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VEF Riga vs Rapla Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 84-62
21-21 26-9 22-12 15-20
Position#1
Record4-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game67.6
vs
Position#9
Record2-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game77.7
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Arena Riga
Other2024
Meetings · VEF Riga v Rapla
19 Oct 2024
VRI84
RAPL62
24 Mar 2024
VRI80
RAPL78
24 Mar 2023
VRI77
RAPL54
02 Nov 2022
VRI81
RAPL62
08 Oct 2021
VRI96
RAPL69
31 Mar 2019
VRI121
RAPL71
29 Sep 2018
VRI102
RAPL68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

VEF Riga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rapla winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VEF RigaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRiga
Date
Competition
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
64-70
64
70
-6
no box
H16/05
LBL
Rigas Zelli
#3
W
90-79
90
79
+11
no box
A19/05
LBL
Rigas Zelli
#3
W
80-74
80
74
+6
no box
H22/05
LBL
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
88-91
88
91
-3
76avg 77
A21/09
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
W
84-63
84
63
+21
81avg 77
A26/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Bonn
#8
W
86-72
86
72
+14
78avg 77
H01/10
Champions League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
W
68-61
68
61
+7
61avg 77
A04/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
89-52
89
52
+37
89avg 77
H09/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
W
74-71
74
71
+3
63avg 77
H12/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan
#28
L
71-78
71
78
-7
64avg 77
A15/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
16-14
11-13
21-25
19-18
19-24
24-20
28-17
16-25
18-9
21-19
25-21
25-17
24-24
17-26
22-24
19-22
25-22
25-7
15-12
19-21
22-21
17-17
28-13
18-18
21-19
14-10
15-14
21-10
18-11
28-10
22-21
20-24
19-13
15-13
20-21
13-20
17-18
25-13
16-27
150.5Avg total
79.4Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)80.667.6148.2+13.080%
Season at home (2)81.561.5143.0+20.0100%
Season away (3)80.071.7151.7+8.367%
Last 10 (10)79.471.1150.5+8.370%
Last 5 (5)77.666.8144.4+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)71.779.7151.3-8.033%
vs Similar (5)81.077.2158.2+3.840%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)83.870.5154.3+13.395%
This opponent (Rapla) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RaplaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRapla
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
51-106
51
106
-55
30avg 67
A08/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
66-110
66
110
-44
49avg 67
H10/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
56-87
56
87
-31
48avg 67
A12/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
W
68-59
68
59
+9
63avg 67
A17/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
L
55-65
55
65
-10
40avg 67
H21/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
W
68-65
68
65
+3
52avg 67
A23/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
W
82-66
82
66
+16
82avg 67
H25/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
L
65-80
65
80
-15
54avg 67
A11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
85-80
85
80
+5
78avg 67
A13/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#14
W
100-73
100
73
+27
102avg 67
H15/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-26
18-34
10-19
13-27
11-27
16-22
20-31
19-30
21-21
10-25
8-26
17-15
12-12
22-23
19-19
15-5
21-16
10-17
7-13
17-19
8-12
21-8
21-26
18-19
28-18
15-12
26-21
13-15
13-14
18-23
19-17
15-26
26-21
22-25
14-20
23-14
26-24
26-15
29-15
19-19
148.7Avg total
69.6Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)83.377.7161.0+5.767%
Season at home (1)100.073.0173.0+27.0100%
Season away (2)75.080.0155.0-5.050%
Last 10 (10)69.679.1148.7-9.550%
Last 5 (5)80.072.8152.8+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)70.279.9150.1-9.845%
vs Similar (5)82.280.6162.8+1.660%
vs Weaker (5)83.670.8154.4+12.880%
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -2.0-2.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -2.0-2.0
VEF RigaRapla
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VEF RigaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rigas Zelli
#3
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H16/05
LBL
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A19/05
LBL
Rigas Zelli
#3
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H22/05
LBL
Rigas Zelli
#3
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A21/09
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A26/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Bonn
#8
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H01/10
Champions League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A04/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
39-21
39
21
+18
H09/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H12/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan
#28
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A15/10
Champions League
75.3Avg total
38.5Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.736.878.5+4.963%-
Last 30 at home (20)42.036.478.4+5.765%-
Last 30 away (10)41.037.778.7+3.360%-
Last 10 (10)38.536.875.3+1.740%-
Last 5 (5)37.635.072.6+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.037.374.3-0.367%-
vs Similar (5)40.843.884.6-3.020%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)42.535.177.7+7.473%-
This opponent (Rapla) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RaplaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
28-60
28
60
-32
A08/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
27-49
27
49
-22
H10/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A12/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A17/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H21/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
W
29-20
29
20
+9
A23/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H25/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A13/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#14
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H15/10
Latvia-Estonian League
74.9Avg total
35.4Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.139.876.0-3.733%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.540.678.1-3.133%-
Last 30 away (15)34.739.173.8-4.333%-
Last 10 (10)35.439.574.9-4.140%-
Last 5 (5)40.634.475.0+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)33.540.373.8-6.820%-
vs Similar (5)39.238.477.6+0.840%-
vs Weaker (5)43.439.482.8+4.080%-
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
VEF Rigatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

VEF Riga: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.419.3
53.0%
51.9%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.2
33.2%
32.3%24.6
🏀 Free throws17.913.4
74.9%
70.6%13.4
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Raplatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rapla: 69.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.318.6
45.0%
51.9%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.57.3
28.6%
32.3%21.9
🏀 Free throws15.89.9
62.7%
70.6%9.9
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
VEF Riga
LWWWWWLWWL
Rapla
WWLWWLWLLL
#1
League position
#9
+6.3
Net rating
-12.8
107.5
Offensive rating
94.8
101.2
Defensive rating
107.6
51.7%
Effective FG%
44.2%
48.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
18.6%
Turnover %
17.4%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.24
33.2%
3-point %
28.6%
51.6%
Assist %
64.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.5 · 94.8Defence101.2 · 107.6Shooting51.7% · 44.2%3-point %33.2% · 28.6%Ball care18.6% · 17.4%Off. rebounds31.8% · 31.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ VEF Riga   ■ Rapla
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
VEF Riga wins
0
Rapla wins
DateGameScore
24/03/24VEF Riga v Rapla80-78
17/11/23Rapla v VEF Riga71-85
28/03/23Rapla v VEF Riga89-94
24/03/23VEF Riga v Rapla77-54
17/01/23Rapla v VEF Riga71-74
02/11/22VEF Riga v Rapla81-62
16/03/22Rapla v VEF Riga52-99
08/10/21VEF Riga v Rapla96-69
31/03/19VEF Riga v Rapla121-71
27/03/19Rapla v VEF Riga65-90
VEF Rigalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/24AMaccabi Ironi Ramat Gan71-78
12/10/24HTartu Ulikool74-71
09/10/24HViimsi89-52
04/10/24AValmiera Glass Via68-61
01/10/24HBonn86-72
26/09/24ABC Kalev/Cramo84-63
21/09/24ARigas Zelli88-91
22/05/24HRigas Zelli80-74
19/05/24ARigas Zelli90-79
16/05/24HRigas Zelli64-70
Raplalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/24HKeila KK100-73
13/10/24AViimsi85-80
11/10/24AValmiera Glass Via65-80
25/05/24HParnu82-66
23/05/24AParnu68-65
21/05/24HParnu55-65
17/05/24AParnu68-59
12/05/24ABC Kalev/Cramo56-87
10/05/24HBC Kalev/Cramo66-110
08/05/24ABC Kalev/Cramo51-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

VEF Riga
Latvia-Estonian League 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game80.681.580.0
Allowed / game67.661.571.7
Point differential+13.0+20.0+8.3
Avg total148.2143.0151.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rapla
Latvia-Estonian League 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game83.3100.075.0
Allowed / game77.773.080.0
Point differential+5.7+27.0-5.0
Avg total161.0173.0155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valmiera Glass Via65183%82.874.3+8.5
2 VEF Riga54180%80.667.6+13.0
3 BC Kalev/Cramo43175%82.275.8+6.5
4 Tal Tech43175%82.282.8-0.5
5 BK Ogre64267%85.278.8+6.3
6 Rapla32167%83.377.7+5.7
7 Rigas Zelli53260%83.081.6+1.4
8 Parnu21150%79.072.0+7.0
9 Ventspils42250%91.888.0+3.8
10 Tartu Ulikool31233%78.378.0+0.3
11 BK Liepaja62433%80.584.7-4.2
12 Keila Coolbet2020%81.086.5-5.5
13 Latvijas Universitate4040%68.885.0-16.2
14 Viimsi2020%66.087.0-21.0
15 Keila KK4040%75.097.2-22.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
VEF Riga2126221584
Rapla219122062
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