Ventspils vs BK Liepaja Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 31 May 2016

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 72-66

21-15 17-20 17-13 17-18

Position#2

Record32-13

FormLLLWW

Points / game87.5

Allowed / game71.2

Ventspils 🏆

BK Liepaja

Position#4

Record29-17

FormLWWLL

Points / game81.9

Allowed / game76.3

LBLLBL - 3rd place

Other2015-16

Meetings · Ventspils v BK Liepaja

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ventspils winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

BK Liepaja winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ventspils

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Valmiera/ORDO

77-83

-6

A23/04

LBL

VEF Riga

65-76

-11

H11/05

LBL

VEF Riga

93-98 OT

-5

A13/05

LBL

VEF Riga

86-80

H15/05

LBL

VEF Riga

79-71

A17/05

LBL

VEF Riga

73-75

-2

H19/05

LBL

BK Liepaja

75-83

-8

H23/05

LBL

BK Liepaja

90-98

-8

A25/05

LBL

BK Liepaja

96-65

+31

H28/05

LBL

BK Liepaja

98-95

A30/05

LBL

21-18

15-23

16-20

25-22

21-22

17-16

12-22

15-16

21-21

27-20

23-22

14-22

15-25

23-12

21-24

27-19

20-17

25-13

11-20

23-21

20-26

22-18

17-14

14-17

10-29

19-19

18-13

28-22

23-23

19-38

26-25

22-12

21-16

26-18

26-20

23-11

19-26

28-22

19-21

32-26

165.6Avg total

83.2Scored

82.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (45)	87.5	71.2	158.7	+16.3	71%
Season at home (23)	87.4	69.2	156.6	+18.2	70%
Season away (22)	87.5	73.3	160.9	+14.2	73%
Last 10 (10)	83.2	82.4	165.6	+0.8	40%
Last 5 (5)	86.4	83.2	169.6	+3.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	78.7	82.7	161.3	-4.0	0%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	86.5	74.6	161.1	+11.9	63%

This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BK Liepaja Latvia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Jurmala

85-63

+22

H29/04

LBL

Jurmala

79-64

+15

A01/05

LBL

Jurmala

86-83

H03/05

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

55-68

-13

A10/05

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

71-80

-9

H12/05

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

73-97

-24

A14/05

LBL

Ventspils

83-75

A23/05

LBL

Ventspils

98-90

H25/05

LBL

Ventspils

65-96

-31

A28/05

LBL

Ventspils

95-98

-3

H30/05

LBL

18-21

25-14

16-11

26-17

23-21

22-12

16-22

18-9

24-19

26-21

26-23

10-20

13-19

17-15

16-17

9-17

15-24

11-13

9-21

36-22

19-26

16-28

21-16

17-27

29-10

19-19

13-18

22-28

23-23

38-19

25-26

12-22

16-21

18-26

20-26

11-23

26-19

22-28

21-19

26-32

160.4Avg total

79.0Scored

81.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (46)	81.9	76.3	158.2	+5.6	63%
Season at home (23)	85.6	77.5	163.1	+8.1	74%
Season away (23)	78.2	75.1	153.3	+3.1	52%
Last 10 (10)	79.0	81.4	160.4	-2.4	50%
Last 5 (5)	82.8	91.2	174.0	-8.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	82.0	90.8	172.8	-8.8	33%
vs Similar (11)	76.4	74.5	150.9	+1.8	55%
vs Weaker (10)	88.7	77.0	165.7	+11.7	80%

This opponent (Ventspils) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

VentspilsBK Liepaja

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.7	40.0	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	18.5	38.9	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	20.9	41.1	-0.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	22.3	41.4	-3.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	24.0	42.6	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	12.7	20.3	33.0	-7.7	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	21.2	19.6	40.8	+1.6	59%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	20.0	40.9	+1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.0	20.9	42.9	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	19.1	38.9	+0.8	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	20.3	40.9	+0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	19.8	42.4	+2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	22.3	21.4	43.8	+0.9	33%	-
vs Similar (11)	18.0	19.8	37.8	-1.8	27%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.9	18.8	41.7	+4.1	70%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	17.0	37.9	+3.8	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	16.6	37.3	+4.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	17.5	38.4	+3.5	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	19.9	42.0	+2.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	23.0	45.8	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	17.0	17.7	34.7	-0.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	21.3	17.0	38.2	+4.3	70%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	19.5	40.1	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	19.8	41.1	+1.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	19.2	39.1	+0.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	19.5	40.9	+1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	24.0	46.6	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	20.3	22.9	43.2	-2.6	22%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.6	17.0	36.6	+2.6	64%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.0	19.2	41.2	+2.8	60%	-

VentspilsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Valmiera/ORDO

36-41

-5

A23/04

LBL

VEF Riga

38-38

H11/05

LBL

VEF Riga

48-41

A13/05

LBL

VEF Riga

38-37

H15/05

LBL

VEF Riga

45-30

+15

A17/05

LBL

VEF Riga

42-44

-2

H19/05

LBL

BK Liepaja

29-48

-19

H23/05

LBL

BK Liepaja

42-61

-19

A25/05

LBL

BK Liepaja

47-34

+13

H28/05

LBL

BK Liepaja

47-48

-1

A30/05

LBL

83.4Avg total

41.2Scored

42.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.2	36.7	77.9	+4.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.2	35.1	76.3	+6.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.2	38.3	79.5	+2.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.2	42.2	83.4	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	47.0	88.4	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	29.7	38.0	67.7	-8.3	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	42.5	36.6	79.0	+5.9	67%	-

This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Jurmala

43-35

H29/04

LBL

Jurmala

45-33

+12

A01/05

LBL

Jurmala

50-40

+10

H03/05

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

30-34

-4

A10/05

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

26-37

-11

H12/05

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

35-54

-19

A14/05

LBL

Ventspils

48-29

+19

A23/05

LBL

Ventspils

61-42

+19

H25/05

LBL

Ventspils

34-47

-13

A28/05

LBL

Ventspils

48-47

H30/05

LBL

81.8Avg total

42.0Scored

39.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.6	39.5	81.0	+2.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.3	40.7	84.0	+2.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.8	38.3	78.1	+1.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.0	39.8	81.8	+2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.2	43.8	89.0	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	42.7	44.3	87.0	-1.7	44%	-
vs Similar (11)	37.6	36.8	74.5	+0.8	64%	-
vs Weaker (10)	44.9	38.0	82.9	+6.9	80%	-

This opponent (Ventspils) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	18.1	39.0	+2.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.0	18.7	39.7	+2.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	17.5	38.3	+3.2	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	20.1	39.0	-1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	18.6	39.8	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	22.3	20.7	43.0	+1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	20.7	17.9	38.6	+2.9	56%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	19.3	39.4	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.8	19.8	40.6	+1.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	18.9	38.1	+0.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	19.9	38.2	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	21.0	41.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	18.2	21.1	39.3	-2.9	22%	-
vs Similar (11)	18.5	18.1	36.5	+0.4	45%	-
vs Weaker (10)	23.4	19.1	42.5	+4.3	70%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.4	20.1	43.5	+3.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.0	20.7	44.7	+3.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.7	19.6	42.3	+3.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	18.8	41.1	+3.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	17.6	41.4	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	26.7	24.0	50.7	+2.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	23.0	19.7	42.7	+3.3	63%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	20.8	40.6	-1.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	21.3	41.9	-0.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	20.4	39.3	-1.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	21.7	40.4	-3.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	26.4	44.0	-8.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	18.4	23.3	41.8	-4.9	22%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.3	19.6	39.9	+0.6	55%	-
vs Weaker (10)	20.4	19.9	40.3	+0.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.2	38.3	82.5	+6.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.0	39.4	84.4	+5.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.5	37.1	80.6	+6.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.2	38.9	80.1	+2.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.0	36.2	81.2	+8.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	49.0	44.7	93.7	+4.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	43.7	37.6	81.3	+6.1	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	40.2	80.0	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.5	41.1	82.5	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.1	39.3	77.4	-1.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.0	41.6	78.6	-4.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	47.4	85.0	-9.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	36.7	44.4	81.1	-7.8	11%	-
vs Similar (11)	38.7	37.7	76.5	+1.0	55%	-
vs Weaker (10)	43.8	39.0	82.8	+4.8	80%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Ventspils wins

BK Liepaja wins

Date	Game	Score
30/05/16	BK Liepaja v Ventspils	95-98
28/05/16	Ventspils v BK Liepaja	96-65
25/05/16	BK Liepaja v Ventspils	98-90
23/05/16	Ventspils v BK Liepaja	75-83
13/04/16	Ventspils v BK Liepaja	100-77
19/03/16	BK Liepaja v Ventspils	70-83
23/12/15	Ventspils v BK Liepaja	77-65
10/10/15	BK Liepaja v Ventspils	69-66
08/04/15	BK Liepaja v Ventspils	68-77
15/11/14	Ventspils v BK Liepaja	76-81

Ventspilslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/05/16	A	BK Liepaja	98-95
28/05/16	H	BK Liepaja	96-65
25/05/16	A	BK Liepaja	90-98
23/05/16	H	BK Liepaja	75-83
19/05/16	H	VEF Riga	73-75
17/05/16	A	VEF Riga	79-71
15/05/16	H	VEF Riga	86-80
13/05/16	A	VEF Riga	93-98 OT
11/05/16	H	VEF Riga	65-76
23/04/16	A	Valmiera/ORDO	77-83

BK Liepajalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/05/16	H	Ventspils	95-98
28/05/16	A	Ventspils	65-96
25/05/16	H	Ventspils	98-90
23/05/16	A	Ventspils	83-75
14/05/16	A	Valmiera/ORDO	73-97
12/05/16	H	Valmiera/ORDO	71-80
10/05/16	A	Valmiera/ORDO	55-68
03/05/16	H	Jurmala	86-83
01/05/16	A	Jurmala	79-64
29/04/16	H	Jurmala	85-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ventspils

LBL 2015-16

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	71%
Home	LWLLW	70%
Away	LLWLW	73%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	45	23	22
Win %	71%	70%	73%
Points / game	87.5	87.4	87.5
Allowed / game	71.2	69.2	73.3
Point differential	+16.3	+18.2	+14.2
Avg total	158.7	156.6	160.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	56%	61%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	17% (6)	0% (2)	25% (4)
Overtime %	4%	0%	9%

BK Liepaja

LBL 2015-16

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLL	63%
Home	WWLWL	74%
Away	WLLWL	52%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	46	23	23
Win %	63%	74%	52%
Points / game	81.9	85.6	78.2
Allowed / game	76.3	77.5	75.1
Point differential	+5.6	+8.1	+3.1
Avg total	158.2	163.1	153.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	35%	35%	35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	62% (8)	80% (5)	33% (3)
Overtime %	4%	4%	4%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Valmiera/ORDO	45	36	9	80%	81.2	72.0	+9.1
2	Ventspils	45	32	13	71%	87.5	71.2	+16.3
3	VEF Riga	34	24	10	71%	84.4	73.0	+11.4
4	BK Liepaja	46	29	17	63%	81.9	76.3	+5.6
5	Jekabpils	36	19	17	53%	77.7	79.4	-1.8
6	Jurmala	39	20	19	51%	80.7	79.3	+1.4
7	Valga	23	11	12	48%	78.7	86.2	-7.5
8	Barons Kvartals	36	12	24	33%	78.0	83.2	-5.2
9	Jelgava	36	9	27	25%	70.1	81.1	-11.0
10	BK Ogre	36	9	27	25%	73.4	86.6	-13.1
11	Latvijas Universitate	36	5	31	14%	69.2	84.5	-15.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Ventspils	21	17	17	17	72
BK Liepaja	15	20	13	18	66

← all games of the day

Ventspils vs BK Liepaja Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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