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VEF Riga vs Rapla Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 80-78
28-19 22-17 11-24 19-18
Position#3
Record23-6
FormWWWLW
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game71.8
VEF Riga 🏆
vs
Rapla
Position#10
Record12-17
FormWLWLL
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game77.8
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Rimi Olimpiskais centrs
Other2023
Meetings · VEF Riga v Rapla
19 Oct 2024
VRI84
RAPL62
24 Mar 2024
VRI80
RAPL78
24 Mar 2023
VRI77
RAPL54
02 Nov 2022
VRI81
RAPL62
08 Oct 2021
VRI96
RAPL69
31 Mar 2019
VRI121
RAPL71
29 Sep 2018
VRI102
RAPL68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

VEF Riga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rapla winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VEF RigaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRiga
Date
Competition
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
79-74
79
74
+5
68avg 78
H31/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#1
W
101-80
101
80
+21
no box
H03/02
Latvian Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
84-71
84
71
+13
86avg 78
H10/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
W
98-77
98
77
+21
91avg 78
H14/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#3
W
94-69
94
69
+25
no box
H17/02
Latvian Cup
Prometey
#2
W
83-76
83
76
+7
73avg 78
H02/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
77-72
77
72
+5
75avg 78
A06/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
W
99-76
99
76
+23
91avg 78
H09/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
76-82
76
82
-6
68avg 78
H16/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
W
81-74
81
74
+7
74avg 78
H20/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
22-21
21-8
18-26
29-24
37-16
21-14
14-26
16-16
15-16
33-25
20-14
26-20
24-14
23-24
25-19
18-9
27-23
19-20
30-17
26-29
15-10
16-19
26-18
24-11
20-14
17-25
16-22
22-33
25-15
24-19
28-9
17-30
23-24
16-7
20-21
21-24
19-18
20-22
21-10
162.3Avg total
87.2Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)85.871.8157.7+14.079%
Season at home (14)87.169.4156.6+17.793%
Season away (15)84.674.1158.7+10.567%
Last 10 (10)87.275.1162.3+12.190%
Last 5 (5)83.276.0159.2+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)71.774.7146.3-3.067%
vs Similar (4)73.276.2149.5-3.025%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)89.372.5161.8+16.791%
This opponent (Rapla) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RaplaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRapla
Date
Competition
Keila KK
#12
L
86-94
86
94
-8
81avg 66
H20/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
54-82
54
82
-28
45avg 66
A24/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
98-89 OT
98
89
+9
94avg 66
H30/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
W
72-61
72
61
+11
62avg 66
H21/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
W
79-78
79
78
+1
68avg 66
H28/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
72-54
72
54
+18
68avg 66
A02/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
72-76
72
76
-4
70avg 66
H05/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
W
78-77
78
77
+1
66avg 66
A09/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
L
76-83
76
83
-7
66avg 66
H16/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
61-102
61
102
-41
46avg 66
H20/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-24
19-20
21-20
21-30
11-27
18-26
12-11
13-18
21-24
25-13
20-21
17-25
20-22
19-12
12-17
21-10
21-26
16-16
20-19
22-17
20-17
19-11
13-17
20-9
9-22
16-11
29-21
18-22
14-12
16-24
21-23
27-18
13-22
24-24
13-17
26-20
13-30
17-25
19-21
12-26
154.4Avg total
74.8Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)74.577.8152.3-3.341%
Season at home (15)75.980.1156.0-4.140%
Season away (14)73.075.4148.4-2.443%
Last 10 (10)74.879.6154.4-4.850%
Last 5 (5)71.878.4150.2-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)69.580.4149.9-10.831%
vs Similar (9)77.980.9158.8-3.033%
vs Weaker (8)77.670.2147.9+7.462%
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -5.9-5.9Q2Q2: +5.6+5.6Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +0.2+0.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -5.9-5.9Q2Q2: +5.6+5.6Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +0.2+0.2
VEF RigaRapla
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VEF RigaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Latvijas Universitate
#14
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H31/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#1
W
66-40
66
40
+26
H03/02
Latvian Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H10/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H14/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#3
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H17/02
Latvian Cup
Prometey
#2
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H02/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
44-25
44
25
+19
A06/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H09/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
40-54
40
54
-14
H16/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H20/03
Latvia-Estonian League
83.0Avg total
44.4Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.636.481.0+8.270%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.136.280.3+7.965%-
Last 30 away (13)45.236.882.0+8.577%-
Last 10 (10)44.438.683.0+5.850%-
Last 5 (5)42.441.684.0+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.737.376.0+1.3100%-
vs Similar (4)33.541.875.2-8.20%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)47.335.482.7+11.978%-
This opponent (Rapla) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RaplaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keila KK
#12
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H20/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
29-53
29
53
-24
A24/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H30/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H21/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H28/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A02/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
25-33
25
33
-8
H05/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A09/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H16/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
30-55
30
55
-25
H20/03
Latvia-Estonian League
76.4Avg total
35.6Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.740.376.0-4.737%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.241.576.7-6.325%-
Last 30 away (14)36.239.075.2-2.850%-
Last 10 (10)35.640.876.4-5.230%-
Last 5 (5)32.239.671.8-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)30.842.873.7-12.08%-
vs Similar (9)39.339.979.2-0.644%-
vs Weaker (8)39.436.876.1+2.675%-
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
VEF Rigatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

VEF Riga: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.320.2
51.4%
50.5%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.2
35.4%
32.1%30.6
🏀 Free throws17.813.6
76.4%
70.5%13.6
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Raplatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rapla: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.222.2
56.6%
50.5%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.47.6
28.8%
32.1%22.8
🏀 Free throws17.511.4
65.1%
70.5%11.4
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
VEF Riga
WLWWWWWWWW
Rapla
LLWLWWWWLL
#3
League position
#10
+17.6
Net rating
+0.3
114.4
Offensive rating
106.0
96.8
Defensive rating
105.7
52.1%
Effective FG%
51.2%
44.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
15.1%
Turnover %
18.3%
34.3%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.27
35.4%
3-point %
28.8%
59.2%
Assist %
61.1%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence114.4 · 106.0Defence96.8 · 105.7Shooting52.1% · 51.2%3-point %35.4% · 28.8%Ball care15.1% · 18.3%Off. rebounds34.3% · 31.3%Free throws0.26 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ VEF Riga   ■ Rapla
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
VEF Riga wins
0
Rapla wins
DateGameScore
17/11/23Rapla v VEF Riga71-85
28/03/23Rapla v VEF Riga89-94
24/03/23VEF Riga v Rapla77-54
17/01/23Rapla v VEF Riga71-74
02/11/22VEF Riga v Rapla81-62
16/03/22Rapla v VEF Riga52-99
08/10/21VEF Riga v Rapla96-69
31/03/19VEF Riga v Rapla121-71
27/03/19Rapla v VEF Riga65-90
22/01/19Rapla v VEF Riga71-77
VEF Rigalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/24HBK Ogre81-74
16/03/24HBC Kalev/Cramo76-82
09/03/24HVentspils99-76
06/03/24AKeila KK77-72
02/03/24HPrometey83-76
17/02/24HRigas Zelli94-69
14/02/24HRigas Zelli98-77
10/02/24HValmiera Glass Via84-71
03/02/24HVentspils101-80
31/01/24HLatvijas Universitate79-74
Raplalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/24HPrometey61-102
16/03/24HValmiera Glass Via76-83
09/03/24ARigas Zelli78-77
05/03/24HVentspils72-76
02/03/24ALatvijas Universitate72-54
28/02/24HTartu Ulikool79-78
21/02/24HBK Ogre72-61
30/01/24HBK Liepaja98-89 OT
24/01/24ABC Kalev/Cramo54-82
20/01/24HKeila KK86-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

VEF Riga
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW79%
HomeWWWLW93%
AwayLWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %79%93%67%
Points / game85.887.184.6
Allowed / game71.869.474.1
Point differential+14.0+17.7+10.5
Avg total157.7156.6158.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%71%53%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rapla
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL41%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayWLLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %41%40%43%
Points / game74.575.973.0
Allowed / game77.880.175.4
Point differential-3.3-4.1-2.4
Avg total152.3156.0148.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%13%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %14%13%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo2928197%86.769.4+17.2
2 Prometey2925486%89.167.3+21.8
3 VEF Riga2923679%85.871.8+14.0
4 Ventspils30201067%91.284.8+6.5
5 Tartu Ulikool30191163%75.469.4+6.0
6 Rigas Zelli30181260%79.173.8+5.3
7 BK Ogre30171357%80.277.1+3.1
8 Parnu30151550%77.577.1+0.3
9 Tal Tech29141548%79.279.9-0.7
10 Rapla29121741%74.577.8-3.3
11 BK Liepaja30111937%78.281.5-3.3
12 Keila KK29101934%79.286.3-7.2
13 Valmiera Glass Via2982128%74.283.0-8.8
14 Latvijas Universitate3062420%68.683.5-14.8
15 Viimsi3062420%68.385.0-16.8
16 Tallinna Kalev2942514%70.289.1-18.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
VEF Riga2822111980
Rapla1917241878
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