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Vanderbilt vs Mississippi St. Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 77-72
37-27 40-45
Position#127
Record17-13
FormWWLWW
Points / game71.9
Allowed / game71.7
Vanderbilt 🏆
USA
vs
Mississippi St.
USA
Position#125
Record19-11
FormLWLWW
Points / game65.5
Allowed / game60.5
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Vanderbilt v Mississippi St.
06 Jan 2027
VAND v MISS
upcoming
07 Jan 2025
VAND64
MISS76
04 Mar 2023
VAND77
MISS72
09 Jan 2021
VAND81
MISS84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vanderbilt winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mississippi St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VanderbiltUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M
#55
L
66-72
66
72
-6
A29/01
NCAA
Alabama
#11
L
44-101
44
101
-57
A01/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
W
74-71
74
71
+3
H04/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#62
W
66-65
66
65
+1
H09/02
NCAA
Florida
#205
W
88-80
88
80
+8
A11/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
W
75-64
75
64
+11
A14/02
NCAA
Auburn
#106
W
67-65
67
65
+2
H19/02
NCAA
LSU
#264
L
77-84
77
84
-7
A23/02
NCAA
Florida
#205
W
88-72
88
72
+16
H25/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#86
W
68-66
68
66
+2
A02/03
NCAA
1H
2H
34-30
32-42
15-43
29-58
34-31
40-40
32-34
34-31
42-41
46-39
38-18
37-46
31-27
36-38
32-39
45-45
46-36
42-36
34-30
34-36
145.3Avg total
71.3Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)71.971.7143.6+0.257%
Season at home (18)71.367.4138.7+3.967%
Season away (12)72.878.2150.9-5.442%
Last 10 (10)71.374.0145.3-2.770%
Last 5 (5)75.070.2145.2+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)66.273.6139.8-7.429%
vs Similar ◀ (11)79.368.8148.1+10.591%
vs Weaker (2)79.571.5151.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mississippi St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TCU
#96
W
81-74 OT
81
74
+7
H28/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
W
66-51
66
51
+15
A31/01
NCAA
Missouri
#56
W
63-52
63
52
+11
H04/02
NCAA
LSU
#264
W
64-53
64
53
+11
H09/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#112
W
70-64
70
64
+6
A11/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#86
L
68-71
68
71
-3
H16/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
W
69-61 OT
69
61
+8
A18/02
NCAA
Missouri
#56
L
64-66 OT
64
66
-2
A22/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
W
69-62
69
62
+7
H25/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
W
74-68
74
68
+6
H01/03
NCAA
1H
2H
31-25
35-41
32-26
34-25
33-27
30-25
25-22
39-31
34-25
36-39
35-36
33-35
32-33
24-23
34-31
23-26
30-28
39-34
42-34
32-34
131.0Avg total
68.8Scored
62.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)65.560.5126.0+5.063%
Season at home (18)67.859.4127.2+8.372%
Season away (12)62.262.1124.2+0.150%
Last 10 (10)68.862.2131.0+6.680%
Last 5 (5)68.865.6134.4+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)58.069.6127.6-11.614%
vs Similar ◀ (11)65.561.6127.1+3.864%
vs Weaker (12)70.054.2124.2+15.892%
This opponent (Vanderbilt) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +0.9+0.91st half: +4.1+4.12nd half2nd half: -3.6-3.62nd half: +1.2+1.2
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +0.9+0.91st half: +4.1+4.12nd half2nd half: -3.6-3.62nd half: +1.2+1.2
VanderbiltMississippi St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VanderbiltLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M
#55
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A29/01
NCAA
Alabama
#11
L
15-43
15
43
-28
A01/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H04/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#62
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H09/02
NCAA
Florida
#205
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A11/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
W
38-18
38
18
+20
A14/02
NCAA
Auburn
#106
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H19/02
NCAA
LSU
#264
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A23/02
NCAA
Florida
#205
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H25/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#86
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A02/03
NCAA
66.7Avg total
33.8Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.232.165.2+1.153%-
Last 30 at home (18)32.230.462.7+1.850%-
Last 30 away (12)34.634.569.1+0.158%-
Last 10 (10)33.832.966.7+0.970%-
Last 5 (5)36.230.066.2+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)29.633.963.6-4.329%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)38.130.568.5+7.682%-
vs Weaker (2)36.025.061.0+11.0100%-
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mississippi St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TCU
#96
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H28/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A31/01
NCAA
Missouri
#56
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H04/02
NCAA
LSU
#264
W
25-22
25
22
+3
H09/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#112
W
34-25
34
25
+9
A11/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#86
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H16/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A18/02
NCAA
Missouri
#56
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A22/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H25/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H01/03
NCAA
61.5Avg total
32.8Scored
28.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.127.057.1+3.063%-
Last 30 at home (18)30.826.757.5+4.161%-
Last 30 away (12)29.027.556.5+1.567%-
Last 10 (10)32.828.761.5+4.180%-
Last 5 (5)34.632.467.0+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)27.429.657.0-2.143%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)29.128.757.8+0.455%-
vs Weaker (12)32.524.056.5+8.583%-
This opponent (Vanderbilt) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Vanderbilt wins
3
Mississippi St. wins
DateGameScore
26/02/22Mississippi St. v Vanderbilt74-69
13/02/21Mississippi St. v Vanderbilt51-72
09/01/21Vanderbilt v Mississippi St.81-84
09/02/20Mississippi St. v Vanderbilt80-70
Vanderbiltlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/23AKentucky68-66
25/02/23HFlorida88-72
23/02/23ALSU77-84
19/02/23HAuburn67-65
14/02/23ASouth Carolina75-64
11/02/23AFlorida88-80
09/02/23HTennessee66-65
04/02/23HOle Miss74-71
01/02/23AAlabama44-101
29/01/23ATexas A&M66-72
Mississippi St.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/23HSouth Carolina74-68
25/02/23HTexas A&M69-62
22/02/23AMissouri64-66 OT
18/02/23AOle Miss69-61 OT
16/02/23HKentucky68-71
11/02/23AArkansas70-64
09/02/23HLSU64-53
04/02/23HMissouri63-52
31/01/23ASouth Carolina66-51
28/01/23HTCU81-74 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vanderbilt
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW57%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayLWWLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301812
Win %57%67%42%
Points / game71.971.372.8
Allowed / game71.767.478.2
Point differential+0.2+3.9-5.4
Avg total143.6138.7150.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%22%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won69% (13)86% (7)50% (6)
Overtime %7%6%8%
Mississippi St.
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW63%
HomeWWLWW72%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301812
Win %63%72%50%
Points / game65.567.862.2
Allowed / game60.559.462.1
Point differential+5.0+8.3+0.1
Avg total126.0127.2124.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%44%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %10%6%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alabama3126584%82.869.5+13.3
2 Texas3123874%78.868.7+10.2
3 Texas A&M3123874%73.365.6+7.7
4 Missouri3123874%80.174.8+5.3
5 Tennessee3122971%71.957.5+14.4
6 Kentucky31211068%75.167.6+7.5
7 Auburn31201165%72.766.8+5.9
8 Mississippi St.30191163%65.560.5+5.0
9 Arkansas31191261%74.867.2+7.6
10 Vanderbilt30171357%71.971.7+0.2
11 Florida31161552%72.168.6+3.4
12 Georgia31161552%68.671.5-2.9
13 Oklahoma31151648%68.367.9+0.4
14 LSU31131842%67.570.6-3.2
15 Ole Miss31112035%67.969.3-1.4
16 South Carolina31112035%64.572.8-8.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Vanderbilt374077
Mississippi St.274572
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