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Vasco vs Flamengo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 50-59
14-11 8-14 12-20 16-14
Position#7
Record-
FormWLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#3
Record-
FormWLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
BrazilNBB· Sao Januario Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Vasco v Flamengo
27 Dec 2025
VASC80
FLAM102
12 Oct 2024
VASC50
FLAM59
10 Nov 2023
VASC65
FLAM68
16 Mar 2019
VASC67
FLAM107
27 Jan 2018
VASC75
FLAM89
28 Jan 2017
VASC78
FLAM77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vasco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Flamengo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VascoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVasco
Date
Competition
Cearense
#8
L
69-70 OT
69
70
-1
58avg 72
A06/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
87-78
87
78
+9
82avg 72
H11/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
63-72
63
72
-9
60avg 72
H13/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
64-56
64
56
+8
51avg 72
A20/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
85-70
85
70
+15
91avg 72
H26/04
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
84-78 OT
84
78
+6
74avg 72
H04/05
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
66-80
66
80
-14
62avg 72
A07/05
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
59-67
59
67
-8
48avg 72
A09/05
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
95-87 OT
95
87
+8
92avg 72
H12/05
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
73-76
73
76
-3
63avg 72
H14/05
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-12
17-16
17-24
12-8
24-20
27-21
17-21
19-16
15-18
13-16
21-15
14-23
15-16
19-20
19-9
11-11
26-17
15-8
20-15
24-30
15-25
19-13
16-19
22-15
17-18
14-22
13-25
22-15
17-25
10-11
18-17
14-14
20-22
17-23
27-16
17-20
20-16
11-16
26-24
16-20
147.9Avg total
74.5Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.573.4147.9+1.150%
Last 5 (5)75.477.6153.0-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)69.086.0155.0-17.00%
vs Similar (15)76.974.8151.7+2.160%
vs Weaker (11)79.373.8153.1+5.582%
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FlamengoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlamengo
Date
Competition
Cearense
#8
W
79-71
79
71
+8
81avg 80
H03/05
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
86-66
86
66
+20
84avg 80
A07/05
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
83-68
83
68
+15
79avg 80
A09/05
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
92-61
92
61
+31
87avg 80
H18/05
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
88-65
88
65
+23
95avg 80
A21/05
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
110-72
110
72
+38
92avg 80
A23/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
56-69
56
69
-13
49avg 80
H01/06
NBB
Franca
#1
W
76-68
76
68
+8
73avg 80
A06/06
NBB
Franca
#1
L
73-81
73
81
-8
62avg 80
A08/06
NBB
Franca
#1
L
59-69
59
69
-10
46avg 80
H13/06
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
21-14
21-17
15-15
23-15
26-21
11-13
26-17
25-18
24-8
16-21
18-21
28-20
19-13
22-17
23-11
19-17
26-17
24-8
19-23
37-21
37-14
13-19
23-18
13-12
9-18
13-21
21-18
23-16
22-21
12-14
19-17
12-14
29-27
21-24
11-16
9-13
13-13
9-15
28-28
149.2Avg total
80.2Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.269.0149.2+11.270%
Last 5 (5)74.871.8146.6+3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)74.677.0151.6-2.443%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)87.070.1157.2+16.996%
This opponent (Vasco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +6.0+6.0Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +1.9+1.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +6.0+6.0Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +1.9+1.9
VascoFlamengo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VascoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cearense
#8
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A06/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H11/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H13/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A20/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H26/04
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H04/05
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A07/05
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A09/05
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H12/05
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H14/05
NBB
70.0Avg total
34.5Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.638.175.7-0.443%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.235.875.0+3.462%-
Last 30 away (14)35.940.676.5-4.821%-
Last 10 (10)34.535.570.0-1.030%-
Last 5 (5)32.038.270.2-6.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)33.344.077.3-10.70%-
vs Similar (15)37.436.974.3+0.547%-
vs Weaker (11)39.937.577.5+2.455%-
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cearense
#8
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H03/05
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A07/05
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
49-26
49
26
+23
A09/05
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H18/05
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A21/05
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
74-35
74
35
+39
A23/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
22-30
22
30
-8
H01/06
NBB
Franca
#1
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A06/06
NBB
Franca
#1
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A08/06
NBB
Franca
#1
L
22-26
22
26
-4
H13/06
NBB
77.4Avg total
43.7Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.434.278.6+10.283%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.932.471.3+6.679%-
Last 30 away (16)49.235.884.9+13.488%-
Last 10 (10)43.733.777.4+10.070%-
Last 5 (5)40.833.874.6+7.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)37.436.173.6+1.343%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)46.533.680.1+13.096%-
This opponent (Vasco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vascotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vasco: 73.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.916.1
50.5%
50.9%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.38.8
31.1%
33.0%26.4
🏀 Free throws21.215.1
71.2%
72.7%15.1
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Flamengotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Flamengo: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.818.1
53.6%
50.9%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.610.1
35.3%
33.0%30.3
🏀 Free throws17.812.5
70.2%
72.7%12.5
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vasco
LWLLWWWLWL
Flamengo
LLWLWWWWWW
#7
League position
#3
+2.0
Net rating
+14.7
98.5
Offensive rating
109.8
96.5
Defensive rating
95.1
48.7%
Effective FG%
53.3%
45.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
19.4%
Turnover %
17.1%
25.7%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.29
31.1%
3-point %
35.3%
71.1%
Assist %
73.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence98.5 · 109.8Defence96.5 · 95.1Shooting48.7% · 53.3%3-point %31.1% · 35.3%Ball care19.4% · 17.1%Off. rebounds25.7% · 30.0%Free throws0.35 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Vasco   ■ Flamengo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Vasco wins
7
Flamengo wins
DateGameScore
08/01/24Flamengo v Vasco84-79
10/11/23Vasco v Flamengo65-68 OT
16/03/19Vasco v Flamengo67-107
10/11/18Flamengo v Vasco90-70
27/01/18Vasco v Flamengo75-89
30/12/17Flamengo v Vasco89-81
11/03/17Flamengo v Vasco94-86
28/01/17Vasco v Flamengo78-77
Vascolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/05/24HBauru73-76
12/05/24HBauru95-87 OT
09/05/24ABauru59-67
07/05/24ABauru66-80
04/05/24HBauru84-78 OT
26/04/24HPinheiros85-70
20/04/24APinheiros64-56
13/04/24HPinheiros63-72
11/04/24HCorinthians Paulista87-78
06/04/24ACearense69-70 OT
Flamengolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/06/24HFranca59-69
08/06/24AFranca73-81
06/06/24AFranca76-68
01/06/24HFranca56-69
23/05/24ABauru110-72
21/05/24ABauru88-65
18/05/24HBauru92-61
09/05/24ACearense83-68
07/05/24ACearense86-66
03/05/24HCearense79-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vasco
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Flamengo
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vasco148121650
Flamengo1114201459
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