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BK Liepaja vs Rigas Zelli Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 12 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 77-79
21-17 17-16 23-25 16-21
Position#11
Record3-8
FormLLLLW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game87.5
vs
Position#4
Record11-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game94.2
Allowed / game75.3
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Liepajas Olimpiskais centrs
Other2025
Meetings · BK Liepaja v Rigas Zelli
03 Feb 2027
BK L v RZE
upcoming
18 Jan 2026
BK L70
RZE86
12 Dec 2025
BK L77
RZE79
05 Oct 2024
BK L78
RZE82
28 Jan 2024
BK L79
RZE90
12 Dec 2023
BK L84
RZE81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BK Liepaja winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rigas Zelli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BK LiepajaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiepaja
Date
Competition
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
81-87
81
87
-6
70avg 74
H08/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
89-79
89
79
+10
87avg 74
A11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#7
L
71-80
71
80
-9
62avg 74
H15/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#4
L
71-109
71
109
-38
54avg 74
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
L
78-83
78
83
-5
64avg 74
H29/10
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
71-83
71
83
-12
64avg 74
A04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#10
L
80-83
80
83
-3
66avg 74
H08/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#6
L
69-104
69
104
-35
51avg 74
A16/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#9
L
83-90
83
90
-7
68avg 74
H23/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#8
W
83-76
83
76
+7
66avg 74
A05/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-16
21-22
18-25
15-24
23-19
17-20
28-20
21-20
28-24
12-24
16-16
15-16
15-35
24-23
23-26
9-25
12-20
19-15
31-26
16-22
13-26
26-21
14-19
18-17
24-29
17-10
16-28
23-16
15-26
10-30
23-25
21-23
20-26
24-22
21-24
18-18
15-21
20-18
25-18
23-19
165.0Avg total
77.6Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)78.887.5166.3-8.627%
Season at home (5)78.684.6163.2-6.00%
Season away (6)79.089.8168.8-10.850%
Last 10 (10)77.687.4165.0-9.820%
Last 5 (5)77.287.2164.4-10.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)75.488.4163.8-13.08%
vs Similar (7)84.789.3174.0-4.629%
vs Weaker (11)85.570.5155.9+15.082%
This opponent (Rigas Zelli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rigas ZelliLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZelli
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#3
W
97-88
97
88
+9
87avg 80
A01/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#8
W
87-65
87
65
+22
76avg 80
A05/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
99-77
99
77
+22
89avg 80
H08/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Dubrava
#13
L
74-86
74
86
-12
54avg 80
A11/11
ENBL
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
W
82-80
82
80
+2
69avg 80
H16/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#14
W
94-83
94
83
+11
93avg 80
H21/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#10
W
95-64
95
64
+31
97avg 80
A23/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Olomoucko
#16
L
81-87
81
87
-6
70avg 80
H03/12
ENBL
Tal Tech
#7
W
96-65
96
65
+31
96avg 80
H06/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Spartak Pleven
#20
W
85-81
85
81
+4
79avg 80
A09/12
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-21
27-22
20-21
20-24
19-24
22-19
22-13
24-9
26-17
31-15
18-19
24-26
21-22
11-22
15-19
27-23
15-21
21-23
19-18
27-18
21-21
23-22
21-11
29-29
23-12
30-14
20-20
22-18
17-30
24-16
20-25
20-16
26-10
24-17
22-19
24-19
26-28
17-21
20-15
22-17
166.6Avg total
89.0Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)94.275.3169.6+18.992%
Season at home (7)95.677.0172.6+18.686%
Season away (5)92.473.0165.4+19.4100%
Last 10 (10)89.077.6166.6+11.480%
Last 5 (5)90.276.0166.2+14.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)81.084.5165.5-3.550%
vs Similar (8)84.286.8171.0-2.538%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)91.276.0167.2+15.285%
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +4.0+4.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +4.0+4.0
BK LiepajaRigas Zelli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tartu Ulikool
#2
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H08/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#7
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H15/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#4
L
39-58
39
58
-19
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H29/10
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#10
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H08/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#6
L
25-56
25
56
-31
A16/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#9
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H23/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#8
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A05/12
Latvia-Estonian League
82.9Avg total
38.2Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.140.280.3-0.153%-
Last 30 at home (12)40.839.580.2+1.250%-
Last 30 away (18)39.740.780.3-1.056%-
Last 10 (10)38.244.782.9-6.530%-
Last 5 (5)36.845.882.6-9.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)38.744.282.9-5.617%-
vs Similar (7)40.342.482.7-2.157%-
vs Weaker (11)41.534.475.9+7.291%-
This opponent (Rigas Zelli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rigas ZelliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#3
W
57-43
57
43
+14
A01/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#8
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A05/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
57-32
57
32
+25
H08/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Dubrava
#13
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A11/11
ENBL
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H16/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#14
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H21/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#10
W
53-26
53
26
+27
A23/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Olomoucko
#16
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H03/12
ENBL
Tal Tech
#7
W
50-27
50
27
+23
H06/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Spartak Pleven
#20
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A09/12
ENBL
85.1Avg total
45.4Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.541.486.9+4.060%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.642.086.6+2.662%-
Last 30 away (14)46.540.887.3+5.757%-
Last 10 (10)45.439.785.1+5.750%-
Last 5 (5)46.238.284.4+8.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.546.087.5-4.50%-
vs Similar (8)45.144.089.1+1.138%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)46.040.086.0+6.075%-
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BK Liepajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Liepaja: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.218.5
51.1%
53.1%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.88.4
28.2%
32.4%25.2
🏀 Free throws22.315.1
67.7%
69.8%15.1
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rigas Zellitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rigas Zelli: 88.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.020.7
55.9%
53.1%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.79.7
32.7%
32.4%29.1
🏀 Free throws24.217.9
74.0%
69.8%17.9
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BK Liepaja
WLLLLLLLWL
Rigas Zelli
WWLWWWLWWW
#11
League position
#4
-12.3
Net rating
+14.8
100.4
Offensive rating
113.0
112.7
Defensive rating
98.2
47.1%
Effective FG%
52.8%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
46.1%
17.7%
Turnover %
14.8%
29.1%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.36
28.2%
3-point %
32.7%
49.8%
Assist %
54.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence100.4 · 113.0Defence112.7 · 98.2Shooting47.1% · 52.8%3-point %28.2% · 32.7%Ball care17.7% · 14.8%Off. rebounds29.1% · 30.7%Free throws0.34 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ BK Liepaja   ■ Rigas Zelli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
BK Liepaja wins
6
Rigas Zelli wins
BK Liepajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/25ABK Ogre83-76
23/11/25HParnu83-90
16/11/25AVentspils69-104
08/11/25HViimsi80-83
04/11/25AVEF Riga71-83
29/10/25HValmiera Glass Via78-83
24/10/25ARigas Zelli71-109
15/10/25HTal Tech71-80
11/10/25AKeila KK89-79
08/10/25HTartu Ulikool81-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/25ASpartak Pleven85-81
06/12/25HTal Tech96-65
03/12/25HOlomoucko81-87
23/11/25AViimsi95-64
21/11/25HKeila Coolbet94-83
16/11/25HValmiera Glass Via82-80
11/11/25ADubrava74-86
08/11/25HLatvijas Universitate99-77
05/11/25ABK Ogre87-65
01/11/25AVEF Riga97-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BK Liepaja
Latvia-Estonian League 2025
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW27%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayWLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %27%0%50%
Points / game78.878.679.0
Allowed / game87.584.689.8
Point differential-8.6-6.0-10.8
Avg total166.3163.2168.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rigas Zelli
Latvia-Estonian League 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %92%86%100%
Points / game94.295.692.4
Allowed / game75.377.073.0
Point differential+18.9+18.6+19.4
Avg total169.6172.6165.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%71%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tartu Ulikool11110100%86.776.6+10.1
2 Rigas Zelli1211192%94.275.3+18.9
3 VEF Riga1311285%90.778.5+12.2
4 Valmiera Glass Via129375%87.976.5+11.4
5 Ventspils139469%91.083.5+7.5
6 BC Kalev/Cramo106460%93.680.6+13.0
7 Tal Tech127558%84.683.7+0.9
8 BK Ogre135838%76.576.6-0.2
9 Parnu93633%78.879.2-0.4
10 BK Liepaja113827%78.887.5-8.6
11 Keila Coolbet102820%82.594.2-11.7
12 Viimsi1221017%75.892.8-17.0
13 Keila KK1321115%81.499.6-18.2
14 Latvijas Universitate110110%75.594.9-19.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BK Liepaja2117231677
Rigas Zelli1716252179
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