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Panionios vs Aris Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 92-78
17-11 26-18 28-27 21-22
Position#8
Record9-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Position#7
Record9-13
FormWLWLW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game83.6
GreeceBasket LeagueBasket League - Semi-finals· DAK Glyfada M. Liugas
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Panionios v Aris
25 Oct 2025
PAN73
ARI90
29 Mar 2025
PAN92
ARI78
16 Nov 2024
PAN79
ARI62
26 Dec 2020
PAN v ARI
upcoming
28 Mar 2020
PAN v ARI
upcoming
21 Oct 2018
PAN70
ARI66
06 Jan 2018
PAN81
ARI87
29 Nov 2014
PAN71
ARI65
15 Feb 2014
PAN63
ARI68
25 May 2013
PAN74
ARI67
21 May 2013
PAN80
ARI79
23 Feb 2013
PAN82
ARI75
06 Nov 2011
PAN78
ARI66
16 Apr 2011
PAN89
ARI80
05 Dec 2009
PAN74
ARI70
29 Apr 2009
PAN75
ARI79
15 Apr 2009
PAN89
ARI85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panionios winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanioniosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanionios
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#9
W
83-73
83
73
+10
80avg 70
H04/01
Basket League
PAOK
#6
W
105-98 OT
105
98
+7
97avg 70
A11/01
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
L
64-65
64
65
-1
60avg 70
A18/01
Basket League
Lavrio
#12
W
86-80
86
80
+6
83avg 70
H27/01
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#4
W
82-69
82
69
+13
79avg 70
H02/02
Basket League
Aris
#7
L
72-80
72
80
-8
61avg 70
A08/02
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
L
75-80
75
80
-5
60avg 70
H01/03
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
66-97
66
97
-31
58avg 70
A09/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#5
L
93-101 OT
93
101
-8
84avg 70
H16/03
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
64-95
64
95
-31
57avg 70
A23/03
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-8
30-29
20-18
14-18
29-25
15-19
23-18
19-24
21-14
12-21
18-14
13-16
20-23
21-20
24-21
21-16
17-17
22-12
20-17
23-23
20-24
18-13
11-24
23-19
16-28
13-23
20-14
26-15
16-27
12-23
21-25
17-22
25-31
20-18
23-22
19-16
9-22
16-26
20-20
19-27
162.8Avg total
79.0Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)77.179.0156.1-2.041%
Season at home (11)80.574.8155.3+5.664%
Season away (11)73.783.3157.0-9.518%
Last 10 (10)79.083.8162.8-4.840%
Last 5 (5)74.090.6164.6-16.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)72.886.0158.8-13.20%
vs Similar ◀ (15)78.176.4154.5+1.753%
vs Weaker (9)77.967.3145.2+10.689%
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Valencia
#1
L
65-106
65
106
-41
49avg 65
A22/01
Eurocup
Peristeri
#9
L
68-73
68
73
-5
55avg 65
A25/01
Basket League
Hamburg
#17
L
88-90 OT
88
90
-2
82avg 65
H29/01
Eurocup
Maroussi
#11
W
78-73
78
73
+5
77avg 65
A01/02
Basket League
Cluj-Napoca
#6
L
74-89
74
89
-15
63avg 65
H05/02
Eurocup
Panionios
#8
W
80-72
80
72
+8
78avg 65
H08/02
Basket League
PAOK
#6
L
63-75
63
75
-12
53avg 65
A01/03
Basket League
Lavrio
#12
W
82-65
82
65
+17
80avg 65
H10/03
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
73-83
73
83
-10
62avg 65
H17/03
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#4
W
82-76
82
76
+6
85avg 65
A23/03
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-28
17-27
18-27
14-24
27-12
7-15
19-18
15-28
22-19
21-26
20-17
21-22
18-23
15-9
15-25
30-16
23-21
19-32
13-19
19-17
24-20
13-18
24-11
19-23
17-24
19-15
13-16
14-20
18-12
25-16
19-19
20-18
20-17
13-27
18-23
22-16
20-26
22-15
21-18
19-17
155.5Avg total
75.3Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)77.283.6160.8-6.441%
Season at home (11)76.977.3154.2-0.455%
Season away (11)77.589.9167.5-12.427%
Last 10 (10)75.380.2155.5-4.940%
Last 5 (5)76.074.2150.2+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)74.788.8163.5-14.113%
vs Similar ◀ (15)77.281.2158.4-4.040%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Panionios) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -0.8-0.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -0.8-0.8
PanioniosAris
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanioniosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#9
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H04/01
Basket League
PAOK
#6
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A11/01
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A18/01
Basket League
Lavrio
#12
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H27/01
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#4
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H02/02
Basket League
Aris
#7
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A08/02
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
L
29-51
29
51
-22
H01/03
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
28-50
28
50
-22
A09/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#5
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H16/03
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
25-48
25
48
-23
A23/03
Basket League
79.4Avg total
37.1Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.838.176.0-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.735.274.9+4.560%-
Last 30 away (15)35.941.177.0-5.133%-
Last 10 (10)37.142.379.4-5.230%-
Last 5 (5)33.047.080.0-14.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.043.775.7-11.717%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)39.338.377.7+1.047%-
vs Weaker (9)39.234.173.3+5.167%-
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#1
L
33-55
33
55
-22
A22/01
Eurocup
Peristeri
#9
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A25/01
Basket League
Hamburg
#17
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H29/01
Eurocup
Maroussi
#11
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A01/02
Basket League
Cluj-Napoca
#6
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H05/02
Eurocup
Panionios
#8
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H08/02
Basket League
PAOK
#6
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A01/03
Basket League
Lavrio
#12
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H10/03
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H17/03
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#4
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A23/03
Basket League
77.8Avg total
37.6Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.042.879.8-5.920%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.141.778.9-4.613%-
Last 30 away (15)36.843.980.7-7.127%-
Last 10 (10)37.640.277.8-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)38.238.076.2+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)37.345.983.1-8.67%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)36.739.876.5-3.133%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Panionios) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panioniostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panionios: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.320.1
49.9%
53.5%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.57.7
34.2%
34.8%23.1
🏀 Free throws20.314.9
73.4%
73.3%14.9
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 74.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.417.4
50.6%
53.5%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.89.0
30.2%
34.8%27.0
🏀 Free throws17.612.6
71.6%
73.3%12.6
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panionios
LLLLLWWLWW
Aris
WLWLWLWLLL
#8
League position
#7
-6.4
Net rating
-6.2
104.4
Offensive rating
100.2
110.8
Defensive rating
106.4
50.4%
Effective FG%
48.1%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
17.9%
Turnover %
20.1%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
32.5%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.2%
3-point %
30.2%
57.6%
Assist %
63.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence104.4 · 100.2Defence110.8 · 106.4Shooting50.4% · 48.1%3-point %34.2% · 30.2%Ball care17.9% · 20.1%Off. rebounds27.9% · 32.5%Free throws0.32 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Panionios   ■ Aris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Panionios wins
6
Aris wins
DateGameScore
08/02/25Aris v Panionios80-72
16/11/24Panionios v Aris79-62
08/12/19Aris v Panionios80-86
02/02/19Aris v Panionios79-56
21/10/18Panionios v Aris70-66
05/05/18Aris v Panionios60-48
06/01/18Panionios v Aris81-87
21/03/15Aris v Panionios67-63
29/11/14Panionios v Aris71-65
15/02/14Panionios v Aris63-68
Panionioslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/25AOlympiacos64-95
16/03/25HPromitheas93-101 OT
09/03/25APanathinaikos66-97
01/03/25HAEK Athens75-80
08/02/25AAris72-80
02/02/25HAS Karditsas82-69
27/01/25HLavrio86-80
18/01/25AMaroussi64-65
11/01/25APAOK105-98 OT
04/01/25HPeristeri83-73
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/25AAS Karditsas82-76
17/03/25HPanathinaikos73-83
10/03/25HLavrio82-65
01/03/25APAOK63-75
08/02/25HPanionios80-72
05/02/25HCluj-Napoca74-89
01/02/25AMaroussi78-73
29/01/25HHamburg88-90 OT
25/01/25APeristeri68-73
22/01/25AValencia65-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panionios
Basket League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL41%
HomeWWWLL64%
AwayWLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %41%64%18%
Points / game77.180.573.7
Allowed / game79.074.883.3
Point differential-2.0+5.6-9.5
Avg total156.1155.3157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%45%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)33% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %18%9%27%
Aris
Basket League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW41%
HomeLWWWL55%
AwayLLWLW27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %41%55%27%
Points / game77.276.977.5
Allowed / game83.677.389.9
Point differential-6.4-0.4-12.4
Avg total160.8154.2167.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %5%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos22220100%93.976.1+17.7
2 Olympiacos2220291%89.373.5+15.8
3 AEK Athens2214864%85.081.0+4.1
4 Promitheas22111150%81.482.5-1.1
5 AS Karditsas22111150%76.578.4-1.9
6 PAOK22101245%79.082.3-3.3
7 Panionios2291341%77.179.0-2.0
8 Aris2291341%77.283.6-6.4
9 Peristeri2281436%76.282.3-6.0
10 Lavrio2271532%80.085.1-5.2
11 Kolossos Rhodes2261627%78.281.7-3.5
12 Maroussi2251723%77.585.7-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panionios1726282192
Aris1118272278
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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