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Vermont vs Toledo Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 20 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 72-84
28-42 44-42
Position#68
Record6-7
FormLWWWW
Points / game67.6
Allowed / game68.5
Vermont
USA
vs
Toledo 🏆
USA
Position#18
Record7-4
FormWLWWL
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game79.4
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vermont winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toledo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VermontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
USC
#73
L
57-59
57
59
-2
A16/11
NCAA
Iona
#25
L
50-71
50
71
-21
H19/11
NCAA
Yale
#50
L
44-73
44
73
-29
A23/11
NCAA
Ball State
#103
W
78-73
78
73
+5
A25/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#58
L
66-68
66
68
-2
A26/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#197
L
58-78
58
78
-20
A27/11
NCAA
NVU-Lyndon
#561
W
101-63
101
63
+38
H02/12
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#186
W
66-43
66
43
+23
A04/12
NCAA
Dartmouth
#293
W
68-52
68
52
+16
A07/12
NCAA
Colgate
#40
W
73-72
73
72
+1
A10/12
NCAA
1H
2H
27-22
30-37
28-37
22-34
30-27
14-46
36-32
42-41
33-23
33-45
27-41
31-37
54-37
47-26
37-15
29-28
41-21
27-31
37-30
36-42
131.3Avg total
66.1Scored
65.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)67.668.5136.1-0.846%
Season at home (3)77.066.3143.3+10.767%
Season away (10)64.869.1133.9-4.340%
Last 10 (10)66.165.2131.3+0.950%
Last 5 (5)73.261.6134.8+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)49.074.3123.3-25.30%
vs Similar ◀ (6)69.574.0143.5-4.533%
vs Weaker (21)77.858.9136.7+19.090%
This opponent (Toledo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UAB
#44
W
93-85
93
85
+8
H11/11
NCAA
Oakland
#270
W
112-90
112
90
+22
H17/11
NCAA
UMKC
#305
L
71-83
71
83
-12
A21/11
NCAA
East Carolina
#220
L
75-86
75
86
-11
H22/11
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#98
W
82-69
82
69
+13
A23/11
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#239
W
90-67
90
67
+23
H01/12
NCAA
George Mason
#120
L
73-80
73
80
-7
A03/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
W
83-75
83
75
+8
A07/12
NCAA
Canisius
#310
W
69-68
69
68
+1
H10/12
NCAA
Marshall
#38
L
85-100
85
100
-15
A17/12
NCAA
1H
2H
39-46
54-39
57-37
55-53
38-33
33-50
33-32
42-54
45-33
37-36
40-33
50-34
32-35
41-45
40-31
43-44
32-29
37-39
44-45
41-55
163.6Avg total
83.3Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)83.579.4162.8+4.164%
Season at home (6)87.377.7165.0+9.783%
Season away (5)78.881.4160.2-2.640%
Last 10 (10)83.380.3163.6+3.060%
Last 5 (5)80.078.0158.0+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)89.092.5181.5-3.550%
vs Weaker (27)82.372.4154.7+9.978%
This opponent (Vermont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.5+6.51st half: +4.6+4.62nd half2nd half: -5.6-5.62nd half: -1.6-1.6
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.5+6.51st half: +4.6+4.62nd half2nd half: -5.6-5.62nd half: -1.6-1.6
VermontToledo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VermontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
USC
#73
W
27-22
27
22
+5
A16/11
NCAA
Iona
#25
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H19/11
NCAA
Yale
#50
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A23/11
NCAA
Ball State
#103
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A25/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#58
W
33-23
33
23
+10
A26/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#197
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A27/11
NCAA
NVU-Lyndon
#561
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H02/12
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#186
W
37-15
37
15
+22
A04/12
NCAA
Dartmouth
#293
W
41-21
41
21
+20
A07/12
NCAA
Colgate
#40
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A10/12
NCAA
63.5Avg total
35.0Scored
28.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.528.264.7+8.480%-
Last 30 at home (12)40.128.068.1+12.192%-
Last 30 away (18)34.228.362.4+5.972%-
Last 10 (10)35.028.563.5+6.580%-
Last 5 (5)39.228.868.0+10.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)27.333.060.3-5.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)32.730.863.5+1.867%-
vs Weaker (21)39.026.765.7+12.290%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UAB
#44
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H11/11
NCAA
Oakland
#270
W
57-37
57
37
+20
H17/11
NCAA
UMKC
#305
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A21/11
NCAA
East Carolina
#220
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H22/11
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#98
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A23/11
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#239
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H01/12
NCAA
George Mason
#120
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A03/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A07/12
NCAA
Canisius
#310
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H10/12
NCAA
Marshall
#38
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A17/12
NCAA
75.4Avg total
40.0Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.035.275.2+4.867%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.234.271.4+3.159%-
Last 30 away (13)43.536.580.1+7.077%-
Last 10 (10)40.035.475.4+4.670%-
Last 5 (5)37.634.672.2+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)41.545.587.0-4.00%-
vs Weaker (27)40.534.575.0+6.074%-
This opponent (Vermont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Vermont wins
0
Toledo wins
No previous meetings.
Vermontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/22AColgate73-72
07/12/22ADartmouth68-52
04/12/22AMerrimack Warriors66-43
02/12/22HNVU-Lyndon101-63
27/11/22ALong Beach State58-78
26/11/22ANC Wilmington66-68
25/11/22ABall State78-73
23/11/22AYale44-73
19/11/22HIona50-71
16/11/22AUSC57-59
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/22AMarshall85-100
10/12/22HCanisius69-68
07/12/22ANorthern Iowa83-75
03/12/22AGeorge Mason73-80
01/12/22HRichmond Spiders90-67
23/11/22ANorthern Kentucky82-69
22/11/22HEast Carolina75-86
21/11/22AUMKC71-83
17/11/22HOakland112-90
11/11/22HUAB93-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vermont
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW46%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLLWWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games13310
Win %46%67%40%
Points / game67.677.064.8
Allowed / game68.566.369.1
Point differential-0.8+10.7-4.3
Avg total136.1143.3133.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%67%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)-50% (4)
Overtime %8%0%10%
Toledo
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL64%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %64%83%40%
Points / game83.587.378.8
Allowed / game79.477.781.4
Point differential+4.1+9.7-2.6
Avg total162.8165.0160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

America East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UMass Lowell1311285%81.763.3+18.4
2 UMBC Retrievers139469%77.672.8+4.8
3 Bryant University128467%87.274.2+12.9
4 Maine Black Bears116555%71.265.5+5.6
5 Vermont136746%67.668.5-0.8
6 New Hampshire115645%68.564.9+3.6
7 Binghamton114736%69.672.3-2.6
8 Albany134931%66.874.6-7.8
9 NJIT112918%61.768.6-6.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kent State118373%77.562.0+15.5
2 Akron118373%71.160.3+10.8
3 UMass118373%70.266.5+3.7
4 Ball State117464%78.767.2+11.5
5 Toledo117464%83.579.4+4.1
6 Ohio116555%76.070.6+5.4
7 Buffalo115645%75.377.6-2.4
8 Bowling Green125742%73.775.2-1.5
9 Central Michigan114736%69.970.3-0.4
10 Western Michigan113827%69.370.0-0.7
11 Northern Illinois113827%68.677.4-8.7
12 Eastern Michigan123925%74.981.3-6.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Vermont284472
Toledo424284
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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