%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)87.976.6164.5+11.380%
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StjarnanIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStjarnan
Date
Competition
Thorl
#6
L
84-98
84
98
-14
no box
H24/03
Premier league
KR Basket
#12
W
118-100
118
100
+18
no box
A30/03
Premier league
Valur
#2
W
94-89
94
89
+5
no box
A04/04
Premier league
Valur
#2
L
73-95
73
95
-22
no box
H07/04
Premier league
Valur
#2
L
89-96
89
96
-7
no box
A11/04
Premier league
Valur
#2
L
68-74
68
74
-6
no box
H14/04
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
L
88-91
88
91
-3
83avg 76
A05/10
Premier league
Thorl
#4
L
80-84
80
84
-4
59avg 76
H12/10
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
90-80
90
80
+10
79avg 76
A19/10
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
W
87-81
87
81
+6
81avg 76
H26/10
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-22
20-27
20-20
30-29
34-25
32-21
30-23
22-31
25-24
25-23
26-26
18-16
11-22
22-28
18-23
22-22
15-22
33-29
23-16
18-29
15-19
16-13
21-25
16-17
18-20
23-21
24-20
23-30
17-22
22-19
20-19
21-24
17-28
25-15
26-19
22-18
26-26
12-28
22-17
27-10
175.9Avg total
87.1Scored
88.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)86.284.0170.2+2.250%
Season at home (2)83.582.5166.0+1.050%
Season away (2)89.085.5174.5+3.550%
Last 10 (10)87.188.8175.9-1.740%
Last 5 (5)82.682.0164.6+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)82.389.8172.1-7.515%
vs Similar (12)90.090.5180.5-0.550%
vs Weaker (4)100.286.0186.2+14.2100%
This opponent (Valur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -0.7-0.7
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -0.7-0.7
ValurStjarnan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Thorl
#6
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H02/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
L
30-49
30
49
-19
H06/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
W
55-47
55
47
+8
A09/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H12/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A15/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H18/05
Premier league
Thorl
#4
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A06/10
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
56-31
56
31
+25
H11/10
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A19/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A27/10
Premier league
88.7Avg total
47.2Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.740.985.6+3.863%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.741.485.1+2.450%-
Last 30 away (16)45.640.686.1+5.075%-
Last 10 (10)47.241.588.7+5.770%-
Last 5 (5)48.237.085.2+11.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)44.944.088.9+0.953%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)44.537.982.3+6.673%-
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StjarnanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Thorl
#6
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H24/03
Premier league
KR Basket
#12
W
66-46
66
46
+20
A30/03
Premier league
Valur
#2
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A04/04
Premier league
Valur
#2
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H07/04
Premier league
Valur
#2
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A11/04
Premier league
Valur
#2
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H14/04
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A05/10
Premier league
Thorl
#4
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H12/10
Premier league
Hamar
#12
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A19/10
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H26/10
Premier league
87.6Avg total
42.2Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.344.687.9-1.337%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.242.984.1-1.635%-
Last 30 away (13)46.046.992.9-0.938%-
Last 10 (10)42.245.487.6-3.220%-
Last 5 (5)38.242.280.4-4.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)40.546.286.6-5.723%-
vs Similar (12)43.444.287.7-0.833%-
vs Weaker (4)52.042.294.2+9.875%-
This opponent (Valur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur: 90.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀50%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.5 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.5 pts a game · 9% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.018.2
48.0%
51.2%36.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.815.0
39.7%
34.2%45.0
🏀 Free throws15.58.5
54.8%
74.4%8.5
They take 75.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Stjarnantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stjarnan: 86.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.820.0
54.4%
51.2%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.010.8
31.6%
34.2%32.2
🏀 Free throws17.214.0
81.2%
74.4%14.0
They take 70.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/4 games with a box score before 02 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valur
WLWWLWLWLW
Stjarnan
WWLLLLLWWL
#1
League position
#7
+17.0
Net rating
+3.4
111.2
Offensive rating
107.2
94.2
Defensive rating
103.8
53.8%
Effective FG%
51.1%
45.8%
Opp. effective FG%
47.2%
15.3%
Turnover %
14.3%
29.8%
Off. rebound %
23.3%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.24
39.7%
3-point %
31.6%
63.9%
Assist %
56.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.2 · 107.2Defence94.2 · 103.8Shooting53.8% · 51.1%3-point %39.7% · 31.6%Ball care15.3% · 14.3%Off. rebounds29.8% · 23.3%Free throws0.20 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Valur   ■ Stjarnan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Valur wins
2
Stjarnan wins
DateGameScore
14/04/23Stjarnan v Valur68-74
11/04/23Valur v Stjarnan96-89
07/04/23Stjarnan v Valur73-95
04/04/23Valur v Stjarnan89-94
14/01/23Stjarnan v Valur66-72
05/01/23Stjarnan v Valur76-80 OT
06/10/22Valur v Stjarnan76-84
11/04/22Valur v Stjarnan95-85
08/04/22Stjarnan v Valur92-94 OT
05/04/22Valur v Stjarnan90-85
Valurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/23ATindastoll84-75
19/10/23AKeflavik86-87
11/10/23HHamar100-64
06/10/23AThorl96-81
18/05/23HTindastoll81-82
15/05/23ATindastoll82-69
12/05/23HTindastoll79-90
09/05/23ATindastoll100-87
06/05/23HTindastoll82-83
02/05/23HThorl102-95
Stjarnanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/23HKeflavik87-81
19/10/23AHamar90-80
12/10/23HThorl80-84
05/10/23ANjardvik88-91
14/04/23HValur68-74
11/04/23AValur89-96
07/04/23HValur73-95
04/04/23AValur94-89
30/03/23AKR Basket118-100
24/03/23HThorl84-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valur
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %75%100%67%
Points / game91.5100.088.7
Allowed / game76.864.081.0
Point differential+14.8+36.0+7.7
Avg total168.2164.0169.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Stjarnan
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game86.283.589.0
Allowed / game84.082.585.5
Point differential+2.2+1.0+3.5
Avg total170.2166.0174.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valur43175%91.576.8+14.8
2 Njardvik43175%92.883.8+9.0
3 Alftanes43175%83.074.8+8.2
4 Tindastoll43175%89.083.2+5.8
5 Thorl43175%83.285.0-1.8
6 Haukar42250%98.088.0+10.0
7 Stjarnan42250%86.284.0+2.2
8 Hottur42250%84.587.8-3.2
9 Keflavik42250%91.895.2-3.5
10 Grindavik41325%94.295.2-1.0
11 Hamar4040%84.599.8-15.2
12 Breidablik4040%78.0103.2-25.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valur2423121877
Stjarnan2416212586
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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