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Vermont vs Buffalo Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 78-67
38-35 40-32
Position#97
Record1-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game55.0
Allowed / game70.8
Vermont 🏆
USA
vs
Position#333
Record2-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game83.2
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vermont winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Buffalo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VermontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMass Lowell
#55
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H02/03
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#230
W
68-64
68
64
+4
A06/03
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#306
W
75-72
75
72
+3
H09/03
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#230
W
66-59
66
59
+7
H12/03
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#55
W
66-61
66
61
+5
H16/03
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
47-64
47
64
-17
A22/03
NCAA
UAB
#91
W
67-62
67
62
+5
A05/11
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
43-94
43
94
-51
A07/11
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#164
L
51-65
51
65
-14
A10/11
NCAA
Iona
#209
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A16/11
NCAA
1H
2H
38-18
36-44
25-24
43-40
31-37
44-35
31-24
35-35
29-32
37-29
29-34
18-30
38-24
29-38
21-46
22-48
22-28
29-37
31-23
28-39
128.1Avg total
61.6Scored
66.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)55.070.8125.8-15.825%
Season at homeno games
Season away (4)55.070.8125.8-15.825%
Last 10 (10)61.666.5128.1-4.960%
Last 5 (5)53.469.4122.8-16.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)43.094.0137.0-51.00%
vs Similar (8)63.464.8128.1-1.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)71.463.0134.4+8.486%
This opponent (Buffalo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuffaloUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Michigan
#278
W
78-69
78
69
+9
H21/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
L
72-91
72
91
-19
A24/02
NCAA
Kent State
#199
L
64-76
64
76
-12
A28/02
NCAA
Toledo
#107
L
79-85
79
85
-6
H02/03
NCAA
Ohio
#120
L
66-78
66
78
-12
H06/03
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
L
68-78
68
78
-10
H09/03
NCAA
Old Dominion
#261
W
83-82
83
82
+1
A05/11
NCAA
Fredonia State
#378
W
87-78
87
78
+9
H09/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
L
77-86
77
86
-9
A12/11
NCAA
Bryant University
#81
L
64-87
64
87
-23
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
33-31
45-38
32-47
40-44
27-39
37-37
33-37
46-48
33-40
33-38
37-38
31-40
43-38
40-44
37-41
50-37
40-38
37-48
25-50
39-37
154.8Avg total
73.8Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)77.883.2161.0-5.550%
Season at home (2)75.582.5158.0-7.050%
Season away (2)80.084.0164.0-4.050%
Last 10 (10)73.881.0154.8-7.230%
Last 5 (5)75.882.2158.0-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)68.079.7147.7-11.714%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vermont) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +0.5+0.51st half: -5.9-5.92nd half2nd half: -5.4-5.42nd half: -1.3-1.3
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +0.5+0.51st half: -5.9-5.92nd half2nd half: -5.4-5.42nd half: -1.3-1.3
VermontBuffalo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VermontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMass Lowell
#55
W
38-18
38
18
+20
H02/03
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#230
W
25-24
25
24
+1
A06/03
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#306
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H09/03
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#230
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H12/03
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#55
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H16/03
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A22/03
NCAA
UAB
#91
W
38-24
38
24
+14
A05/11
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
21-46
21
46
-25
A07/11
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#164
L
22-28
22
28
-6
A10/11
NCAA
Iona
#209
W
31-23
31
23
+8
A16/11
NCAA
58.5Avg total
29.5Scored
29.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.129.560.7+1.657%-
Last 30 at home (12)31.926.758.6+5.267%-
Last 30 away (18)30.631.462.1-0.850%-
Last 10 (10)29.529.058.5+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)28.231.059.2-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)21.046.067.0-25.00%-
vs Similar (8)30.627.458.0+3.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)31.829.661.4+2.262%-
This opponent (Buffalo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuffaloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Michigan
#278
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H21/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A24/02
NCAA
Kent State
#199
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A28/02
NCAA
Toledo
#107
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H02/03
NCAA
Ohio
#120
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H06/03
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H09/03
NCAA
Old Dominion
#261
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A05/11
NCAA
Fredonia State
#378
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H09/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A12/11
NCAA
Bryant University
#81
L
25-50
25
50
-25
H15/11
NCAA
73.9Avg total
34.0Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.237.268.4-6.027%-
Last 30 at home (14)30.438.168.5-7.821%-
Last 30 away (16)31.936.468.3-4.431%-
Last 10 (10)34.039.973.9-5.930%-
Last 5 (5)36.441.077.4-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)31.037.168.1-6.128%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vermont) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Vermont wins
0
Buffalo wins
No previous meetings.
Vermontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/24AIona59-62
10/11/24AMerrimack Warriors51-65
07/11/24AAuburn43-94
05/11/24AUAB67-62
22/03/24ADuke47-64
16/03/24HUMass Lowell66-61
12/03/24HNew Hampshire Wildcats66-59
09/03/24HAlbany Great Danes75-72
06/03/24ANew Hampshire Wildcats68-64
02/03/24HUMass Lowell74-62
Buffalolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/24HBryant University64-87
12/11/24ANotre Dame77-86
09/11/24HFredonia State87-78
05/11/24AOld Dominion83-82
09/03/24HNorthern Illinois68-78
06/03/24HOhio66-78
02/03/24HToledo79-85
28/02/24AKent State64-76
24/02/24AWestern Michigan72-91
21/02/24HEastern Michigan78-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vermont
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
Home--
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games4-4
Win %25%-25%
Points / game55.0-55.0
Allowed / game70.8-70.8
Point differential-15.8--15.8
Avg total125.8-125.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%-0%
Buffalo
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game77.875.580.0
Allowed / game83.282.584.0
Point differential-5.5-7.0-4.0
Avg total161.0158.0164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

America East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bryant University43175%91.275.2+16.0
2 UMBC Retrievers53260%84.473.2+11.2
3 Maine Black Bears42250%71.067.0+4.0
4 UMass Lowell42250%79.880.0-0.2
5 Binghamton62433%68.775.2-6.5
6 Vermont41325%55.070.8-15.8
7 NJIT5050%58.876.4-17.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Toledo43175%83.077.0+6.0
2 Kent State32167%74.766.0+8.7
3 Northern Illinois42250%77.264.8+12.5
4 Eastern Michigan42250%66.066.0+0.0
5 Central Michigan42250%69.570.5-1.0
6 Miami (Ohio)42250%75.077.0-2.0
7 Buffalo42250%77.883.2-5.5
8 Western Michigan52340%71.867.8+4.0
9 Akron31233%77.074.7+2.3
10 Bowling Green41325%83.074.2+8.8
11 UMass41325%77.275.0+2.2
12 Ball State41325%76.575.5+1.0
13 Ohio41325%76.285.8-9.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Vermont384078
Buffalo353267
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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