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Aris vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 17 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 15:15
Final 73-83
20-17 13-27 18-23 22-16
Position#7
Record8-12
FormWLWLW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game84.0
vs
Position#1
Record20-0
FormWWWWL
Points / game94.2
Allowed / game76.6
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 21· Alexandreio Mellathron
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Aris v Panathinaikos
01 Nov 2026
ARI101
PAO91
01 Feb 2026
ARI102
PAO95
17 Mar 2025
ARI73
PAO83
02 Jun 2024
ARI65
PAO80
13 May 2024
ARI68
PAO80
12 Nov 2023
ARI65
PAO75
09 Oct 2022
ARI69
PAO65
24 May 2022
ARI65
PAO85
03 Oct 2021
ARI81
PAO71
17 Jan 2021
ARI75
PAO93
15 Feb 2020
ARI81
PAO88
13 Oct 2018
ARI70
PAO84
10 Dec 2017
ARI70
PAO88
21 Nov 2016
ARI59
PAO71
28 Apr 2015
ARI56
PAO72
24 Nov 2013
ARI59
PAO75
15 Oct 2012
ARI56
PAO71
21 Apr 2012
ARI65
PAO88
14 Jan 2012
ARI68
PAO72
18 Mar 2011
ARI69
PAO75
09 Feb 2011
ARI74
PAO70
08 Nov 2009
ARI62
PAO70
13 May 2009
ARI53
PAO66
21 Mar 2009
ARI69
PAO76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
JL Bourg
#12
L
51-92
51
92
-41
38avg 65
H15/01
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
83-74
83
74
+9
73avg 65
H18/01
Basket League
Valencia
#1
L
65-106
65
106
-41
49avg 65
A22/01
Eurocup
Peristeri
#9
L
68-73
68
73
-5
55avg 65
A25/01
Basket League
Hamburg
#17
L
88-90 OT
88
90
-2
82avg 65
H29/01
Eurocup
Maroussi
#11
W
78-73
78
73
+5
77avg 65
A01/02
Basket League
Cluj-Napoca
#6
L
74-89
74
89
-15
63avg 65
H05/02
Eurocup
Panionios
#8
W
80-72
80
72
+8
78avg 65
H08/02
Basket League
PAOK
#6
L
63-75
63
75
-12
53avg 65
A01/03
Basket League
Lavrio
#12
W
82-65
82
65
+17
80avg 65
H10/03
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-23
14-23
14-21
11-25
24-27
16-16
18-15
25-16
16-28
17-27
18-27
14-24
27-12
7-15
19-18
15-28
22-19
21-26
20-17
21-22
18-23
15-9
15-25
30-16
23-21
19-32
13-19
19-17
24-20
13-18
24-11
19-23
17-24
19-15
13-16
14-20
18-12
25-16
19-19
20-18
154.1Avg total
73.2Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)77.284.0161.2-6.840%
Season at home (10)77.376.7154.0+0.660%
Season away (10)77.191.3168.4-14.220%
Last 10 (10)73.280.9154.1-7.740%
Last 5 (5)75.474.8150.2+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)76.488.8165.2-12.425%
vs Similar (14)76.981.6158.4-4.736%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#5
W
104-89
104
89
+15
98avg 85
H06/02
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
94-82
94
82
+12
90avg 85
H09/02
Basket League
Peristeri
#29
W
93-63
93
63
+30
96avg 85
H12/02
Greek Cup
Promitheas
#14
W
91-73
91
73
+18
87avg 85
A14/02
Greek Cup
Olympiacos
#6
W
79-75
79
75
+4
72avg 85
H16/02
Greek Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
96-93
96
93
+3
97avg 85
A28/02
Euroleague
Maroussi
#11
W
102-95
102
95
+7
97avg 85
A02/03
Basket League
Real Madrid
#8
W
85-70
85
70
+15
84avg 85
H06/03
Euroleague
Panionios
#8
W
97-66
97
66
+31
105avg 85
H09/03
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
74-76
74
76
-2
71avg 85
A14/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
32-26
26-26
29-16
22-24
23-17
31-19
18-22
28-13
20-13
23-24
22-13
22-17
19-14
22-19
28-23
16-21
14-13
29-21
20-20
25-16
29-28
17-19
25-30
20-32
34-20
15-21
33-22
24-13
16-20
23-20
22-17
27-16
23-12
25-21
22-17
9-20
18-18
23-24
24-14
169.7Avg total
91.5Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)94.276.6170.8+17.6100%
Season at home (10)98.173.0171.1+25.1100%
Season away (10)90.380.2170.5+10.1100%
Last 10 (10)91.578.2169.7+13.390%
Last 5 (5)90.880.0170.8+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)83.582.0165.5+1.562%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)94.179.0173.1+15.090%
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +4.9+4.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +4.9+4.9
ArisPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
JL Bourg
#12
L
26-46
26
46
-20
H15/01
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H18/01
Basket League
Valencia
#1
L
33-55
33
55
-22
A22/01
Eurocup
Peristeri
#9
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A25/01
Basket League
Hamburg
#17
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H29/01
Eurocup
Maroussi
#11
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A01/02
Basket League
Cluj-Napoca
#6
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H05/02
Eurocup
Panionios
#8
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H08/02
Basket League
PAOK
#6
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A01/03
Basket League
Lavrio
#12
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H10/03
Basket League
77.3Avg total
36.7Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.842.879.6-6.117%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.441.679.0-4.114%-
Last 30 away (16)36.243.980.1-7.819%-
Last 10 (10)36.740.677.3-3.930%-
Last 5 (5)38.238.076.2+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)37.245.682.8-8.46%-
vs Similar (14)36.339.776.0-3.429%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#5
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H06/02
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H09/02
Basket League
Peristeri
#29
W
48-26
48
26
+22
H12/02
Greek Cup
Promitheas
#14
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A14/02
Greek Cup
Olympiacos
#6
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H16/02
Greek Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A28/02
Euroleague
Maroussi
#11
W
54-52
54
52
+2
A02/03
Basket League
Real Madrid
#8
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H06/03
Euroleague
Panionios
#8
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H09/03
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A14/03
Euroleague
81.2Avg total
43.8Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.638.883.5+5.873%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.136.984.1+10.288%-
Last 30 away (14)41.841.082.8+0.857%-
Last 10 (10)43.837.481.2+6.480%-
Last 5 (5)45.039.084.0+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)39.537.677.1+1.975%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)46.439.986.3+6.571%-
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 72.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.117.1
48.7%
53.5%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.18.3
28.5%
34.8%24.9
🏀 Free throws18.513.4
72.4%
73.3%13.4
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 90.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.222.6
62.4%
53.5%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.610.8
37.8%
34.8%32.4
🏀 Free throws17.513.1
74.9%
73.3%13.1
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aris
WLWLWLLLWL
Panathinaikos
LWWWWWWWWW
#7
League position
#1
-9.4
Net rating
+18.8
97.6
Offensive rating
125.1
107.0
Defensive rating
106.4
46.0%
Effective FG%
59.9%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
20.0%
Turnover %
13.9%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
31.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.27
28.5%
3-point %
37.8%
60.6%
Assist %
64.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence97.6 · 125.1Defence107.0 · 106.4Shooting46.0% · 59.9%3-point %28.5% · 37.8%Ball care20.0% · 13.9%Off. rebounds32.2% · 31.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 90%
■ Aris   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Aris wins
8
Panathinaikos wins
DateGameScore
22/12/24Panathinaikos v Aris126-74
28/09/24Panathinaikos v Aris81-68
02/06/24Aris v Panathinaikos65-80
31/05/24Panathinaikos v Aris89-71
13/05/24Aris v Panathinaikos68-80
17/02/24Panathinaikos v Aris76-65
05/02/24Panathinaikos v Aris70-73
12/11/23Aris v Panathinaikos65-75
15/01/23Panathinaikos v Aris96-79
09/10/22Aris v Panathinaikos69-65
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/25HLavrio82-65
01/03/25APAOK63-75
08/02/25HPanionios80-72
05/02/25HCluj-Napoca74-89
01/02/25AMaroussi78-73
29/01/25HHamburg88-90 OT
25/01/25APeristeri68-73
22/01/25AValencia65-106
18/01/25HKolossos Rhodes83-74
15/01/25HJL Bourg51-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/25AOlympiacos74-76
09/03/25HPanionios97-66
06/03/25HReal Madrid85-70
02/03/25AMaroussi102-95
28/02/25ALyon-Villeurbanne96-93
16/02/25HOlympiacos79-75
14/02/25APromitheas91-73
12/02/25HPeristeri93-63
09/02/25HKolossos Rhodes94-82
06/02/25HAnadolu Efes104-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aris
Basket League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW40%
HomeLLWWW60%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %40%60%20%
Points / game77.277.377.1
Allowed / game84.076.791.3
Point differential-6.8+0.6-14.2
Avg total161.2154.0168.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Panathinaikos
Basket League 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game94.298.190.3
Allowed / game76.673.080.2
Point differential+17.6+25.1+10.1
Avg total170.8171.1170.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%90%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos20200100%94.276.6+17.6
2 Olympiacos2018290%88.373.2+15.1
3 AEK Athens2113862%84.180.9+3.3
4 AS Karditsas21111052%76.578.2-1.7
5 Promitheas21101148%81.183.1-2.0
6 PAOK21101148%78.882.2-3.4
7 Panionios2191243%77.778.3-0.6
8 Aris2081240%77.284.0-6.8
9 Peristeri2181338%76.582.1-5.6
10 Lavrio2171433%80.484.5-4.1
11 Maroussi2051525%76.783.9-7.2
12 Kolossos Rhodes2151624%77.981.7-3.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aris2013182273
Panathinaikos1727231683
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