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Keflavik vs Valur Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 19 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 87-86
19-22 20-29 21-15 27-20
Position#3
Record1-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game99.5
Allowed / game104.0
vs
Position#1
Record2-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game98.0
Allowed / game72.5
IcelandPremier leagueRound 3· Blue-hollin
Other2023-24
Meetings · Keflavik v Valur
10 Dec 2026
KEFL v VALU
upcoming
15 Apr 2026
KEFL88
VALU81
07 Apr 2026
KEFL82
VALU87
19 Mar 2026
KEFL85
VALU88
19 Mar 2025
KEFL67
VALU91
24 Jan 2025
KEFL70
VALU81
19 Oct 2023
KEFL87
VALU86
10 Mar 2023
KEFL80
VALU111
19 Nov 2021
KEFL79
VALU78
07 May 2021
KEFL101
VALU82
31 Oct 2019
KEFL92
VALU82
10 Mar 2019
KEFL101
VALU77
05 Oct 2017
KEFL117
VALU86
30 Jan 2014
KEFL106
VALU92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keflavik winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valur winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KeflavikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKeflavik
Date
Competition
Valur
#2
L
80-111
80
111
-31
no box
H10/03
Premier league
Hottur
#9
W
89-84
89
84
+5
no box
A16/03
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#11
L
85-92
85
92
-7
no box
A23/03
Premier league
Njardvik
#1
L
79-82
79
82
-3
no box
H30/03
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
L
107-114 OT
107
114
-7
no box
H05/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
L
81-107
81
107
-26
no box
A08/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
W
100-78
100
78
+22
no box
H12/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
L
79-97
79
97
-18
no box
A15/04
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
111-103
111
103
+8
102avg 89
A05/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
L
88-105
88
105
-17
77avg 89
A14/10
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-25
29-24
26-32
9-30
31-26
20-21
21-17
17-20
21-22
24-25
15-25
25-20
20-22
21-16
16-15
22-29
22-17
22-33
23-27
30-20
21-28
24-15
14-37
22-27
26-18
27-21
24-15
23-24
19-25
20-24
15-21
25-27
28-30
24-29
37-27
22-17
23-19
17-28
29-28
19-30
187.2Avg total
89.9Scored
97.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)99.5104.0203.5-4.550%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)99.5104.0203.5-4.550%
Last 10 (10)89.997.3187.2-7.430%
Last 5 (5)91.898.0189.8-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)90.495.3185.7-4.929%
vs Similar (12)89.790.5180.2-0.850%
vs Weaker (10)97.290.4187.6+6.870%
This opponent (Valur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValurIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValur
Date
Competition
Thorl
#6
W
91-65
91
65
+26
no box
H27/04
Premier league
Thorl
#6
W
103-94
103
94
+9
no box
A30/04
Premier league
Thorl
#6
W
102-95
102
95
+7
no box
H02/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
L
82-83
82
83
-1
no box
H06/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
W
100-87
100
87
+13
no box
A09/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
L
79-90
79
90
-11
no box
H12/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
W
82-69
82
69
+13
no box
A15/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
L
81-82
81
82
-1
no box
H18/05
Premier league
Thorl
#4
W
96-81
96
81
+15
96avg 100
A06/10
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
100-64
100
64
+36
104avg 100
H11/10
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-12
21-18
22-13
28-22
22-27
37-15
24-27
20-25
22-21
32-23
24-16
24-35
15-20
15-29
15-14
37-20
30-23
25-24
23-15
22-25
21-21
28-21
17-28
13-20
23-38
20-10
21-12
18-9
27-14
16-24
20-26
18-18
15-25
29-20
33-23
19-13
27-24
29-7
21-11
23-22
172.6Avg total
91.6Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)98.072.5170.5+25.5100%
Season at home (1)100.064.0164.0+36.0100%
Season away (1)96.081.0177.0+15.0100%
Last 10 (10)91.681.0172.6+10.670%
Last 5 (5)87.677.2164.8+10.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)87.784.6172.3+3.156%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)87.775.9163.6+11.886%
This opponent (Keflavik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +6.1+6.1Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +1.3+1.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +6.1+6.1Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +1.3+1.3
KeflavikValur
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KeflavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valur
#2
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H10/03
Premier league
Hottur
#9
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A16/03
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#11
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A23/03
Premier league
Njardvik
#1
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H30/03
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H05/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A08/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H12/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A15/04
Premier league
Hamar
#12
L
52-59
52
59
-7
A05/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A14/10
Premier league
92.3Avg total
45.5Scored
46.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.244.090.1+2.260%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.440.388.7+8.179%-
Last 30 away (16)44.247.291.4-3.044%-
Last 10 (10)45.546.892.3-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)45.847.493.2-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)44.646.991.4-2.343%-
vs Similar (12)45.143.288.2+1.967%-
vs Weaker (10)48.644.893.4+3.860%-
This opponent (Valur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Thorl
#6
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H27/04
Premier league
Thorl
#6
W
59-42
59
42
+17
A30/04
Premier league
Thorl
#6
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H02/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
L
30-49
30
49
-19
H06/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
W
55-47
55
47
+8
A09/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H12/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A15/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H18/05
Premier league
Thorl
#4
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A06/10
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
56-31
56
31
+25
H11/10
Premier league
89.0Avg total
47.4Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.140.884.9+3.363%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.741.485.1+2.450%-
Last 30 away (16)44.540.384.8+4.275%-
Last 10 (10)47.441.689.0+5.870%-
Last 5 (5)47.040.887.8+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)44.743.588.2+1.256%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)43.537.781.2+5.871%-
This opponent (Keflavik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Keflaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keflavik: 97.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀36%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.5 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.017.5
50.0%
51.2%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.514.5
35.8%
34.2%43.5
🏀 Free throws23.519.0
80.9%
74.4%19.0
They take 75.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur: 97.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀53%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers51.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 9% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.518.5
50.7%
51.2%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.517.0
46.6%
34.2%51.0
🏀 Free throws13.59.0
66.7%
74.4%9.0
They take 73.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/2 games with a box score before 19 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Keflavik
LWLWLLLLWL
Valur
WWLWLWLWWW
#3
League position
#1
-7.4
Net rating
+31.1
110.4
Offensive rating
118.4
117.8
Defensive rating
87.3
52.0%
Effective FG%
60.3%
57.0%
Opp. effective FG%
40.9%
11.3%
Turnover %
17.0%
17.2%
Off. rebound %
26.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.18
35.8%
3-point %
46.6%
56.2%
Assist %
69.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence110.4 · 118.4Defence117.8 · 87.3Shooting52.0% · 60.3%3-point %35.8% · 46.6%Ball care11.3% · 17.0%Off. rebounds17.2% · 26.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.18Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Keflavik   ■ Valur
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Keflavik wins
3
Valur wins
DateGameScore
10/03/23Keflavik v Valur80-111
02/12/22Valur v Keflavik75-100
05/03/22Valur v Keflavik88-74
19/11/21Keflavik v Valur79-78
07/05/21Keflavik v Valur101-82
12/02/21Valur v Keflavik85-72
29/01/20Valur v Keflavik68-96
31/10/19Keflavik v Valur92-82
10/03/19Keflavik v Valur101-77
14/12/18Valur v Keflavik77-86
Keflaviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23ATindastoll88-105
05/10/23AHamar111-103
15/04/23ATindastoll79-97
12/04/23HTindastoll100-78
08/04/23ATindastoll81-107
05/04/23HTindastoll107-114 OT
30/03/23HNjardvik79-82
23/03/23AIR Reykjavik85-92
16/03/23AHottur89-84
10/03/23HValur80-111
Valurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/23HHamar100-64
06/10/23AThorl96-81
18/05/23HTindastoll81-82
15/05/23ATindastoll82-69
12/05/23HTindastoll79-90
09/05/23ATindastoll100-87
06/05/23HTindastoll82-83
02/05/23HThorl102-95
30/04/23AThorl103-94
27/04/23HThorl91-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keflavik
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
Home--
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %50%-50%
Points / game99.5-99.5
Allowed / game104.0-104.0
Point differential-4.5--4.5
Avg total203.5-203.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Valur
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game98.0100.096.0
Allowed / game72.564.081.0
Point differential+25.5+36.0+15.0
Avg total170.5164.0177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valur220100%98.072.5+25.5
2 Hottur220100%92.080.0+12.0
3 Tindastoll220100%87.576.5+11.0
4 Njardvik220100%92.587.0+5.5
5 Haukar21150%106.588.5+18.0
6 Alftanes21150%75.574.5+1.0
7 Keflavik21150%99.5104.0-4.5
8 Thorl21150%82.588.0-5.5
9 Stjarnan2020%84.087.5-3.5
10 Grindavik2020%83.095.0-12.0
11 Hamar2020%83.5105.5-22.0
12 Breidablik2020%78.0103.5-25.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keflavik1920212787
Valur2229152086
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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