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Ventspils vs Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 19 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 61-67
13-13 11-17 19-16 18-21
Position#32
Record3-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game86.4
vs
Murcia 🏆
Position#2
Record8-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game69.3
EuropeChampions League
European cup2018
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ventspils winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VentspilsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Latvijas Universitate
#11
W
78-60
78
60
+18
H03/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Ludwigsburg
#43
W
93-92 OT
93
92
+1
H06/11
Champions League
Valga
#13
W
82-65
82
65
+17
A09/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Nizhny Novgorod
#18
L
75-80
75
80
-5
H14/11
Champions League
Valmiera Glass Via
#12
W
95-85
95
85
+10
H17/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Avellino
#25
W
88-74
88
74
+14
A21/11
Champions League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
W
88-83
88
83
+5
H25/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Jurmala
#7
W
72-62
72
62
+10
A08/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Anwil Wloclawek
#39
L
71-84
71
84
-13
A12/12
Champions League
Tallinna Kalev
#10
W
80-68
80
68
+12
H15/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-14
22-13
23-24
15-9
17-23
23-26
25-10
19-25
17-22
24-13
26-18
15-12
17-19
12-20
25-18
21-23
15-18
26-34
26-18
28-15
18-22
28-19
19-26
23-7
20-30
14-15
24-20
30-18
20-12
15-13
20-13
17-24
9-23
24-20
11-20
27-21
23-22
22-16
19-17
16-13
157.5Avg total
82.2Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)81.586.4167.9-4.938%
Season at home (4)83.087.8170.8-4.850%
Season away (4)80.085.0165.0-5.025%
Last 10 (10)82.275.3157.5+6.980%
Last 5 (5)79.874.2154.0+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)84.085.0169.0-1.050%
vs Similar (11)81.483.9165.3-2.545%
vs Weaker (15)89.675.3164.9+14.393%
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Breogan
#18
W
76-64
76
64
+12
H03/11
ACB
Anwil Wloclawek
#39
W
87-68
87
68
+19
A06/11
Champions League
Barcelona
#2
L
73-105
73
105
-32
A11/11
ACB
Ludwigsburg
#43
L
80-81
80
81
-1
A13/11
Champions League
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
80-58
80
58
+22
H18/11
ACB
Banvit
#15
W
63-62
63
62
+1
A20/11
Champions League
Unicaja
#5
L
82-89
82
89
-7
A24/11
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
81-67
81
67
+14
A08/12
ACB
Le Mans
#31
W
80-71
80
71
+9
A12/12
Champions League
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
75-65
75
65
+10
H16/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
17-18
20-16
20-11
19-14
20-23
20-12
28-19
17-25
20-19
24-24
12-37
23-21
18-20
23-17
16-23
18-16
23-13
21-17
18-12
22-21
20-12
9-14
12-15
19-25
18-16
25-29
20-19
16-20
13-15
32-16
20-16
22-18
19-17
20-21
19-15
19-14
23-20
15-21
18-10
150.7Avg total
77.7Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)76.869.3146.1+7.580%
Season at home (4)78.874.5153.2+4.275%
Season away (6)75.565.8141.3+9.783%
Last 10 (10)77.773.0150.7+4.770%
Last 5 (5)76.270.8147.0+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)72.483.8156.1-11.412%
vs Similar (11)74.168.2142.3+5.964%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)79.574.4153.8+5.173%
This opponent (Ventspils) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: +0.6+0.6
VentspilsMurcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VentspilsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Latvijas Universitate
#11
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H03/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Ludwigsburg
#43
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H06/11
Champions League
Valga
#13
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A09/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Nizhny Novgorod
#18
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H14/11
Champions League
Valmiera Glass Via
#12
L
41-52
41
52
-11
H17/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Avellino
#25
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A21/11
Champions League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H25/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Jurmala
#7
W
35-25
35
25
+10
A08/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Anwil Wloclawek
#39
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A12/12
Champions League
Tallinna Kalev
#10
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H15/12
Latvia-Estonian League
77.8Avg total
38.4Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.140.083.1+3.163%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.942.386.1+1.657%-
Last 30 away (16)42.437.980.4+4.569%-
Last 10 (10)38.439.477.8-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)38.638.477.0+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)39.039.278.2-0.250%-
vs Similar (11)42.643.285.8-0.555%-
vs Weaker (15)44.537.882.3+6.773%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Breogan
#18
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H03/11
ACB
Anwil Wloclawek
#39
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A06/11
Champions League
Barcelona
#2
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A11/11
ACB
Ludwigsburg
#43
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A13/11
Champions League
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H18/11
ACB
Banvit
#15
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A20/11
Champions League
Unicaja
#5
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A24/11
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#17
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A08/12
ACB
Le Mans
#31
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A12/12
Champions League
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H16/12
ACB
75.1Avg total
38.5Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.736.973.6-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.135.272.3+1.957%-
Last 30 away (16)36.438.374.7-1.938%-
Last 10 (10)38.536.675.1+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)38.235.673.8+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)34.441.976.2-7.512%-
vs Similar (11)36.035.571.5+0.545%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)39.134.573.6+4.573%-
This opponent (Ventspils) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ventspilstheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 67.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.617.3
46.0%
52.6%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.17.3
36.3%
34.3%21.9
🏀 Free throws17.311.4
65.9%
73.8%11.4
They take 57.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ventspils wins
1
Murcia wins
DateGameScore
16/10/18Murcia v Ventspils91-85
Ventspilslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/18HTallinna Kalev80-68
12/12/18AAnwil Wloclawek71-84
08/12/18AJurmala72-62
25/11/18HTartu Ulikool88-83
21/11/18AAvellino88-74
17/11/18HValmiera Glass Via95-85
14/11/18HNizhny Novgorod75-80
09/11/18AValga82-65
06/11/18HLudwigsburg93-92 OT
03/11/18HLatvijas Universitate78-60
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/18HFuenlabrada75-65
12/12/18ALe Mans80-71
08/12/18AGipuzkoa81-67
24/11/18AUnicaja82-89
20/11/18ABanvit63-62
18/11/18HObradoiro CAB80-58
13/11/18ALudwigsburg80-81
11/11/18ABarcelona73-105
06/11/18AAnwil Wloclawek87-68
03/11/18HBreogan76-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ventspils
Champions League 2018
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL38%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%50%25%
Points / game81.583.080.0
Allowed / game86.487.885.0
Point differential-4.9-4.8-5.0
Avg total167.9170.8165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %12%25%0%
Murcia
Champions League 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW80%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWWLWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %80%75%83%
Points / game76.878.875.5
Allowed / game69.374.565.8
Point differential+7.5+4.2+9.7
Avg total146.1153.2141.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tenerife98189%82.767.4+15.2
2 Virtus Bologna87188%87.476.2+11.1
3 AEK Athens87188%81.175.2+5.9
4 Murcia108280%76.869.3+7.5
5 Hapoel M. Jerusalem97278%87.076.9+10.1
6 Aris43175%74.560.8+13.8
7 Bakken Bears43175%80.873.5+7.2
8 Antwerp Giants139469%83.577.8+5.6
9 Nizhny Novgorod1510567%79.671.9+7.7
10 Hapoel Holon96367%83.278.7+4.6
11 Venezia96367%84.280.2+4.0
12 Promitheas96367%81.980.8+1.1
13 Kauhajoen Karhu64267%76.784.5-7.8
14 Bamberg85362%82.278.8+3.5
15 Strasbourg85362%76.974.9+2.0
16 Avellino85362%86.486.6-0.2
17 Banvit95456%81.675.6+6.0
18 PAOK95456%79.076.4+2.6
19 Nanterre116555%83.072.7+10.3
20 Bayreuth105550%78.473.0+5.4
21 Lukoil Levski42250%84.281.2+3.0
22 Cantu42250%82.280.8+1.5
23 Spirou Charleroi63350%70.569.0+1.5
24 Estudiantes42250%70.069.2+0.8
25 Z-Mobile Prishtina21150%69.572.0-2.5
26 Minsk21150%75.580.0-4.5
27 Norrkoping21150%66.571.5-5.0
28 Hapoel Tel-Aviv21150%67.573.0-5.5
29 Neptunas94544%83.683.9-0.3
30 Anwil Wloclawek94544%81.682.7-1.1
31 Bonn94544%85.187.0-1.9
32 Besiktas94544%76.978.9-2.0
33 Fribourg Olympic146843%79.983.6-3.8
34 Ventspils83538%81.586.4-4.9
35 Oostende83538%74.681.9-7.2
36 Torun62433%75.074.5+0.5
37 Lietkabelis93633%75.277.9-2.7
38 Le Mans93633%72.176.6-4.4
39 Fuenlabrada93633%77.785.2-7.6
40 Donar Groningen41325%72.072.5-0.5
41 Dijon82625%73.479.4-6.0
42 Nymburk82625%77.083.9-6.9
43 Ludwigsburg82625%77.184.6-7.5
44 Opava81712%72.194.0-21.9
45 Petrol Olimpija91811%75.183.7-8.6
46 Saratov2020%82.583.5-1.0
47 CSM Oradea2020%79.083.5-4.5
48 Szolnoki Olaj2020%69.579.5-10.0
49 Sakarya BB2020%68.581.5-13.0
50 Siauliai2020%72.085.0-13.0
51 AEK Larnaca2020%64.579.5-15.0
52 Leicester Riders2020%80.596.5-16.0
53 Pardubice2020%70.588.5-18.0
54 FC Porto2020%67.089.0-22.0
55 Dinamo Tbilisi2020%59.091.0-32.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ventspils1311191861
Murcia1317162167
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