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Viimsi vs BK Liepaja Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 22 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Projected 76-82
Projected total 157.6
Scheduled
Position#13
Record2-9
FormLLLWL
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game86.8
Vs
29%
71%
■ VIIM 29%■ BK L 71%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
5.2/10
Around normal
4.1/10
Below normal
Position#11
Record4-6
FormLWWWL
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game77.3
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Forus Spordikeskus
Other2026
Meetings · Viimsi v BK Liepaja
22 Nov 2026
VIIM v BK L
upcoming
04 Mar 2026
VIIM76
BK L71
01 Dec 2024
VIIM67
BK L97
19 Nov 2023
VIIM78
BK L73
19 Nov 2022
VIIM82
BK L67
07 Nov 2021
VIIM81
BK L69
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Viimsi host BK Liepaja in the Latvia-Estonian League. Pythia makes BK Liepaja the favourite at 71% and projects 76-82, about 158 points in all. Overtime chance: 5%. Viimsi are 2-9 this season (74.3 scored, 86.8 allowed a game), form LLLWL; BK Liepaja are 4-6 this season (82.4 scored, 77.3 allowed a game), form LWWWL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Viimsi win
29.4%fair 3.40
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
BK Liepaja win
70.6%fair 1.42
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 21:00 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ViimsiLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormViimsi
Date
Competition
Tal Tech
#6
L
64-85
64
85
-21
57avg 63
H04/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Juniori
#12
L
81-82
81
82
-1
72avg 63
A07/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
87-91
87
91
-4
85avg 63
H11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#10
L
69-76
69
76
-7
55avg 63
H16/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
88-86
88
86
+2
90avg 63
A20/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#9
L
72-78
72
78
-6
55avg 63
A27/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#5
L
60-75
60
75
-15
50avg 63
A30/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
L
54-112
54
112
-58
36avg 63
A31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
W
104-88
104
88
+16
no box
H08/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
72-93
72
93
-21
no box
A14/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-24
14-21
19-19
16-21
25-22
20-19
20-23
16-18
20-18
27-16
17-27
23-30
15-20
11-17
22-23
21-16
25-20
27-21
9-24
27-21
19-28
27-24
11-12
15-14
12-20
14-21
13-15
21-19
7-37
18-21
12-33
17-21
27-25
18-14
30-26
29-23
18-28
12-29
22-21
20-15
161.7Avg total
75.1Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)74.386.8161.1-12.518%
Season at home (5)78.085.8163.8-7.820%
Season away (6)71.287.7158.8-16.517%
Last 10 (10)75.186.6161.7-11.520%
Last 5 (5)72.489.2161.6-16.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)72.388.0160.3-15.720%
vs Similar (5)82.478.8161.2+3.660%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK LiepajaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiepaja
Date
Competition
Lausanne Basket
#18
W
81-74
81
74
+7
74avg 73
H06/10
ENBL
Rigas Juniori
#12
W
98-88
98
88
+10
86avg 73
H11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#6
L
71-78
71
78
-7
63avg 73
H14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
69-85
69
85
-16
54avg 73
A17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Kapfenberg Bulls
#6
L
83-108
83
108
-25
77avg 73
A21/10
ENBL
Bristol Flyers
#10
L
72-85
72
85
-13
62avg 73
H27/10
ENBL
Viimsi
#13
W
112-54
112
54
+58
118avg 73
H31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#15
W
92-65
92
65
+27
no box
H04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Juniori
#12
W
99-69
99
69
+30
no box
A07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
72-89
72
89
-17
no box
A14/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
23-19
21-15
17-17
23-24
26-23
21-21
28-20
20-16
16-17
15-24
20-21
20-21
14-20
19-24
16-20
22-17
23-30
15-30
23-31
20-19
8-21
28-18
16-27
37-7
21-18
33-12
21-17
28-17
21-9
25-21
18-18
23-24
28-17
28-12
20-16
18-23
18-21
15-28
21-17
164.4Avg total
84.9Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)82.477.3159.7+5.140%
Season at home (5)91.274.4165.6+16.860%
Season away (5)73.680.2153.8-6.620%
Last 10 (10)84.979.5164.4+5.450%
Last 5 (5)89.472.4161.8+17.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)75.289.9165.1-14.60%
vs Similar (2)82.080.5162.5+1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)87.579.3166.8+8.254%
This opponent (Viimsi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 159.5
Over 159.5
44.7%
Under 159.5
55.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 164.5
Over 164.5
33.2%
Under 164.5
66.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 169.5
Over 169.5
23.2%
Under 169.5
76.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Viimsi total 79.5
Over 79.5
35.3%
Under 79.5
64.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viimsi total 83.5
Over 83.5
22.5%
Under 83.5
77.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viimsi total 87.5
Over 87.5
13.0%
Under 87.5
87.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BK Liepaja total 77
Over 77
69.1%
Under 77
30.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BK Liepaja total 81
Over 81
53.5%
Under 81
46.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BK Liepaja total 85
Over 85
37.3%
Under 85
62.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Viimsi -3
VIIM -3
21.9%
BK L +3
78.1%
Best 5 market prices
VIIM
No market prices yet.
BK L
No market prices yet.
Spread Viimsi 0
VIIM 0
29.4%
BK L 0
70.6%
Best 5 market prices
VIIM
No market prices yet.
BK L
No market prices yet.
Spread Viimsi +3
VIIM +3
37.3%
BK L -3
62.7%
Best 5 market prices
VIIM
No market prices yet.
BK L
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.9-5.9Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -0.4-0.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.9-5.9Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -0.4-0.4
ViimsiBK Liepaja
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ViimsiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tal Tech
#6
L
29-45
29
45
-16
H04/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Juniori
#12
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A07/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#10
L
26-37
26
37
-11
H16/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A20/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#9
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A27/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#5
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A30/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
L
25-58
25
58
-33
A31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H08/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
30-57
30
57
-27
A14/11
Latvia-Estonian League
81.6Avg total
37.1Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.045.782.7-8.727%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.943.981.7-6.036%-
Last 30 away (16)36.247.383.6-11.119%-
Last 10 (10)37.144.581.6-7.440%-
Last 5 (5)34.449.483.8-15.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)36.046.982.9-11.020%-
vs Similar (5)42.239.681.8+2.660%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lausanne Basket
#18
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H06/10
ENBL
Rigas Juniori
#12
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#6
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Kapfenberg Bulls
#6
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A21/10
ENBL
Bristol Flyers
#10
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H27/10
ENBL
Viimsi
#13
W
58-25
58
25
+33
H31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#15
W
49-26
49
26
+23
H04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Juniori
#12
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A14/11
Latvia-Estonian League
81.5Avg total
42.9Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.042.484.4-0.340%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.442.185.5+1.250%-
Last 30 away (14)40.542.683.1-2.129%-
Last 10 (10)42.938.681.5+4.360%-
Last 5 (5)44.435.279.6+9.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)36.444.380.7-7.97%-
vs Similar (2)42.545.087.5-2.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)46.940.887.7+6.269%-
This opponent (Viimsi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Viimsitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Viimsi: 71.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.418.7
48.7%
52.5%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.07.7
28.5%
31.4%23.1
🏀 Free throws15.611.0
70.5%
68.3%11.0
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BK Liepajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Liepaja: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.018.7
49.2%
52.5%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.9
33.1%
31.4%23.7
🏀 Free throws25.618.1
70.7%
68.3%18.1
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Viimsi
LWLLLWLLLL
BK Liepaja
LWWWLLLLWW
#13
League position
#11
-15.5
Net rating
-2.0
81.4
Offensive rating
91.6
96.9
Defensive rating
93.5
46.3%
Effective FG%
49.4%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
17.4%
Turnover %
16.1%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.41
28.5%
3-point %
33.1%
65.5%
Assist %
63.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence81.4 · 91.6Defence96.9 · 93.5Shooting46.3% · 49.4%3-point %28.5% · 33.1%Ball care17.4% · 16.1%Free throws0.24 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Viimsi   ■ BK Liepaja
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Viimsi wins
4
BK Liepaja wins
DateGameScore
31/10/26BK Liepaja v Viimsi112-54
04/03/26Viimsi v BK Liepaja76-71
08/11/25BK Liepaja v Viimsi80-83
08/02/25BK Liepaja v Viimsi87-54
01/12/24Viimsi v BK Liepaja67-97
16/03/24BK Liepaja v Viimsi73-79
19/11/23Viimsi v BK Liepaja78-73
08/01/23BK Liepaja v Viimsi97-79
19/11/22Viimsi v BK Liepaja82-67
22/01/22BK Liepaja v Viimsi66-74 OT
Viimsilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ARigas Zelli72-93
08/11/26HVEF Riga104-88
31/10/26ABK Liepaja54-112
30/10/26AVentspils60-75
27/10/26AKeila KK72-78
20/10/26ALatvijas Universitate88-86
16/10/26HBK Ogre69-76
11/10/26HValmiera Glass Via87-91
07/10/26ARigas Juniori81-82
04/10/26HTal Tech64-85
BK Liepajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AValmiera Glass Via72-89
07/11/26ARigas Juniori99-69
04/11/26HKeila Coolbet92-65
31/10/26HViimsi112-54
27/10/26HBristol Flyers72-85
21/10/26AKapfenberg Bulls83-108
17/10/26ARigas Zelli69-85
14/10/26HTal Tech71-78
11/10/26HRigas Juniori98-88
06/10/26HLausanne Basket81-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Viimsi
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL18%
HomeLLLLW20%
AwayWLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %18%20%17%
Points / game74.378.071.2
Allowed / game86.885.887.7
Point differential-12.5-7.8-16.5
Avg total161.1163.8158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
BK Liepaja
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL40%
HomeLWLWW60%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %40%60%20%
Points / game82.491.273.6
Allowed / game77.374.480.2
Point differential+5.1+16.8-6.6
Avg total159.7165.6153.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%60%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rigas Zelli990100%93.774.1+19.6
2 VEF Riga108280%90.276.0+14.2
3 Valmiera Glass Via108280%89.876.4+13.4
4 Tartu Ulikool96367%81.375.3+6.0
5 Ventspils106460%86.183.4+2.7
6 Tal Tech106460%73.773.8-0.1
7 BC Kalev/Cramo95456%85.181.9+3.2
8 Parnu84450%77.477.1+0.2
9 Keila KK105550%74.381.6-7.3
10 BK Ogre94544%86.786.7+0.0
11 BK Liepaja104640%82.477.3+5.1
12 Rigas Juniori83538%80.088.5-8.5
13 Viimsi112918%74.386.8-12.5
14 Latvijas Universitate101910%76.891.6-14.8
15 Keila Coolbet9090%70.391.1-20.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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