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Ludwigsburg vs Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 13 Nov 2018
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 81-80
21-23 20-18 17-23 23-16
Position#43
Record0-5
FormLLLLW
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game87.0
vs
Position#2
Record6-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game68.4
EuropeChampions League
European cup2018
Meetings · Ludwigsburg v Murcia
09 Apr 2024
LUD72
MUR85
13 Nov 2018
LUD81
MUR80
06 May 2018
LUD74
MUR85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ludwigsburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murcia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LudwigsburgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Banvit
#15
L
76-89
76
89
-13
A10/10
Champions League
Bamberg
#5
L
91-93 OT
91
93
-2
A15/10
BBL
Avellino
#25
L
77-96
77
96
-19
H17/10
Champions League
Oldenburg
#2
L
67-85
67
85
-18
H20/10
BBL
Le Mans
#31
L
54-64
54
64
-10
A23/10
Champions League
Alba Berlin
#3
L
80-86
80
86
-6
A26/10
BBL
Anwil Wloclawek
#39
L
85-93
85
93
-8
H30/10
Champions League
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#8
L
75-80
75
80
-5
H03/11
BBL
Ventspils
#32
L
92-93 OT
92
93
-1
A06/11
Champions League
Ulm
#6
W
91-82
91
82
+9
A10/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-8
9-30
22-30
15-21
25-17
11-24
17-22
25-15
15-24
16-23
23-24
23-25
18-19
13-27
19-19
17-20
21-19
14-14
9-15
10-16
31-18
12-25
17-20
20-23
28-19
19-25
24-23
14-26
18-23
23-17
18-20
16-20
23-17
26-23
10-25
25-19
24-21
19-14
31-17
17-30
164.9Avg total
78.8Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)76.887.0163.8-10.20%
Season at home (2)81.094.5175.5-13.50%
Season away (3)74.082.0156.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)78.886.1164.9-7.310%
Last 5 (5)84.686.8171.4-2.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)75.986.6162.4-10.70%
vs Similar (9)82.289.7171.9-7.422%
vs Weaker (13)82.875.7158.5+7.177%
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Mans
#31
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H10/10
Champions League
San Pablo Burgos
#12
W
72-62
72
62
+10
H14/10
ACB
Ventspils
#32
W
91-85
91
85
+6
H16/10
Champions League
Baskonia
#3
L
49-93
49
93
-44
A21/10
ACB
Nizhny Novgorod
#18
W
72-51
72
51
+21
A23/10
Champions League
Manresa
#8
L
79-84
79
84
-5
H27/10
ACB
Avellino
#25
W
72-69
72
69
+3
H30/10
Champions League
Breogan
#18
W
76-64
76
64
+12
H03/11
ACB
Anwil Wloclawek
#39
W
87-68
87
68
+19
A06/11
Champions League
Barcelona
#2
L
73-105
73
105
-32
A11/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
17-16
19-12
19-18
20-15
19-19
11-15
22-13
20-17
18-21
28-20
25-27
12-32
15-23
9-22
13-16
19-10
8-17
19-10
26-14
22-17
12-25
22-19
23-23
28-14
8-19
19-24
17-12
19-19
17-18
20-16
20-11
19-14
20-23
20-12
28-19
17-25
20-19
24-24
12-37
148.8Avg total
74.5Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)77.968.4146.3+9.486%
Season at home (4)78.874.5153.2+4.275%
Season away (3)76.760.3137.0+16.3100%
Last 10 (10)74.574.3148.8+0.270%
Last 5 (5)77.478.0155.4-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)72.681.8154.4-9.125%
vs Similar (10)74.672.5147.1+2.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)81.873.7155.4+8.183%
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -6.0-6.0Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +1.5+1.5
LudwigsburgMurcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LudwigsburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Banvit
#15
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A10/10
Champions League
Bamberg
#5
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A15/10
BBL
Avellino
#25
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H17/10
Champions League
Oldenburg
#2
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H20/10
BBL
Le Mans
#31
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A23/10
Champions League
Alba Berlin
#3
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A26/10
BBL
Anwil Wloclawek
#39
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H30/10
Champions League
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#8
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H03/11
BBL
Ventspils
#32
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A06/11
Champions League
Ulm
#6
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A10/11
BBL
80.2Avg total
39.5Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.840.079.8-0.260%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.539.178.6+0.367%-
Last 30 away (15)40.240.981.1-0.753%-
Last 10 (10)39.540.780.2-1.260%-
Last 5 (5)44.640.485.0+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)39.341.680.9-2.357%-
vs Similar (9)41.142.283.3-1.156%-
vs Weaker (13)39.938.278.2+1.769%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Mans
#31
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H10/10
Champions League
San Pablo Burgos
#12
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H14/10
ACB
Ventspils
#32
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H16/10
Champions League
Baskonia
#3
L
27-55
27
55
-28
A21/10
ACB
Nizhny Novgorod
#18
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A23/10
Champions League
Manresa
#8
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H27/10
ACB
Avellino
#25
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H30/10
Champions League
Breogan
#18
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H03/11
ACB
Anwil Wloclawek
#39
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A06/11
Champions League
Barcelona
#2
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A11/11
ACB
72.8Avg total
34.9Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.336.874.0+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.535.772.2+0.953%-
Last 30 away (15)38.037.975.9+0.147%-
Last 10 (10)34.937.972.8-3.040%-
Last 5 (5)36.438.675.0-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)34.940.575.4-5.625%-
vs Similar (10)35.735.971.6-0.240%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)40.235.075.2+5.275%-
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ludwigsburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ludwigsburg: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.025.0
62.5%
52.6%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.06.0
27.3%
34.3%18.0
🏀 Free throws26.020.0
76.9%
73.8%20.0
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 65.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.415.4
42.3%
52.6%30.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.17.0
33.2%
34.3%21.0
🏀 Free throws20.013.3
66.5%
73.8%13.3
They take 57.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/10 games with a box score before 13 Nov 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ludwigsburg
WLLLLLLLLL
Murcia
LWWWLWLWWW
#43
League position
#2
+37.0
Net rating
-9.1
130.1
Offensive rating
97.2
93.1
Defensive rating
106.3
54.8%
Effective FG%
45.0%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
13.3%
Turnover %
19.3%
40.5%
Off. rebound %
34.5%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.35
27.3%
3-point %
33.2%
71.0%
Assist %
57.6%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence130.1 · 97.2Defence93.1 · 106.3Shooting54.8% · 45.0%3-point %27.3% · 33.2%Ball care13.3% · 19.3%Off. rebounds40.5% · 34.5%Free throws0.42 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)10% · 70%
■ Ludwigsburg   ■ Murcia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ludwigsburg wins
1
Murcia wins
DateGameScore
06/05/18Ludwigsburg v Murcia74-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/18AUlm91-82
06/11/18AVentspils92-93 OT
03/11/18Hs.Oliver Wurzburg75-80
30/10/18HAnwil Wloclawek85-93
26/10/18AAlba Berlin80-86
23/10/18ALe Mans54-64
20/10/18HOldenburg67-85
17/10/18HAvellino77-96
15/10/18ABamberg91-93 OT
10/10/18ABanvit76-89
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/18ABarcelona73-105
06/11/18AAnwil Wloclawek87-68
03/11/18HBreogan76-64
30/10/18HAvellino72-69
27/10/18HManresa79-84
23/10/18ANizhny Novgorod72-51
21/10/18ABaskonia49-93
16/10/18HVentspils91-85
14/10/18HSan Pablo Burgos72-62
10/10/18HLe Mans74-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ludwigsburg
Champions League 2018
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game76.881.074.0
Allowed / game87.094.582.0
Point differential-10.2-13.5-8.0
Avg total163.8175.5156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %20%0%33%
Murcia
Champions League 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %86%75%100%
Points / game77.978.876.7
Allowed / game68.474.560.3
Point differential+9.4+4.2+16.3
Avg total146.3153.2137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%25%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tenerife550100%81.862.2+19.6
2 Virtus Bologna550100%86.471.2+15.2
3 Murcia76186%77.968.4+9.4
4 AEK Athens65183%82.578.0+4.5
5 Promitheas65183%81.378.0+3.3
6 Hapoel M. Jerusalem54180%88.476.4+12.0
7 Venezia54180%85.878.2+7.6
8 Avellino54180%93.887.8+6.0
9 Strasbourg54180%78.475.0+3.4
10 Aris43175%74.560.8+13.8
11 Bakken Bears43175%80.873.5+7.2
12 Banvit64267%85.576.0+9.5
13 Hapoel Holon64267%83.879.7+4.2
14 Antwerp Giants96367%85.482.0+3.4
15 Kauhajoen Karhu64267%76.784.5-7.8
16 Nizhny Novgorod117464%78.472.2+6.2
17 Bamberg53260%82.879.8+3.0
18 Fuenlabrada53260%83.688.0-4.4
19 Nanterre74357%80.969.7+11.1
20 Fribourg Olympic116555%80.180.7-0.6
21 Neptunas63350%86.081.8+4.2
22 Lukoil Levski42250%84.281.2+3.0
23 Cantu42250%82.280.8+1.5
24 Spirou Charleroi63350%70.569.0+1.5
25 Estudiantes42250%70.069.2+0.8
26 Z-Mobile Prishtina21150%69.572.0-2.5
27 Minsk21150%75.580.0-4.5
28 Norrkoping21150%66.571.5-5.0
29 Hapoel Tel-Aviv21150%67.573.0-5.5
30 PAOK52340%79.878.4+1.4
31 Le Mans52340%71.077.0-6.0
32 Ventspils52340%83.690.6-7.0
33 Torun62433%75.074.5+0.5
34 Lietkabelis62433%77.577.8-0.3
35 Anwil Wloclawek62433%85.387.2-1.8
36 Bonn62433%77.788.3-10.7
37 Bayreuth72529%73.773.0+0.7
38 Donar Groningen41325%72.072.5-0.5
39 Besiktas51420%74.880.0-5.2
40 Dijon51420%73.078.2-5.2
41 Nymburk51420%77.685.4-7.8
42 Petrol Olimpija51420%75.284.4-9.2
43 Oostende51420%75.887.4-11.6
44 Opava51420%73.287.2-14.0
45 Saratov2020%82.583.5-1.0
46 CSM Oradea2020%79.083.5-4.5
47 Szolnoki Olaj2020%69.579.5-10.0
48 Ludwigsburg5050%76.887.0-10.2
49 Sakarya BB2020%68.581.5-13.0
50 Siauliai2020%72.085.0-13.0
51 AEK Larnaca2020%64.579.5-15.0
52 Leicester Riders2020%80.596.5-16.0
53 Pardubice2020%70.588.5-18.0
54 FC Porto2020%67.089.0-22.0
55 Dinamo Tbilisi2020%59.091.0-32.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ludwigsburg2120172381
Murcia2318231680
← all games of the day
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