Valur W will host Keflavik W on 2 November 2026 in the Premier League W, with the model favouring Valur W and projecting an 82-75 win. Valur W has gone 3-2 this season, averaging 78.2 points and allowing 72.2, while Keflavik W sits 1-4, scoring 76.4 and conceding 79.6; Valur's home record is 1-2, 76.7 to 79.3, and their last five games include a 72-45 win over Tindastoll W, a 85-90 loss to Haukar W, and a 89-78 win over Armann W, whereas Keflavik's road record is 0-3, 70.7 to 81.7, and their recent results feature a 98-61 win over Fjolnir W, a 75-89 loss to Grindavik W, and a 72-92 loss to Stjarnan W. The teams have split their ten meetings, with the most recent on 2 December 2025 seeing Keflavik W beat Valur W 95-92. The Pythia model assigns a 71% chance to Valur W and a 29% chance to Keflavik W, with a projected total of 157.2 points; the home line is -8.5 and the probability of Valur covering is 43%. The overtime probability is 5%.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 78.2 | 72.2 | 150.4 | +6.0 | 60% |
| Season at home (3) | 76.7 | 79.3 | 156.0 | -2.7 | 33% |
| Season away (2) | 80.5 | 61.5 | 142.0 | +19.0 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 73.5 | 75.1 | 148.6 | -1.6 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 78.2 | 72.2 | 150.4 | +6.0 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger | no games | ||||
| vs Similar (18) | 79.8 | 79.9 | 159.7 | -0.2 | 39% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (12) | 82.4 | 73.2 | 155.7 | +9.2 | 75% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 76.4 | 79.6 | 156.0 | -3.2 | 20% |
| Season at home (2) | 85.0 | 76.5 | 161.5 | +8.5 | 50% |
| Season away (3) | 70.7 | 81.7 | 152.3 | -11.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 78.6 | 83.1 | 161.7 | -4.5 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 76.4 | 79.6 | 156.0 | -3.2 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (9) | 76.6 | 88.4 | 165.0 | -11.9 | 11% |
| vs Similar (16) | 84.7 | 81.4 | 166.1 | +3.2 | 62% |
| vs Weaker (5) | 87.6 | 75.6 | 163.2 | +12.0 | 60% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 76.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 42.0 | 37.6 | 79.6 | +4.4 | 60% | 67% |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 39.8 | 41.1 | 80.9 | -1.4 | 38% | 69% |
| Last 30 away (14) | 44.6 | 33.6 | 78.2 | +10.9 | 86% | 64% |
| Last 10 (10) | 36.9 | 36.9 | 73.8 | +0.0 | 40% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 41.4 | 35.2 | 76.6 | +6.2 | 40% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger | no games | |||||
| vs Similar (18) | 39.8 | 39.3 | 79.2 | +0.5 | 50% | 61% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (12) | 45.2 | 35.1 | 80.3 | +10.2 | 75% | 75% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 76.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 40.5 | 42.2 | 82.7 | -1.7 | 40% | 67% |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 40.5 | 39.5 | 79.9 | +1.0 | 62% | 62% |
| Last 30 away (17) | 40.5 | 44.2 | 84.8 | -3.7 | 24% | 71% |
| Last 10 (10) | 40.1 | 42.8 | 82.9 | -2.7 | 20% | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 41.2 | 43.0 | 84.2 | -1.8 | 20% | 100% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (9) | 37.6 | 45.2 | 82.8 | -7.7 | 11% | 56% |
| vs Similar (16) | 41.6 | 41.4 | 82.9 | +0.2 | 50% | 69% |
| vs Weaker (5) | 42.4 | 39.2 | 81.6 | +3.2 | 60% | 80% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keflavik W +13 | 72.8% | 1.93 | 1.93 | - | - | - | - | +24.5pp | Lost |
| Keflavik W +12.5 | 70.7% | 1.85 | 2.01 | 1.83 | 1.80 | 1.78 | - | +24.3pp | Lost |
| Keflavik W +13.5 | 73.7% | 1.78 | 1.85 | 1.83 | 1.80 | 1.64 | - | +23.1pp | Lost |
| Keflavik W +14 | 75.8% | 1.77 | 1.77 | - | - | - | - | +23.1pp | Lost |
| Keflavik W +15 | 78.4% | 1.64 | 1.64 | - | - | - | - | +21.9pp | Lost |
| Keflavik W +14.5 | 76.4% | 1.70 | 1.87 | 1.70 | 1.54 | - | - | +21.8pp | Lost |
| Keflavik W +16 | 80.9% | 1.55 | 1.55 | - | - | - | - | +21.2pp | Lost |
| Keflavik W +15.5 | 79.0% | 1.53 | 1.60 | 1.46 | - | - | - | +21.0pp | Lost |
| Keflavik W over 69.5 | 71.3% | 1.72 | 1.85 | 1.59 | - | - | - | +19.6pp | Won |
| Keflavik W over 70 | 70.3% | 1.63 | 1.63 | - | - | - | - | +17.4pp | Push |
| Keflavik W +16.5 | 81.4% | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | - | +17.0pp | Lost |
| Keflavik W over 68.5 | 74.6% | 1.50 | 1.50 | - | - | - | - | +16.7pp | Won |
| Keflavik W over 67.5 | 77.6% | 1.42 | 1.42 | - | - | - | - | +16.2pp | Won |
| Keflavik W +17.5 | 83.6% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +15.8pp | Won |
| Keflavik W over 66.5 | 80.5% | 1.36 | 1.36 | - | - | - | - | +15.7pp | Won |
| Keflavik W over 65.5 | 83.1% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +15.0pp | Won |
| Valur W under 88.5 | 74.7% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +7.3pp | Won |
| Valur W under 87.5 | 71.4% | 1.36 | 1.36 | - | - | - | - | +7.1pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 95.4% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +2.9pp | - |
| Valur W win | 71.4% | 1.09 | 1.12 | 1.10 | 1.09 | 1.08 | 1.07 | -14.0pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 37.1 | 17.4 | 47.8% | 34.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 30.2 | 8.9 | 30.6% | 26.7 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 16.0 | 11.9 | 74.1% | 11.9 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 40.0 | 20.5 | 47.8% | 41.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 29.4 | 8.3 | 30.6% | 24.9 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 15.4 | 11.0 | 74.1% | 11.0 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 02/12/25 | Valur W v Keflavik W | 92-95 |
| 01/10/25 | Keflavik W v Valur W | 79-88 |
| 26/02/25 | Keflavik W v Valur W | 73-77 |
| 05/01/25 | Keflavik W v Valur W | 79-65 |
| 16/10/24 | Valur W v Keflavik W | 73-79 |
| 24/01/24 | Valur W v Keflavik W | 79-77 |
| 19/11/23 | Keflavik W v Valur W | 70-50 |
| 28/04/23 | Valur W v Keflavik W | 72-68 |
| 25/04/23 | Keflavik W v Valur W | 78-66 |
| 22/04/23 | Valur W v Keflavik W | 77-70 OT |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10/26 | A | Tindastoll W | 72-45 |
| 20/10/26 | H | Haukar W | 85-90 |
| 13/10/26 | A | Armann W | 89-78 |
| 06/10/26 | H | KR Reykjavik W | 68-84 |
| 30/09/26 | H | Njardvik W | 77-64 |
| 09/04/26 | H | Grindavik W | 72-90 |
| 04/04/26 | A | Grindavik W | 73-79 |
| 31/03/26 | H | Grindavik W | 55-59 |
| 25/03/26 | A | Njardvik W | 61-87 |
| 04/03/26 | A | Grindavik W | 83-75 OT |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10/26 | H | Stjarnan W | 72-92 |
| 21/10/26 | A | Grindavik W | 75-89 |
| 12/10/26 | H | Fjolnir W | 98-61 |
| 07/10/26 | A | Njardvik W | 79-83 |
| 29/09/26 | A | Tindastoll W | 58-73 |
| 02/05/26 | H | Haukar W | 72-98 |
| 28/04/26 | A | Haukar W | 72-86 |
| 24/04/26 | H | Haukar W | 98-81 |
| 20/04/26 | A | Haukar W | 71-85 |
| 16/04/26 | A | KR Reykjavik W | 91-83 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLWLW | 60% |
| Home | WLL | 33% |
| Away | WW | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Win % | 60% | 33% | 100% |
| Points / game | 78.2 | 76.7 | 80.5 |
| Allowed / game | 72.2 | 79.3 | 61.5 |
| Point differential | +6.0 | -2.7 | +19.0 |
| Avg total | 150.4 | 156.0 | 142.0 |
| Over 154.25 | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Win by 10+ | 60% | 33% | 100% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | 0% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWLL | 20% |
| Home | WL | 50% |
| Away | LLL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Win % | 20% | 50% | 0% |
| Points / game | 76.4 | 85.0 | 70.7 |
| Allowed / game | 79.6 | 76.5 | 81.7 |
| Point differential | -3.2 | +8.5 | -11.0 |
| Avg total | 156.0 | 161.5 | 152.3 |
| Over 154.25 | 80% | 100% | 67% |
| Win by 10+ | 20% | 50% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | - | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 100% | 91.4 | 68.6 | +22.8 | |
| 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 89.7 | 74.5 | +15.2 | |
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 91.4 | 77.8 | +13.6 | |
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 84.6 | 74.8 | +9.8 | |
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 78.2 | 72.2 | +6.0 | |
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 88.8 | 91.0 | -2.2 | |
| 7 | Tindastoll W | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 72.2 | 74.8 | -2.6 |
| 8 | Keflavik W | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 76.4 | 79.6 | -3.2 |
| 9 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0% | 75.0 | 92.4 | -17.4 | |
| 10 | Fjolnir W | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0% | 64.5 | 102.0 | -37.5 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 19 | 21 | 26 | 87 | |
| Keflavik W | 16 | 20 | 12 | 22 | 70 |
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