PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Ventspils vs BK Liepaja Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 04 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 103-91
25-24 25-24 30-23 23-20
Position#2
Record3-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game66.2
vs
Position#5
Record3-1
FormWLLWL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game70.2
LatviaLatvian CupLatvian Cup - Semi-finals· Olimpiskais centrs Ventspils
Other2025
Meetings · Ventspils v BK Liepaja
26 Jan 2027
VET v BK L
upcoming
16 Nov 2025
VET104
BK L69
04 Feb 2025
VET103
BK L91
06 Dec 2024
VET101
BK L81
17 May 2024
VET88
BK L77
11 May 2024
VET101
BK L76
06 Oct 2023
VET96
BK L102
15 Feb 2023
VET102
BK L55
15 Mar 2022
VET94
BK L71
30 Mar 2021
VET78
BK L79
19 Mar 2021
VET73
BK L71
30 Oct 2020
VET73
BK L64
16 Mar 2019
VET97
BK L67
24 Mar 2018
VET107
BK L62
29 Dec 2017
VET97
BK L71
08 Apr 2017
VET90
BK L76
12 Nov 2016
VET82
BK L66
31 May 2016
VET72
BK L66
28 May 2016
VET96
BK L65
23 May 2016
VET75
BK L83
13 Apr 2016
VET100
BK L77
23 Dec 2015
VET77
BK L65
15 Nov 2014
VET76
BK L81
17 Jan 2014
VET71
BK L61
16 Oct 2013
VET75
BK L53
10 Nov 2012
VET82
BK L62
25 Apr 2012
VET77
BK L69
19 Apr 2012
VET73
BK L74
11 Oct 2011
VET88
BK L69
30 Sep 2011
VET85
BK L59
25 Feb 2011
VET95
BK L77
09 Mar 2010
VET99
BK L71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ventspils winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BK Liepaja winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VentspilsLatviaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVentspils
Date
Competition
Saldus
#14
W
98-50
98
50
+48
no box
A22/12
Latvian Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
81-89
81
89
-8
80avg 80
A30/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
L
77-91
77
91
-14
63avg 80
A04/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
90-70
90
70
+20
91avg 80
H07/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
74-89
74
89
-15
64avg 80
H11/01
Latvian Cup
Rapla
#9
W
90-76
90
76
+14
92avg 80
H14/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
W
79-62
79
62
+17
79avg 80
A18/01
Latvian Cup
Tal Tech
#10
W
96-86
96
86
+10
93avg 80
H24/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#5
W
87-64
87
64
+23
no box
A28/01
Latvian Cup
Parnu
#11
L
90-100
90
100
-10
79avg 80
A01/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
22-4
22-16
29-14
25-19
25-28
18-19
13-23
23-18
15-29
21-22
18-22
27-24
31-17
23-18
9-11
18-21
26-20
15-26
15-22
24-14
24-25
21-14
21-23
24-12
16-12
16-16
23-22
27-26
26-13
23-21
20-26
19-15
24-15
16-16
28-18
23-20
26-21
17-30
24-29
163.9Avg total
86.2Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)84.566.2150.8+18.275%
Season at home (1)74.089.0163.0-15.00%
Season away (3)88.058.7146.7+29.3100%
Last 10 (10)86.277.7163.9+8.560%
Last 5 (5)88.477.6166.0+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.381.3157.7-5.033%
vs Similar (13)85.388.1173.4-2.831%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)91.682.3173.9+9.377%
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK LiepajaLatviaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiepaja
Date
Competition
Tartu Ulikool
#6
L
80-81
80
81
-1
77avg 71
A03/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#12
W
78-77
78
77
+1
63avg 71
A08/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#6
W
75-72
75
72
+3
61avg 71
H11/01
Latvian Cup
Rapla
#9
L
81-99
81
99
-18
70avg 71
H15/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#6
W
78-69
78
69
+9
66avg 71
A18/01
Latvian Cup
Tal Tech
#10
W
97-92 OT
97
92
+5
87avg 71
H22/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
88-92
88
92
-4
80avg 71
H25/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#2
L
64-87
64
87
-23
no box
H28/01
Latvian Cup
Rapla
#9
W
111-99 OT
111
99
+12
109avg 71
A31/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#14
L
77-90
77
90
-13
72avg 71
A01/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-9
13-23
25-28
22-21
20-24
22-18
17-19
19-16
14-15
33-23
12-13
16-21
24-14
11-27
18-29
28-29
18-17
23-19
12-12
25-21
17-25
28-21
15-16
23-21
22-20
16-25
31-20
19-27
15-19
15-24
16-16
18-28
18-21
23-24
23-28
28-19
19-21
23-24
17-22
18-23
168.7Avg total
82.9Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)82.570.2152.8+12.275%
Season at home (2)69.579.5149.0-10.050%
Season away (2)95.561.0156.5+34.5100%
Last 10 (10)82.985.8168.7-2.950%
Last 5 (5)87.492.0179.4-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)73.180.5153.6-7.527%
vs Similar (9)80.381.8162.1-1.444%
vs Weaker (9)87.681.7169.2+5.978%
This opponent (Ventspils) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -1.0-1.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -1.0-1.0
VentspilsBK Liepaja
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VentspilsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saldus
#14
W
47-20
47
20
+27
A22/12
Latvian Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A30/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A04/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
58-41
58
41
+17
H07/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H11/01
Latvian Cup
Rapla
#9
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H14/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
W
40-24
40
24
+16
A18/01
Latvian Cup
Tal Tech
#10
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H24/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#5
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A28/01
Latvian Cup
Parnu
#11
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A01/02
Latvia-Estonian League
83.9Avg total
47.0Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.039.984.9+5.270%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.041.889.8+6.279%-
Last 30 away (16)42.438.280.6+4.262%-
Last 10 (10)47.036.983.9+10.190%-
Last 5 (5)46.634.681.2+12.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)45.737.783.3+8.0100%-
vs Similar (13)42.242.784.9-0.554%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)47.539.186.6+8.577%-
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tartu Ulikool
#6
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A03/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#12
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A08/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#6
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H11/01
Latvian Cup
Rapla
#9
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H15/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#6
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A18/01
Latvian Cup
Tal Tech
#10
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H22/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H25/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#2
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H28/01
Latvian Cup
Rapla
#9
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A31/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#14
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A01/02
Latvia-Estonian League
80.7Avg total
39.4Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.439.179.6+1.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.038.378.3+1.747%-
Last 30 away (15)40.940.080.9+0.940%-
Last 10 (10)39.441.380.7-1.930%-
Last 5 (5)39.244.884.0-5.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)37.840.378.1-2.536%-
vs Similar (9)38.838.176.9+0.744%-
vs Weaker (9)44.340.785.0+3.744%-
This opponent (Ventspils) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ventspilstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ventspils: 86.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.3 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.121.3
57.4%
52.2%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.4
31.8%
29.9%25.2
🏀 Free throws24.619.0
77.2%
69.7%19.0
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BK Liepajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Liepaja: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.3 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.122.0
56.3%
52.2%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.68.7
30.4%
29.9%26.1
🏀 Free throws20.714.5
70.0%
69.7%14.5
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ventspils
LWWWWLWLLW
BK Liepaja
LWLLWWLWWL
#2
League position
#5
+2.3
Net rating
+3.9
113.0
Offensive rating
107.7
110.6
Defensive rating
103.8
53.4%
Effective FG%
51.8%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
47.5%
16.3%
Turnover %
17.7%
28.3%
Off. rebound %
34.5%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.31
31.8%
3-point %
30.4%
59.3%
Assist %
53.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence113.0 · 107.7Defence110.6 · 103.8Shooting53.4% · 51.8%3-point %31.8% · 30.4%Ball care16.3% · 17.7%Off. rebounds28.3% · 34.5%Free throws0.39 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Ventspils   ■ BK Liepaja
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Ventspils wins
2
BK Liepaja wins
DateGameScore
28/01/25BK Liepaja v Ventspils64-87
06/12/24Ventspils v BK Liepaja101-81
17/05/24Ventspils v BK Liepaja88-77
14/05/24BK Liepaja v Ventspils76-83
11/05/24Ventspils v BK Liepaja101-76
24/01/24BK Liepaja v Ventspils70-90
06/10/23Ventspils v BK Liepaja96-102 OT
15/02/23Ventspils v BK Liepaja102-55
06/12/22BK Liepaja v Ventspils72-60
15/03/22Ventspils v BK Liepaja94-71
Ventspilslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/25AParnu90-100
28/01/25ABK Liepaja87-64
24/01/25HTal Tech96-86
18/01/25AValmiera Glass Via79-62
14/01/25HRapla90-76
11/01/25HValmiera Glass Via74-89
07/01/25HLatvijas Universitate90-70
04/01/25AValmiera Glass Via77-91
30/12/24ABC Kalev/Cramo81-89
22/12/24ASaldus98-50
BK Liepajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/25AKeila KK77-90
31/01/25ARapla111-99 OT
28/01/25HVentspils64-87
25/01/25HBC Kalev/Cramo88-92
22/01/25HTal Tech97-92 OT
18/01/25ABK Ogre78-69
15/01/25HRapla81-99
11/01/25HBK Ogre75-72
08/01/25AKeila Coolbet78-77
03/01/25ATartu Ulikool80-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ventspils
Latvian Cup 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeL0%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %75%0%100%
Points / game84.574.088.0
Allowed / game66.289.058.7
Point differential+18.2-15.0+29.3
Avg total150.8163.0146.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
BK Liepaja
Latvian Cup 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWL50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game82.569.595.5
Allowed / game70.279.561.0
Point differential+12.2-10.0+34.5
Avg total152.8149.0156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 VEF Riga550100%83.663.8+19.8
2 Ventspils43175%84.566.2+18.2
3 BK Liepaja43175%82.570.2+12.2
4 Valmiera Glass Via32167%86.075.0+11.0
5 Rigas Zelli53260%79.267.6+11.6
6 BK Ogre31233%88.775.3+13.3
7 Latvijas Universitate31233%74.377.7-3.3
8 Jelgava31233%64.082.0-18.0
9 Salaspils1010%66.076.0-10.0
10 Gulbenes Buki1010%71.088.0-17.0
11 Vef Riga Skola1010%57.081.0-24.0
12 Jekabpils1010%72.0107.0-35.0
13 Cesis1010%50.092.0-42.0
14 Saldus1010%50.098.0-48.0
15 BS Ogre1010%73.0125.0-52.0
16 Sigulda1010%53.0113.0-60.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ventspils25253023103
BK Liepaja2424232091
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.