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Valur W vs Keflavik W Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 16 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 73-79
16-30 29-22 16-13 12-14
Position#6
Record1-1
FormWLLWL
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game72.0
vs
Position#4
Record1-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game75.0
IcelandPremier League WRound 3· Origo-hollin Hlidarenda
Women2024-25
Meetings · Valur W v Keflavik W
02 Nov 2026
VALU87
KEFL70
02 Dec 2025
VALU92
KEFL95
16 Oct 2024
VALU73
KEFL79
24 Jan 2024
VALU79
KEFL77
28 Apr 2023
VALU72
KEFL68
22 Apr 2023
VALU77
KEFL70
29 Jan 2023
VALU81
KEFL74
12 Oct 2022
VALU75
KEFL78
09 Feb 2022
VALU84
KEFL73
24 Oct 2021
VALU64
KEFL84
10 Mar 2021
VALU80
KEFL67
16 Dec 2020
VALU v KEFL
upcoming
29 Jan 2020
VALU80
KEFL67
23 Oct 2019
VALU82
KEFL51
27 Apr 2019
VALU87
KEFL64
22 Apr 2019
VALU75
KEFL63
20 Mar 2019
VALU80
KEFL68
14 Dec 2018
VALU101
KEFL94
13 Apr 2018
VALU99
KEFL82
07 Apr 2018
VALU87
KEFL80
07 Mar 2018
VALU89
KEFL66
25 Nov 2017
VALU74
KEFL81
04 Feb 2017
VALU54
KEFL60
16 Dec 2016
VALU65
KEFL77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valur W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keflavik W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Valur WIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Thor AK Akureyri W
#9
W
90-84
90
84
+6
72avg 58
H27/02
Premier League W
Fjolnir W
#11
L
78-81
78
81
-3
61avg 58
H12/03
Premier League W
Snaefell W
#12
W
92-41
92
41
+51
89avg 58
A26/03
Premier League W
Thor AK Akureyri W
#9
W
83-77
83
77
+6
68avg 58
A03/04
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#3
L
58-96
58
96
-38
42avg 58
A08/04
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#3
W
80-77
80
77
+3
72avg 58
H12/04
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#3
L
59-92
59
92
-33
47avg 58
A16/04
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#3
L
67-82
67
82
-15
52avg 58
H19/04
Premier League W
Thor AK Akureyri W
#5
W
82-77
82
77
+5
no box
H01/10
Premier League W
Grindavik W
#8
L
61-67
61
67
-6
46avg 58
A08/10
Premier League W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
15-16
25-18
27-28
14-22
25-16
19-18
20-25
24-14
21-8
22-8
25-11
20-15
23-17
22-19
18-26
17-18
12-33
9-25
20-20
21-27
23-10
16-26
20-14
16-25
16-29
11-16
16-22
16-18
16-26
16-22
19-16
25-23
16-27
22-20
19-7
13-21
16-13
14-18
18-15
152.4Avg total
75.0Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)71.572.0143.5-0.550%
Season at home (1)82.077.0159.0+5.0100%
Season away (1)61.067.0128.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)75.077.4152.4-2.450%
Last 5 (5)69.879.0148.8-9.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)68.282.6150.8-14.527%
vs Similar (9)72.073.4145.4-1.444%
vs Weaker (10)75.159.5134.6+15.680%
This opponent (Keflavik W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keflavik WIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Stjarnan W
#8
W
93-65
93
65
+28
92avg 78
H27/04
Premier League W
Stjarnan W
#8
L
82-85
82
85
-3
73avg 78
A01/05
Premier League W
Stjarnan W
#8
W
87-78
87
78
+9
82avg 78
H05/05
Premier League W
Stjarnan W
#8
L
79-86
79
86
-7
67avg 78
A09/05
Premier League W
Stjarnan W
#8
W
81-76
81
76
+5
71avg 78
H13/05
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#3
W
94-91 OT
94
91
+3
83avg 78
H16/05
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#3
W
81-71
81
71
+10
78avg 78
A19/05
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#3
W
72-56
72
56
+16
71avg 78
H22/05
Premier League W
Stjarnan W
#9
L
64-71
64
71
-7
47avg 78
A02/10
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#3
W
99-79
99
79
+20
89avg 78
H09/10
Premier League W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-24
22-22
28-9
29-10
23-20
19-27
14-16
26-22
16-14
15-21
26-23
30-20
19-30
23-12
20-23
17-21
20-23
21-24
19-13
21-16
15-14
17-22
20-21
19-14
30-24
14-19
20-13
17-15
19-22
20-9
19-15
14-10
26-13
9-22
13-23
16-13
32-26
21-19
14-20
32-14
159.0Avg total
83.2Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)81.575.0156.5+6.550%
Season at home (1)99.079.0178.0+20.0100%
Season away (1)64.071.0135.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)83.275.8159.0+7.470%
Last 5 (5)82.073.6155.6+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)99.079.0178.0+20.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)82.667.3149.9+15.283%
This opponent (Valur W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +6.6+6.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +6.6+6.6
Valur WKeflavik W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Valur WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Thor AK Akureyri W
#9
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H27/02
Premier League W
Fjolnir W
#11
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H12/03
Premier League W
Snaefell W
#12
W
45-22
45
22
+23
A26/03
Premier League W
Thor AK Akureyri W
#9
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A03/04
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#3
L
29-51
29
51
-22
A08/04
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#3
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H12/04
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#3
L
32-54
32
54
-22
A16/04
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#3
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H19/04
Premier League W
Thor AK Akureyri W
#5
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H01/10
Premier League W
Grindavik W
#8
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A08/10
Premier League W
77.2Avg total
37.2Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.537.172.6-1.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.937.372.2-2.547%-
Last 30 away (15)36.136.872.9-0.753%-
Last 10 (10)37.240.077.2-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)35.643.879.4-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)35.342.978.2-7.636%-
vs Similar (9)36.135.071.1+1.144%-
vs Weaker (10)35.232.567.7+2.770%-
This opponent (Keflavik W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keflavik WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stjarnan W
#8
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H27/04
Premier League W
Stjarnan W
#8
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A01/05
Premier League W
Stjarnan W
#8
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H05/05
Premier League W
Stjarnan W
#8
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A09/05
Premier League W
Stjarnan W
#8
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H13/05
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#3
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H16/05
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#3
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A19/05
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#3
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H22/05
Premier League W
Stjarnan W
#9
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A02/10
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#3
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H09/10
Premier League W
80.2Avg total
39.5Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.936.177.0+4.857%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.433.874.2+6.565%-
Last 30 away (13)41.639.180.7+2.546%-
Last 10 (10)39.540.780.2-1.230%-
Last 5 (5)40.638.078.6+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)53.045.098.0+8.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)40.535.876.3+4.755%-
This opponent (Valur W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valur Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur W: 68.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.118.2
45.4%
48.6%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.5
32.6%
31.7%22.5
🏀 Free throws14.29.2
64.8%
74.0%9.2
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Keflavik Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keflavik W: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.021.0
48.8%
48.6%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.29.5
31.5%
31.7%28.5
🏀 Free throws15.911.6
73.0%
74.0%11.6
They take 73.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valur W
LWLLWLWWLW
Keflavik W
WLWWWWLWLW
#6
League position
#4
-7.1
Net rating
+8.1
98.3
Offensive rating
100.3
105.3
Defensive rating
92.2
46.7%
Effective FG%
48.2%
48.0%
Opp. effective FG%
42.1%
17.6%
Turnover %
15.5%
31.7%
Off. rebound %
25.8%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.22
32.6%
3-point %
31.5%
44.4%
Assist %
63.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence98.3 · 100.3Defence105.3 · 92.2Shooting46.7% · 48.2%3-point %32.6% · 31.5%Ball care17.6% · 15.5%Off. rebounds31.7% · 25.8%Free throws0.23 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Valur W   ■ Keflavik W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Valur W wins
4
Keflavik W wins
DateGameScore
24/01/24Valur W v Keflavik W79-77
19/11/23Keflavik W v Valur W70-50
28/04/23Valur W v Keflavik W72-68
25/04/23Keflavik W v Valur W78-66
22/04/23Valur W v Keflavik W77-70 OT
19/04/23Keflavik W v Valur W66-69
15/03/23Keflavik W v Valur W70-55
29/01/23Valur W v Keflavik W81-74
04/12/22Keflavik W v Valur W75-84
12/10/22Valur W v Keflavik W75-78
Valur Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/24AGrindavik W61-67
01/10/24HThor AK Akureyri W82-77
19/04/24HNjardvik W67-82
16/04/24ANjardvik W59-92
12/04/24HNjardvik W80-77
08/04/24ANjardvik W58-96
03/04/24AThor AK Akureyri W83-77
26/03/24ASnaefell W92-41
12/03/24HFjolnir W78-81
27/02/24HThor AK Akureyri W90-84
Keflavik Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/10/24HNjardvik W99-79
02/10/24AStjarnan W64-71
22/05/24HNjardvik W72-56
19/05/24ANjardvik W81-71
16/05/24HNjardvik W94-91 OT
13/05/24HStjarnan W81-76
09/05/24AStjarnan W79-86
05/05/24HStjarnan W87-78
01/05/24AStjarnan W82-85
27/04/24HStjarnan W93-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valur W
Premier League W 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game71.582.061.0
Allowed / game72.077.067.0
Point differential-0.5+5.0-6.0
Avg total143.5159.0128.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Keflavik W
Premier League W 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game81.599.064.0
Allowed / game75.079.071.0
Point differential+6.5+20.0-7.0
Avg total156.5178.0135.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Haukar W330100%95.772.7+23.0
2 Tindastoll W32167%82.079.7+2.3
3 Keflavik W21150%81.575.0+6.5
4 Athena W21150%81.078.5+2.5
5 Valur W21150%71.572.0-0.5
6 Hamar W21150%89.592.0-2.5
7 Thor AK Akureyri W31233%83.082.7+0.3
8 Grindavik W31233%64.067.3-3.3
9 Njardvik W31233%71.776.7-5.0
10 Stjarnan W31233%68.790.0-21.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valur W1629161273
Keflavik W3022131479
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