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Vasco Da Gama vs Academica Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 24 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 17:30
Scheduled
Position#11
Record2-4
FormLWLLL
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game88.8
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.7/10
Above normal
4.8/10
Around normal
Position#15
Record1-6
FormLLLLW
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game83.3
PortugalProligaRound 28· Parque das Camélias
Other2026-27
Meetings · Vasco Da Gama v Academica
24 Apr 2027
VASC v ACAD
upcoming
18 Nov 2023
VASC77
ACAD73
22 Oct 2022
VASC89
ACAD81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vasco Da Gama win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Academica win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Vasco Da GamaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGama
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#3
L
81-112
81
112
-31
no box
H04/04
LPB
Imortal
#6
L
79-95
79
95
-16
no box
A11/04
LPB
Vitoria
#10
W
96-89
96
89
+7
no box
H18/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
70-103
70
103
-33
59avg 62
A25/04
LPB
Sampaense
#8
W
90-82
90
82
+8
30avg 62
H03/10
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#3
L
84-92
84
92
-8
74avg 62
A10/10
Proliga
Barcelos
#14
W
82-72
82
72
+10
72avg 62
H17/10
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
L
76-93
76
93
-17
68avg 62
A24/10
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
82-91
82
91
-9
72avg 62
H31/10
Proliga
Maia
#10
L
101-103 OT
101
103
-2
no box
A07/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
18-30
21-26
19-31
25-30
17-22
22-17
15-26
28-14
20-17
18-24
30-34
27-23
21-37
12-21
10-22
24-20
23-19
22-21
21-22
14-29
16-27
26-22
28-14
35-20
10-27
14-12
23-13
20-24
16-28
20-24
20-17
21-26
20-18
20-23
21-24
24-14
22-23
27-31
17-22
177.3Avg total
84.1Scored
93.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)85.888.8174.7-3.033%
Season at home (3)84.781.7166.3+3.067%
Season away (3)87.096.0183.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)84.193.2177.3-9.130%
Last 5 (5)85.090.2175.2-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)82.098.4180.4-16.423%
vs Similar ◀ (7)89.186.6175.7+2.643%
vs Weaker (1)82.072.0154.0+10.0100%
This opponent (Academica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AcademicaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAcademica
Date
Competition
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
59-63
59
63
-4
no box
A19/04
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
79-85
79
85
-6
73avg 66
H26/04
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
L
81-85
81
85
-4
73avg 66
A02/05
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
75-85
75
85
-10
50avg 66
A03/10
Proliga
Santo Andre
#4
L
73-78
73
78
-5
61avg 66
H10/10
Proliga
CB Queluz
#9
L
69-74
69
74
-5
37avg 66
H17/10
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
80-88
80
88
-8
72avg 66
A24/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#8
L
99-105
99
105
-6
94avg 66
A30/10
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#3
L
80-98
80
98
-18
no box
A07/11
Proliga
Barcelos
#14
W
87-55
87
55
+32
no box
H14/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-11
17-19
14-17
11-16
23-16
25-27
13-14
18-28
24-22
18-16
15-29
24-18
22-18
16-21
21-20
16-26
15-25
12-21
23-13
23-19
10-15
22-19
23-15
14-25
17-21
22-26
24-24
17-17
20-33
32-21
28-24
19-27
20-22
15-26
20-23
25-27
21-19
22-16
22-10
22-10
159.8Avg total
78.2Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.483.3163.7-2.914%
Season at home (3)76.369.0145.3+7.333%
Season away (4)83.594.0177.5-10.50%
Last 10 (10)78.281.6159.8-3.410%
Last 5 (5)83.084.0167.0-1.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)67.880.8148.6-13.013%
vs Similar ◀ (6)75.282.7157.8-7.50%
vs Weaker (1)87.055.0142.0+32.0100%
This opponent (Vasco Da Gama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -6.5-6.5Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -2.4-2.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -6.5-6.5Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -2.4-2.4
Vasco Da GamaAcademica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Vasco Da GamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#3
L
41-55
41
55
-14
H04/04
LPB
Imortal
#6
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A11/04
LPB
Vitoria
#10
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H18/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
48-60
48
60
-12
A25/04
LPB
Sampaense
#8
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H03/10
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#3
L
30-56
30
56
-26
A10/10
Proliga
Barcelos
#14
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H17/10
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A24/10
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H31/10
Proliga
Maia
#10
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A07/11
Proliga
89.7Avg total
42.4Scored
47.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.448.289.6-6.833%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.348.089.3-6.731%-
Last 30 away (14)41.648.490.0-6.936%-
Last 10 (10)42.447.389.7-4.930%-
Last 5 (5)39.647.286.8-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)40.450.691.0-10.223%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)44.140.985.0+3.371%-
vs Weaker (1)45.047.092.0-2.00%-
This opponent (Academica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AcademicaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A19/04
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H26/04
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A02/05
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A03/10
Proliga
Santo Andre
#4
L
27-46
27
46
-19
H10/10
Proliga
CB Queluz
#9
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H17/10
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A24/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#8
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A30/10
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#3
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A07/11
Proliga
Barcelos
#14
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H14/11
Proliga
80.4Avg total
39.0Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.341.076.3-5.730%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.139.474.5-4.333%-
Last 30 away (15)35.542.578.1-7.027%-
Last 10 (10)39.041.480.4-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)40.243.683.8-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)34.141.175.3-7.030%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)38.541.379.8-2.817%-
vs Weaker (1)43.035.078.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Vasco Da Gama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vasco Da Gamatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vasco Da Gama: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.819.2
55.2%
52.5%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.88.2
29.5%
30.6%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.612.9
65.8%
67.3%12.9
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Academicatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Academica: 70.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers13.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.620.7
52.3%
52.5%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.74.6
26.0%
30.6%13.8
🏀 Free throws22.715.1
66.5%
67.3%15.1
They take 57.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vasco Da Gama
LLLWLWLWLL
Academica
WLLLLLLLLL
#11
League position
#15
-16.4
Net rating
-8.3
82.1
Offensive rating
83.4
98.5
Defensive rating
91.7
50.3%
Effective FG%
48.2%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
18.9%
Turnover %
18.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.40
29.5%
3-point %
26.0%
73.4%
Assist %
50.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence82.1 · 83.4Defence98.5 · 91.7Shooting50.3% · 48.2%3-point %29.5% · 26.0%Ball care18.9% · 18.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)30% · 10%
■ Vasco Da Gama   ■ Academica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Vasco Da Gama wins
1
Academica wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26AMaia101-103 OT
31/10/26HGalomar82-91
24/10/26AGinasio Olhanense76-93
17/10/26HBarcelos82-72
10/10/26AGalitos Aveiro84-92
03/10/26HSampaense90-82
25/04/26ABenfica70-103
18/04/26HVitoria96-89
11/04/26AImortal79-95
04/04/26HSporting CP81-112
Academicalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HBarcelos87-55
07/11/26AGalitos Aveiro80-98
30/10/26ASampaense99-105
24/10/26AGalitos Barreiro80-88
17/10/26HCB Queluz69-74
10/10/26HSanto Andre73-78
03/10/26AIlliabum75-85
02/05/26ASampaense81-85
26/04/26HLusitania79-85
19/04/26ABenfica Lisboa B59-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vasco Da Gama
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL33%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%67%0%
Points / game85.884.787.0
Allowed / game88.881.796.0
Point differential-3.0+3.0-9.0
Avg total174.7166.3183.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %17%0%33%
Academica
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW14%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %14%33%0%
Points / game80.476.383.5
Allowed / game83.369.094.0
Point differential-2.9+7.3-10.5
Avg total163.7145.3177.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sangalhos76186%76.661.1+15.4
2 Galitos Barreiro75271%78.371.3+7.0
3 Galitos Aveiro75271%78.973.6+5.3
4 Santo Andre75271%78.174.4+3.7
5 Galomar64267%77.767.2+10.5
6 Lusitania64267%81.372.3+9.0
7 Illiabum74357%74.174.4-0.3
8 Sampaense74357%82.182.4-0.3
9 CB Queluz74357%72.172.6-0.4
10 Maia63350%83.287.8-4.7
11 Vasco Da Gama62433%85.888.8-3.0
12 Ginasio Olhanense72529%84.788.4-3.7
13 Barreirense72529%75.083.9-8.9
14 Barcelos72529%66.677.4-10.9
15 Academica71614%80.483.3-2.9
16 Benfica Lisboa B71614%66.380.6-14.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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