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Ventspils vs Rigas Zelli Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 17 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 16:30
Scheduled
Position#6
Record6-4
FormLWWLL
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game83.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.5/10
Above normal
5.0/10
Around normal
Position#1
Record9-0
FormWLWLW
Points / game93.7
Allowed / game74.1
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Olimpiskais centrs Ventspils
Other2026
Meetings · Ventspils v Rigas Zelli
17 Feb 2027
VET v RZE
upcoming
13 Jan 2026
VET100
RZE95
02 May 2025
VET97
RZE83
26 Sep 2024
VET85
RZE84
02 May 2024
VET81
RZE111
26 Apr 2024
VET97
RZE100
07 Feb 2024
VET100
RZE92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ventspils win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Rigas Zelli win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VentspilsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVentspils
Date
Competition
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
76-98
76
98
-22
65avg 75
A25/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
108-92
108
92
+16
106avg 75
A28/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#4
W
92-85
92
85
+7
87avg 75
H02/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#7
W
86-73
86
73
+13
83avg 75
A10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#15
W
85-68
85
68
+17
78avg 75
A11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#5
L
82-85
82
85
-3
78avg 75
H16/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#10
W
92-88
92
88
+4
83avg 75
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
75-60
75
60
+15
65avg 75
H30/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
80-89
80
89
-9
no box
A07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
85-96
85
96
-11
no box
H14/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-29
21-23
19-24
16-22
27-24
26-19
34-22
21-27
25-23
27-32
20-13
20-17
14-24
26-18
24-18
22-13
28-13
15-16
27-21
15-18
17-17
22-16
17-28
26-24
23-29
29-22
23-19
17-18
20-12
21-14
15-13
19-21
17-23
22-22
21-20
20-24
26-26
19-22
13-21
27-27
169.5Avg total
86.1Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)86.183.4169.5+2.760%
Season at home (4)83.581.5165.0+2.050%
Season away (6)87.884.7172.5+3.267%
Last 10 (10)86.183.4169.5+2.760%
Last 5 (5)82.883.6166.4-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)77.590.4167.9-12.920%
vs Similar (6)85.884.2170.0+1.750%
vs Weaker (13)91.380.4171.7+10.985%
This opponent (Rigas Zelli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rigas ZelliLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZelli
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
W
89-79
89
79
+10
80avg 85
H14/10
Eurocup
BK Liepaja
#11
W
85-69
85
69
+16
77avg 85
H17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
L
64-100
64
100
-36
53avg 85
A21/10
Eurocup
Keila KK
#9
W
103-70
103
70
+33
107avg 85
H24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
San Pablo Burgos
#30
W
79-71
79
71
+8
72avg 85
A28/10
Eurocup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#7
W
93-87
93
87
+6
88avg 85
A31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Le Mans
#12
L
65-71
65
71
-6
no box
H04/11
Eurocup
Tal Tech
#5
W
92-66
92
66
+26
no box
H07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Aris
#4
L
81-105
81
105
-24
no box
A11/11
Eurocup
Viimsi
#13
W
93-72
93
72
+21
no box
H14/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-18
29-22
16-19
17-20
21-20
20-14
24-19
20-16
20-29
16-21
19-27
9-23
25-18
27-21
26-14
25-17
17-21
22-14
23-19
17-17
21-18
24-20
22-35
26-14
27-18
13-10
9-19
16-24
21-15
21-16
32-12
18-23
14-28
18-35
20-25
29-17
28-18
29-12
21-22
15-20
163.4Avg total
84.4Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)93.774.1167.8+19.6100%
Season at home (5)96.672.4169.0+24.2100%
Season away (4)90.076.2166.2+13.8100%
Last 10 (10)84.479.0163.4+5.470%
Last 5 (5)84.880.2165.0+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)80.391.2171.5-10.817%
vs Similar (8)84.984.6169.5+0.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)91.677.1168.8+14.594%
This opponent (Ventspils) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +0.1+0.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +0.1+0.1
VentspilsRigas Zelli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VentspilsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A25/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A28/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#4
L
52-55
52
55
-3
H02/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#7
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#15
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#5
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H16/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#10
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H30/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H14/11
Latvia-Estonian League
86.9Avg total
44.5Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.342.487.7+2.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.941.585.4+2.347%-
Last 30 away (15)46.843.390.1+3.567%-
Last 10 (10)44.542.486.9+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)43.240.683.8+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)41.346.287.5-4.920%-
vs Similar (6)45.244.589.7+0.750%-
vs Weaker (13)46.839.586.2+7.385%-
This opponent (Rigas Zelli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rigas ZelliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
W
56-40
56
40
+16
H14/10
Eurocup
BK Liepaja
#11
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A21/10
Eurocup
Keila KK
#9
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
San Pablo Burgos
#30
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A28/10
Eurocup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#7
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Le Mans
#12
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H04/11
Eurocup
Tal Tech
#5
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Aris
#4
L
32-63
32
63
-31
A11/11
Eurocup
Viimsi
#13
W
57-30
57
30
+27
H14/11
Latvia-Estonian League
82.8Avg total
44.0Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.840.385.1+4.570%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.838.184.9+8.780%-
Last 30 away (15)42.742.585.3+0.260%-
Last 10 (10)44.038.882.8+5.280%-
Last 5 (5)43.238.081.2+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)42.045.287.2-3.267%-
vs Similar (8)43.142.986.0+0.238%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)46.637.283.8+9.488%-
This opponent (Ventspils) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ventspilstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ventspils: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.219.2
53.0%
52.5%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.19.5
31.6%
31.4%28.5
🏀 Free throws22.816.7
73.2%
68.3%16.7
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rigas Zellitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rigas Zelli: 88.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.021.1
55.5%
52.5%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.39.1
36.0%
31.4%27.3
🏀 Free throws26.219.0
72.5%
68.3%19.0
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ventspils
LLWWLWWWWL
Rigas Zelli
WLWLWWWLWW
#6
League position
#1
+3.4
Net rating
+9.4
93.8
Offensive rating
98.8
90.5
Defensive rating
89.4
50.5%
Effective FG%
54.9%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.3%
15.7%
Turnover %
15.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.41
31.6%
3-point %
36.0%
62.7%
Assist %
62.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence93.8 · 98.8Defence90.5 · 89.4Shooting50.5% · 54.9%3-point %31.6% · 36.0%Ball care15.7% · 15.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Ventspils   ■ Rigas Zelli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Ventspils wins
3
Rigas Zelli wins
Ventspilslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HVEF Riga85-96
07/11/26AParnu80-89
30/10/26HViimsi75-60
24/10/26ABK Ogre92-88
16/10/26HTal Tech82-85
11/10/26AKeila Coolbet85-68
10/10/26ABC Kalev/Cramo86-73
02/10/26HTartu Ulikool92-85
28/09/26ALatvijas Universitate108-92
25/09/26AValmiera Glass Via76-98
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HViimsi93-72
11/11/26AAris81-105
07/11/26HTal Tech92-66
04/11/26HLe Mans65-71
31/10/26ABC Kalev/Cramo93-87
28/10/26ASan Pablo Burgos79-71
24/10/26HKeila KK103-70
21/10/26AHapoel Jerusalem64-100
17/10/26HBK Liepaja85-69
14/10/26HCedevita Olimpija89-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ventspils
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL60%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayWWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game86.183.587.8
Allowed / game83.481.584.7
Point differential+2.7+2.0+3.2
Avg total169.5165.0172.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rigas Zelli
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game93.796.690.0
Allowed / game74.172.476.2
Point differential+19.6+24.2+13.8
Avg total167.8169.0166.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+78%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rigas Zelli990100%93.774.1+19.6
2 VEF Riga108280%90.276.0+14.2
3 Valmiera Glass Via108280%89.876.4+13.4
4 Tartu Ulikool96367%81.375.3+6.0
5 Tal Tech117464%75.872.2+3.6
6 Ventspils106460%86.183.4+2.7
7 BC Kalev/Cramo95456%85.181.9+3.2
8 Parnu84450%77.477.1+0.2
9 Keila KK105550%74.381.6-7.3
10 BK Ogre94544%86.786.7+0.0
11 BK Liepaja104640%82.477.3+5.1
12 Rigas Juniori83538%80.088.5-8.5
13 Viimsi112918%74.386.8-12.5
14 Latvijas Universitate101910%76.891.6-14.8
15 Keila Coolbet100100%68.991.7-22.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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