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Valur vs Stjarnan Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 102-105
21-35 19-26 26-18 36-26
Position#4
Record9-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game90.1
vs
Position#3
Record7-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game100.3
Allowed / game92.8
IcelandPremier leagueRound 13· Origo-hollin Hlidarenda
Other2025-26
Meetings · Valur v Stjarnan
08 Oct 2026
VALU90
STJA77
08 Jan 2026
VALU102
STJA105
05 Jan 2025
VALU83
STJA79
02 Nov 2023
VALU77
STJA86
11 Apr 2023
VALU96
STJA89
04 Apr 2023
VALU89
STJA94
06 Oct 2022
VALU76
STJA84
11 Apr 2022
VALU95
STJA85
05 Apr 2022
VALU90
STJA85
10 Feb 2022
VALU74
STJA78
02 Oct 2020
VALU86
STJA91
07 Feb 2020
VALU108
STJA78
08 Nov 2018
VALU97
STJA92
10 Nov 2017
VALU110
STJA104
07 Mar 2014
VALU82
STJA117
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valur winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stjarnan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValurIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValur
Date
Competition
Thorl
#11
W
119-117 OT
119
117
+2
117avg 84
A23/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
55-90
55
90
-35
46avg 84
H30/10
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
W
83-81
83
81
+2
78avg 84
A06/11
Premier league
Alftanes
#8
W
92-80
92
80
+12
79avg 84
H14/11
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
W
99-91
99
91
+8
94avg 84
A20/11
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
94-86
94
86
+8
89avg 84
H05/12
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
W
111-91
111
91
+20
106avg 84
H11/12
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#12
W
85-69
85
69
+16
73avg 84
H15/12
Icelandic Cup
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
85-82
85
82
+3
75avg 84
A18/12
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
W
108-99 OT
108
99
+9
101avg 84
A03/01
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-25
27-26
27-25
28-23
13-21
14-22
15-25
13-22
24-22
25-16
15-22
19-21
25-27
16-14
27-13
24-26
28-28
24-19
24-24
23-20
24-29
26-22
24-22
20-13
30-24
25-20
32-24
24-23
25-26
22-18
20-16
18-9
19-19
22-27
27-16
17-20
31-14
17-30
13-22
28-23
181.7Avg total
93.1Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)93.090.1183.1+2.975%
Season at home (6)88.586.2174.7+2.367%
Season away (6)97.594.0191.5+3.583%
Last 10 (10)93.188.6181.7+4.590%
Last 5 (5)96.685.4182.0+11.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)82.691.6174.2-9.020%
vs Similar (14)89.483.1172.4+6.379%
vs Weaker (10)91.882.3174.1+9.590%
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StjarnanIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStjarnan
Date
Competition
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
91-93
91
93
-2
54avg 88
H24/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
95-96
95
96
-1
81avg 88
A31/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
105-101
105
101
+4
97avg 88
A06/11
Premier league
Armann
#10
W
114-88
114
88
+26
118avg 88
H13/11
Premier league
Thorl
#11
L
97-99
97
99
-2
92avg 88
A20/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
W
118-67
118
67
+51
123avg 88
H07/12
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
W
115-85
115
85
+30
129avg 88
A11/12
Premier league
Alftanes
#13
W
94-74
94
74
+20
88avg 88
H15/12
Icelandic Cup
Alftanes
#8
W
108-104
108
104
+4
108avg 88
H19/12
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
W
98-96
98
96
+2
92avg 88
H03/01
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-17
21-27
18-26
27-23
24-29
15-34
28-15
28-18
32-26
29-20
19-32
25-23
33-25
28-38
30-12
23-13
22-25
31-25
30-24
14-25
24-27
33-20
31-15
30-5
36-19
31-24
26-20
22-22
26-21
19-25
26-15
23-13
23-35
28-13
34-28
23-28
30-21
21-22
20-30
27-23
193.8Avg total
103.5Scored
90.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)100.392.8193.2+7.558%
Season at home (6)103.889.8193.7+14.083%
Season away (6)96.895.8192.7+1.033%
Last 10 (10)103.590.3193.8+13.270%
Last 5 (5)106.685.2191.8+21.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)96.789.7186.3+7.044%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)95.692.8188.3+2.860%
This opponent (Valur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +4.9+4.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +4.9+4.9
ValurStjarnan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Thorl
#11
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A23/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H30/10
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A06/11
Premier league
Alftanes
#8
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H14/11
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A20/11
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H05/12
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H11/12
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#12
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H15/12
Icelandic Cup
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A18/12
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A03/01
Premier league
90.3Avg total
45.4Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.543.287.7+1.347%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.943.489.2+2.550%-
Last 30 away (16)43.243.186.3+0.244%-
Last 10 (10)45.444.990.3+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)48.245.894.0+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)39.848.888.6-9.020%-
vs Similar (14)45.142.887.9+2.443%-
vs Weaker (10)45.640.986.5+4.760%-
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StjarnanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H24/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
39-63
39
63
-24
A31/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
61-46
61
46
+15
A06/11
Premier league
Armann
#10
L
61-63
61
63
-2
H13/11
Premier league
Thorl
#11
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A20/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H07/12
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
W
67-43
67
43
+24
A11/12
Premier league
Alftanes
#13
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H15/12
Icelandic Cup
Alftanes
#8
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H19/12
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H03/01
Premier league
102.4Avg total
53.1Scored
49.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.448.097.4+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.147.396.4+1.767%-
Last 30 away (15)49.748.798.3+1.047%-
Last 10 (10)53.149.3102.4+3.870%-
Last 5 (5)54.245.499.6+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)46.950.197.0-3.244%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)50.747.197.8+3.665%-
This opponent (Valur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur: 92.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.422.8
50.2%
54.6%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.411.2
36.8%
34.0%33.6
🏀 Free throws19.513.5
69.2%
74.2%13.5
They take 75.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Stjarnantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stjarnan: 102.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.2 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.330.1
58.7%
54.6%60.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.07.6
30.4%
34.0%22.8
🏀 Free throws26.619.7
74.1%
74.2%19.7
They take 76.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valur
WWWWWWWWLW
Stjarnan
WWWWWLWWLL
#4
League position
#3
+5.6
Net rating
+15.5
112.2
Offensive rating
119.2
106.6
Defensive rating
103.6
52.2%
Effective FG%
54.4%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
15.0%
Turnover %
14.1%
32.5%
Off. rebound %
32.7%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.35
36.8%
3-point %
30.4%
56.5%
Assist %
64.7%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence112.2 · 119.2Defence106.6 · 103.6Shooting52.2% · 54.4%3-point %36.8% · 30.4%Ball care15.0% · 14.1%Off. rebounds32.5% · 32.7%Free throws0.26 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)90% · 70%
■ Valur   ■ Stjarnan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Valur wins
5
Stjarnan wins
DateGameScore
11/10/25Stjarnan v Valur94-91
05/01/25Valur v Stjarnan83-79
04/10/24Stjarnan v Valur95-81
02/02/24Stjarnan v Valur81-85
21/01/24Stjarnan v Valur84-79
02/11/23Valur v Stjarnan77-86
14/04/23Stjarnan v Valur68-74
11/04/23Valur v Stjarnan96-89
07/04/23Stjarnan v Valur73-95
04/04/23Valur v Stjarnan89-94
Valurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26ATindastoll108-99 OT
18/12/25AIR Reykjavik85-82
15/12/25HIR Reykjavik85-69
11/12/25HKeflavik111-91
05/12/25HNjardvik94-86
20/11/25AKR Basket99-91
14/11/25HAlftanes92-80
06/11/25AAkranes IA83-81
30/10/25HGrindavik55-90
23/10/25AThorl119-117 OT
Stjarnanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26HKR Basket98-96
19/12/25HAlftanes108-104
15/12/25HAlftanes94-74
11/12/25AAkranes IA115-85
07/12/25HGrindavik118-67
20/11/25AThorl97-99
13/11/25HArmann114-88
06/11/25ANjardvik105-101
31/10/25ATindastoll95-96
24/10/25HIR Reykjavik91-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valur
Premier league 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW75%
HomeWLWWW67%
AwayWWWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %75%67%83%
Points / game93.088.597.5
Allowed / game90.186.294.0
Point differential+2.9+2.3+3.5
Avg total183.1174.7191.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)0% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %17%0%33%
Stjarnan
Premier league 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW58%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayLLWLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %58%83%33%
Points / game100.3103.896.8
Allowed / game92.889.895.8
Point differential+7.5+14.0+1.0
Avg total193.2193.7192.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)75% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grindavik1211192%96.388.5+7.8
2 Tindastoll129375%103.088.8+14.2
3 Valur129375%93.090.1+2.9
4 Keflavik128467%93.488.8+4.7
5 Stjarnan127558%100.392.8+7.5
6 KR Basket125742%97.295.6+1.6
7 Alftanes125742%91.990.4+1.5
8 IR Reykjavik125742%89.293.4-4.2
9 Njardvik124833%99.898.8+1.0
10 Thorl124833%91.297.1-5.9
11 Akranes IA123925%87.5101.1-13.6
12 Armann1221017%85.8103.2-17.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valur21192636102
Stjarnan35261826105
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