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Vermont vs Brown Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 22 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Projected 76-62
Projected total 138.7
Scheduled
Position#193
Record2-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game65.2
Vs
89%
■ VERM 89%■ BROW 11%
Pythia win probability
Position#334
Record1-4
FormLLWLL
Points / game68.4
Allowed / game70.2
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Vermont v Brown
21 Nov 2026
VERM v BROW
upcoming
03 Dec 2024
VERM53
BROW60
07 Nov 2022
VERM80
BROW65
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Vermont host Brown in the NCAA. Pythia makes Vermont the favourite at 89% and projects 76-62, about 139 points in all. Overtime chance: 2%. Vermont are 2-2 this season (78.5 scored, 65.2 allowed a game), form LLWLW; Brown are 1-4 this season (68.4 scored, 70.2 allowed a game), form LLWLL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vermont win
89.1%fair 1.12
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Brown win
10.9%fair 9.15
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 21:00 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VermontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NJIT
#220
W
70-64
70
64
+6
A22/02
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#247
W
66-64
66
64
+2
H27/02
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#312
W
69-56
69
56
+13
H04/03
NCAA
Bryant University
#344
W
77-57
77
57
+20
H07/03
NCAA
NJIT
#220
W
63-54
63
54
+9
H10/03
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#43
L
59-74
59
74
-15
A14/03
NCAA
Iona
#263
L
55-56
55
56
-1
A03/11
NCAA
Fairfield
#245
W
79-67
79
67
+12
A06/11
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#243
L
76-79
76
79
-3
H08/11
NCAA
Plattsburgh
#471
W
104-59
104
59
+45
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
30-30
40-34
34-30
32-34
31-26
38-30
38-27
39-30
26-18
37-36
28-30
31-44
29-21
26-35
38-25
41-42
40-37
36-42
57-32
47-27
134.8Avg total
71.8Scored
63.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.565.2143.8+13.250%
Season at home (2)90.069.0159.0+21.050%
Season away (2)67.061.5128.5+5.550%
Last 10 (10)71.863.0134.8+8.870%
Last 5 (5)74.667.0141.6+7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)64.870.2135.0-5.525%
vs Similar (2)74.564.0138.5+10.5100%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)70.865.6136.4+5.365%
This opponent (Brown) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrownUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dartmouth
#272
W
79-76
79
76
+3
A14/02
NCAA
Princeton
#337
W
80-71
80
71
+9
H21/02
NCAA
Columbia
#141
L
62-80
62
80
-18
A28/02
NCAA
Cornell
#175
L
80-86
80
86
-6
A28/02
NCAA
Penn
#115
L
61-82
61
82
-21
H07/03
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#104
L
55-59
55
59
-4
H03/11
NCAA
Boston University
#134
L
67-72
67
72
-5
H07/11
NCAA
Lehigh
#240
W
65-55
65
55
+10
A08/11
NCAA
Canisius
#236
L
81-86
81
86
-5
H13/11
NCAA
Siena
#133
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
30-38
49-38
42-37
38-34
32-31
30-49
45-46
35-40
34-44
27-38
27-20
28-39
37-31
30-41
27-25
38-30
30-44
51-42
44-34
30-45
145.0Avg total
70.4Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)68.470.2138.6-1.820%
Season at home (3)67.772.3140.0-4.70%
Season away (2)69.567.0136.5+2.550%
Last 10 (10)70.474.6145.0-4.230%
Last 5 (5)68.470.2138.6-1.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)68.177.3145.4-9.211%
vs Similar (15)67.974.0141.9-6.120%
vs Weaker (6)80.047.7127.7+32.3100%
This opponent (Vermont) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 146
Over 146
31.9%
Under 146
68.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 151
Over 151
21.7%
Under 151
78.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 156
Over 156
13.8%
Under 156
86.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Vermont total 80.5
Over 80.5
33.9%
Under 80.5
66.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vermont total 84.5
Over 84.5
20.6%
Under 84.5
79.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vermont total 88.5
Over 88.5
11.1%
Under 88.5
88.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brown total 62
Over 62
50.6%
Under 62
49.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brown total 66
Over 66
34.6%
Under 66
65.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brown total 70
Over 70
21.2%
Under 70
78.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Vermont -3
VERM -3
85.0%
BROW +3
15.0%
Best 5 market prices
VERM
No market prices yet.
BROW
No market prices yet.
Spread Vermont 0
VERM 0
89.1%
BROW 0
10.9%
Best 5 market prices
VERM
No market prices yet.
BROW
No market prices yet.
Spread Vermont +3
VERM +3
92.7%
BROW -3
7.3%
Best 5 market prices
VERM
No market prices yet.
BROW
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +7.5+7.51st half: -0.2-0.22nd half2nd half: +1.3+1.32nd half: -4.0-4.0
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +7.5+7.51st half: -0.2-0.22nd half2nd half: +1.3+1.32nd half: -4.0-4.0
VermontBrown
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VermontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NJIT
#220
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A22/02
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#247
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H27/02
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#312
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H04/03
NCAA
Bryant University
#344
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H07/03
NCAA
NJIT
#220
W
26-18
26
18
+8
H10/03
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#43
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A14/03
NCAA
Iona
#263
W
29-21
29
21
+8
A03/11
NCAA
Fairfield
#245
W
38-25
38
25
+13
A06/11
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#243
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H08/11
NCAA
Plattsburgh
#471
W
57-32
57
32
+25
H14/11
NCAA
62.7Avg total
35.1Scored
27.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.130.263.3+2.960%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.129.564.6+5.675%-
Last 30 away (14)30.731.061.7-0.343%-
Last 10 (10)35.127.662.7+7.580%-
Last 5 (5)38.429.067.4+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)28.533.061.5-4.50%-
vs Similar (2)35.524.059.5+11.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)32.630.262.8+2.465%-
This opponent (Brown) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrownLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dartmouth
#272
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A14/02
NCAA
Princeton
#337
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H21/02
NCAA
Columbia
#141
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A28/02
NCAA
Cornell
#175
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A28/02
NCAA
Penn
#115
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H07/03
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#104
W
27-20
27
20
+7
H03/11
NCAA
Boston University
#134
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H07/11
NCAA
Lehigh
#240
W
27-25
27
25
+2
A08/11
NCAA
Canisius
#236
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H13/11
NCAA
Siena
#133
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A15/11
NCAA
69.8Avg total
34.8Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.533.768.3+0.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.732.368.1+3.453%-
Last 30 away (15)33.335.168.5-1.840%-
Last 10 (10)34.835.069.8-0.260%-
Last 5 (5)33.030.863.8+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)35.034.369.3+0.767%-
vs Similar (15)30.937.368.2-6.313%-
vs Weaker (6)42.824.066.8+18.8100%-
This opponent (Vermont) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Vermont wins
1
Brown wins
DateGameScore
09/11/25Brown v Vermont84-89 OT
04/12/24Vermont v Brown53-60
03/01/24Brown v Vermont70-71
08/11/22Vermont v Brown80-65
11/12/21Brown v Vermont65-70
Vermontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HPlattsburgh104-59
08/11/26HQuinnipiac76-79
06/11/26AFairfield79-67
03/11/26AIona55-56
14/03/26AUMBC Retrievers59-74
10/03/26HNJIT63-54
07/03/26HBryant University77-57
04/03/26HAlbany Great Danes69-56
27/02/26HUMass Lowell66-64
22/02/26ANJIT70-64
Brownlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ASiena74-79
13/11/26HCanisius81-86
08/11/26ALehigh65-55
07/11/26HBoston University67-72
03/11/26HNew Hampshire Wildcats55-59
07/03/26HPenn61-82
28/02/26ACornell80-86
28/02/26AColumbia62-80
21/02/26HPrinceton80-71
14/02/26ADartmouth79-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vermont
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game78.590.067.0
Allowed / game65.269.061.5
Point differential+13.2+21.0+5.5
Avg total143.8159.0128.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brown
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL20%
HomeLLL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %20%0%50%
Points / game68.467.769.5
Allowed / game70.272.367.0
Point differential-1.8-4.7+2.5
Avg total138.6140.0136.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

America East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UMass Lowell43175%79.262.8+16.5
2 Binghamton53260%67.667.4+0.2
3 Vermont42250%78.565.2+13.2
4 UMBC Retrievers52340%70.473.8-3.4
5 Maine Black Bears51420%64.272.0-7.8
6 Bryant University51420%60.271.8-11.6
7 NJIT61517%55.777.3-21.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Ivy League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Columbia43175%85.864.0+21.8
2 Dartmouth43175%83.066.5+16.5
3 Princeton43175%68.861.2+7.5
4 Harvard42250%65.862.8+3.0
5 Cornell42250%78.275.8+2.5
6 Penn41325%75.285.2-10.0
7 Yale41325%70.280.8-10.5
8 Brown51420%68.470.2-1.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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