PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Vilkaviskis vs Zalgiris Kaunas 2 Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 21 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#11
Record6-8
FormLWLLW
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game86.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.8/10
Below normal
6.5/10
Above normal
Position#12
Record5-7
FormWLLWL
Points / game94.2
Allowed / game96.8
LithuaniaNKLRound 29· Vilkavi
Other2026-27
Meetings · Vilkaviskis v Zalgiris Kaunas 2
21 Jan 2027
VILK v ZALG
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
VILK92
ZALG81
11 Oct 2025
VILK76
ZALG64
06 Apr 2025
VILK69
ZALG78
31 Mar 2025
VILK80
ZALG72
19 Oct 2024
VILK86
ZALG87
17 Feb 2024
VILK73
ZALG70
04 Jan 2024
VILK66
ZALG63
03 Dec 2022
VILK67
ZALG88
19 Feb 2022
VILK94
ZALG76
09 Dec 2021
VILK63
ZALG78
19 Nov 2020
VILK77
ZALG80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vilkaviskis win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas 2 win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VilkaviskisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVilkaviskis
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#1
L
70-94
70
94
-24
58avg 74
A17/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
82-73
82
73
+9
80avg 74
H22/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
L
81-87
81
87
-6
72avg 74
A24/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#18
W
74-72
74
72
+2
60avg 74
H29/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#10
L
73-91
73
91
-18
54avg 74
A31/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#5
L
81-107
81
107
-26
no box
H03/11
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#13
W
97-74
97
74
+23
no box
H05/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#4
L
60-80
60
80
-20
no box
A07/11
NKL
Mazeikiai
#15
L
96-103 OT
96
103
-7
no box
A12/11
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#14
W
97-80
97
80
+17
no box
H14/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
21-15
12-35
16-23
20-24
24-18
20-16
18-15
17-14
23-29
18-17
23-27
17-19
16-21
23-13
18-19
20-21
23-22
15-21
15-27
23-21
21-24
19-35
18-27
24-12
29-15
22-22
22-25
17-19
20-18
9-21
14-22
20-9
22-24
23-29
20-23
26-23
18-16
29-21
24-20
167.2Avg total
81.1Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)83.186.1169.3-3.043%
Season at home (7)85.181.1166.3+4.071%
Season away (7)81.191.1172.3-10.014%
Last 10 (10)81.186.1167.2-5.040%
Last 5 (5)86.288.8175.0-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)74.587.5162.0-12.918%
vs Similar ◀ (9)84.087.2171.2-3.222%
vs Weaker (10)89.680.5170.1+9.190%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Ukmerges Stekas
#13
L
87-108
87
108
-21
74avg 83
A08/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#4
L
94-106
94
106
-12
86avg 83
H10/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#17
W
107-83
107
83
+24
109avg 83
H15/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#5
L
92-104
92
104
-12
84avg 83
A17/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#2
L
79-93
79
93
-14
72avg 83
H22/10
NKL
Kretinga
#16
W
101-85
101
85
+16
94avg 83
A24/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
82-93
82
93
-11
70avg 83
H29/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
L
100-112
100
112
-12
96avg 83
A31/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#18
W
95-90
95
90
+5
no box
H05/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#10
L
78-101
78
101
-23
no box
A07/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
20-31
28-30
16-22
20-21
29-25
25-34
20-26
21-20
25-21
30-28
31-14
19-30
28-33
23-25
22-16
22-26
23-19
19-26
15-22
25-16
24-22
23-23
29-24
18-25
15-27
19-22
30-19
31-33
16-28
29-25
24-26
30-17
18-29
23-22
24-22
20-20
19-29
22-23
17-29
189.0Avg total
91.5Scored
97.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)94.296.8191.0-2.742%
Season at home (6)94.094.8188.8-0.850%
Season away (6)94.398.8193.2-4.533%
Last 10 (10)91.597.5189.0-6.030%
Last 5 (5)91.296.2187.4-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)86.098.0184.0-12.012%
vs Similar ◀ (13)87.583.4170.9+4.254%
vs Weaker (9)95.686.0181.6+9.678%
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: +0.8+0.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: +0.8+0.8
VilkaviskisZalgiris Kaunas 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VilkaviskisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#1
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A17/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H22/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A24/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#18
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H29/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#10
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A31/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#5
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H03/11
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#13
W
53-27
53
27
+26
H05/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#4
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A07/11
NKL
Mazeikiai
#15
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A12/11
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#14
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H14/11
NKL
80.7Avg total
42.2Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.341.685.0+1.757%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.940.284.1+3.764%-
Last 30 away (16)42.842.985.7-0.150%-
Last 10 (10)42.238.580.7+3.750%-
Last 5 (5)44.036.280.2+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.541.882.4-1.327%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)45.144.789.8+0.456%-
vs Weaker (10)44.838.783.5+6.190%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ukmerges Stekas
#13
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A08/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#4
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H10/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#17
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H15/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#5
L
47-63
47
63
-16
A17/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#2
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H22/10
NKL
Kretinga
#16
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A24/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
33-52
33
52
-19
H29/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
L
47-61
47
61
-14
A31/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#18
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H05/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#10
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A07/11
NKL
94.3Avg total
44.6Scored
49.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.445.389.8-0.943%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.244.888.0-1.544%-
Last 30 away (14)45.846.091.8-0.243%-
Last 10 (10)44.649.794.3-5.140%-
Last 5 (5)43.249.292.4-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)42.449.892.1-7.412%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)44.344.288.5+0.246%-
vs Weaker (9)46.443.189.6+3.367%-
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vilkaviskistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vilkaviskis: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀64%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.6 pts a game · 64% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.825.8
56.3%
54.5%51.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.65.8
26.9%
31.3%17.4
🏀 Free throws18.211.0
60.4%
67.1%11.0
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas 2: 92.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.523.4
55.1%
54.5%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.4
33.8%
31.3%28.2
🏀 Free throws23.917.3
72.4%
67.1%17.3
They take 70.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vilkaviskis
WLLWLLWLWL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
LWLLWLLWLL
#11
League position
#12
-5.7
Net rating
-2.9
90.8
Offensive rating
98.6
96.5
Defensive rating
101.5
51.2%
Effective FG%
53.3%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
57.2%
15.2%
Turnover %
15.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.34
26.9%
3-point %
33.8%
48.4%
Assist %
63.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence90.8 · 98.6Defence96.5 · 101.5Shooting51.2% · 53.3%3-point %26.9% · 33.8%Ball care15.2% · 15.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Vilkaviskis   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas 2
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HKedainiai BC97-80
12/11/26AMazeikiai96-103 OT
07/11/26ASuduva-Mantinga60-80
05/11/26HUkmerges Stekas97-74
03/11/26HVytis VDU81-107
31/10/26APlunges Olimpas73-91
29/10/26HRytas 274-72
24/10/26ABC Olimpas Palanga81-87
22/10/26HOmega-Tauras82-73
17/10/26ATelsiai70-94
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26APlunges Olimpas78-101
05/11/26HRytas 295-90
31/10/26ABC Olimpas Palanga100-112
29/10/26HOmega-Tauras82-93
24/10/26AKretinga101-85
22/10/26HJurbarkas79-93
17/10/26AVytis VDU92-104
15/10/26HKauno Atletas107-83
10/10/26HSuduva-Mantinga94-106
08/10/26AUkmerges Stekas87-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vilkaviskis
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW43%
HomeWWLWW71%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %43%71%14%
Points / game83.185.181.1
Allowed / game86.181.191.1
Point differential-3.0+4.0-10.0
Avg total169.3166.3172.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %7%0%14%
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL42%
HomeLWLLW50%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %42%50%33%
Points / game94.294.094.3
Allowed / game96.894.898.8
Point differential-2.7-0.8-4.5
Avg total191.0188.8193.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%17%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Telsiai1312192%90.573.6+16.9
2 Jurbarkas1311285%88.678.3+10.3
3 BC Olimpas Palanga1411379%96.384.6+11.6
4 Suduva-Mantinga1310377%91.577.8+13.8
5 Vytis VDU129375%96.189.1+7.0
6 Neptunas 21410471%78.474.1+4.2
7 Silute128467%84.382.2+2.2
8 Alytaus Patriotai148657%83.884.9-1.1
9 Omega-Tauras147750%89.485.9+3.4
10 Plunges Olimpas147750%83.181.1+2.1
11 Vilkaviskis146843%83.186.1-3.0
12 Zalgiris Kaunas 2125742%94.296.8-2.7
13 Ukmerges Stekas145936%78.988.1-9.2
14 Kedainiai BC1441029%76.885.0-8.2
15 Mazeikiai1431121%78.988.9-10.0
16 Kretinga1321115%81.590.7-9.2
17 Kauno Atletas1421214%79.194.4-15.3
18 Rytas 2141137%77.186.9-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.