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Ventspils vs BK Liepaja Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 26 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 16:30
Scheduled
Position#6
Record6-4
FormLWWLL
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game83.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.5/10
Above normal
4.1/10
Below normal
Position#11
Record4-6
FormLWWWL
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game77.3
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Olimpiskais centrs Ventspils
Other2026
Meetings · Ventspils v BK Liepaja
26 Jan 2027
VET v BK L
upcoming
16 Nov 2025
VET104
BK L69
04 Feb 2025
VET103
BK L91
06 Dec 2024
VET101
BK L81
17 May 2024
VET88
BK L77
11 May 2024
VET101
BK L76
06 Oct 2023
VET96
BK L102
15 Feb 2023
VET102
BK L55
15 Mar 2022
VET94
BK L71
30 Mar 2021
VET78
BK L79
19 Mar 2021
VET73
BK L71
30 Oct 2020
VET73
BK L64
16 Mar 2019
VET97
BK L67
24 Mar 2018
VET107
BK L62
29 Dec 2017
VET97
BK L71
08 Apr 2017
VET90
BK L76
12 Nov 2016
VET82
BK L66
31 May 2016
VET72
BK L66
28 May 2016
VET96
BK L65
23 May 2016
VET75
BK L83
13 Apr 2016
VET100
BK L77
23 Dec 2015
VET77
BK L65
15 Nov 2014
VET76
BK L81
17 Jan 2014
VET71
BK L61
16 Oct 2013
VET75
BK L53
10 Nov 2012
VET82
BK L62
25 Apr 2012
VET77
BK L69
19 Apr 2012
VET73
BK L74
11 Oct 2011
VET88
BK L69
30 Sep 2011
VET85
BK L59
25 Feb 2011
VET95
BK L77
09 Mar 2010
VET99
BK L71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ventspils win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
BK Liepaja win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VentspilsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVentspils
Date
Competition
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
76-98
76
98
-22
65avg 75
A25/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
108-92
108
92
+16
106avg 75
A28/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#4
W
92-85
92
85
+7
87avg 75
H02/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#7
W
86-73
86
73
+13
83avg 75
A10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#15
W
85-68
85
68
+17
78avg 75
A11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#5
L
82-85
82
85
-3
78avg 75
H16/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#10
W
92-88
92
88
+4
83avg 75
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
75-60
75
60
+15
65avg 75
H30/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
80-89
80
89
-9
no box
A07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
85-96
85
96
-11
no box
H14/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-29
21-23
19-24
16-22
27-24
26-19
34-22
21-27
25-23
27-32
20-13
20-17
14-24
26-18
24-18
22-13
28-13
15-16
27-21
15-18
17-17
22-16
17-28
26-24
23-29
29-22
23-19
17-18
20-12
21-14
15-13
19-21
17-23
22-22
21-20
20-24
26-26
19-22
13-21
27-27
169.5Avg total
86.1Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)86.183.4169.5+2.760%
Season at home (4)83.581.5165.0+2.050%
Season away (6)87.884.7172.5+3.267%
Last 10 (10)86.183.4169.5+2.760%
Last 5 (5)82.883.6166.4-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)77.590.4167.9-12.920%
vs Similar ◀ (6)85.884.2170.0+1.750%
vs Weaker (13)91.380.4171.7+10.985%
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK LiepajaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiepaja
Date
Competition
Lausanne Basket
#18
W
81-74
81
74
+7
74avg 72
H06/10
ENBL
Rigas Juniori
#12
W
98-88
98
88
+10
86avg 72
H11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#5
L
71-78
71
78
-7
63avg 72
H14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
69-85
69
85
-16
54avg 72
A17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Kapfenberg Bulls
#6
L
83-108
83
108
-25
77avg 72
A21/10
ENBL
Bristol Flyers
#10
L
72-85
72
85
-13
62avg 72
H27/10
ENBL
Viimsi
#13
W
112-54
112
54
+58
118avg 72
H31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#15
W
92-65
92
65
+27
no box
H04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Juniori
#12
W
99-69
99
69
+30
no box
A07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
72-89
72
89
-17
no box
A14/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
23-19
21-15
17-17
23-24
26-23
21-21
28-20
20-16
16-17
15-24
20-21
20-21
14-20
19-24
16-20
22-17
23-30
15-30
23-31
20-19
8-21
28-18
16-27
37-7
21-18
33-12
21-17
28-17
21-9
25-21
18-18
23-24
28-17
28-12
20-16
18-23
18-21
15-28
21-17
164.4Avg total
84.9Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)82.477.3159.7+5.140%
Season at home (5)91.274.4165.6+16.860%
Season away (5)73.680.2153.8-6.620%
Last 10 (10)84.979.5164.4+5.450%
Last 5 (5)89.472.4161.8+17.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)75.289.9165.1-14.60%
vs Similar ◀ (3)78.379.7158.0-1.333%
vs Weaker (12)88.879.4168.2+9.458%
This opponent (Ventspils) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -0.4-0.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -0.4-0.4
VentspilsBK Liepaja
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VentspilsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A25/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A28/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#4
L
52-55
52
55
-3
H02/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#7
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#15
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#5
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H16/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#10
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H30/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H14/11
Latvia-Estonian League
86.9Avg total
44.5Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.342.487.7+2.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.941.585.4+2.347%-
Last 30 away (15)46.843.390.1+3.567%-
Last 10 (10)44.542.486.9+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)43.240.683.8+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)41.346.287.5-4.920%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)45.244.589.7+0.750%-
vs Weaker (13)46.839.586.2+7.385%-
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lausanne Basket
#18
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H06/10
ENBL
Rigas Juniori
#12
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#5
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Kapfenberg Bulls
#6
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A21/10
ENBL
Bristol Flyers
#10
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H27/10
ENBL
Viimsi
#13
W
58-25
58
25
+33
H31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#15
W
49-26
49
26
+23
H04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Juniori
#12
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A14/11
Latvia-Estonian League
81.5Avg total
42.9Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.042.484.4-0.340%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.442.185.5+1.250%-
Last 30 away (14)40.542.683.1-2.129%-
Last 10 (10)42.938.681.5+4.360%-
Last 5 (5)44.435.279.6+9.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)36.444.380.7-7.97%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)40.341.081.3-0.767%-
vs Weaker (12)47.841.489.2+6.467%-
This opponent (Ventspils) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ventspilstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ventspils: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.219.2
53.0%
52.5%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.19.5
31.6%
31.4%28.5
🏀 Free throws22.816.7
73.2%
68.3%16.7
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BK Liepajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Liepaja: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.018.7
49.2%
52.5%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.9
33.1%
31.4%23.7
🏀 Free throws25.618.1
70.7%
68.3%18.1
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ventspils
LLWWLWWWWL
BK Liepaja
LWWWLLLLWW
#6
League position
#11
+3.4
Net rating
-2.0
93.8
Offensive rating
91.6
90.5
Defensive rating
93.5
50.5%
Effective FG%
49.4%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
15.7%
Turnover %
16.1%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.41
31.6%
3-point %
33.1%
62.7%
Assist %
63.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence93.8 · 91.6Defence90.5 · 93.5Shooting50.5% · 49.4%3-point %31.6% · 33.1%Ball care15.7% · 16.1%Free throws0.34 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Ventspils   ■ BK Liepaja
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Ventspils wins
0
BK Liepaja wins
DateGameScore
18/02/26BK Liepaja v Ventspils82-89
16/11/25Ventspils v BK Liepaja104-69
12/02/25BK Liepaja v Ventspils79-98
04/02/25Ventspils v BK Liepaja103-91
28/01/25BK Liepaja v Ventspils64-87
06/12/24Ventspils v BK Liepaja101-81
17/05/24Ventspils v BK Liepaja88-77
14/05/24BK Liepaja v Ventspils76-83
11/05/24Ventspils v BK Liepaja101-76
24/01/24BK Liepaja v Ventspils70-90
Ventspilslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HVEF Riga85-96
07/11/26AParnu80-89
30/10/26HViimsi75-60
24/10/26ABK Ogre92-88
16/10/26HTal Tech82-85
11/10/26AKeila Coolbet85-68
10/10/26ABC Kalev/Cramo86-73
02/10/26HTartu Ulikool92-85
28/09/26ALatvijas Universitate108-92
25/09/26AValmiera Glass Via76-98
BK Liepajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AValmiera Glass Via72-89
07/11/26ARigas Juniori99-69
04/11/26HKeila Coolbet92-65
31/10/26HViimsi112-54
27/10/26HBristol Flyers72-85
21/10/26AKapfenberg Bulls83-108
17/10/26ARigas Zelli69-85
14/10/26HTal Tech71-78
11/10/26HRigas Juniori98-88
06/10/26HLausanne Basket81-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ventspils
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL60%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayWWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game86.183.587.8
Allowed / game83.481.584.7
Point differential+2.7+2.0+3.2
Avg total169.5165.0172.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
BK Liepaja
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL40%
HomeLWLWW60%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %40%60%20%
Points / game82.491.273.6
Allowed / game77.374.480.2
Point differential+5.1+16.8-6.6
Avg total159.7165.6153.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%60%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rigas Zelli990100%93.774.1+19.6
2 VEF Riga108280%90.276.0+14.2
3 Valmiera Glass Via108280%89.876.4+13.4
4 Tartu Ulikool96367%81.375.3+6.0
5 Tal Tech117464%75.872.2+3.6
6 Ventspils106460%86.183.4+2.7
7 BC Kalev/Cramo95456%85.181.9+3.2
8 Parnu84450%77.477.1+0.2
9 Keila KK105550%74.381.6-7.3
10 BK Ogre94544%86.786.7+0.0
11 BK Liepaja104640%82.477.3+5.1
12 Rigas Juniori83538%80.088.5-8.5
13 Viimsi112918%74.386.8-12.5
14 Latvijas Universitate101910%76.891.6-14.8
15 Keila Coolbet100100%68.991.7-22.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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