Ventspils vs BK Liepaja Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 23 Dec 2015

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 77-65

18-19 28-12 10-23 21-11

Position#2

Record12-2

FormWLWLW

Points / game88.9

Allowed / game64.2

Ventspils 🏆

BK Liepaja

Position#4

Record11-2

FormWWLWW

Points / game81.4

Allowed / game65.4

LBL

Other2015-16

Meetings · Ventspils v BK Liepaja

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ventspils winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

BK Liepaja winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ventspils

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Turow Zgorzelec

#39

92-76

+16

A11/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Jelgava

102-53

102

+49

H14/11

LBL

Helios Domzale

#47

81-72

A18/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Pieno Zvaigzdes

#23

86-67

+19

H24/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Barons Kvartals

107-67

107

+40

A28/11

LBL

Turow Zgorzelec

#39

96-73

+23

H01/12

FIBA Europe Cup

Jekabpils

60-66

-6

H05/12

LBL

VEF Riga

89-81

A11/12

LBL

Nymburk

#13

64-88

-24

A16/12

FIBA Europe Cup

BK Ogre

#10

118-71

118

+47

A19/12

LBL

29-18

24-18

24-13

15-27

33-13

17-12

23-8

29-20

19-13

23-21

16-17

23-18

22-21

18-8

23-20

31-16

32-19

13-15

31-17

34-24

15-17

24-16

23-16

15-20

15-16

17-13

13-17

25-17

21-24

18-21

25-19

16-15

14-32

18-20

16-21

28-24

27-15

35-16

28-16

160.9Avg total

89.5Scored

71.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	88.9	64.2	153.1	+24.7	86%
Season at home (7)	87.3	60.3	147.6	+27.0	86%
Season away (7)	90.6	68.1	158.7	+22.4	86%
Last 10 (10)	89.5	71.4	160.9	+18.1	80%
Last 5 (5)	85.4	75.8	161.2	+9.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	64.0	88.0	152.0	-24.0	0%
vs Similar (6)	75.7	77.2	152.8	-1.5	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	87.7	68.1	155.8	+19.7	83%

This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BK Liepaja Latvia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rakvere Tarvas

79-73

H18/11

Baltic League

Jurmala

85-76

H21/11

LBL

Skycop

60-89

-29

A25/11

Baltic League

BK Ogre

#10

92-54

+38

A28/11

LBL

Jurmala

#11

68-90

-22

H01/12

Baltic League

Latvijas Universitate

#11

80-56

+24

H05/12

LBL

Jelgava

73-72

H08/12

LBL

Skycop

102-107 OT

102

107

-5

H11/12

Baltic League

Tal Tech

#16

65-63

A15/12

Baltic League

Rakvere Tarvas

77-59

+18

A16/12

Baltic League

20-15

17-23

25-20

17-15

16-23

21-17

18-12

30-24

10-18

14-24

13-31

23-16

24-8

20-16

29-18

19-12

18-19

21-31

12-16

17-24

24-9

14-14

17-19

25-14

22-13

11-22

16-18

24-19

20-16

17-17

24-18

14-24

20-15

12-11

21-19

12-18

24-16

18-13

23-15

12-15

152.0Avg total

78.1Scored

73.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	81.4	65.4	146.8	+16.0	85%
Season at home (7)	82.4	65.4	147.9	+17.0	100%
Season away (6)	80.2	65.3	145.5	+14.8	67%
Last 10 (10)	78.1	73.9	152.0	+4.2	70%
Last 5 (5)	79.4	71.4	150.8	+8.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	74.5	86.8	161.2	-12.2	25%
vs Similar (11)	74.1	73.5	147.5	+0.6	64%
vs Weaker (15)	81.4	65.3	146.7	+16.1	80%

This opponent (Ventspils) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

VentspilsBK Liepaja

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	18.9	40.5	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	18.7	39.9	+2.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.9	19.2	41.1	+2.7	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.3	17.8	43.1	+7.5	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	20.0	43.6	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	16.0	15.0	31.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Similar (6)	17.3	18.2	35.5	-0.8	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	23.0	19.3	42.3	+3.7	65%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.7	15.2	34.0	+3.5	66%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.2	15.4	33.7	+2.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.3	15.0	34.3	+4.3	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	15.2	35.0	+4.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	13.8	35.8	+8.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	17.2	19.0	36.2	-1.8	25%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.4	16.9	36.3	+2.5	64%	-
vs Weaker (14)	18.6	12.9	31.5	+5.8	79%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	18.4	39.4	+2.5	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	18.0	38.1	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.8	18.9	40.7	+2.9	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	19.5	40.5	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	20.8	39.2	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	14.0	32.0	46.0	-18.0	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.8	20.5	41.3	+0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	21.3	17.3	38.6	+4.0	74%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	20.4	41.4	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	24.3	23.1	47.4	+1.2	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	16.8	16.8	33.7	+0.0	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.5	18.8	35.3	-2.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.4	15.4	29.8	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	14.2	19.0	33.2	-4.8	0%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.3	21.2	40.5	-1.9	45%	-
vs Weaker (15)	24.2	20.1	44.3	+4.1	67%	-

VentspilsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Turow Zgorzelec

#39

53-36

+17

A11/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Jelgava

50-25

+25

H14/11

LBL

Helios Domzale

#47

42-34

A18/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Pieno Zvaigzdes

#23

45-39

H24/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Barons Kvartals

63-35

+28

A28/11

LBL

Turow Zgorzelec

#39

49-41

H01/12

FIBA Europe Cup

Jekabpils

30-36

-6

H05/12

LBL

VEF Riga

46-41

A11/12

LBL

Nymburk

#13

30-47

-17

A16/12

FIBA Europe Cup

BK Ogre

#10

55-39

+16

A19/12

LBL

83.6Avg total

46.3Scored

37.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.6	37.4	79.9	+5.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.4	36.7	78.1	+4.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.7	38.1	81.8	+5.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.3	37.3	83.6	+9.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	40.8	82.8	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	30.0	47.0	77.0	-17.0	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	38.2	38.7	76.8	-0.5	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	44.3	36.6	80.9	+7.7	65%	-

This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rakvere Tarvas

37-38

-1

H18/11

Baltic League

Jurmala

37-40

-3

H21/11

LBL

Skycop

24-42

-18

A25/11

Baltic League

BK Ogre

#10

44-24

+20

A28/11

LBL

Jurmala

#11

39-50

-11

H01/12

Baltic League

Latvijas Universitate

#11

38-23

+15

H05/12

LBL

Jelgava

33-35

-2

H08/12

LBL

Skycop

37-33

H11/12

Baltic League

Tal Tech

#16

32-26

A15/12

Baltic League

Rakvere Tarvas

42-29

+13

A16/12

Baltic League

70.3Avg total

36.3Scored

34.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	37.3	33.8	71.1	+3.6	52%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.3	35.4	73.7	+2.9	44%	-
Last 30 away (13)	36.2	31.8	68.0	+4.3	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.3	34.0	70.3	+2.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	29.2	65.6	+7.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	31.5	38.0	69.5	-6.5	25%	-
vs Similar (11)	38.6	38.1	76.7	+0.5	36%	-
vs Weaker (14)	38.0	29.2	67.2	+8.8	71%	-

This opponent (Ventspils) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	15.2	36.7	+6.2	77%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	13.1	34.9	+8.8	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	17.4	38.5	+3.7	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	15.1	36.4	+6.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	17.2	39.6	+5.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	18.0	20.0	38.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.2	17.8	36.0	+0.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	22.5	14.3	36.8	+8.1	83%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.6	16.4	36.0	+3.2	66%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.4	16.6	36.0	+2.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.8	16.2	36.0	+3.7	77%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	18.6	38.4	+1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	17.8	38.0	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	18.8	20.8	39.5	-2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.2	15.1	34.3	+4.1	73%	-
vs Weaker (14)	20.1	16.2	36.4	+3.9	64%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	18.0	38.5	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	16.7	36.9	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	19.3	40.0	+1.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	19.0	40.9	+2.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	17.8	38.8	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	16.0	21.0	37.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.3	20.7	40.0	-1.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	21.0	17.1	38.1	+3.9	70%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.4	18.6	37.0	-0.2	45%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.7	19.1	38.8	+0.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (13)	16.8	18.1	34.8	-1.3	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	18.1	37.4	+1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	18.0	35.4	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	17.5	20.0	37.5	-2.5	25%	-
vs Similar (11)	16.3	20.3	36.5	-4.0	18%	-
vs Weaker (14)	20.3	16.9	37.2	+3.4	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.0	33.2	75.2	+8.8	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.1	29.7	71.9	+12.4	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.8	36.7	78.5	+5.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.2	34.1	77.3	+9.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	35.0	78.4	+8.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	34.0	41.0	75.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	37.5	38.5	76.0	-1.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	43.5	31.5	75.0	+12.0	83%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	38.0	35.0	73.0	+2.9	62%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.1	35.7	74.8	+3.4	69%	-
Last 30 away (13)	36.6	34.2	70.8	+2.4	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.1	36.7	75.8	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	35.8	73.4	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	36.2	40.8	77.0	-4.5	25%	-
vs Similar (11)	35.5	35.4	70.8	+0.1	55%	-
vs Weaker (14)	40.4	33.1	73.6	+7.3	79%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Ventspils wins

BK Liepaja wins

Date	Game	Score
10/10/15	BK Liepaja v Ventspils	69-66
08/04/15	BK Liepaja v Ventspils	68-77
15/11/14	Ventspils v BK Liepaja	76-81
27/09/14	BK Liepaja v Ventspils	71-67
22/03/14	BK Liepaja v Ventspils	88-81
17/01/14	Ventspils v BK Liepaja	71-61
09/11/13	BK Liepaja v Ventspils	62-75
16/10/13	Ventspils v BK Liepaja	75-53
02/02/13	BK Liepaja v Ventspils	67-107
10/11/12	Ventspils v BK Liepaja	82-62

Ventspilslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/12/15	A	BK Ogre	118-71
16/12/15	A	Nymburk	64-88
11/12/15	A	VEF Riga	89-81
05/12/15	H	Jekabpils	60-66
01/12/15	H	Turow Zgorzelec	96-73
28/11/15	A	Barons Kvartals	107-67
24/11/15	H	Pieno Zvaigzdes	86-67
18/11/15	A	Helios Domzale	81-72
14/11/15	H	Jelgava	102-53
11/11/15	A	Turow Zgorzelec	92-76

BK Liepajalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/12/15	A	Rakvere Tarvas	77-59
15/12/15	A	Tal Tech	65-63
11/12/15	H	Skycop	102-107 OT
08/12/15	H	Jelgava	73-72
05/12/15	H	Latvijas Universitate	80-56
01/12/15	H	Jurmala	68-90
28/11/15	A	BK Ogre	92-54
25/11/15	A	Skycop	60-89
21/11/15	H	Jurmala	85-76
18/11/15	H	Rakvere Tarvas	79-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ventspils

LBL 2015-16

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	86%
Home	WWWWL	86%
Away	WWWWW	86%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	7	7
Win %	86%	86%	86%
Points / game	88.9	87.3	90.6
Allowed / game	64.2	60.3	68.1
Point differential	+24.7	+27.0	+22.4
Avg total	153.1	147.6	158.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	64%	71%	57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

BK Liepaja

LBL 2015-16

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	85%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWLWW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	7	6
Win %	85%	100%	67%
Points / game	81.4	82.4	80.2
Allowed / game	65.4	65.4	65.3
Point differential	+16.0	+17.0	+14.8
Avg total	146.8	147.9	145.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	54%	57%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Ventspils	14	12	2	86%	88.9	64.2	+24.7
2	BK Liepaja	13	11	2	85%	81.4	65.4	+16.0
3	VEF Riga	8	6	2	75%	87.1	72.1	+15.0
4	Valmiera/ORDO	15	11	4	73%	81.7	74.9	+6.8
5	Jurmala	12	6	6	50%	79.1	76.2	+2.9
6	Valga	8	4	4	50%	75.5	86.9	-11.4
7	Jekabpils	13	6	7	46%	71.0	74.4	-3.4
8	Jelgava	15	6	9	40%	71.2	78.2	-7.0
9	Barons Kvartals	15	4	11	27%	78.3	85.3	-7.1
10	BK Ogre	13	3	10	23%	71.0	91.4	-20.4
11	Latvijas Universitate	14	1	13	7%	74.0	88.3	-14.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Ventspils	18	28	10	21	77
BK Liepaja	19	12	23	11	65

← all games of the day

Ventspils vs BK Liepaja Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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