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Zalgiris Kaunas 2 vs Vilkaviskis Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 03 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 14:10
Final 89-85
23-27 19-21 23-13 24-24
Position#2
Record27-16
FormWWWLL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game77.0
vs
Position#6
Record29-16
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game77.6
LithuaniaNKLNKL - Semi-finals· Kaunas
Other2024-25
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Vilkaviskis
01 Oct 2026
ZALG107
VILK104
13 Dec 2025
ZALG71
VILK70
08 Apr 2025
ZALG81
VILK84
03 Apr 2025
ZALG89
VILK85
28 Mar 2025
ZALG66
VILK89
18 Feb 2025
ZALG92
VILK83
14 Dec 2024
ZALG84
VILK60
20 Jan 2024
ZALG63
VILK67
09 Nov 2023
ZALG75
VILK74
15 Oct 2022
ZALG89
VILK85
17 Feb 2022
ZALG84
VILK80
14 Oct 2021
ZALG66
VILK84
21 Nov 2020
ZALG84
VILK98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas 2 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vilkaviskis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
81-77
81
77
+4
74avg 72
H20/02
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
66-74
66
74
-8
60avg 72
A22/02
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
W
103-90
103
90
+13
98avg 72
H27/02
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
L
74-82
74
82
-8
64avg 72
A01/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
62-71
62
71
-9
48avg 72
H12/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
W
81-78
81
78
+3
74avg 72
A15/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
W
87-72
87
72
+15
80avg 72
H18/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
W
101-95 OT
101
95
+6
93avg 72
A20/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
66-89
66
89
-23
53avg 72
H28/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
72-80
72
80
-8
63avg 72
A31/03
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
25-26
16-18
19-14
12-18
18-18
17-22
19-16
33-18
29-27
21-24
20-21
11-15
18-22
17-24
28-21
14-7
14-23
17-18
17-23
23-24
17-12
11-19
30-23
22-22
17-12
29-19
19-19
18-21
28-17
8-27
22-11
18-18
15-23
15-28
18-20
15-17
15-16
24-20
18-27
160.1Avg total
79.3Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (43)79.877.0156.8+2.863%
Season at home (22)78.976.7155.5+2.259%
Season away (21)80.877.3158.1+3.567%
Last 10 (10)79.380.8160.1-1.550%
Last 5 (5)81.482.8164.2-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)71.071.5142.5-0.550%
vs Similar ◀ (21)80.678.8159.4+1.962%
vs Weaker (7)79.970.7150.6+9.186%
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VilkaviskisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVilkaviskis
Date
Competition
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
74-83
74
83
-9
57avg 72
H22/02
NKL
Telsiai
#1
W
80-76
80
76
+4
71avg 72
H01/03
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
W
81-69
81
69
+12
68avg 72
H07/03
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
W
83-80
83
80
+3
71avg 72
A09/03
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
79-76
79
76
+3
64avg 72
A13/03
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
77-75 OT
77
75
+2
67avg 72
H16/03
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
L
65-73
65
73
-8
44avg 72
A19/03
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
92-62
92
62
+30
86avg 72
H21/03
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
W
89-66
89
66
+23
81avg 72
A28/03
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
W
80-72
80
72
+8
70avg 72
H31/03
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-14
17-20
19-26
19-23
23-19
22-21
14-19
21-17
21-19
17-15
24-19
19-16
19-16
24-22
26-22
14-20
17-20
24-21
15-16
23-19
18-18
14-14
15-16
11-10
14-21
16-12
20-15
15-25
24-11
28-19
25-22
15-10
18-18
23-15
28-15
20-18
17-15
16-15
20-24
27-18
153.2Avg total
80.0Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)82.277.6159.8+4.664%
Season at home (23)85.375.1160.4+10.383%
Season away (22)78.980.3159.1-1.445%
Last 10 (10)80.073.2153.2+6.880%
Last 5 (5)80.669.6150.2+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)82.085.5167.5-3.550%
vs Similar ◀ (22)80.976.9157.8+4.068%
vs Weaker (6)85.373.5158.8+11.8100%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +0.8+0.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +0.8+0.8
Zalgiris Kaunas 2Vilkaviskis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris Kaunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H20/02
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A22/02
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
W
62-45
62
45
+17
H27/02
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A01/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H12/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A15/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H18/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A20/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H28/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A31/03
NKL
75.8Avg total
38.3Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.437.976.3+0.543%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.838.277.9+1.644%-
Last 30 away (14)36.837.674.4-0.843%-
Last 10 (10)38.337.575.8+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)37.636.474.0+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.036.572.5-0.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)39.238.177.3+1.152%-
vs Weaker (7)36.437.774.1-1.314%-
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VilkaviskisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H22/02
NKL
Telsiai
#1
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H01/03
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H07/03
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A09/03
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A13/03
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H16/03
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A19/03
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H21/03
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A28/03
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H31/03
NKL
73.6Avg total
39.1Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.439.079.3+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.137.279.4+4.976%-
Last 30 away (13)38.141.279.3-3.223%-
Last 10 (10)39.134.573.6+4.670%-
Last 5 (5)37.631.669.2+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)43.544.588.0-1.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)39.838.278.0+1.655%-
vs Weaker (6)41.339.881.2+1.550%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas 2: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.519.0
49.4%
52.5%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.47.9
31.1%
32.5%23.7
🏀 Free throws22.316.6
74.4%
70.5%16.6
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vilkaviskistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vilkaviskis: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.120.0
51.2%
52.5%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.9
33.2%
32.5%26.7
🏀 Free throws19.812.7
64.1%
70.5%12.7
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
LLWWWLLWLW
Vilkaviskis
WWWLWWWWWL
#2
League position
#6
-2.5
Net rating
+9.8
104.2
Offensive rating
107.9
106.7
Defensive rating
98.1
48.3%
Effective FG%
50.6%
48.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
19.6%
Turnover %
15.8%
34.4%
Off. rebound %
32.7%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.30
31.1%
3-point %
33.2%
53.2%
Assist %
45.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence104.2 · 107.9Defence106.7 · 98.1Shooting48.3% · 50.6%3-point %31.1% · 33.2%Ball care19.6% · 15.8%Off. rebounds34.4% · 32.7%Free throws0.35 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas 2   ■ Vilkaviskis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/25AVilkaviskis72-80
28/03/25HVilkaviskis66-89
20/03/25ASuduva-Mantinga101-95 OT
18/03/25HSuduva-Mantinga87-72
15/03/25ASuduva-Mantinga81-78
12/03/25HSuduva-Mantinga62-71
01/03/25AJurbarkas74-82
27/02/25HVytis VDU103-90
22/02/25ATelsiai66-74
20/02/25HOmega-Tauras81-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/25HZalgiris Kaunas 280-72
28/03/25AZalgiris Kaunas 289-66
21/03/25HJurbarkas92-62
19/03/25AJurbarkas65-73
16/03/25HJurbarkas77-75 OT
13/03/25AJurbarkas79-76
09/03/25ANeptunas 283-80
07/03/25HNeptunas 281-69
01/03/25HTelsiai80-76
22/02/25HSuduva-Mantinga74-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas 2
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL63%
HomeWWLWL59%
AwayLLWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games432221
Win %63%59%67%
Points / game79.878.980.8
Allowed / game77.076.777.3
Point differential+2.8+2.2+3.5
Avg total156.8155.5158.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%36%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)40% (5)67% (6)
Overtime %5%5%5%
Vilkaviskis
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW64%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayLWWLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452322
Win %64%83%45%
Points / game82.285.378.9
Allowed / game77.675.180.3
Point differential+4.6+10.3-1.4
Avg total159.8160.4159.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%43%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (13)57% (7)67% (6)
Overtime %2%4%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Telsiai45321371%85.478.1+7.3
2 Vilkaviskis45291664%82.277.6+4.6
3 Jurbarkas41261563%80.378.3+2.0
4 Vytis VDU43271663%89.086.0+3.1
5 Zalgiris Kaunas 243271663%79.877.0+2.8
6 BC Olimpas Palanga44271761%81.476.1+5.3
7 Suduva-Mantinga44261859%81.577.2+4.3
8 Ukmerges Stekas40202050%80.078.8+1.2
9 Omega-Tauras45222349%81.582.3-0.8
10 Neptunas 239182146%80.480.6-0.1
11 Rytas 240182245%80.482.3-1.9
12 Silute37142338%81.483.8-2.3
13 Kretinga39142536%80.883.5-2.7
14 Plunges Olimpas37132435%79.282.0-2.8
15 Alytaus Alytus3792824%78.090.6-12.6
16 Delikatesas Joniskis3763116%80.893.5-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas 22319232489
Vilkaviskis2721132485
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