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Rigas Zelli vs BK Liepaja Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 78-87
15-25 20-23 18-22 25-17
Position#6
Record1-0
FormWWLWL
Points / game116.0
Allowed / game63.0
Rigas Zelli
Latvia
vs
BK Liepaja 🏆
Latvia
Position#2
Record1-0
FormLLLWL
Points / game114.0
Allowed / game63.0
LatviaLatvian CupLatvian Cup - Quarter-finals
Other2026
Meetings · Rigas Zelli v BK Liepaja
17 Oct 2026
RZE85
BK L69
10 Jan 2026
RZE78
BK L87
24 Oct 2025
RZE109
BK L71
15 Mar 2025
RZE90
BK L80
23 Mar 2024
RZE81
BK L79
02 Feb 2024
RZE90
BK L65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rigas Zelli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BK Liepaja winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Rigas ZelliLatviaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZelli
Date
Competition
Viimsi
#10
W
95-64
95
64
+31
97avg 82
A23/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Olomoucko
#16
L
81-87
81
87
-6
70avg 82
H03/12
ENBL
Tal Tech
#7
W
96-65
96
65
+31
96avg 82
H06/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Spartak Pleven
#20
W
85-81
85
81
+4
79avg 82
A09/12
ENBL
BK Liepaja
#11
W
79-77
79
77
+2
76avg 82
A12/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
109-65
109
65
+44
103avg 82
A16/12
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
W
80-77
80
77
+3
70avg 82
H21/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
76-78
76
78
-2
67avg 82
H27/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Daugavpils
#15
W
116-63
116
63
+53
120avg 82
A28/12
Latvian Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
L
103-121
103
121
-18
96avg 82
A04/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-12
30-14
20-20
22-18
17-30
24-16
20-25
20-16
26-10
24-17
22-19
24-19
26-28
17-21
20-15
22-17
17-21
16-17
25-23
21-16
27-10
22-19
35-22
25-14
26-24
14-15
23-20
17-18
20-17
21-25
23-20
12-16
22-9
25-18
38-18
31-18
31-30
27-36
26-19
19-36
169.8Avg total
92.0Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)116.063.0179.0+53.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)116.063.0179.0+53.0100%
Last 10 (10)92.077.8169.8+14.270%
Last 5 (5)96.880.8177.6+16.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)81.084.5165.5-3.550%
vs Similar (8)87.989.4177.2-1.550%
vs Weaker (19)90.875.3166.1+15.579%
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK LiepajaLatviaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiepaja
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#3
L
71-83
71
83
-12
64avg 75
A04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#10
L
80-83
80
83
-3
66avg 75
H08/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#6
L
69-104
69
104
-35
51avg 75
A16/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#9
L
83-90
83
90
-7
68avg 75
H23/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#8
W
83-76
83
76
+7
66avg 75
A05/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#4
L
77-79
77
79
-2
66avg 75
H12/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
L
73-99
73
99
-26
62avg 75
A20/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#7
L
76-95
76
95
-19
62avg 75
A21/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Salaspils
#14
W
114-63
114
63
+51
118avg 75
A28/12
Latvian Cup
Latvijas Universitate
#13
L
84-103
84
103
-19
73avg 75
H05/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-26
26-21
14-19
18-17
24-29
17-10
16-28
23-16
15-26
10-30
23-25
21-23
20-26
24-22
21-24
18-18
15-21
20-18
25-18
23-19
21-17
17-16
23-25
16-21
15-29
21-22
18-23
19-25
9-24
19-26
31-28
17-17
27-16
29-15
39-17
19-15
22-31
26-30
14-19
22-23
168.5Avg total
81.0Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)114.063.0177.0+51.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)114.063.0177.0+51.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.087.5168.5-6.520%
Last 5 (5)84.887.8172.6-3.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)75.188.0163.1-12.98%
vs Similar (6)80.387.7168.0-7.317%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)86.073.4159.4+12.680%
This opponent (Rigas Zelli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: -6.4-6.4Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +5.1+5.1Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +0.2+0.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: -6.4-6.4Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +5.1+5.1Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +0.2+0.2
Rigas ZelliBK Liepaja
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Rigas ZelliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Viimsi
#10
W
53-26
53
26
+27
A23/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Olomoucko
#16
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H03/12
ENBL
Tal Tech
#7
W
50-27
50
27
+23
H06/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Spartak Pleven
#20
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A09/12
ENBL
BK Liepaja
#11
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A12/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
49-29
49
29
+20
A16/12
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H21/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H27/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Daugavpils
#15
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A28/12
Latvian Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
L
58-66
58
66
-8
A04/01
Latvia-Estonian League
84.4Avg total
45.5Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.140.987.1+5.257%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.440.985.4+3.557%-
Last 30 away (16)47.640.988.6+6.756%-
Last 10 (10)45.538.984.4+6.650%-
Last 5 (5)47.040.687.6+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)41.546.087.5-4.50%-
vs Similar (8)47.246.894.0+0.538%-
vs Weaker (19)46.138.784.8+7.468%-
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#3
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#10
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H08/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#6
L
25-56
25
56
-31
A16/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#9
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H23/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#8
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A05/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#4
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H12/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A20/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#7
L
28-50
28
50
-22
A21/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Salaspils
#14
W
56-31
56
31
+25
A28/12
Latvian Cup
Latvijas Universitate
#13
L
48-61
48
61
-13
H05/01
Latvia-Estonian League
84.5Avg total
39.0Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.340.781.1-0.457%-
Last 30 at home (12)42.241.583.8+0.850%-
Last 30 away (18)39.140.279.3-1.261%-
Last 10 (10)39.045.584.5-6.530%-
Last 5 (5)41.245.286.4-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)37.544.081.5-6.523%-
vs Similar (6)40.242.082.2-1.867%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)42.536.779.2+5.890%-
This opponent (Rigas Zelli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rigas Zellitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rigas Zelli: 91.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.3 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.420.6
59.9%
52.2%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.611.5
36.4%
29.9%34.5
🏀 Free throws22.515.3
68.0%
69.7%15.3
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BK Liepajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Liepaja: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.3 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.120.1
52.8%
52.2%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.38.1
26.7%
29.9%24.3
🏀 Free throws23.515.7
66.8%
69.7%15.7
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rigas Zelli
LWLWWWWWLW
BK Liepaja
LWLLLWLLLL
#6
League position
#2
+15.8
Net rating
-9.0
113.5
Offensive rating
102.2
97.7
Defensive rating
111.3
57.3%
Effective FG%
47.1%
45.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
17.7%
Turnover %
16.3%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
29.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.34
36.4%
3-point %
26.7%
57.9%
Assist %
55.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence113.5 · 102.2Defence97.7 · 111.3Shooting57.3% · 47.1%3-point %36.4% · 26.7%Ball care17.7% · 16.3%Off. rebounds29.2% · 29.8%Free throws0.34 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Rigas Zelli   ■ BK Liepaja
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Rigas Zelli wins
1
BK Liepaja wins
DateGameScore
12/12/25BK Liepaja v Rigas Zelli77-79
24/10/25Rigas Zelli v BK Liepaja109-71
15/03/25Rigas Zelli v BK Liepaja90-80
05/10/24BK Liepaja v Rigas Zelli78-82
23/03/24Rigas Zelli v BK Liepaja81-79
02/02/24Rigas Zelli v BK Liepaja90-65
28/01/24BK Liepaja v Rigas Zelli79-90
12/12/23BK Liepaja v Rigas Zelli84-81 OT
Rigas Zellilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/26AValmiera Glass Via103-121
28/12/25ADaugavpils116-63
27/12/25HTartu Ulikool76-78
21/12/25HVEF Riga80-77
16/12/25ALatvijas Universitate109-65
12/12/25ABK Liepaja79-77
09/12/25ASpartak Pleven85-81
06/12/25HTal Tech96-65
03/12/25HOlomoucko81-87
23/11/25AViimsi95-64
BK Liepajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/26HLatvijas Universitate84-103
28/12/25ASalaspils114-63
21/12/25ATal Tech76-95
20/12/25ABC Kalev/Cramo73-99
12/12/25HRigas Zelli77-79
05/12/25ABK Ogre83-76
23/11/25HParnu83-90
16/11/25AVentspils69-104
08/11/25HViimsi80-83
04/11/25AVEF Riga71-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rigas Zelli
Latvian Cup 2026
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game116.0-116.0
Allowed / game63.0-63.0
Point differential+53.0-+53.0
Avg total179.0-179.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
BK Liepaja
Latvian Cup 2026
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game114.0-114.0
Allowed / game63.0-63.0
Point differential+51.0-+51.0
Avg total177.0-177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 VEF Riga110100%117.056.0+61.0
2 Rigas Zelli110100%116.063.0+53.0
3 BK Liepaja110100%114.063.0+51.0
4 Valmiera Glass Via110100%111.060.0+51.0
5 Ventspils110100%106.073.0+33.0
6 Vef Riga Skola110100%79.066.0+13.0
7 BK Ogre110100%100.092.0+8.0
8 Latvijas Universitate110100%101.099.0+2.0
9 Gulbenes Buki1010%99.0101.0-2.0
10 Jekabpils1010%92.0100.0-8.0
11 Jelgava1010%66.079.0-13.0
12 Sigulda1010%73.0106.0-33.0
13 Bauskas BJSS1010%60.0111.0-51.0
14 Salaspils1010%63.0114.0-51.0
15 Daugavpils1010%63.0116.0-53.0
16 Rigas Juniori1010%56.0117.0-61.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rigas Zelli1520182578
BK Liepaja2523221787
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