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Valur vs Stjarnan Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 83-79
19-18 23-31 23-13 18-17
Position#5
Record4-7
FormLLWLW
Points / game90.9
Allowed / game92.1
Valur 🏆
Iceland
vs
Position#2
Record10-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game100.8
Allowed / game86.7
IcelandPremier leagueRound 12· Origo-hollin Hlidarenda
Other2024-25
Meetings · Valur v Stjarnan
08 Oct 2026
VALU90
STJA77
08 Jan 2026
VALU102
STJA105
05 Jan 2025
VALU83
STJA79
02 Nov 2023
VALU77
STJA86
11 Apr 2023
VALU96
STJA89
04 Apr 2023
VALU89
STJA94
06 Oct 2022
VALU76
STJA84
11 Apr 2022
VALU95
STJA85
05 Apr 2022
VALU90
STJA85
10 Feb 2022
VALU74
STJA78
02 Oct 2020
VALU86
STJA91
07 Feb 2020
VALU108
STJA78
08 Nov 2018
VALU97
STJA92
10 Nov 2017
VALU110
STJA104
07 Mar 2014
VALU82
STJA117
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valur winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stjarnan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValurIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValur
Date
Competition
Alftanes
#6
W
103-100 OT
103
100
+3
94avg 80
A17/10
Premier league
Keflavik
#10
W
104-80
104
80
+24
91avg 80
H24/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
L
94-101
94
101
-7
85avg 80
A31/10
Premier league
Hottur
#11
L
70-83
70
83
-13
55avg 80
A08/11
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
W
101-94
101
94
+7
92avg 80
H14/11
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
83-84
83
84
-1
74avg 80
A29/11
Premier league
Haukar
#12
L
97-104
97
104
-7
91avg 80
H05/12
Premier league
Grindavik
#11
W
88-77
88
77
+11
82avg 80
H08/12
Icelandic Cup
Grindavik
#4
L
90-97
90
97
-7
85avg 80
A13/12
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
W
89-80
89
80
+9
86avg 80
H20/12
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
17-21
19-27
32-21
25-21
19-21
27-25
33-13
20-27
13-28
28-25
33-21
11-30
32-15
14-22
13-16
20-27
23-17
31-16
27-34
22-19
14-27
28-13
19-25
31-17
21-35
23-23
22-29
21-29
20-15
18-13
29-20
26-30
25-18
15-31
24-18
18-20
31-16
24-20
16-24
181.9Avg total
91.9Scored
90.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)90.992.1183.0-1.236%
Season at home (5)95.890.6186.4+5.260%
Season away (6)86.893.3180.2-6.517%
Last 10 (10)91.990.0181.9+1.950%
Last 5 (5)89.488.4177.8+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)85.087.5172.5-2.550%
vs Similar (17)87.886.9174.6+0.959%
vs Weaker (10)90.186.1176.2+4.050%
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StjarnanIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStjarnan
Date
Competition
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
117-88
117
88
+29
112avg 87
H17/10
Premier league
Haukar
#12
W
114-87
114
87
+27
110avg 87
A25/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
104-98
104
98
+6
99avg 87
H31/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
87-92
87
92
-5
76avg 87
A03/11
Premier league
Hottur
#11
W
87-80
87
80
+7
77avg 87
H14/11
Premier league
Thorl
#9
W
124-82
124
82
+42
124avg 87
H30/11
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
97-77
97
77
+20
63avg 87
A06/12
Premier league
Thorl
#13
W
108-81
108
81
+27
106avg 87
A09/12
Icelandic Cup
Keflavik
#10
W
97-93
97
93
+4
103avg 87
H12/12
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
W
100-90
100
90
+10
90avg 87
A19/12
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-11
28-23
27-29
34-25
32-29
33-16
25-18
24-24
23-25
29-23
32-18
20-32
24-28
21-27
28-19
14-18
21-25
19-13
29-16
18-26
31-25
40-15
23-15
30-27
23-20
30-23
29-17
15-17
27-22
27-26
24-23
30-10
20-28
30-22
22-17
25-26
22-23
29-23
26-24
23-20
190.3Avg total
103.5Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)100.886.7187.5+14.191%
Season at home (6)104.087.0191.0+17.0100%
Season away (5)97.086.4183.4+10.680%
Last 10 (10)103.586.8190.3+16.790%
Last 5 (5)105.284.6189.8+20.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)87.690.8178.4-3.260%
vs Similar (10)85.690.1175.7-4.520%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)99.984.7184.6+15.292%
This opponent (Valur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +7.5+7.5Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +6.9+6.9Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +0.8+0.8
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +7.5+7.5Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +6.9+6.9Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +0.8+0.8
ValurStjarnan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alftanes
#6
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A17/10
Premier league
Keflavik
#10
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H24/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
L
33-55
33
55
-22
A31/10
Premier league
Hottur
#11
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A08/11
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H14/11
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A29/11
Premier league
Haukar
#12
D
52-52
52
52
+0
H05/12
Premier league
Grindavik
#11
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H08/12
Icelandic Cup
Grindavik
#4
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A13/12
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H20/12
Premier league
88.1Avg total
42.9Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.443.687.0-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.942.886.7+1.150%-
Last 30 away (14)42.944.587.4-1.643%-
Last 10 (10)42.945.288.1-2.330%-
Last 5 (5)45.845.291.0+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)41.538.079.5+3.550%-
vs Similar (17)43.444.287.6-0.847%-
vs Weaker (10)44.043.787.7+0.350%-
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StjarnanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
56-34
56
34
+22
H17/10
Premier league
Haukar
#12
W
65-45
65
45
+20
A25/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
52-48
52
48
+4
H31/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A03/11
Premier league
Hottur
#11
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H14/11
Premier league
Thorl
#9
W
71-40
71
40
+31
H30/11
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A06/12
Premier league
Thorl
#13
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A09/12
Icelandic Cup
Keflavik
#10
D
50-50
50
50
+0
H12/12
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A19/12
Premier league
98.4Avg total
53.7Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.843.792.6+5.163%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.942.791.5+6.260%-
Last 30 away (15)48.844.893.6+4.067%-
Last 10 (10)53.744.798.4+9.080%-
Last 5 (5)55.845.4101.2+10.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)45.245.490.6-0.240%-
vs Similar (10)45.247.392.5-2.140%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)52.841.193.9+11.885%-
This opponent (Valur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur: 90.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 91.2 points a game
47%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.418.9
53.4%
53.7%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.012.8
35.6%
34.4%38.4
🏀 Free throws19.814.7
74.2%
75.6%14.7
They take 71.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Stjarnantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stjarnan: 101.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 91.2 points a game
47%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.123.7
52.5%
53.7%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.812.5
41.9%
34.4%37.5
🏀 Free throws20.916.2
77.5%
75.6%16.2
They take 74.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valur
WLWLLWLLWW
Stjarnan
WWWWWWLWWW
#5
League position
#2
+2.0
Net rating
+22.2
109.3
Offensive rating
124.1
107.3
Defensive rating
101.9
53.4%
Effective FG%
56.7%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
13.5%
Turnover %
14.4%
20.3%
Off. rebound %
35.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.6%
3-point %
41.9%
60.9%
Assist %
63.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence109.3 · 124.1Defence107.3 · 101.9Shooting53.4% · 56.7%3-point %35.6% · 41.9%Ball care13.5% · 14.4%Off. rebounds20.3% · 35.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Valur   ■ Stjarnan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Valur wins
4
Stjarnan wins
DateGameScore
04/10/24Stjarnan v Valur95-81
02/02/24Stjarnan v Valur81-85
21/01/24Stjarnan v Valur84-79
02/11/23Valur v Stjarnan77-86
14/04/23Stjarnan v Valur68-74
11/04/23Valur v Stjarnan96-89
07/04/23Stjarnan v Valur73-95
04/04/23Valur v Stjarnan89-94
14/01/23Stjarnan v Valur66-72
05/01/23Stjarnan v Valur76-80 OT
Valurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/24HTindastoll89-80
13/12/24AGrindavik90-97
08/12/24HGrindavik88-77
05/12/24HHaukar97-104
29/11/24AIR Reykjavik83-84
14/11/24HKR Basket101-94
08/11/24AHottur70-83
31/10/24ANjardvik94-101
24/10/24HKeflavik104-80
17/10/24AAlftanes103-100 OT
Stjarnanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/24ANjardvik100-90
12/12/24HKeflavik97-93
09/12/24AThorl108-81
06/12/24AAlftanes97-77
30/11/24HThorl124-82
14/11/24HHottur87-80
03/11/24ATindastoll87-92
31/10/24HGrindavik104-98
25/10/24AHaukar114-87
17/10/24HIR Reykjavik117-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valur
Premier league 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW36%
HomeLWWLW60%
AwayWLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %36%60%17%
Points / game90.995.886.8
Allowed / game92.190.693.3
Point differential-1.2+5.2-6.5
Avg total183.0186.4180.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %18%20%17%
Stjarnan
Premier league 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW91%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %91%100%80%
Points / game100.8104.097.0
Allowed / game86.787.086.4
Point differential+14.1+17.0+10.6
Avg total187.5191.0183.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%50%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stjarnan1110191%100.886.7+14.1
2 Tindastoll129375%96.887.2+9.5
3 Njardvik127558%91.289.8+1.5
4 Grindavik126650%97.591.7+5.8
5 Keflavik126650%99.594.6+4.9
6 KR Basket126650%92.793.4-0.8
7 Thorl126650%88.493.8-5.4
8 Alftanes125742%89.292.2-3.0
9 IR Reykjavik125742%87.193.1-6.0
10 Valur114736%90.992.1-1.2
11 Hottur124833%86.392.4-6.1
12 Haukar123925%85.798.0-12.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valur1923231883
Stjarnan1831131779
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