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Vilkaviskis vs Zalgiris Kaunas 2 Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 21 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#11
Record4-5
FormLWLWL
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game84.7
vs
Position#12
Record4-6
FormLLWLL
Points / game95.7
Allowed / game97.1
LithuaniaNKLRound 29· Vilkavi
Other2026-27
Meetings · Vilkaviskis v Zalgiris Kaunas 2
21 Jan 2027
VILK v ZALG
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
VILK92
ZALG81
11 Oct 2025
VILK76
ZALG64
06 Apr 2025
VILK69
ZALG78
31 Mar 2025
VILK80
ZALG72
19 Oct 2024
VILK86
ZALG87
17 Feb 2024
VILK73
ZALG70
04 Jan 2024
VILK66
ZALG63
03 Dec 2022
VILK67
ZALG88
19 Feb 2022
VILK94
ZALG76
09 Dec 2021
VILK63
ZALG78
19 Nov 2020
VILK77
ZALG80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vilkaviskis win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas 2 win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VilkaviskisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVilkaviskis
Date
Competition
Vytis VDU
#2
L
75-86
75
86
-11
66avg 75
A28/04
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#12
L
104-107
104
107
-3
95avg 75
A01/10
NKL
Kretinga
#15
W
84-65
84
65
+19
74avg 75
H03/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#18
W
84-76
84
76
+8
74avg 75
A08/10
NKL
Silute
#5
L
81-97
81
97
-16
73avg 75
H15/10
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
70-94
70
94
-24
58avg 75
A17/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#7
W
82-73
82
73
+9
80avg 75
H22/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
L
81-87
81
87
-6
72avg 75
A24/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#17
W
74-72
74
72
+2
60avg 75
H29/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#8
L
73-91
73
91
-18
no box
A31/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
17-21
22-25
10-21
23-29
33-28
21-28
27-22
22-27
21-13
17-12
24-13
17-18
29-19
24-27
14-12
19-24
28-26
15-31
19-16
21-21
21-15
12-35
16-23
20-24
24-18
20-16
18-15
17-14
23-29
18-17
23-27
17-19
16-21
23-13
18-19
20-21
23-22
15-21
15-27
165.6Avg total
80.8Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)81.484.7166.1-3.244%
Season at home (4)80.276.8157.0+3.575%
Season away (5)82.491.0173.4-8.620%
Last 10 (10)80.884.8165.6-4.040%
Last 5 (5)76.083.4159.4-7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)75.486.1161.6-10.722%
vs Similar ◀ (12)81.483.8165.2-2.325%
vs Weaker (9)86.076.2162.2+9.8100%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Alytaus Patriotai
#10
W
108-83
108
83
+25
no box
A28/09
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#11
W
107-104
107
104
+3
102avg 83
H01/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#14
L
87-108
87
108
-21
74avg 83
A08/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#4
L
94-106
94
106
-12
86avg 83
H10/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#18
W
107-83
107
83
+24
109avg 83
H15/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#9
L
92-104
92
104
-12
84avg 83
A17/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#2
L
79-93
79
93
-14
72avg 83
H22/10
NKL
Kretinga
#15
W
101-85
101
85
+16
94avg 83
A24/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#7
L
82-93
82
93
-11
70avg 83
H29/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
L
100-112
100
112
-12
96avg 83
A31/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-16
22-22
28-19
26-26
29-23
28-33
28-21
22-27
23-25
20-31
28-30
16-22
20-21
29-25
25-34
20-26
21-20
25-21
30-28
31-14
19-30
28-33
23-25
22-16
22-26
23-19
19-26
15-22
25-16
24-22
23-23
29-24
18-25
15-27
19-22
30-19
31-33
16-28
29-25
24-26
192.8Avg total
95.7Scored
97.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)95.797.1192.8-1.440%
Season at home (5)93.895.8189.6-2.040%
Season away (5)97.698.4196.0-0.840%
Last 10 (10)95.797.1192.8-1.440%
Last 5 (5)90.897.4188.2-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)86.396.5182.8-10.217%
vs Similar ◀ (15)87.584.6172.1+2.953%
vs Weaker (9)93.988.3182.2+5.667%
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +1.3+1.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +1.3+1.3
VilkaviskisZalgiris Kaunas 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VilkaviskisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vytis VDU
#2
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A28/04
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#12
L
56-57
56
57
-1
A01/10
NKL
Kretinga
#15
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H03/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#18
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A08/10
NKL
Silute
#5
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H15/10
NKL
Telsiai
#1
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A17/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#7
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H22/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A24/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#17
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H29/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#8
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A31/10
NKL
86.5Avg total
43.7Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.541.884.3+0.857%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.940.183.0+2.869%-
Last 30 away (17)42.243.185.3-0.847%-
Last 10 (10)43.742.886.5+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)40.440.881.2-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.642.082.6-1.433%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)42.743.285.8-0.550%-
vs Weaker (9)44.339.784.0+4.789%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alytaus Patriotai
#10
W
54-38
54
38
+16
A28/09
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#11
W
57-56
57
56
+1
H01/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#14
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A08/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#4
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H10/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#18
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H15/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#9
L
47-63
47
63
-16
A17/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#2
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H22/10
NKL
Kretinga
#15
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A24/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#7
L
33-52
33
52
-19
H29/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
L
47-61
47
61
-14
A31/10
NKL
96.6Avg total
47.0Scored
49.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.445.189.5-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.343.987.2-0.644%-
Last 30 away (14)45.646.592.1-0.943%-
Last 10 (10)47.049.696.6-2.650%-
Last 5 (5)44.251.896.0-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)42.247.789.8-5.517%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)44.844.689.4+0.247%-
vs Weaker (9)45.144.289.3+0.956%-
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vilkaviskistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vilkaviskis: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀65%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.4 pts a game · 65% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.626.2
56.2%
54.5%52.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.95.6
26.8%
31.2%16.8
🏀 Free throws19.511.6
59.5%
67.3%11.6
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas 2: 92.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.523.4
55.1%
54.5%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.4
33.8%
31.2%28.2
🏀 Free throws23.917.3
72.4%
67.3%17.3
They take 70.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vilkaviskis
LWLWLLWWLL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
LLWLLWLLWW
#11
League position
#12
-4.3
Net rating
-2.9
90.8
Offensive rating
98.6
95.1
Defensive rating
101.5
51.3%
Effective FG%
53.3%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
57.2%
15.6%
Turnover %
15.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.34
26.8%
3-point %
33.8%
48.7%
Assist %
63.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence90.8 · 98.6Defence95.1 · 101.5Shooting51.3% · 53.3%3-point %26.8% · 33.8%Ball care15.6% · 15.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Vilkaviskis   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas 2
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26APlunges Olimpas73-91
29/10/26HRytas 274-72
24/10/26ABC Olimpas Palanga81-87
22/10/26HOmega-Tauras82-73
17/10/26ATelsiai70-94
15/10/26HSilute81-97
08/10/26AKauno Atletas84-76
03/10/26HKretinga84-65
01/10/26AZalgiris Kaunas 2104-107
28/04/26AVytis VDU75-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26ABC Olimpas Palanga100-112
29/10/26HOmega-Tauras82-93
24/10/26AKretinga101-85
22/10/26HJurbarkas79-93
17/10/26AVytis VDU92-104
15/10/26HKauno Atletas107-83
10/10/26HSuduva-Mantinga94-106
08/10/26AUkmerges Stekas87-108
01/10/26HVilkaviskis107-104
28/09/26AAlytaus Patriotai108-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vilkaviskis
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL44%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%75%20%
Points / game81.480.282.4
Allowed / game84.776.891.0
Point differential-3.2+3.5-8.6
Avg total166.1157.0173.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL40%
HomeWLWLL40%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %40%40%40%
Points / game95.793.897.6
Allowed / game97.195.898.4
Point differential-1.4-2.0-0.8
Avg total192.8189.6196.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%20%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Telsiai10100100%88.272.5+15.7
2 Jurbarkas98189%88.174.1+14.0
3 BC Olimpas Palanga108280%93.080.6+12.4
4 Suduva-Mantinga86275%94.078.4+15.6
5 Silute86275%83.477.4+6.0
6 Neptunas 296367%77.074.2+2.8
7 Omega-Tauras106460%87.082.4+4.6
8 Plunges Olimpas106460%81.478.1+3.3
9 Vytis VDU74357%94.092.6+1.4
10 Alytaus Patriotai105550%86.188.2-2.1
11 Vilkaviskis94544%81.484.7-3.2
12 Zalgiris Kaunas 2104640%95.797.1-1.4
13 Kedainiai BC104640%76.883.8-7.0
14 Ukmerges Stekas93633%81.990.8-8.9
15 Kretinga102820%79.788.1-8.4
16 Mazeikiai102820%76.586.5-10.0
17 Rytas 2100100%75.187.3-12.2
18 Kauno Atletas9090%77.396.7-19.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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