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Villanova vs Butler Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 26 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 82-73
0-0 42-28 0-0 40-45
Position#46
Record21-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game70.0
vs
Position#208
Record15-13
FormLLLWW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game77.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Villanova v Butler
25 Feb 2026
VILL82
BUTL73
01 Mar 2025
VILL80
BUTL70
20 Feb 2024
VILL72
BUTL62
14 Feb 2023
VILL62
BUTL50
16 Jan 2022
VILL82
BUTL42
16 Dec 2020
VILL85
BUTL66
21 Jan 2020
VILL76
BUTL61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Villanova winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Butler winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VillanovaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
79-86
79
86
-7
H18/01
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
66-51
66
51
+15
H22/01
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
67-75 OT
67
75
-8
A24/01
NCAA
Providence
#246
W
87-73
87
73
+14
H31/01
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
W
72-60
72
60
+12
H04/02
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
80-73
80
73
+7
A07/02
NCAA
Marquette
#290
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H11/02
NCAA
Creighton
#238
W
80-69
80
69
+11
A14/02
NCAA
Xavier
#248
W
92-89 OT
92
89
+3
A17/02
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
63-73
63
73
-10
H21/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
35-36
0-0
44-50
0-0
26-23
0-0
40-28
0-0
31-27
0-0
30-34
0-0
45-28
0-0
42-45
0-0
40-25
0-0
32-35
0-0
37-40
0-0
43-33
0-0
36-32
0-0
41-42
0-0
41-27
0-0
39-42
0-0
43-42
0-0
38-39
0-0
32-34
0-0
31-39
148.6Avg total
76.3Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)77.770.0147.7+7.778%
Season at home (16)79.468.2147.6+11.281%
Season away (11)75.472.6148.0+2.773%
Last 10 (10)76.372.3148.6+4.070%
Last 5 (5)78.475.6154.0+2.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)63.779.0142.7-15.30%
vs Similar (9)71.968.9140.8+3.056%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)80.968.7149.6+12.394%
This opponent (Butler) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ButlerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
DePaul
#213
W
87-80
87
80
+7
H21/01
NCAA
Marquette
#290
W
87-76
87
76
+11
H24/01
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
70-92
70
92
-22
A29/01
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
L
64-77
64
77
-13
H31/01
NCAA
Providence
#246
L
87-97 OT
87
97
-10
A05/02
NCAA
Marquette
#290
L
55-70
55
70
-15
A07/02
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
70-80
70
80
-10
H12/02
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
56-63
56
63
-7
H15/02
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
93-89
93
89
+4
A18/02
NCAA
Xavier
#248
W
80-75
80
75
+5
H21/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
33-37
0-0
54-43
0-0
41-36
0-0
46-40
0-0
29-43
0-0
41-49
0-0
39-43
0-0
25-34
0-0
34-32
0-0
39-41
0-0
28-32
0-0
27-38
0-0
38-41
0-0
32-39
0-0
24-23
0-0
32-40
0-0
54-45
0-0
39-44
0-0
47-28
0-0
33-47
154.8Avg total
74.9Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)80.277.2157.4+3.054%
Season at home (17)82.474.0156.4+8.465%
Season away (11)76.982.1159.0-5.236%
Last 10 (10)74.979.9154.8-5.040%
Last 5 (5)70.875.4146.2-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)69.982.2152.1-12.412%
vs Similar (15)78.777.5156.2+1.360%
vs Weaker (7)91.169.7160.9+21.486%
This opponent (Villanova) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +5.2+5.2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -4.7-4.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +5.2+5.2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -4.7-4.7
VillanovaButler
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VillanovaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H18/01
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
26-23
26
23
+3
H22/01
NCAA
Uconn
#11
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A24/01
NCAA
Providence
#246
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H31/01
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H04/02
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A07/02
NCAA
Marquette
#290
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H11/02
NCAA
Creighton
#238
W
41-27
41
27
+14
A14/02
NCAA
Xavier
#248
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A17/02
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H21/02
NCAA
68.0Avg total
36.6Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.931.868.7+5.273%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.129.567.6+8.682%-
Last 30 away (13)35.434.770.1+0.762%-
Last 10 (10)36.631.468.0+5.270%-
Last 5 (5)37.835.072.8+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)28.738.066.7-9.333%-
vs Similar (9)34.730.665.2+4.167%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)39.431.370.8+8.183%-
This opponent (Butler) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ButlerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
DePaul
#213
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H21/01
NCAA
Marquette
#290
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H24/01
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A29/01
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H31/01
NCAA
Providence
#246
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A05/02
NCAA
Marquette
#290
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A07/02
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H12/02
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
W
24-23
24
23
+1
H15/02
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A18/02
NCAA
Xavier
#248
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H21/02
NCAA
72.7Avg total
36.7Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.034.872.8+3.257%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.633.172.7+6.659%-
Last 30 away (13)35.837.172.8-1.354%-
Last 10 (10)36.736.072.7+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)38.233.872.0+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)35.039.074.0-4.038%-
vs Similar (15)35.334.169.3+1.253%-
vs Weaker (7)47.131.678.7+15.686%-
This opponent (Villanova) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Villanova wins
3
Butler wins
DateGameScore
03/01/26Butler v Villanova67-85
01/03/25Villanova v Butler80-70
01/01/25Butler v Villanova65-73
20/02/24Villanova v Butler72-62
27/01/24Butler v Villanova88-81 OT
15/02/23Villanova v Butler62-50
14/01/23Butler v Villanova79-71
05/03/22Butler v Villanova59-78
16/01/22Villanova v Butler82-42
28/02/21Butler v Villanova73-61
Villanovalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26HUconn63-73
17/02/26AXavier92-89 OT
14/02/26ACreighton80-69
11/02/26HMarquette77-74
07/02/26AGeorgetown80-73
04/02/26HSeton Hall72-60
31/01/26HProvidence87-73
24/01/26AUconn67-75 OT
22/01/26HGeorgetown66-51
18/01/26HSt. John's (N.Y.)79-86
Butlerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26HXavier80-75
18/02/26AGeorgetown93-89
15/02/26HSeton Hall56-63
12/02/26HUconn70-80
07/02/26AMarquette55-70
05/02/26AProvidence87-97 OT
31/01/26HGeorgetown64-77
29/01/26ASt. John's (N.Y.)70-92
24/01/26HMarquette87-76
21/01/26HDePaul87-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Villanova
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL78%
HomeWWWWL81%
AwayWLWWW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271611
Win %78%81%73%
Points / game77.779.475.4
Allowed / game70.068.272.6
Point differential+7.7+11.2+2.7
Avg total147.7147.6148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%69%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %11%6%18%
Butler
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW54%
HomeWLLLW65%
AwayWLLLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281711
Win %54%65%36%
Points / game80.282.476.9
Allowed / game77.274.082.1
Point differential+3.0+8.4-5.2
Avg total157.4156.4159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%41%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %7%6%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uconn2825389%79.266.0+13.2
2 Villanova2721678%77.770.0+7.7
3 St. John's (N.Y.)2922776%81.872.3+9.4
4 Seton Hall2819968%70.464.5+5.9
5 Butler28151354%80.277.2+3.0
6 DePaul27141352%71.569.8+1.7
7 Creighton28141450%75.775.7+0.0
8 Xavier27131448%78.179.1-1.0
9 Georgetown28131546%74.273.2+1.0
10 Providence27121544%86.884.7+2.1
11 Marquette28101836%75.877.0-1.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Villanova04204082
Butler02804573
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