PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Ventspils vs Rigas Zelli Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 13 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 100-95
22-21 24-27 25-23 29-24
Position#6
Record11-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game90.9
Allowed / game82.1
vs
Position#4
Record14-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game92.8
Allowed / game77.8
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Olimpiskais centrs Ventspils
Other2025
Meetings · Ventspils v Rigas Zelli
17 Feb 2027
VET v RZE
upcoming
13 Jan 2026
VET100
RZE95
02 May 2025
VET97
RZE83
26 Sep 2024
VET85
RZE84
02 May 2024
VET81
RZE111
26 Apr 2024
VET97
RZE100
07 Feb 2024
VET100
RZE92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ventspils winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rigas Zelli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VentspilsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVentspils
Date
Competition
BK Liepaja
#11
W
104-69
104
69
+35
103avg 83
H16/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#7
L
80-86
80
86
-6
66avg 83
A21/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#14
W
81-80
81
80
+1
66avg 83
A05/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
W
99-92 OT
99
92
+7
92avg 83
A06/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
117-93
117
93
+24
112avg 83
H12/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#9
W
82-73
82
73
+9
71avg 83
A17/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
W
106-71
106
71
+35
101avg 83
A21/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Sigulda
#12
W
106-73
106
73
+33
107avg 83
A22/12
Latvian Cup
BK Ogre
#8
L
83-85
83
85
-2
68avg 83
H04/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#4
W
89-72
89
72
+17
77avg 83
H10/01
Latvian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-15
30-10
25-23
23-21
13-14
21-19
20-26
26-27
25-25
19-18
17-20
20-17
29-23
21-30
24-11
13-23
24-21
35-20
22-19
36-33
22-11
22-20
19-20
19-22
29-24
24-19
26-18
27-10
32-12
36-18
28-23
10-20
27-20
22-21
14-22
20-22
27-20
22-14
24-23
16-15
174.1Avg total
94.7Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)90.982.1173.0+8.869%
Season at home (7)96.784.6181.3+12.157%
Season away (9)86.380.2166.6+6.178%
Last 10 (10)94.779.4174.1+15.380%
Last 5 (5)93.274.8168.0+18.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)87.090.9177.9-3.933%
vs Similar (9)87.082.6169.6+4.456%
vs Weaker (11)97.082.2179.2+14.891%
This opponent (Rigas Zelli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rigas ZelliLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZelli
Date
Competition
Olomoucko
#16
L
81-87
81
87
-6
70avg 81
H03/12
ENBL
Tal Tech
#7
W
96-65
96
65
+31
96avg 81
H06/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Spartak Pleven
#20
W
85-81
85
81
+4
79avg 81
A09/12
ENBL
BK Liepaja
#11
W
79-77
79
77
+2
76avg 81
A12/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
109-65
109
65
+44
103avg 81
A16/12
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
W
80-77
80
77
+3
70avg 81
H21/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
76-78
76
78
-2
67avg 81
H27/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Daugavpils
#15
W
116-63
116
63
+53
120avg 81
A28/12
Latvian Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
L
103-121
103
121
-18
96avg 81
A04/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#2
L
78-87
78
87
-9
63avg 81
H10/01
Latvian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-30
24-16
20-25
20-16
26-10
24-17
22-19
24-19
26-28
17-21
20-15
22-17
17-21
16-17
25-23
21-16
27-10
22-19
35-22
25-14
26-24
14-15
23-20
17-18
20-17
21-25
23-20
12-16
22-9
25-18
38-18
31-18
31-30
27-36
26-19
19-36
15-25
20-23
18-22
25-17
170.4Avg total
90.3Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)92.877.8170.6+15.182%
Season at home (9)91.777.1168.8+14.678%
Season away (8)94.178.5172.6+15.688%
Last 10 (10)90.380.1170.4+10.260%
Last 5 (5)90.685.2175.8+5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)80.085.3165.3-5.333%
vs Similar (7)88.688.3176.9+0.357%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)90.875.3166.1+15.579%
This opponent (Ventspils) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +6.9+6.9Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +6.3+6.3Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +2.9+2.9
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +6.9+6.9Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +6.3+6.3Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +2.9+2.9
VentspilsRigas Zelli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VentspilsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BK Liepaja
#11
W
56-25
56
25
+31
H16/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#7
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A21/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#14
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A05/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A06/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
59-41
59
41
+18
H12/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#9
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A17/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A21/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Sigulda
#12
W
68-30
68
30
+38
A22/12
Latvian Cup
BK Ogre
#8
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H04/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#4
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H10/01
Latvian Cup
88.0Avg total
50.6Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.641.288.8+6.460%-
Last 30 at home (14)50.941.692.4+9.364%-
Last 30 away (16)44.840.985.7+3.856%-
Last 10 (10)50.637.488.0+13.290%-
Last 5 (5)52.635.888.4+16.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)44.144.388.4-0.233%-
vs Similar (9)44.842.887.6+2.056%-
vs Weaker (11)50.938.589.4+12.582%-
This opponent (Rigas Zelli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rigas ZelliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olomoucko
#16
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H03/12
ENBL
Tal Tech
#7
W
50-27
50
27
+23
H06/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Spartak Pleven
#20
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A09/12
ENBL
BK Liepaja
#11
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A12/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
49-29
49
29
+20
A16/12
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H21/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H27/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Daugavpils
#15
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A28/12
Latvian Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
L
58-66
58
66
-8
A04/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#2
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H10/01
Latvian Cup
84.8Avg total
43.7Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.640.886.4+4.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.841.485.2+2.453%-
Last 30 away (15)47.440.187.5+7.360%-
Last 10 (10)43.741.184.8+2.640%-
Last 5 (5)44.244.488.6-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.346.786.0-7.30%-
vs Similar (7)46.745.992.6+0.943%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)46.138.784.8+7.468%-
This opponent (Ventspils) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ventspilstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ventspils: 93.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.822.5
56.5%
53.1%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.310.9
31.8%
32.4%32.7
🏀 Free throws22.315.8
70.9%
69.8%15.8
They take 74.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rigas Zellitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rigas Zelli: 89.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.820.3
58.3%
53.1%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.711.1
35.0%
32.4%33.3
🏀 Free throws22.915.6
68.1%
69.8%15.6
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ventspils
WLWWWWWWLW
Rigas Zelli
LLWLWWWWWL
#6
League position
#4
+17.9
Net rating
+11.2
113.8
Offensive rating
110.2
95.9
Defensive rating
99.0
52.4%
Effective FG%
55.6%
48.2%
Opp. effective FG%
46.6%
13.8%
Turnover %
17.1%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.34
31.8%
3-point %
35.0%
56.0%
Assist %
57.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence113.8 · 110.2Defence95.9 · 99.0Shooting52.4% · 55.6%3-point %31.8% · 35.0%Ball care13.8% · 17.1%Off. rebounds33.2% · 29.9%Free throws0.30 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Ventspils   ■ Rigas Zelli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Ventspils wins
4
Rigas Zelli wins
Ventspilslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26HBK Ogre89-72
04/01/26HBK Ogre83-85
22/12/25ASigulda106-73
21/12/25ATartu Ulikool106-71
17/12/25AParnu82-73
12/12/25HKeila KK117-93
06/12/25ABC Kalev/Cramo99-92 OT
05/12/25AKeila Coolbet81-80
21/11/25ATal Tech80-86
16/11/25HBK Liepaja104-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26HBK Liepaja78-87
04/01/26AValmiera Glass Via103-121
28/12/25ADaugavpils116-63
27/12/25HTartu Ulikool76-78
21/12/25HVEF Riga80-77
16/12/25ALatvijas Universitate109-65
12/12/25ABK Liepaja79-77
09/12/25ASpartak Pleven85-81
06/12/25HTal Tech96-65
03/12/25HOlomoucko81-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ventspils
Latvia-Estonian League 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL69%
HomeWWWWL57%
AwayLWWWW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %69%57%78%
Points / game90.996.786.3
Allowed / game82.184.680.2
Point differential+8.8+12.1+6.1
Avg total173.0181.3166.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%57%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Rigas Zelli
Latvia-Estonian League 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL82%
HomeWWWWL78%
AwayWWWWL88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %82%78%88%
Points / game92.891.794.1
Allowed / game77.877.178.5
Point differential+15.1+14.6+15.6
Avg total170.6168.8172.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%56%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tartu Ulikool1715288%85.077.2+7.8
2 Rigas Zelli1714382%92.877.8+15.1
3 VEF Riga1713476%90.578.5+12.0
4 Ventspils1611569%90.982.1+8.8
5 Tal Tech1611569%84.980.2+4.7
6 Valmiera Glass Via1711665%88.980.9+8.0
7 BC Kalev/Cramo1610662%93.282.9+10.2
8 BK Ogre178947%79.578.9+0.5
9 Parnu157847%79.577.9+1.6
10 BK Liepaja1531220%78.589.2-10.7
11 Keila KK1631319%80.795.6-14.9
12 Viimsi1631319%74.689.6-15.0
13 Keila Coolbet1521313%76.192.3-16.2
14 Latvijas Universitate141137%75.794.1-18.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ventspils22242529100
Rigas Zelli2127232495
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.