Rigas Zelli host Viimsi on 14 November 2026 in the Latvia-Estonian League, and the Pythia model names Rigas Zelli the clear favourite, assigning them a 98% win probability thanks to an unblemished 8-0 record, 93.8 points per game and 74.4 points allowed per game, placing them first in the league. Viimsi, meanwhile, sit 13th with a 2-8 record, 74.5 points per game and 86.2 points allowed per game, and have won only one of their last five road outings. Rigas Zelli have been dominant at home, going 4-0 with 97.5 points per game and 72.5 points allowed, while Viimsi have struggled on the road, 1-4 with 71.0 points per game and 86.6 points allowed. Their head-to-head history shows Rigas Zelli winning four of six meetings, most recently 90-74 on 14 March 2026. Pythia projects a 96-70 scoreline, a total of 165.5 points, and a 48% chance of the over on the 166.5 line; the home team covers the spread with a 98% probability. Rigas Zelli's recent loss to Aris 81-105 away on 11 November 2026 is the only recent defeat noted.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (8) | 93.8 | 74.4 | 168.1 | +19.4 | 100% |
| Season at home (4) | 97.5 | 72.5 | 170.0 | +25.0 | 100% |
| Season away (4) | 90.0 | 76.2 | 166.2 | +13.8 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 84.5 | 79.2 | 163.7 | +5.3 | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 82.0 | 80.0 | 162.0 | +2.0 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (7) | 81.6 | 91.6 | 173.1 | -10.0 | 14% |
| vs Similar (8) | 84.9 | 84.6 | 169.5 | +0.2 | 50% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (15) | 91.5 | 77.5 | 169.0 | +14.1 | 93% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (10) | 74.5 | 86.2 | 160.7 | -11.7 | 20% |
| Season at home (5) | 78.0 | 85.8 | 163.8 | -7.8 | 20% |
| Season away (5) | 71.0 | 86.6 | 157.6 | -15.6 | 20% |
| Last 10 (10) | 74.5 | 86.2 | 160.7 | -11.7 | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 75.6 | 87.8 | 163.4 | -12.2 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (25) | 72.9 | 88.8 | 161.7 | -15.9 | 20% |
| vs Similar (5) | 82.4 | 78.8 | 161.2 | +3.6 | 60% |
| vs Weaker | no games | ||||
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 83.75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 44.0 | 40.9 | 84.9 | +3.1 | 67% | 43% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 46.1 | 38.6 | 84.7 | +7.4 | 79% | 50% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 42.2 | 42.9 | 85.1 | -0.6 | 56% | 38% |
| Last 10 (10) | 42.9 | 39.5 | 82.4 | +3.4 | 80% | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 39.6 | 39.0 | 78.6 | +0.6 | 80% | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (7) | 41.0 | 45.6 | 86.6 | -4.6 | 57% | 57% |
| vs Similar (8) | 43.1 | 42.9 | 86.0 | +0.2 | 38% | 50% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (15) | 45.9 | 37.7 | 83.6 | +8.3 | 87% | 33% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 83.75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 37.1 | 45.9 | 83.0 | -8.8 | 27% | 47% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 37.9 | 43.9 | 81.7 | -6.0 | 36% | 50% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 36.4 | 47.6 | 84.1 | -11.2 | 19% | 44% |
| Last 10 (10) | 38.5 | 43.0 | 81.5 | -4.5 | 50% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 38.8 | 46.2 | 85.0 | -7.4 | 40% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (25) | 36.1 | 47.1 | 83.2 | -11.0 | 20% | 48% |
| vs Similar (5) | 42.2 | 39.6 | 81.8 | +2.6 | 60% | 40% |
| vs Weaker | no games | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rigas Zelli over 75.5 | 98.0% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +6.5pp | Won |
| Rigas Zelli over 76.5 | 97.5% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +6.3pp | Won |
| Rigas Zelli over 79.5 | 95.2% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +6.2pp | Won |
| Rigas Zelli over 77.5 | 96.8% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +6.1pp | Won |
| Rigas Zelli over 81.5 | 92.8% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +5.3pp | Won |
| Rigas Zelli over 85.5 | 85.6% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +5.1pp | Won |
| Rigas Zelli over 83.5 | 89.7% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +4.6pp | Won |
| Under 191.5 | 94.7% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +4.5pp | Won |
| Rigas Zelli over 87.5 | 80.5% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +4.3pp | Won |
| Rigas Zelli over 86.5 | 83.2% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +4.3pp | Won |
| Viimsi under 86.5 | 95.4% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +4.3pp | Won |
| Viimsi under 88.5 | 96.9% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +4.2pp | Won |
| Rigas Zelli -7.5 | 94.7% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +3.9pp | Won |
| Viimsi under 84.5 | 93.2% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +3.9pp | Won |
| Viimsi under 89.5 | 97.5% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +3.8pp | Won |
| Under 181.5 | 84.0% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +3.5pp | Won |
| Under 176.5 | 75.3% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +3.4pp | Won |
| Under 186.5 | 90.4% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +3.3pp | Won |
| Rigas Zelli -17.5 | 78.5% | 1.23 | 1.23 | - | - | - | - | +3.2pp | Won |
| Viimsi under 82.5 | 90.3% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +3.2pp | Won |
| Over 141.5 | 93.3% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +3.1pp | Won |
| Rigas Zelli over 89.5 | 74.5% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +3.0pp | Won |
| Viimsi under 78.5 | 81.7% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +2.8pp | Won |
| Viimsi under 79.5 | 84.2% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +2.8pp | Won |
| Viimsi under 80.5 | 86.5% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | +2.7pp | Won |
| Rigas Zelli -12.5 | 88.7% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +2.6pp | Won |
| Viimsi under 75.5 | 72.7% | 1.24 | 1.24 | - | - | - | - | +2.0pp | Won |
| Rigas Zelli over 90.5 | 71.1% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +1.9pp | Won |
| Viimsi under 76.5 | 75.9% | 1.26 | 1.26 | - | - | - | - | +1.9pp | Won |
| Rigas Zelli -19.5 | 73.1% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +1.8pp | Won |
| Rigas Zelli -20.5 | 70.1% | 1.34 | 1.34 | - | - | - | - | +1.6pp | Won |
| Over 146.5 | 88.2% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +1.1pp | Won |
| Over 151.5 | 80.9% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +0.4pp | Won |
| Over 156.5 | 71.3% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | -1.1pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 38.0 | 21.1 | 52.5% | 42.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 25.3 | 9.1 | 31.4% | 27.3 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 26.2 | 19.0 | 68.3% | 19.0 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 38.4 | 18.7 | 52.5% | 37.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 27.0 | 7.7 | 31.4% | 23.1 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 15.6 | 11.0 | 68.3% | 11.0 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 | Rigas Zelli v Viimsi | 90-74 |
| 23/11/25 | Viimsi v Rigas Zelli | 64-95 |
| 25/01/25 | Rigas Zelli v Viimsi | 100-71 |
| 20/10/24 | Viimsi v Rigas Zelli | 70-66 |
| 10/02/24 | Rigas Zelli v Viimsi | 81-64 |
| 22/11/23 | Viimsi v Rigas Zelli | 79-74 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/26 | A | Aris | 81-105 |
| 07/11/26 | H | Tal Tech | 92-66 |
| 04/11/26 | H | Le Mans | 65-71 |
| 31/10/26 | A | BC Kalev/Cramo | 93-87 |
| 28/10/26 | A | San Pablo Burgos | 79-71 |
| 24/10/26 | H | Keila KK | 103-70 |
| 21/10/26 | A | Hapoel Jerusalem | 64-100 |
| 17/10/26 | H | BK Liepaja | 85-69 |
| 14/10/26 | H | Cedevita Olimpija | 89-79 |
| 09/10/26 | A | Tartu Ulikool | 94-74 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/26 | H | VEF Riga | 104-88 |
| 31/10/26 | A | BK Liepaja | 54-112 |
| 30/10/26 | A | Ventspils | 60-75 |
| 27/10/26 | A | Keila KK | 72-78 |
| 20/10/26 | A | Latvijas Universitate | 88-86 |
| 16/10/26 | H | BK Ogre | 69-76 |
| 11/10/26 | H | Valmiera Glass Via | 87-91 |
| 07/10/26 | A | Rigas Juniori | 81-82 |
| 04/10/26 | H | Tal Tech | 64-85 |
| 27/09/26 | H | BC Kalev/Cramo | 66-89 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWWW | 100% |
| Home | WWWW | 100% |
| Away | WWWW | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 8 | 4 | 4 |
| Win % | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Points / game | 93.8 | 97.5 | 90.0 |
| Allowed / game | 74.4 | 72.5 | 76.2 |
| Point differential | +19.4 | +25.0 | +13.8 |
| Avg total | 168.1 | 170.0 | 166.2 |
| Over 166.5 | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Win by 10+ | 75% | 100% | 50% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLLLW | 20% |
| Home | LLLLW | 20% |
| Away | LWLLL | 20% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 5 | 5 |
| Win % | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Points / game | 74.5 | 78.0 | 71.0 |
| Allowed / game | 86.2 | 85.8 | 86.6 |
| Point differential | -11.7 | -7.8 | -15.6 |
| Avg total | 160.7 | 163.8 | 157.6 |
| Over 166.5 | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Win by 10+ | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 33% (3) | 0% (1) | 50% (2) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 100% | 93.8 | 74.4 | +19.4 | |
| 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 78% | 89.6 | 75.0 | +14.6 | |
| 3 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 78% | 89.9 | 76.9 | +13.0 | |
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 67% | 86.2 | 82.0 | +4.2 | |
| 5 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 62% | 82.8 | 76.4 | +6.4 | |
| 6 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 60% | 73.7 | 73.8 | -0.1 | |
| 7 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 78.9 | 78.1 | +0.7 | |
| 8 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 84.6 | 82.6 | +2.0 | |
| 9 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 50% | 74.3 | 81.6 | -7.3 | |
| 10 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 44% | 83.6 | 76.0 | +7.6 | |
| 11 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 44% | 86.7 | 86.7 | +0.0 | |
| 12 | Rigas Juniori | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 80.0 | 88.5 | -8.5 |
| 13 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 20% | 74.5 | 86.2 | -11.7 | |
| 14 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 11% | 76.9 | 91.9 | -15.0 | |
| 15 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 0% | 70.3 | 91.1 | -20.8 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 29 | 21 | 15 | 93 | |
| 18 | 12 | 22 | 20 | 72 |
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